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Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

Jov Investment Management


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2014-03-13 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets. There are certain sectors where the time for seasonality is pushed back a little bit, probably 2-3 weeks. That means you can focus on those sectors as they become available. One example is First Trust NASDAQ Global ETF (CARZ-Q). It is the time of year when people are buying new cars and car stocks go higher. The best time to Sell in the springtime, on average, is the 1st week in May. That can vary. In a US midterm election year, it tends to be little bit earlier, around the 3rd week in April. Political rhetoric can cause a lot of uncertainty, which causes stock prices to come down, from the middle of April right through until the beginning of October. The great thing is that the bottom of the 4-year cycle occurs in the 1st week of October and after that, markets got significantly higher.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2014-03-13 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart ATD.B-T Alimentation Couche-Tard (B)

Chart shows this is still in an upward trend. Has been flagging a little bit in the last week or so but its market performance is slightly better and is probably very close to its 20 day moving average. Technicals are still okay. Because this one is Québec-based, the April 7 election is going to be very important.


Price:
$83.720
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart BBD.B-T Bombardier Inc (B)

Historically the time to buy this stock is right around now for a move right through until around the 3rd week in June. The 3rd week in June is when the Paris air show happens. The chart shows the stock has formed a very brief short-term bottoming pattern in the last couple of weeks. Has already established an upward trend and is starting to outperform the market. Just recently went above its 20 day moving average. It is getting lined up for a very interesting seasonal trade.


Price:
$3.870
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart BCE-T BCE Inc.

Chart shows that the trend is on the upside and it is trading slightly better than the TSE Composite. Trading below its 20 day moving average. You want to wait until the stock starts showing signs of support. That would probably come close to the $45 level where support was previously indicated.


Price:
$47.100
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart CARZ-Q First Trust NASDAQ Global Auto Index Fund

Holds about 38 different global auto companies. You simply buy this ETF when people are buying cars, in the springtime. Currently, the chart shows that this is moving sideways, so it is not there yet. This has been delayed because of weather. He is expecting this is going to change within the next 2-3 weeks. When there is a breakout above the $40.60 level, it will be off to the races. Seasonality for the sector is very strong and runs from around now, right through until around April, and on average, the index goes up about 9% for a 2 month period.


Price:
$38.250
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2014-03-13 BUY Must be logged in to use chart CCO-T Cameco Corporation

Seasonality for this is very positive from around the 3rd week in January right through until around the end of April. Chart shows a gorgeous long-term breakout right at the time of seasonal strength. Stock is in an upward trend and outperforming the market and is well above its 20 day moving average. Technicals score of 3 and positive seasonality is a classical opportunity to Buy more.


Price:
$27.630
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart CLS-T Celestica Inc

Chart shows the stock has recently developed a downward trend and recently broke a support level. It’s underperforming the Canadian market and trading below its 20 day moving average. Technicals score out of 3 is 0. There are better opportunities elsewhere.


Price:
$10.710
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 BUY Must be logged in to use chart CM-T Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

This stock is clearly in an upward trend. Also, outperforming the market and is currently trading above its 20 day moving average. Historically, this stock has done very well from the end of February right through until the end of April.


Price:
$95.010
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart DGC-T Detour Gold

The gold sector looks strong, outperforming the market and above its 20 day moving average. This stock shows a base building pattern and has established an upward trend. There is minor resistance at around $12.20 but he wouldn’t be too concerned about that. This has a technical score of 3. Gold stocks tend to take a bit of a rest between now and July each year.


Price:
$11.920
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 BUY on WEAKNESS Must be logged in to use chart FB-Q Facebook

Social media stocks unfortunately have not been around long enough to have seasonality. In order to have seasonality, you have to have a security that has been trading for at least 10 years, preferably 20 and sometimes even more. Technicals are very, very positive. Trend is up and it is outperforming the market and probably trading very close to its 20 day moving average. Any kind of weakness would be a buying opportunity.


Price:
$68.830
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart FXI-N iShares Xinhua China 25 ETF

(A Top Pick Feb 12/14. Down 6.78%.) A classic example of how to treat a seasonal trade is that in this one you buy China just before the Chinese new year with some good political and economic news thereafter. It started off very nicely. Shortly after that the stock established a downward trend and was below its 20 day moving average.


Price:
$32.980
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2014-03-13 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart GIL-T Gildan Activewear Inc.

Technically, right now, the trend for the stock is down. Also, it is underperforming the Canadian market. It is also trading below its 20 day moving average.


Price:
$54.470
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-03-13 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart HUZ-T HBP Comex Silver ETF

(A Top Pick Feb 12/14. Up 4.41%.) Sold his holdings at $13.36. About a 6% return in a 2 month period. Seasonality for silver is from the middle of December right through until the end of February.


Price:
$13.260
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2014-03-13 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart HXS-T Horizons S&P 500 (C$ Hedged)

This is hedged to the Cdn$. He is expecting equity markets to continue moving higher. Historically the best time to own the US market is from March through until the end of April. Any kind of weakness in the next week or so would be an opportunity to Buy. This is the spring buying season when people buy cars, houses, etc.


Price:
$35.940
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2014-03-13 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart IFP.A-T International Forest Products (A)

Forest product stocks have exceptional seasonality. One of the few sectors that have double seasonality. They go up normally from October usually until February or beginning of March and then from March to October they go down. Chart shows that it is having some difficulty getting into higher levels. The trend is still there which is positive. Getting close to when you take seasonal profits.


Price:
$16.730
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,040 entries
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1 Comment

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.


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