Viewing Expert Don Vialoux | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2017-05-08 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Market – A lot of people swear by “Sell in May and go away”. Essentially, on average, you buy the market on October 27 and sell it on May 5, making all your gains from October to May and miss losing money in the summer. That is not completely accurate. Data shows that from May to October, markets generally go up a little. On the S&P 500, it goes up 62% of the time. However, there is a grain of truth to the expression. For the last 20 years, US and Canadian equity markets have gone down and have had greater volatility from May to October, and it is probably going to happen again this year. Every year there is a different reason. Last year was BREXIT. Previous to that it was China. You want to avoid this period of time when you do get a correction in the summer. Also, sometimes equity markets reach a very important low during that period. That gives you an opportunity. The 2 things to watch when you are cautious is volatility. When the VIX spikes, you don’t want to be there. Today it hit a 24-year low. Also, look at the 50-day moving average for major equities like the S&P 500, Dow and the TSE composites. If the index is above the 50-day moving average, there is no problem. If he gets below that level, you have to be careful because that is when you are going to get the correction. Currently everyone of the indexes are above the 50-day moving averages.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-05-08 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Gold? Gold has very, very strong seasonality. Historically, the best times for gold is from around December right through until the end of February. There is another period of seasonal strength runs from July right through until October each year. Gold prices are very closely connected to volatility. If we are expecting to have a stronger period of volatility this summer, look for the opportunity to go back into gold.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

REITs? REITs and utilities have very similar kinds of seasonality. They tend to do very well in the summer at a time when people look for places to hide in conservative, high yielding investments. Technically it is testing all-time highs.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart AAPL-Q Apple

This just hit an all-time high. Technically, you have to love this. Strong upward trend and outperforming the market. On a seasonal basis, it tends to move higher this time of year in anticipation of the September launches they always have. However, it does take a pause in May, June and early July. It doesn’t go down, it just kind of sits there for a while.


Price:
$153.010
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ARX-T Arc Resources Ltd

This has been a disappointment. On a seasonal basis, energy stocks like this, particularly the gassy ones, do very well from around the end of January right through until the middle of May. This year, it is just not doing it. Technically it is in a downward trend and underperforming the market. Look for better opportunities elsewhere.


Price:
$18.140
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart BEP.UN-T Brookfield Renewable Energy

This just hit an all-time high, and technically it is in an upward trend. It is also outperforming the TSE Composite and momentum is on the upside. Went above its 20-day moving average recently. As long as the technicals remain positive, you can stick with the stock. You may want to consider using a stoploss.


Price:
$42.640
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart BX-N Blackstone Group LP

This is classified as a financial type of company, and financials in the US have very distinct seasonality. Historically this sector is currently reaching the end of its seasonal strength, which is normally from around the middle of October, right through until around the end of April. It has been slightly underperforming the market lately, which is not a good sign. If you own, put in your Stops very closely at around current levels, in order to protect yourself against the possibility of a correction coming in the summer.


Price:
$30.120
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart CAE-T CAE Inc

Technically the chart is showing a strong upward trend, and broke into new highs. The seasonality is from now until the end of July. However, something else coming up very shortly. Every year, around the end of June, there is the European air show, and these stocks move higher. (Analysts’ price target is $21.50.)


Price:
$21.730
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2017-05-08 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart CASH CASH

(A Top Pick March 15/17.)


Price:
$0.010
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2017-05-08 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart CASH CASH

Markets are in a bit of a problem right now. They are going through a period in the summer where things are going to be difficult, so stick with a good cash position.


Price:
$0.010
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 SELL Must be logged in to use chart CFX-T Canfor Pulp Products

Seasonally, forest product stocks have a history of reaching a peak around the 3rd week in April. This year is no different. Probably an opportunity to take some money off table.


Price:
$11.710
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart CNR-T Canadian National R.R.

This just had a slight technical break out today. It went into an all-time high. It is a gorgeous chart. Trending higher. On a seasonal basis, this has a difficult time between now and coming into the fall. However, on any stock that is moving like this one, stick with it for now.


Price:
$101.930
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 SELL Must be logged in to use chart DIS-N Walt Disney

One of his favourite seasonal trades. It is amazing how well this does from around November of each year, right through until around now. Historically, when you get close to this time, you start to see this underperform the market, which is happening again this year. Now is the time to take some good profits.


Price:
$111.420
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart DOL-T Dollarama Inc.

This has been a phenomenal performer. It hit an all-time high today. On a technical basis, you have to love this. All momentum indicators are positive.


Price:
$123.350
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-08 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart EEM-N iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index

(A Top Pick March 15/17. Up 2%.) He was looking for a place to hide and didn’t want to recommend either a US or Canadian stock. The period of seasonal strength for this ETF is from around the end of January through to the end of April. Now is the time to take profits.


Price:
$40.180
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,710 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 4:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 1:09pm

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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