Trending Stocks, Investing Tips, and Market Insights on Stockchase

Q3 is off to a shaky start. Q1 was good and Q2 great. Everybody is excited by earnings growth with the S&P up 30%+ based on Google's report last week of $98 billion of profit, but that came from Spacex shares. Investors ask what is the AI picture for the next 12-18 months? Uncertainty over the Fed's interest rate policy (will they hike and when?) is concerning investors. What's driving that is the uncertain US-Iran war. So, investors are stepping back from the momentum trade of the last 3 years to wait. AI is half the US GDP growth, but meanwhile, China is building new AI models that will drop the pricing of AI.

He owns a little bit, high-quality names plus 1 aspiration company, only 3-5% total. More than 50% of returns for the TSX last year was driven by gold (and, to a certain extent, base metals). He'd put on a small position, and an ETF is the way to do it. Doesn't think central banks are finished buying.

If the Fed raises rates, there might be better options (such as yield) than buying gold. So gold's checked back.