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Crescent Point Energy Corp Stock Symbol: CPG-T

Last Price Recorded: $32.1000 on 2015-04-25

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Date Signal Expert Opinion Price
2015-04-23 DON'T BUY Greg Newman

At $50 oil this year, he sees 154% payout ratio for 2015. Debt to cash flow is 2.4% this year and widens to 3.2% next year. Still not bad relative to the group.


Price:
$32.290
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-04-17 COMMENT Norman Levine

Sold his holdings because he was convinced that the price of oil was not going anywhere soon. This one has held up way better and has acted way better than a lot of oil stocks. It has great land positions. Also, management has very prudently hedged about 60% of their production at around $90 a barrel. The dividend is safe under current conditions, but he questions if it is safe next year if oil prices stay at a low level.


Price:
$32.380
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
No
2015-04-16 COMMENT Kash Pashootan

He has been negative on energy for a while. The only “close to oil/gas” name he owns would be Enbridge (ENB-T). The dividend on this is safe for now, i.e. over the next 6 months. Anything longer than that is really a wildcard. You don’t want to bet the farm on the fact that they are hedged and that the dividend won’t go down.


Price:
$32.370
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDENDS
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
No
2015-04-14 HOLD Christine Poole

High quality light crude out of Western Canada. Like all energy companies, they have cut their CapX by 28%, but have maintained their dividend. Yielding around 9%. Have a very strong hedge program in place. She doesn’t think they will cut their dividend unless crude stays down here for a prolonged period of time.


Price:
$31.460
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-04-10 PAST TOP PICK David Cockfield

(A Top Pick April 8/14. Down 18.99%.) He still likes this and has added to his position at lower prices. It has been working its way back up. In the Bakken, one of the better areas. Expects they will make some acquisitions that will be very advantageous to them. Feels the dividend is relatively safe.


Price:
$30.760
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-04-06 WAIT Josef Schachter

Great company. Has a very attractive yield of $.23-$.76 for the year. Stock is trading at $30.80. The low for the stock in December, when people were worried about them cutting their dividend, was $20.87. Balance sheet is in good shape. BV is around $23. Have a good hedging program. They are talking this year of spending $1.45 billion and having average production of 150- 2,500 BOE’s a day and paying that $2.76 dividend. You may want to hold your powder dry for the next 3 months.


Price:
$30.800
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-04-02 COMMENT Mason Granger

Financial leverage is about 1.8X debt to cash flow, which is very reasonable. The sustainability ratio, when you account for the dividend reinvestment program, is about 112%. They have a very disciplined three-year rolling hedging program. In 2015 they were about 45% hedged on their oil. In 2016, they’re something like 30%. All of the things are in place to keep it a very stable and sustainable dividend.


Price:
$29.840
Subject:
CANADIAN ENERGY
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-30 BUY Martin Davies

It is a great strategy.  It started with buying existing oil fields with a very low recovery process.  They are producing at very good levels and the assets have a low decline rate.  This is a big advantage.  They have been very prudent with acquisitions.  They have a very strong hedging book.  65% of this year’s oil is sold forward at over $80 a barrel.


Price:
$28.760
Subject:
CANADIAN OIL & GAS
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-30 PAST TOP PICK Martin Davies

(Top Pick Jun 25/14, Down 36.76%) They are going out of their south east and south west Alberta asset base.  They are now in Utah.  They can take the technology from one area and apply it to another. 


Price:
$28.760
Subject:
CANADIAN OIL & GAS
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-23 WAIT John Stephenson

This is a name people love to hate.  They are in the right part of the energy chain.  The commodity is under pressure so wait until September or late August to get in.


Price:
$29.110
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & RESOURCE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-23 DON'T BUY Brooke Thackray

Stock vs. Stock.  CVE-T vs. CPG-T. He can’t call the bottom.  CPG-T has hedged a lot of its production for this year.  The pattern in the end is the same for both but if he had to choose one it would be CPG-T.


Price:
$29.110
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-19 COMMENT Andy Nasr

He likes the name.  The sustainability of the dividend is a call on the price of oil.  They hedged a good chunk of their production for 2015.  The dividend would not be safe if oil hovered around $40.  He thinks oil will go back up to $50-60 by the end of the year.


Price:
$28.210
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDEND & REITs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-16 COMMENT Bruce Campbell (1)

Has a really high hedge at $89 for this year with about 33%-40% hedged for 2016 at $84. Good balance sheet and growth in production. They can pay the dividend out of cash flow. If oil is $43 a year from now, this would probably be rethought. You would have to have quite a draconian forecast for oil for them to have to cut.


Price:
$27.050
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-12 HOLD Christine Poole

Storage of oil is very high and we are going into a season where the inventories would build.  If oil went down to $10 or $20 it would not stay there because no one can produce oil at that price.  CPG-T is re-evaluating their cap x program later this spring and may cut it then.  They will cut cap x before cutting their dividend.


Price:
$28.060
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
SELECTIVE
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-11 COMMENT Keith Richards

This is a high dividend payer. Had a beautiful support level at $35. Up until the recent crash in the oil sector, you treated the stock by buying at the bottom of its trading range. That was broken through last year. Chart shows it is testing that $35, but failing. His feeling is that this will have a lid of around $35 and move sideways at this point.


Price:
$28.210
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-10 SELL David Burrows

Change from Crescent Point (CPG-T) to Vermilion Energy (VET-T)? We don’t have the thematic backdrop that is good for energy. Doesn’t think you should be switching horses from one energy stock to another. Thinks you should leave energy and move on to a different sector. Both are going to have difficulty if energy prices move lower. None of these dividends are safe if oil prices go lower.


Price:
$27.710
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH on US$
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-10 COMMENT John O'Connell, CFA

This company has done a great job of executing. They keep telling you how many drilling locations they have in inventory, and yet they keep buying things and issuing equity and paying out a big dividend at the same time. You are investing your money in the company, to give it back to you through a dividend and you have to pay tax on it, and then they issue more equity to buy more oil/gas in the ground. Thinks they have saturated the market and are going to have to find new investors. Expects they are going to acquire something in the next 6 months which will put a lid on the stock. He would like them to make the acquisition by cutting their dividend.


Price:
$27.710
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-09 DON'T BUY John Zechner

His problem with this is that a lot of what is supporting the stock is the dividend. The dividend right now is probably around 130%-140% of what their annual cash flow would be, especially once their hedges start rolling off. Doesn’t know that the dividend is necessarily sustainable at these levels. They have a great stable of properties to drill on.


Price:
$28.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BEAR
Owned:
No
2015-03-09 HOLD Teal Linde

The payout ratio was too high.  Their debt to cash flow is among one of the best.  They are criticized about their issuing of shares to finance acquisitions, and that has preserved the company until today.


Price:
$28.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-06 HOLD Jaime Carrasco

His company has a $47 target on this and doesn’t have any concern about the dividend. A very well-managed company. When the time is right, this is one that he would definitely be adding to.


Price:
$28.920
Subject:
RESOURCE, UTILITY & REITs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-05 SELL Brian Acker, CA

This has never been one of his favourites.  It has a model price of $4.76 (yes, four dollars).  They pay out too much and are making a lot of capital expenditures.  It had a bounce and looks to be testing his EBV line at $22.60.


Price:
$29.860
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH on US MARKET
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-04 COMMENT Bill Harris, CFA

On his list of about 10 things he would like to own, but his strategy has ended up slightly differently. If their hedges roll off and oil is still that $40-$45, the cash flow will be impacted. His hunch is that this company might get away with getting through this. Extremely well-run with very high margins. Great company.


Price:
$30.550
Subject:
RESOURCE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2015-03-03 HOLD Dennis Da Silva

One of the granddaddies of the energy sector paying dividends. A core holding for him in any of his income portfolios. In a good position to be opportunistic in this market. There is a lot of talk of them spinning out assets, may be into a merger with a more troubled oil producer, to create a more growth oriented company.


Price:
$30.490
Subject:
CANADIAN RESOURCE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC on ENERGY
Owned:
Yes
2015-02-26 HOLD Douglas Kee

Likes this company. Pretty conservatively managed in that their balance sheet is not significantly leveraged. As part of their whole corporate thing, they Sell forward. This has hurt in the last couple of years, but is now helping them. Dividend is safe for the next 6-12 months if oil prices remain $50+ going on 12 months.


Price:
$30.990
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-02-24 SELL Barry Schwartz

If he owned this kind of company he would get rid of it in a heartbeat. He doesn’t believe these types of companies’ dividends are sustainable nor that their business plans are sustainable at $50 oil. They have no control over the underlying product they sell.


Price:
$31.870
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
No
2015-02-23 PAST TOP PICK Peter Brieger

(Top Pick Feb 24/14, Down 14.10%) Thinks dividend is going to be maintained, but you have to be ready in case the oil price stays down.  It would still be a great company at a lower dividend.


Price:
$31.230
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Yes
2015-02-18 COMMENT David Cockfield

Had been buying more of this at around $25. One of the best oil producers in Canada. They are also in North Dakota. They hedged by selling forward a good part of their 2015 production. It is not without risks. He is concerned and is watching it. If the price of oil continues to hold in the current area, he would become more concerned. If the stock price dipped down a little, he might buy more, but otherwise he would be cautious. If you are going to hold an oil, this is the one to hold. Good dividend.


Price:
$31.980
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-02-12 BUY on WEAKNESS Swanzy Quarshie

There has been a big move in the stock and in the energy sector in the last month or so. Relatively speaking, this is the name you want to be in if you want to make an entry into the sector. She feels the dividend is safe. Have done well with cutting their CapX programs to make sure they can pay the dividend. Because they have the dividend reinvestment program, 30% of the dividend is paid for in shares, which gives them the ability to make sure that they have enough cash on the books to pay for the rest of the dividends. Have a very strong balance sheet, relative to the group, and a well regarded management team. If they transact again, they will issue shares, which might be a time to enter.


Price:
$32.500
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS on ENERGY
Owned:
Unknown
2015-02-12 WAIT Lorne Steinberg

He owns none of the Canadian Commodity sector.  Oil stocks are priced as if oil will rebound quickly to the $80-$85 range.  If oil stays below $70 then over time these oil stocks should all come down and that will be a buying opportunity. 


Price:
$32.500
Subject:
Deep Value Global Equities
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-02-11 BUY John Stephenson

Light oil. Good company. The real issue is the macro issue. This is the de facto Bakken/south east Saskatchewan player. The dividend is fine. It will be under pressure, but overall, this is a buy.


Price:
$31.880
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & RESOURCE
Bias:
BEARISH on ENERGY
Owned:
Unknown
2015-02-09 COMMENT Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI

Well-run company. Good dividend coverage. The $35 range is the 1st place where it is going to have a little bit of trouble. Some of the indicators are starting to get overbought on the short term, which means it is probably going to start to test the December low.


Price:
$32.540
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-02-05 HOLD Robert Lauzon

Have done lots of equity issues over the last 5 years and a lot of viewers have bought because of this.  Because of their hedges he thinks they will not have to cut their dividend.  They have already had a good move to the upside and there may be names that you could get that would do better in the short term.


Price:
$31.810
Subject:
ENERGY
Bias:
BULLISH on OIL
Owned:
Unknown
2015-02-02 HOLD John Zechner

He is not buying it here.  It is not trading at enough of a discount here.  The balance sheet is not in bad shape and they can grow their dividend in the next couple of years.  They hedged a lot of their production for a year or so.  They will be fine because of their hedging.


Price:
$30.770
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
No
2015-01-30 COMMENT Greg Newman

Have been cutting CapX and stand ready to cut more. In spite of this, they still expect production to grow by about 9% this year. 41% of their 2015 production is hedged. Very sustainable relative to their peers, but even with these hedges, $50 oil and $3 natural gas, he feels the balance sheet will weaken and debt to cash flow will climb to 2.3% and cash flow per share will fall by about 33% and the effective payout ratio will rise to about 158%. The dividend is probably sustainable for this year. The only way he would buy this is if you believe the oil price weakness is temporary and you will have $55-$80 oil within the next 12-20 months.


Price:
$30.200
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-29 WAIT Ben Cheng

It has done very well in the last 30 days, outperforming many of the old ex-income trusts in the energy sector.  They will continue to pull back cap-x.  When oil prices go over $65 you will see more invigorated growth.


Price:
$28.830
Subject:
REITS, INCOME STOCKS & HIGH YIELD BONDS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-26 WAIT Don Vialoux

Bottoms about now and goes higher right through until the beginning of May.  It has formed a base and broke out last week.  Crude bottoms at the beginning of February and then breaks out.


Price:
$30.930
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-23 HOLD Jaime Carrasco

One that has consistently grown and consistently paid a dividend. He is not too concerned about the dividend. They have a good balance sheet. He would wait to buy this, but would definitely not sell it. His company has this in a Sector Outperform with a $47 target.


Price:
$30.460
Subject:
RESOURCE, UTILITY & REITs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-22 COMMENT Stan Wong

A higher-quality name. Have announced they are not going to decrease their dividend for the time being. Right now you are getting about a 9.5% dividend.


Price:
$29.100
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-22 HOLD David Cockfield

Company has dug in its heels and said it will maintain its dividend.  A fair amount of this and next year’s production is pre-sold.  If pricing stays where it is for another 3 to 4 months he might start to worry about the dividend.  He is not selling, but watching it closely.  It is one of the best managed oil companies.


Price:
$29.100
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-16 WAIT Kash Pashootan

There isn’t any evidence that we have reached any sort of stability in oil prices. There have been a couple of days where there has been less decline, but that sentiment can change very quickly. He has been bearish on energy for 4 years. If looking for an entry point, he would wait. This is one of the higher-quality names. If this energy weakness continues, even names like this will be at risk of cutting their dividends.


Price:
$30.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE - DIVIDEND
Bias:
DEFENSIVE
Owned:
No
2015-01-16 COMMENT Ryan Bushell

Has had an interesting record. Coming out of 2008, spot prices got down to the mid-$30 a barrel range, and this company was able to maintain its dividend at that point. Currently they are on track to maintain their dividend through this cycle, but it all depends on how fast the oil price comes back. He feels this company has built itself as good as one can in terms of a conservative balance sheet, good properties and a propensity to work hard at maintaining the dividend. This is about as good as you are going to get in terms of dividend sustainability in a light oil producer in Canada. There might be another buying opportunity for you in the next few months.


Price:
$30.070
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE (DIVIDENDS)
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-13 COMMENT Christine Poole

Came out last week and cut their CapX spending by 28% and indicated that the dividend was safe. They hadn’t cut their dividend even in the 2008 recession, so they are very cognizant of the fact that they have a shareholder base that needs the income. She expects they will continue to cut CapX to maintain the dividend. Have a very active hedging program in place and about half their 2015 production is hedged at $90 Cdn, which is going to moderate lower spot prices. Unless crude stays at $45-$50 for the balance of the year, she doesn’t anticipate that they will have to touch the dividend.


Price:
$26.940
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-12 HOLD Norman Levine

He does not think it is the time to buy any oil or gas stock.  He has it in income accounts.  They say their dividend is safe.  They are the most hedged oil and gas company in Canada.  Over half is hedged above $90.  That doesn’t tell him what happens next year.  It is one of the well capitalized names that he would look at it he was going to buy energy.


Price:
$27.230
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BEARISH on CANADIAN MARKET
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-09 COMMENT Andy Nasr

Pretty compelling value if you have a longer-term time horizon. Doesn’t think the dividend is necessarily at risk, unless oil stays right where it is. He views the current decline as being somewhat transitory in nature and thinks the commodity price will go back up. Companies like this, that are relatively well capitalized, should benefit as the commodity price rebounds. Operationally, they have done a very good job of diversifying their business. In hindsight, the acquisitions they made were a little bit expensive, but they do have hedges in place that hopefully will stabilize the balance sheet and be able to push them through 2015 until you see the commodity price go up.


Price:
$28.630
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDEND & REITs
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-08 WATCH Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI

He would have liked to have seen it hold the level at $35. The fact that it didn’t is telling him that it isn’t going to get above that level and will be spending a lot of time doing some basing. His data also indicates that it wants to drop below its low and come back to the $18-$20 range. He would continue to watch it. If it does get above the $35 level, that will become its new support.


Price:
$27.240
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-07 HOLD Michael Sprung

(He has some positions in some small accounts.) An extremely well-run and well-managed company. The properties they bought give them drilling opportunities going forward for a number of years. With prices coming off as severely as they have recently, they have cut back on their capital expenditure plans from about $2 billion to $1.5 billion. Exited 2014 at about 145,000 barrels a day and are expected to average about that amount this year, which would be an increase over 2014. If the environment is still as bad as it is in 6 months, they would have to take a look at the dividend. If there was a turn around in commodity prices, this company would really benefit.


Price:
$25.940
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-01-06 COMMENT Bill Carrigan

Today they announced they are cutting its capital expenditure program, but maintaining its dividend. The key for all names that have high CapX and are returning money to shareholders, is how long that energy stays down. If crude stays down longer than 12 weeks, then we are going to have some problems. If we go into March and we still have these low prices, then we are going to start to have problems. Market is not worried about crude being down now, but for how long it is going to be down. He would be very careful on this.


Price:
$25.130
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
BEAR on ENERGY
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-05 WATCH Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA

He likes the energy sector, big picture.  It is a no brainer investment over the next 5 to 10 years.  But it is going to be a tough year until we get stabilization.  He thinks a lot of the bad news is priced in.  He does not think an oil price at $30 is justified.  Supply and demand fundamentals should create a bottom here.  This is where you want to be a buyer, not a seller.  There is some risk, however, that the dividend could get cut.


Price:
$24.860
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-01-02 HOLD John Stephenson

Thinks the dividend is okay and sustainable. One of the things this company has done really well is that they have the best properties around. A fantastic management team. The problem they have is that it is a growth and income oriented vehicle. Where is the growth component, is it really going to be there in this low commodity priced environment? 10% yield.


