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James Hodgins , Chief Investment Officer

Curvature Hedge Strategies


Date Signal Symbol Company Opinion Price
2013-05-27 N/A A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets. There are a bunch of red flags in the US.  A little different in Canada.  Sentiment amongst investors has become overly bullish.  Debt levels (margin debt) and short covering.  Just like 2007.  We are at 3 standard deviations from normal.  The last three times this happened, you saw a 10% correction shortly thereafter.  Gains in the markets recently are fueled by short covering.  He is a little bit more short than normal.  He will look at shorting the more cyclical areas of the market.  It could be the end of this bull market, perhaps it was last week in that reversal.  It will take a little time to play out.  We are close to a major peak in global assets.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
_N/A
2013-05-27 TOP PICK AAH-T Aastra Technologies

Large PBX (phone switch).  Large distributor in Europe.  He is seeing a stabilization in Europe, especially in the north.  You don’t need the European business to come back to make money.  They shrunk the float by 25% in the last couple of years.  You will see them make an accretive acquisition or make a special dividend or be taken private.


Price:
$19.350
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 BUY CDL.A-T Corby Distilleries Ltd (A)

Has a long position.  Lambs had a poor quarter.  Likes some of the catalysts.  They are marketing Weisers in the US which has a lot of upside in terms of sales growth and they are using their distributorship muscle within Canada and are starting to market more wines and they get a nice commission.  Sitting on cash.


Price:
$19.970
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 SHORT CLQ-T Canada Lithium Corp.

He is short the stock even though fundamental drivers are positive.  Start up mining stocks are never smooth.  He will go long if they start to generate cash flow.  Been short 3 or 4 months.


Price:
$0.540
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 PAST TOP PICK DHX-T DHX Media

(Top Pick Jun 15/12, Up 173.57%) Thesis played out almost perfectly with the merger.  It is still playing out and there is still upside.  It got out because he was disciplined.  He is waiting for a pullback or an equity raise.  15-20% drop needed.


Price:
$2.990
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
No
2013-05-27 TOP PICK ETC-T Equitable Group

SHORT.  Is running at about 20 times assets to equity and are very levered.  It won’t take much to wipe out the equity as housing market slows.


Price:
$36.210
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 BUY NSU-T Nevsun Resources

Base metal play.  Likes that they have lots of cash and good growth in production.  A small long position for him.  He is neutral on gold right now. 


Price:
$3.570
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 BUY SPP-X Spot Coffee

Building out new stores in upstate New York.  Change drivers are all in place.  They continually need new capital because of the cost of building new stores.  The return on the capital is very high, but investors still watch the raising of capital.  He is in debentures but definitely participating in the next equity raise.  Return on capital is so high and it is a diversifier away from resources.


Price:
$0.140
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Unknown
2013-05-27 PAST TOP PICK SSL-T Sandstorm Gold Ltd.

(Top Pick Jun 15/12, Down 19.20%) He did very well when he got out.


Price:
$7.460
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
No
2013-05-27 BUY SY-X Symbility Solutions

Likes it.  One of the most intriguing tech Canadian companies he has come across in a long time.  He is long.  Displacing its main competitors.  Tremendous upside. 


Price:
$0.435
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 SHORT TAO-T Tag Oil Ltd.

Small short position.  Would look attractive to go long at $3 but that is not how he invests.  The trend is down so he is short.


Price:
$4.920
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 TOP PICK VPY-X VersaPay Corp

You are going to start to see big deals announced out of their white labeling.  On a take-over it could get from$1 to $3.


Price:
$1.450
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2013-05-27 WATCH WIN-T Wi-Lan Inc.

Reached a licensing deal with Dell for some of their patents after suing them.  He is watching it.  This is the type of news that could start a trend of new settlements that would interest him.


Price:
$4.650
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
No
2013-05-27 PAST TOP PICK WPT-T Westport Innovations

(Top Pick Jun 15/12, Up 0.51%) SHORT.


Price:
$29.930
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
No
2013-05-27 SHORT Y-T Yellow Media Inc

Declining core business.  Doesn’t see where they will be able to generate enough cash flow in the long run to pay all their debt.

.


Price:
$11.760
Subject:
MARKET NEUTRAL INVESTING
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
No
Showing 1 to 15 of 475 entries
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