Viewing Expert Don Vialoux | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2016-04-12 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Market. The market does strange things during a US presidential election year. A chart showed that from the beginning of April through until the end of May, markets tend to go lower. This is because we don’t know who are going to be the final candidates prior to the convention. By the time we get to the end of May it is pretty well figured out, and the market goes higher through until September. By that time, we know who the final 2 candidates are, and they try to make nice and try to consolidate their party behind them. Everything is positive at that time. The conventions come at the end of July, and by September the brickbats come out. This year is going to be particularly difficult because they changed the US election laws and the super PACs are no longer limited at funding the advertisers. Early September until just before election Day the market goes down because of uncertainty. Then you have a president who has a mandate and people come behind him, and the market closes on the upside for the year. (Economic and earnings cycle looks much better in Canada than it does in the US.)


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2016-04-12 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

“Sell in May and go away” for this year? This is a controversial question. On a long-term basis, the average date to Sell in both the US and Canada is May 5th. This is assuming that markets are going to go lower until the end of October. Statistics show that it doesn’t necessarily play that way. On average there are more years when the market actually goes higher during that time. “Sell in May and wait until there is a period of volatility.” is more appropriate. Between May and October, virtually every year, there is something that happens completely out of the blue. Last year was China, the previous year was Greece, and previous to that it was Europe. The key is to watch volatility very closely. If you see volatility “CBOE Volatility (VIX-I)” start to spike, then you get out.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2016-04-12 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart BTE-T Baytex Energy Corp

Canadian energy is really starting to get into gear. The seasonal period is from the end of January through until the middle of June. Technically the chart is showing that it is starting to get some support and is starting to go higher.


Price:
$5.850
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart CAE-T CAE Inc

This would be considered as part of the industrials and down into the aerospace sector seasonality, which it follows very closely. Historically the best time to own has been from around the end of January until around the middle of June. Currently the trend is slightly on the downside. There are early signs of outperformance.


Price:
$14.550
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 BUY Must be logged in to use chart CCL.B-T CCL Industries (B)

This is considered to be an industrial stock. Industrial stocks have a period of seasonal strength from late October right through until May of each year. The long-term chart shows an upward trend and that it has just broken through to new all time highs.


Price:
$224.450
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart CP-T Canadian Pacific Rail

This has just completed a reverse head and shoulders pattern, which is a bullish indicator. Seasonality on railroads is January 20 to May 18, which implies that you do have some time for this one.


Price:
$183.940
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart CXR-T Concordia Healthcare

Normally healthcare stocks do very well from mid-April through until the end of September. The chart looks like the stock is finally trying to find some support, and is developing a trading range. There are early indications that the stock is finally starting to show a bottom, but he needs more confirmation. He would like to see it break above its trading range. Be patient and wait until you get more confirmation from a technical point of view.


Price:
$31.690
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart FBT-N First Trust Biotechnology Index Fund

Seasonality on this is from around the middle of April through until September. This has a lot to do with the large number of healthcare conferences being held in the summer. Technically it has already started an upward trend.


Price:
$92.620
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2016-04-12 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart FHG-T First Trust AlphaDEX U.S. Industrials Sector Index ETF

(A Top Pick Feb 12/16. Up 4.04%.) (Recommended 2 weeks ago that profits should be taken.) Industrial stocks have a period of seasonal strength from January 2 right around the end of April. The time to take profits will probably be sometime in the next couple of weeks.


Price:
$19.730
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2016-04-12 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart FHQ-T First Trust AlphaDEX U.S. Technology Sector Index ETF

There are 2 periods of seasonal strength for technology. The current one runs from April through to July and is based on the summer buying season for electronics.


Price:
$20.740
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2016-04-12 SELL ON STRENGTH Must be logged in to use chart IFP-T Interfor Corp

Historically this has very, very strong seasonality. It normally bottoms at around the middle of October, and goes higher until April. We are at the time when you would expect seasonality to normally revert, so now is the time to consider selling the stock and taking some profits any time there is strength.


Price:
$12.950
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart NXE-X NexGen Energy

Uranium stocks in general in the last few weeks are starting to show some signs of outperformance. This stock should pretty well track what Global X Uranium (URA-N) does. Chart shows a very strong upward trend and is outperforming the market.


Price:
$2.500
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart POT-T Potash Corp of Saskatchewan

Fertilizer stocks, particularly this one, have periods of seasonal strength from October through to January. From January to June, the stock has a history of underperforming and moving to the downside. Technically, it has just broken down to new lows. The best thing is to avoid this stock until there are signs that the stock has bottomed, probably later this summer.


Price:
$20.640
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-12 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart PPLT-N ETFS Physical Platinum Shares

(A Top Pick Feb 12/16. Up 3.56%.) (Recommended 2 weeks ago that profits should be taken.) This one is normally a seasonal trade from around the end of November right through until the last week of April.


Price:
$96.390
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2016-04-12 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart TEVA-N Teva Pharmaceutical

Pharmaceutical seasonality is normally around mid-April through until mid-September. However, the ASCO conference happens in the 1st week of June every year. That is when the news on the latest cancer drugs come out. This stock is not involved in cancer drugs, and he doesn’t know the seasonality of it. Technically, the chart is showing lower highs and lower lows. You would probably be better to go into another pharmaceutical stock.


Price:
$54.930
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,475 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 4:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 1:09pm

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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