Price:
$27.340
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & RESOURCE
Bias:
BEARISH on RESOURCES
Owned:
Unknown
2014-12-29 TOP PICK Peter Brieger

(A Top Pick Dec 30/13. Down 27.52%.) He wouldn’t buy at this point, but would wait until there was a further decline in oil prices, which he thinks will probably happen. Every growth oriented portfolio should have a position in this company. Feels this is the best run company in this country. Yield of 9.91%.


Price:
$27.840
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2014-12-23 WATCH Brooke Thackray

Oil tends to pick up from a seasonal basis in February. It can bounce around in January. The big worry here is that people are questioning if they are going to cut the dividend. He would be looking at stepping into this when there is a more solid rebound in the energy sector.


Price:
$28.480
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-12-22 WAIT Don Vialoux

A typical classic seasonal stock. Canadian energy sector, and particularly this stock, tends to have a lot of problems at this time of year. The period of seasonal strength is from the end of January right through until May of each year. At this time of year, the stock goes down. It had a huge recovery last week. It is going to go sideways with all kinds of volatility, but is going to form a nice little base. Take another look at the stock at around the end of January and add to it.


Price:
$27.750
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2014-12-19 DON'T BUY John Zechner

They haven’t cut the dividend yet, but thinks they are probably going to have to at some point. They were paying out almost 100%, even though they have some hedges on. He is not buying in this sector even though it has come down a lot.


Price:
$28.610
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
No
2014-12-12 HOLD Bruce Tatters

Was a market darling for years and years and has been one of the bigger growth names in Canadian shale oil, as opposed to an oil sands company. Terrific track record of growth. Has never been a particularly big fan of it, principally because their growth rate in production has been overshadowed by their growth rate in shares outstanding. In the last couple of years, they have made acquisitions at pretty rich valuations. Has dropped from the $40 range, down to the low $20s. If you own, he wouldn’t Sell. Not as over levered as some other players. Has about 40% of its production hedged in the $90’s.


Price:
$21.760
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2014-12-10 COMMENT Bruce Campbell (2)

From what he understands, this is hedged at a much higher level, from a total production standpoint, than what most other firms are. He understands it could be north of 50% of their production that is hedged. The obvious issue is that once those hedges roll off, they are going to be realizing lower prices. Everyone is trying to play leapfrog and get ahead of everyone else by selling before those hedges come off and the cash flow drops down. Very well-managed company. Management has said that if lower prices continue, they will protect their balance sheet rather than protect their dividends.


Price:
$22.490
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
No
2014-12-09 HOLD Christine Poole

Company has said they are not going to cut their dividend and she doesn’t think they have to unless energy prices stay below $60 for a number of years. They have hedged out some of their production, about 60% in the 4th quarter, at $92, and 37% of next year’s production at the same price level. They never cut their dividend, even in the recession of 2008. Management is very cognizant that their shareholder base wants that yield. Yielding around 11%, so the market is indicating they believe otherwise.


Price:
$24.940
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH on US ECONOMY
Owned:
Yes
2014-12-08 HOLD Jeff Young

Near term, the dividend is fairly safe.  They have a decent amount of hedging for next year and the balance sheet is relatively good.


Price:
$25.000
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND
Bias:
BEAR on ENERGY
Owned:
Unknown
2014-12-05 TOP PICK David Cockfield

Thinks this has gotten beaten up too much. They operate in Saskatchewan and in North Dakota. Super operators. Have been very adamant in the past about protecting their dividend when prices went down. He is betting that you will see the price of oil back into the $75-$80 range within 6 months. Yield of 10.34%.


Price:
$26.690
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2014-12-05 HOLD Rick Stuchberry

He owns this for yield, so he is not going to Sell it. This company hedged their forward sales and have 40% of next year’s revenues hedged at much higher prices, over $90 on the crude. Because of this your distribution should be okay, unless something from left field comes in. His view now is to Hold and see what happens. Very good management.


Price:
$26.690
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE & ADRs
Bias:
BULLISH on INDIA
Owned:
Yes
2014-12-04 BUY on WEAKNESS Norman Levine

Great stock, but terrible recently.  One of the better capitalized and better run companies.  There will be lot of time to pick these up later.


Price:
$27.630
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH on FINANCIALS
Owned:
Yes
Showing 1 to 60 of 828 entries
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1 Comment

mylund

December 19th 2013 at 12:44pm

Who would be railing their crude in North America?


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