Viewing Expert Don Vialoux | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2016-08-08 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  The S&P is at an all time high.  The NASDAQ is above the level of year 2000 at an all time high.  On Friday we broke on the TSX to a 52 week high.  The question is if this is a fake out or is it going to keep going to new all time highs.  No.  He thinks not.  Energy stocks normally do well from now until the middle of September.  It is because of hurricane season.  Gassy stocks normally do better than oil stocks.  Last Friday the financials powered into new highs, taking the market with them and this is why he thinks it is a fake out on the TSX.  Materials and consumer discretionary did not show that kind of a bump.  Going forward there are warning signs that we should be very, very careful.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-08-08 BUY on WEAKNESS Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Gold in General.  Historically this is the time of year to buy gold and gold stocks until the middle of October.  We had a pullback on Friday, but any weakness is an opportunity to buy. 


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-08 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Buying a stock near X-dividend date.  Some investors buy to get the dividend for tax reasons and some sell just before for the same reason, especially in the case of foreign dividends.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-08 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Negative Interest Rates.  A number of countries have gone in this direction.  Canada has said they are not going to do this.  The economy seems to be recovering in the third quarter.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-08-08 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Bonds.  Now they have seasonal strength to October.  Technically, the indicators make him twitchy.  Longer term bonds have formed a trading range over the last 6 weeks.  Hold them as long as they stay in this range.  If they break below the range, then consider taking some money off the table.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-08 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Education Segment.  Seasonal Trends in the Markets.  This is a time of year that volatility increases until the middle of October.  Something unusual always happens this time of year.  This year it is the US election.  You normally see a rotation this time of year.  Forest products drop from now until mid October.  Autos are the same as they change model years.  Metals do well until now, then flatten out and drop until the end of October.  It is a positive time for gold.  It climbs until the middle of October.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-08-08 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart CCO-T Cameco Corporation

It usually moves lower until the end of September each year.  It has a distinct downward trend.  It is underperforming the market and short term momentum indicators are negative.  Wait for signs of the commodity bottoming.  There are currently no signs of support on the charts.  It looks like it is a falling knife.


Price:
$12.770
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-08 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart CNR-T Canadian National R.R.

Moves lower this time of year, but is doing better this year at this time.  He would be cautious at these levels.  Look at indicators to see when you want to take profits, probably in the next couple of weeks.


Price:
$82.050
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-08 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart HDX-T (Not List Horizons BetaPro S&P/TSX 60™ Bear+ ETF

Would move higher if the Canadian market moved lower.  He does not recommend this ETF because it is leveraged.  Technical indicators are positive for the TSX presently.  Watch the indicators and then play a seasonal trade on a bear TSX.  When the election takes place it is an opportunity to go on the bull side instead of the bear side.  It is 100 days prior to the election of a new president and is not a great time for the markets as they move lower.  This bear ETF could be a good buy when the technical indicators confirm it.


Price:
$0.000
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-08 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart MSFT-Q Microsoft

The tech sector has strength in October to January and then mid –April to end of July.  Watch your short term momentum indicators.  The stock is overpriced on a technical basis.  Stick with the stock.


Price:
$58.060
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets. A chart showed the percentage of stocks trading above their 50 day moving average on the S&P 500 index, a very reliable indicator of when to buy when it is overbought, and when to sell what it is oversold. When the percentage is below 25% and moves higher, that is a signal to Buy. When it gets above 80% and starts moving lower, that is when you want to Sell. The chart showed that the S&P 500 peaked about 2 weeks ago, and just went through an all-time high today. That means the market is currently more overbought than it was before. This indicates a time to take some profits in S&P 500 stocks. The chart for the TSX indicates almost the same signals for the same time. Both charts indicate that markets are overbought right now.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2016-08-05 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Gold. Gold has just entered into a period of seasonal strength. It tends to peak out around the middle of October. A lot of people look at gold in US$ terms, but if you look at it in Cdn$ terms the price of gold broke to a 4 year high earlier this week. (See Top Picks.)


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

US election year selections? In an election year, when a “new” president is elected, from about the middle of July right through until about a week before the presidential election, the US equity markets move lower. This is because there is a lot of negative advertising coming into the markets, which causes investors to be concerned about what is going to happen, which causes equity markets to move significantly lower. However, once the election is over, equity markets move higher because people feel that with a new president and a new mandate, things are going to get done, which causes equity markets to move significantly higher.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2016-08-05 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart AC-T Air Canada (B)

Chart shows this has been forming a nice little upward trend, but has actually been slightly underperforming the market. If this moves above its trading range, you can expect an upside move in the stock. However, wait until you see technical evidence for the stock to at least outperform the Canadian market. So far we haven’t seen that yet. As you get into October, and into the Christmas buying season, that will probably be the opportunity to Buy.


Price:
$9.060
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-08-05 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart BNS-T Bank of Nova Scotia

Technically this has not been doing well lately. This has 2 periods of seasonal strength. One is coming up fairly soon, about the middle of August, when banks start to go into a period of seasonal strength, which lasts right through until the end of November. Technically this is underperforming the market and is in a trading range, and momentum indicators are kind of mixed. When you see the stock move above the trading range, that will be the sign that we are into the period of seasonal strength. Dividend yield of 4.3%.


Price:
$66.350
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,558 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 4:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 1:09pm

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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