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| Date | Signal | Symbol | Company | Opinion | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-04-10 | N/A | A Commentary | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert |
Markets. Thinks we should believe in the US bull market but should believe that it will go up at the rate it has been, without an air pocket. Starting to see cracks in the US employment report which suggest that the effects of the payroll tax holiday and the sequester may be starting to kick in. If we have a couple of more data points like that, and you combine that with the ongoing problems in Europe, there might be a bit of a stall at least to this bull market. He would be adding on weakness. Japan is becoming a more attractive place to invest right now if you can do it in a currency hedged way. Tweet finance |
Price: $0.020 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: _N/A |
| 2013-04-10 | COMMENT | ABX-T | Barrick Gold |
Feels gold got so crowded and everybody kind of drank the Kool-Aid so what you are seeing now is just a wreck in gold land. At some point these things become way over done and way oversold. For a “trade”, you could probably get this company and a lot of gold companies now. Tweet finance |
Price: $24.810 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-04-10 | BUY | AP.UN-T | Allied Properties REIT |
Any particular REIT with great growth potential and the possibility of an increasing dividend? He is constructive on REITs. You are not going to get too many home runs from here but you are going to get nice singles. Good combination of dividends and capital appreciation. The one that he thinks looks best still is Allied Properties (AP.UN-T). Has a compund annual growth rate of almost 14% and will do it with really strong internal growth, acquisitions and refinancing debt. Sees continued dividend growth of 3%-5%. Tweet finance |
Price: $33.140 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-04-10 | BUY on WEAKNESS | AX.UN-T | Artis Real Estate Investment Trust |
A value stock. Trading at about $14.50 compared to the group of about $16.50. Just landed an investment grade rating which gives them access to a lot more funding, which should help them boost their acquisitions. Have just increased their exposure to the US by about 30%. In place rents are about 30% below market. Tweet finance |
Price: $16.350 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-04-10 | BUY on WEAKNESS | BAM.A-T | Brookfield Asset Management (A) |
Does the fact that this is a conglomerate affect how you would assess its value and prospects for growth? He has a NAV of $40 so it is trading at about an 8% discount. This company characterizes its future growth through what their NAV is. They say that over the next 9 years, there is going to be a big transfer away from bond yields and into real assets, which will drive their adjusted funds rate about 13% annualized over the next 9 years. There could be near-term weakness. Tweet finance |
Price: $38.390 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | PAST TOP PICK | BEP.UN-T | Brookfield Renewable Energy |
(A Top Pick June 21/12. Up 19.78%.) They continue to be a very good acquirer. He is adding to his position on weakness. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.770 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | COMMENT | BMO-T | Bank of Montreal |
Of all the banks, this is probably his least favourite because it has a relatively high PE and low relative profitability. Tweet finance |
Price: $63.390 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-04-10 | TOP PICK | BTE-T | Baytex Energy Corp |
The opportunity here is that the discount for heavy oil producers has narrowed their differentials yet this company hasn’t responded. Probably because of concern of longer weather in the spring break up so production may suffer for Q1. Yield of 6.33%. Tweet finance |
Price: $41.710 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | COMMENT | CP-T | Canadian Pacific Rail |
(Sell or continue to Hold?) He sees a combination of 1) single digit top line growth for the next 3 years combined with 2) efficiency ratio falling in a big way which conspires for enormous shareholder growth. However, at 20X, it is really reflected in the stock. Thinks you could buy it here but feels there is better value in Canadian National (CNR-T). CNR is going to be more impacted by weather this quarter so it will probably be a better buy. Tweet finance |
Price: $124.220 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-04-10 | BUY | CPG-T | Crescent Point Energy Corp |
Real risk to this stock is oil prices but right now they are doing well. This last quarter, they beat on production and cash flow and they are doing this with lower CapX. Growth was primarily due to acquisitions in 2012 but the market would rather see continued drilling success. Tweet finance |
Price: $37.440 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-04-10 | BUY on WEAKNESS | CRR.UN-T | Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust |
This one is fair in terms of valuation. They are trying to expand their reach into other regions. Unlike a lot of other REITs that have quieted their spending for 2013, this company wants to keep growing by acquisition. Fair in terms of multiple. Nothing really spectacular about this one. Tweet finance |
Price: $15.110 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | BUY | CUS-T | Canexus Corp |
Thinks it got weak since guidance for Q1 was a little bit weaker however, they maintained their guidance for the whole year. Growth projects to be commissioned throughout 2013 supports the back end loaded guidance. As announcements come out on their 2013 growth, they should be catalysts for the stock. Dividend looks to be very stable at this point. Tweet finance |
Price: $9.040 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | DON'T BUY | ECA-T | Encana Corp |
Fears that people are going to go to this as a “go to” name for exposure to natural gas. It will probably go higher if natural gas continues to go higher, which he thinks it will. However, the problem with this company is credibility. They got out of oil at the wrong time. Then they got into natural gas liquids in a big way at a time when those prices were falling. Now they have really cut their production of natural gas liquids. There are better names. (See Top Picks.) Tweet finance |
Price: $19.690 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | PAST TOP PICK | GEI-T | Gibson Energy |
(A Top Pick June 21/12. Up 27.62%.) Trimming his positions. Still a great company but, post their Omni transaction that they did in the fall, the stock is now only about 40% infrastructure, which is what attracts the big market multiples. Has gotten ahead of itself. Tweet finance |
Price: $25.730 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | BUY | HR.UN-T | H&R Real Estate Inv Trust |
Will be rolling Primarus’ debt, which should be accretive to them by Q4. Their Bow property in Calgary has been in “earnings negative” and that should swing to a positive by the 3rd quarter. Trades at a discount to its peers. Becoming more cyclical now with Primarus’ portfolio. Tweet finance |
Price: $23.630 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |