Viewing Expert Don Vialoux | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2017-01-20 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Market. The secret on seasonality is that you Buy on the rumour and Sell on the news. Historically, during the first 4 months after a president is elected, the market has a tendency to reach a fairly important short-term peak right around inaugural day. After that, it tends to go sideways for a time. Once you get your executives into power and Congress starts to do things, then the market moves higher. Historically, the Canadian market has done very well from approximately the beginning of December right through until February of each year, and there is good reason to believe that that is going to happen again this year. There is good reason to believe that 4th quarter earnings by Canadian companies are going to be very strong. In fact, the top 60 companies in Canada are expected to show a gain of 8.3% on a year-over-year basis. By the end of the year, markets will be significantly higher.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
_N/A
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart AC-T Air Canada (B)

The seasonality for this depends upon when they are using their planes most frequently. That would be Christmas time and summertime. The chart shows this is currently in an upward trend. It has been lagging a little relative to the market during the last 2-3 weeks, but that is not unusual. If you own the stock, you may want to wait until the next period of seasonal strength, around March, for a seasonal trade right through until June.


Price:
$13.570
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart AGU-T Agrium

This is involved in the merger with Potash (POT-T) right now, which will have an impact on pricing for the next little while. Seasonally, the stock has done well from around the beginning of October right through until the 2nd week of February. However, the merger is going to have a greater impact on the stock, one way or another. The period of seasonal strength ends in the middle of February, so it has about another 3 weeks to go.


Price:
$140.150
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart AIG-N American International Group

Basically a financial services company. Historically the US financial service sector starts to get positive on a seasonal basis in the 3rd week in January. It usually goes higher until around the end of April. Currently, the stock has already gone above a key resistance level. The trend is on the upside already. You have all the requirements for an interesting seasonal trade right through until around the beginning of May.


Price:
$66.540
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart ALA-T Altagas Ltd

Technically, this has been in a trading range for almost 18 months. This tells you it doesn’t have the momentum you would like to see for a seasonal trade. On a chart like this, wait until there are signs that there is positive momentum and positive performance relative to the market.


Price:
$32.430
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart AMZN-Q Amazon.com

Seasonality on this is very different than the average retail merchandising US company. He is not even sure of the seasonality. Looking at the technicals, the stock is going in the right direction. The longer-term trend is on the upside. The shorter term trend is still even stronger to the upside. On a relative basis, the stock is very, very strong.


Price:
$808.330
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart ARE-T Aecon Group Inc

Seasonal strength appears to be from January through to May of each year, when things are being constructed. We are now just at the beginning of a period of seasonal strength. It’s currently in a trading range, so you want to wait until it breaks above that, but then you have a pretty good chance of seeing the stock test the previous high.


Price:
$15.800
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart BAC-N Bank of America

Seasonally, the best time to own this is from right around now until approximately May of each year. Technically, the stock is in an upward trend, and testing its recent highs. It is outperforming the market and has positive momentum, and we are just about to enter the period of seasonal strength. It looks like an excellent opportunity to add more positions.


Price:
$22.640
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart BAM.A-T Brookfield Asset Management (A)

This starts its period of seasonal strength this week, and continues right through until the beginning of May each year. The chart shows this has been in a trading range for quite a period of time, with a slight upward trend. Once it breaks above the resistance level, then you can expect the stock to take another move on the upside.


Price:
$46.010
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart BCE-T BCE Inc.

During the last couple of weeks, he is starting to see interesting technical signs that the stock is starting to show some pretty good stuff. Yesterday it broke above a small trading range. Technically, he is starting to become more positive. On a seasonal basis, the stock normally does OK this time of year. The next couple of months is a good time to own this, but from a seasonal point of view, you may want to look at around the end of February for an opportunity to go into the more economically sensitive areas that will probably outperform this one.


Price:
$58.930
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart CASH CASH

There is a lot of uncertainty coming our way over the next 2-3 months, because of what is happening in the US. It could have an impact on Canada as well. It is nice to have some cash in the kitty just in case something should happen in the next 2-3 months with the new Trump president.


Price:
$0.010
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Yes
2017-01-20 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart CSW.B-T Corby Spirit and Wine (B)

He doesn’t know the seasonality on this, but the technicals show that it has been in an upward trend for quite a period of time. During the last little while, it has been in a trading range between around $19 and $22. It is not unusual for a lot of stocks in the consumer staples sector to have this kind of a pattern. You want to be a buyer of the stock on any kind of weakness close to support, which in this case is around $20. This is for the possibility of a break out above the $22 level. The stock is in an upward trend which is positive. Stick with the stock as long as it stays in an upward trend.


Price:
$20.900
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 BUY Must be logged in to use chart DGC-T Detour Gold

Gold has 2 periods of seasonal strength. We have just entered one during the last couple of weeks. Historically it does very well from around the 2nd week in December right through until approximately the 1st week in March. Currently it is forming a nice little base and is starting to pick up. Looks like a good trade for the next couple of months.


Price:
$17.370
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart EXE-T Extendicare Inc

Technically, the stock just recently broke to a new recent 3 year high. It is already in an upward trend, and just during the last few days, it has broken through to another new high. The trend is positive at it is outperforming the market.


Price:
$10.200
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2017-01-20 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart ITA-N IShares Aero & Def. ETF

Seasonally you normally see defence stocks doing very well from about October right through until about the end of the year, and then they tend to take a bit of a break from January through to March. They then take another move to the upside until May. Technically, it is currently running into some overhead resistance with a small downward trend.


Price:
$141.990
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,657 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 4:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 1:09pm

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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