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Crescent Point Energy Corp Stock Symbol: CPG-T

Last Price Recorded: $19.1200 on 2015-07-29

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Date Signal Expert Opinion Price
2015-07-29 COMMENT Michael Sprung

Has always been a very well-managed company. For many years, although they didn’t earn it, it was largely supported by the DRIP program. As production and cash flow grew, they were able to cover that. They have run a very effective hedging program. Have 58% of their output hedged at around $88, and 2016 production hedged at around $83. Regarding cash flow, although numbers have come off considerably in the last while, he is still seeing forecasts for the next 2 years of about $4, which allows them to maintain that dividend. Have a lot of very good properties and a lot of potential properties to drill extensively over the next number of years.


Price:
$0.000
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-28 WAIT Jim Huang

Leveraged to the oil price, which has come down to $47. They are pretty much 100% oil. Very good management team and good operators in good oil fields. The issue is with the dividend at around 12%, clearly unsustainable at the current price. He thinks a wise decision would be for them to cut the dividend. Wait for a cut in the dividend before buying.


Price:
$19.120
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
No
2015-07-27 HOLD Bruce Campbell (1)

(Market Call Minute.) Dividend yield is now 14.7%. A Hold and maybe even a Buy at this level. They have hedges on through next year, so would only have to cut the dividend if oil stays at $45 for 18 months.


Price:
$18.750
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-24 COMMENT Jeff Young

Now back to 2008 levels, but it is not alone. A lot of these companies had very strong hedging books going into this year that have seen them come through. When oil had the bounce through the spring, it pushed those hedges out a little bit. It is very difficult to hedge now into 2016. Thinks it’s going to be 2018 before we see a $60 oil price.


Price:
$19.820
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-07-24 WAIT Jaime Carrasco

One of the better players in his portfolio. They will survive. He is waiting to add. Has noticed that inventory levels have started to flatten out in North America. His company has a $40 target and that the dividend is sustainable. However, he is not ready to add yet. Yield of around 14%.


Price:
$19.820
Subject:
RESOURCE, UTILITY & REITs
Bias:
BULLISH on GOLD
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-23 PAST TOP PICK Martin Davies

(Top Pick Jun 25/14, Down 51.92%) The market thinks it should cut its dividend, but they are adamant they don’t have to do that.  13.6% is the dividend.  They have a relatively good balance sheet.  It is a buy here.  It is trading at 2008/09 levels.


Price:
$20.450
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
BULLISH on OIL & GAS
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-22 COMMENT Allan Meyer

One of the better companies. Likes what they are doing. Good strong control. Picking up some of the weaker companies. The trouble is, you have low oil prices. Hopefully their hedges last long enough that they don’t have to start worrying about the current prices of oil. They have been able to hold their dividend in. There is a lot of pressure on oil. He is looking for oil to maintain at around $48. He is not a fan of oil and gas.


Price:
$21.000
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2015-07-21 WATCH Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI

He sold all of his energy stocks last fall, hasn't dabbled back into it yet. It is a really interesting idea. If it could hold the December low, it could be an opportunity for a seasonal trade. Recommends sitting on the sidelines and watching.


 


Price:
$21.830
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-07-21 DON'T BUY Barry Schwartz

He doesn’t like high yielding companies in the commodity sector. It doesn’t make sense. Kudos to the management team for hedging, but aren’t they in the business to sell oil/gas at the highest price possible in the spot market? 12% yield is all you have to know to tell you that it is a dangerous situation.


Price:
$21.830
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2015-07-17 PARTIAL BUY Brendan Caldwell

This has been under a lot of pressure along with all the other energy companies. Recently bought some of their new issue. Their price has been really, really dependent on it paying its dividend. If they cut, the price would come off in a significant way. Having just done a very large equity issue recently, it is unlikely they will have a cut unless oil prices come under much more pressure. Doesn’t think this is a bad bet to nibble at.


Price:
$22.420
Subject:
CANADIAN VALUE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-16 BUY Douglas Kee

Likes the dividend on this, and believes that it is safe. They are making very astute acquisitions and adding onto their core property areas. The balance sheet is still in good shape. Have a good hedging program. Likes this comany longer-term. Dividend yield of 12%.


Price:
$22.800
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-15 COMMENT Bruce Tatters

Exited the majority of his energy exposure about a year ago. You can’t talk about an energy company in Canada without talking about the crude oil price. The US rig count has gone from 1600 down to 650 currently. Even by March it had hit about 825. Even with the massive drop in rig counts, we still haven’t seen production rollover in the US. Expects you have to see it start to rollover before you really ever see a sustained a rally in oil. Be patient and let some more time pass. Keep an eye on the weekly EIA report for production, and watch for an actual decline in production.


