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He's not bullish yet. Since early summer, he has moved from neutral to high risk, when there's more market volatility. The S&P is below 7,600; if it stays here, it becomes technical support, and likely fall to 7,300. The crowd is getting very bearish because they've seen the market fall for the past month. He predicts a little more downside before we reach capitulation, which is the time he will buy. We're getting there. He still holds 20% cash, and is ready to deploy it.

Regarding concerns over the buildout of AI slowing, he doesn't really see it but is watching it intently. They have some exposure through infrastructure and utility companies. More broadly for the market is the connectivity of oil prices, inflation, interest rates, tech debt issuance, tech debt capex, and Nvidia being the biggest company in the world. This could lead to a downturn. The 10 year Treasury yield above 5% is a concern. If debt is being issued at higher and higher rates for longer terms what happens to capex spending plans. He cautions investors who have been riding these big gains and suggests looking at the 2008 comparison. Two major issues are oil trending higher and staying higher, along with interest rates going up. Make sure you can hold your investments through a downturn.

The AI trade is high-beta and is sliding today, but in the long run cybersecurity will continue to see high demand.

They missed their last quarter. He bought it the previous quarter. It bounced a little, and he sold it flat. The stock hit $410, but today is at $346.

It has a great run until earnings. The stock got ahead of itself. He didn't expect oil prices to rise this much, but ticket demand is there. Oil will remain a headwind, though.

Momentum broke down in Q2 and can't rebuild on first-half 2026. He is long energy names like this, but will have to sit on this. The risk lies in these stocks tied so closely to AI spending.

How the U.S. Fed will react to inflation. The market is pricing in a 25 bps rate increase, with more to follow. But he doesn't think inflation is as big a problem as the market perceives. The Fed's favourite metric is core PCE; its historic range is 2-3%. The Fed's target should be higher than 2% which is not realistic. The oil shock is driving inflation now, but indicators point to median inflation, which is good. Higher rates won't fix high AI spending and will hurt only poorer people.