NYSEARCA:UNG

14.35
0.61 (4.08%) 1d
0
COMMENT

Natural Gas. FCG is a way to play the concentrated natural gas. Would stay away from playing the commodity futures part such as with UNG. This is in a challenging market. If you are bullish on the energy outlook, would play it with FCG.

E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY
He's traded this before. Commodities are trading instruments. Nat gas has broken down this year with old support becoming new resistance. Don't enter this space now.
E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY
It has a seasonal period from March to Mid-June, then from September to December. He has trimmed back his position because it is not working in this seasonal period. Fundamentals are not driving it. Wait until next September. This ETF suffers from erosion.
E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 22/19, Down 7%) An ETF of the short contract on US nat gas. He's trying to trade within a band to buy in the low-$20s and sell in the upper-$20s, like $27. We'll see what happens.
E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK
Strictly a trade within a trading range around $25 now. Resistance around $27.50. That's the range.
E.T.F.'s
WATCH

The spot natural gas market in the US has a seasonal peak period of mid-March to mid-June for cooling needs and September into December for heating needs. He does own some natural gas exposure in another ETF, but is looking to take profit sometime in June. He is more excited about buying in September.

E.T.F.'s
COMMENT

This has a history of bottoming right around the end of August, and then moving higher through until the 2nd week in December. Natural gas prices have been bottoming during the last few weeks. Very briefly, a few days ago, this moved above its trading range. These normally go significantly higher, usually around the middle of December. You have to be aware that there is a contango involved in this particular product. His preference is to not to play natural gas directly, but to do it with equity securities.

E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 14/16. Down 19.51%.) (All these picks started off with positive seasonality between now and the end of the year. On the technicals, at the very least, you want the security trading in an upward trend and outperforming the market.) Technicals had very quickly deteriorated and it started to underperform the market, developed a downward trend and it was Stopped out. The warm weather is what happened. The period of seasonal strength ends in the 2nd week of December.

E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK

The chart shows a nice little break-out recently, and the trend is clearly outperforming the market. Seasonally, natural gas moves higher from September right through until the beginning of December. Also, weather forecasters are talking about an El Niña, which means a colder than average winter. It is amazing how often natural gas peaks in the 2nd week of December.

E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY

Nat Gas. Futures contracts. Are trading down short term and not so much further out because it is a short term supply issue. When LNG distribution starts, that is a game changer. He owns the companies, not the ETF. There is a problem with them having to rebalance.

E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY

Feels we are still a little bit early on the natural gas story. The good news is that there is a floor on natural gas now. The switching from coal to natural gas looked like it was moving in an interesting direction and then unfortunately it turned back down.

E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY
US Natural Gas ETF. Prefers the equities versus the commodities.
E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY
US Natural Gas Fund ETF. There has been an issue raised in regards to the rollover aspects of this. Believes it is exchange-traded notes. You need to do some pretty serious investigative work. Natural gas has gotten bombed because of excess supply. Wouldn't behind on his list.
E.T.F.'s
PARTIAL BUY
Natural gas has come down to levels that makes it attractive, especially as related to crude oil prices. There is a lot of gas in the market because of unconventional drilling. He is initiating a very small position through this E.T.F. Plays the price of gas rather than companies. Also writing Puts on the position to reduce costs.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
Natural Gas: Preferred seasonality for Alberta natural gas (GAS-T) is from the end of August until the end of December. This trade has worked 7 of the 10 times for an average return of 25% each. You would expect the US Natural Gas (UNG-T) would be very similar but it is from the end of July to the end of October. This is worked 8 of the past 10 periods for an average gain of 17.4% each. This has a lot to do with currency.
E.T.F.'s
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U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F.(UNG-N) Rating

Ranking : 1 out of 5

Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 0

Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 0

Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 0

Total Signals / Votes : 0

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U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F.(UNG-N) Frequently Asked Questions

What is U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F. stock symbol?

U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F. is a American stock, trading under the symbol UNG-N on the NYSE Arca (UNG). It is usually referred to as AMEX:UNG or UNG-N

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What is U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F. stock price?

On 2024-03-27, U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F. (UNG-N) stock closed at a price of $14.35.