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Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

Jov Investment Management

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2015-01-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  There was a great Santa Clause rally, but Canadian and US markets peaked on Dec 29th and will probably correct until late January.  The key is that going into the 4th quarter earnings reports’ results have not been all that good.  After the end of January we go into the final phase of a presidential election in the US, which is the strongest part of the cycle. 


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
_N/A
2015-01-19 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

The end of January until May, the economically sensitive sectors do well.  That is when the economy picks up.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
_N/A
2015-01-19 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

‘08/’09 Crash again?  We get these volatilities in the markets and they have increased in the last couple of months.  The sector that has been the weakest are  the energy and financial services sectors, but these have the weakest seasonality right now.  He is looking for an opportunity to enter these sectors as soon as he sees bottoming.  We are seeing early signs of bottoming in the energy sector over the last couple of days.  You want to watch to see if it is outperforming the index.  You want to see support.  You want to see it moving above its 20 day moving average. 


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
_N/A
2015-01-19 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Nat Gas.  Beginning of September until the third week in December is the period of seasonal strength.  So we are outside of that period, so now all you will see is lots of volatility based on the outside temperature.  There is no reason to be a buyer at current levels.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart AA-N Alcoa

Bottoms around the end of January and moves higher to the end of May of each year.  Is not in an uptrend.  It is below its 20 day moving average.  He is watching it to see if it bottoms.


Price:
$15.280
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart ARE-T Aecon Group Inc

Typically does the best in the spring.  The trend is down.  It is close to the 20 day moving average.  You want more technical evidence that is outperforming.  You might want to get in in the next 2 to 3 weeks, but you want more evidence.


Price:
$10.300
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart BB-T BlackBerry

The trend is still to the upside.  It is below its 20 day moving average, so it is a mixed technical picture.


Price:
$12.170
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart CCO-T Cameco Corporation

This was his top pick for 2015.  Seasonality starts around this time of year until May.  We had a break down last week and he expects a brutal 4th quarter because they just started up a new mine.  Your down side risk is very, very minimal, but technicals are not good.  You want to wait until this thing shows signs of bottoming later in the spring.


Price:
$17.300
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart CM-T Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Not one of the better performers.  Probably the weakest of the stocks in the sector.  There are better opportunities in the sector.  Look for the sector to bottom. 


Price:
$90.930
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart CNR-T Canadian National R.R.

Rail.  Seasonality tends to be from October to November and February until May of each year.  You aren’t going to do that well until the end of February.


Price:
$80.440
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart CWB-T Canadian Western Bank

Has not been doing well, as have most Canadian banks.  This is typical of the seasonality.  From November until end of January they don’t do well.  Then they do well until the end of April.  The trend is on the downside right now.  It is below its 20 day moving average and underperforming the TSX.  Look at buying it in the next 3-4 weeks if you see signs of it bottoming.


Price:
$27.690
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart EEM-N iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF

Seasonality happens not just in North America, but around the world.  This one just completed a double bottom last week.


Price:
$39.490
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 BUY Must be logged in to use chart GIB.A-T CGI Group (A)

October to January is the sweet spot each year.  It is in a strong upward trend, outperforming the market and above the 20 day moving average.


Price:
$46.700
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart HOG-N Harley Davidson

Has not been doing that well.  Longer term the trend is upwards.  It should do well from February to May of each year.  Technicals are currently mixed. 


Price:
$63.200
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-19 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart HXT-T HBP S&P/TSX 60 Index ETF

(Top Pick Dec 31’14, Down 2.72%) It was a market call, but it didn’t work out.  He had hoped to hold until the end of May.


Price:
$26.595
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Yes
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,233 entries
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2 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.


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