Viewing Expert Don Vialoux | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2017-07-17 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  It is a special day today, July 17th.  On average the S&P over the last 20 years has peaked on Feb 17th, then down until the middle of October.  Today is the average day for the start of a correction.  For the TSX it is similar.  It peaks about July 17th.  There is volatility and there is lower volume.  Volatility starts rising about the beginning of July.  The markets bottom in October.  The VIX is doing about nothing right now.  The spike in volatility has not happened yet this year.  All this means is a selloff to come.  There are some interesting buying opportunities. 


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-07-17 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Educational segment.  The VIX.  It often rises in the summer, connected to a correction in the markets.  This year it could be a problem in Korea or a problem in the congress of the US.  Not everything goes down when you have a spike in the VIX.  Gold.  When the VIX spikes in July to October, so does gold.  We are seeing early signs of XGD-T bottoming.  Momentum indicators are starting to turn higher.  Stocks are moving off their 20 day moving averages.  There are early signs that gold has bottomed.  Look at bullion and stocks and pick the one that is performing the best.  It looks like gold stocks are the way to play the seasonal trade this year.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-07-17 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ALA-T Altagas Ltd

The technical picture does not look good.  It is in a downward trend and not showing signs of support.  It is underperforming the market.


Price:
$29.500
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart AMZN-Q Amazon.com

AMZN-Q vs. QQQ-Q.  You can buy very few AMZN-Q shares if you want.  There are huge earnings coming in from the technology sector and they report next week.  The QQQ-Q’s seasonality reaches its peak on July 17th (today).  These stocks are overbought right now.   The stocks are starting to struggle.  We have already seen the peak in QQQ-Q.


Price:
$1010.040
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart CM-T Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

It has been technically been showing some interesting patterns.  It broke out into a new high in the last few days.  You would prefer to buy it back in the trading range.  It is good between September and December of each year, but we are not into the period of seasonal strength.  Stick with it if you own it.


Price:
$107.900
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart CVE-T Cenovus Energy

The chart is not looking too good.  There is a distinctive trend down.  It may be trying to form a base, showing an early sign of bottoming.  You want more than just early signs.  Seasonally these stocks do well from January to April.


Price:
$9.380
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart IVN-T Ivanhoe Mines

The base metal stocks over the last three weeks are showing some very strong technical strength.  The long term trend is still to the upside.  The resistance is at the $5.50 level.  Strength will continue seasonally until the end of July.  It is outperforming the TSX and above the 20 & 50 day moving averages. Watch for it to move above the $5.50 mark.


Price:
$4.790
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 PARTIAL SELL Must be logged in to use chart MFC-T Manulife Financial

There are unconfirmed reports that it is going to spin off or sell the John Hancock unit in the US.  Seasonality is from mid-September until the end of the year.  It has gone sideways ever since.  It has recently been testing its all time high.  It is outperforming the market and trading above the 20 & 50 day moving overages.  This will probably go down with the market.  It is a good time to take money off the table if you are a trader.


Price:
$25.100
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart MG-T Magna Int'l. (A)

Seasonality is strong from Feb. to May.  We had a little bit this year.  Technically it has been trading in a range over the last 3 months.  There is no indication in which direction it is going.  Auto stocks in general have been doing well, but are now showing signs of rolling over so he would be careful here.


Price:
$60.480
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart PHM-X Patient Home Monitoring

It was in an upward trend and then broke it and is in a downward trend.  It is underperforming the TSX and broke below the 20 & 50 day moving average. 


Price:
$0.380
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart PRV.UN-X PRO Real Estate Investment Trust

REITs in general are strong in the summer, different from most sectors.  Last summer it had a pretty good run.  Right now it is in a trading range.  If it breaks above it you will run into an upward trend.  It will continue until September.


Price:
$2.220
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 SELL Must be logged in to use chart QQQ-Q Power Share QQQQ ETF

AMZN-Q vs. QQQ-Q.  You can buy very few AMZN-Q shares if you want. There are huge earnings coming in from the technology sector and they report next week. The QQQ-Q’s seasonality reaches its peak on July 17th (today). These stocks are overbought right now. The stocks are starting to struggle.  We have already seen the peak in QQQ-Q.


Price:
$142.190
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-17 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart TD-T Toronto Dominion

This stock has finally is showing early signs of recovering after being in a downward trend.  It is in a trading range and late last week reached above it.  It is starting to look interesting, but on a seasonal basis it is strong October to December of each year.  It is a bit too early to play the seasonal trade right now.


Price:
$64.860
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-02 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Market. Technically, the major US equity indices break to new all-time highs, and that generally creates more buying pressure. However, this is a short-term phenomenon. Historically, around the middle of June to the middle of October, there is a correction that happens. On average, the TSE composite reaches a seasonal high around June 9. There are 2 highs for the US market, around June 15 and July 15. From the middle of June to the middle of October, during the last 20 periods, there have been 20 corrections every 3 years, and the average decline during the correction is 14.9% for the S&P 500. That implies that sometimes, from the middle of June right through until the middle of October, you may want to be cautious in the equity markets. Watch the volatility coming up next week. To get a spike in volatility, that is the start of a correction.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-02 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Healthcare? The healthcare sector has a lot of things going for it right now. There is currently a big conference in Chicago with lots of news coming out about new products, particularly in the cancer area. Seasonally, healthcare does very well through until about the middle of July. However, look for healthcare providers, such as hospitals stocks, as they are outperforming the healthcare sector. Also, check for healthcare implement providers which are also outperforming the healthcare sector.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,750 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 4:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 1:09pm

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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