Price:
$23.100
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-07-15 BUY Don Lato

One of the energy names that you can step into. He doesn’t know when the turn is coming in the price of oil, so you have to be very careful if you are going to be in the sector. Stick to high-quality names like this. The yield is very attractive. Even if they have to shave it a little bit, it is not going to be the end of the world.


Price:
$23.100
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
No
2015-07-14 HOLD Christine Poole

Over 90% of their production is crude oil, and the collapse in oil prices has not helped. A very strong balance sheet. Yielding 12%, which she thinks is safe because they have a very strong hedging program in place. They are notorious for issuing equity. They bought Legacy, which is a good transaction as it consolidates their land base in Saskatchewan. On top of that they issued another 23 million shares at $28.50 and the market questions why they did that issue when they are paying for Legacy transaction in stock. Just did another all stock acquisition. Thinks the selloff has been a bit overdone. There is probably more volatility coming, but over the long-term crude has to be higher than here over the next year or 2.


Price:
$26.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BEARISH on OIL
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-13 COMMENT Rick Stuchberry

He owns this for yield. The company is doing all the right things, but the difficulty is that the oil price is going in the wrong direction. They are buying assets at a great price. Great balance sheet. Doesn’t think there is much they can do until energy prices stabilize. Management has stated that they have no intention of cutting the 12% dividend yield.


Price:
$26.070
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE & ADRs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-13 COMMENT John O'Connell, CFA

From a macro perspective, oil and gas stocks are really trading very, very light right now. This one is suffering from 2 things. First they did a transaction to take over Legacy. It was a smart transaction and helps them consolidate their complete control over the Saskatchewan assets, which are good ones. They financed it through a share exchange ratio, and there have been some risk arbitrage trades, which are putting additional pressure on the company. On top of that they once again issued equity at higher numbers to finance a previous transaction. Have been quite acquisitive recently, which is not a bad thing. The problem is that they are always buying assets and issuing equity. This is very, very dilutive. He is not a big fan although he thinks the dividend is sustainable.


Price:
$26.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-07-10 COMMENT John Stephenson

This is probably been the best run oil/gas company. 90% oil. Overall, the prospects are very good. Like every energy company it is going to be affected by oil prices. In terms of balance sheet strength and location of the properties, it is a very strong company. Overall, he likes the name, but he is bearish on the industry. He doesn’t see any risk on the 11.5% dividend.


Price:
$26.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & RESOURCE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2015-07-10 WAIT Kash Pashootan

Quite bearish on energy because he thinks there is still more time for the dust to settle. This is one of the higher-quality names. Have hedged their bets, so haven’t been as affected as some of the others. That is not going to last forever. Also, have a large dividend with a yield of about 10.5%, which is a pretty big burden. What is positive is that this is a time when they can leverage their balance sheet.


Price:
$26.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDENDS
Bias:
DEFENSIVE
Owned:
No
2015-07-09 DON'T BUY David Burrows

This group is under pressure. A lot of people bought energy over the last several months thinking it is cheap and that oil prices have to move higher. His contention is that with lots of capital available and new technology that is very efficient at finding new energy, it is likely that the price deck is going to stay low for quite some time. Hedge funds, in particular, went double weight this year, and in the last few weeks, have been throwing in the towel. In this company, the risk is that we are trading virtually on the lows and a lot of people owned this for the dividends. If for some reason the company decides they are going to need to cut the dividend, there are a lot of people that are going to sell their stock.


Price:
$26.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULL on US EQUITIES
Owned:
No
2015-07-07 TOP PICK John Zechner

He is warming up more to the large oil companies, but he wouldn’t call himself a bull on oil. Thinks OPEC is going to draw more of a line in the sand on defending a $60-$70 oil price. That gives him comfort that we are not heading to $30-$40 oil. They hedged forward all this year’s  production at better than $80 a barrel and are now using their balance sheet to make accretive acquisitions. They are buying some of the depressed, distressed juniors. Dividend yield of 10.59%.


Price:
$26.070
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
Yes
2015-07-06 DON'T BUY Norman Levine

He used to own it but no longer does.  The dividend looked safe because of hedging.  But he sold because they can’t continue to hedge out at a price like that. He wonders about the long term safety of the dividend.  They have been making a lot of acquisitions to grow and they kept issuing stock that diluted the stock. They are starting to do that again.


Price:
$25.810
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
No
2015-07-03 COMMENT Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI

Hasn’t owned this for about 4 years. Wasn’t a big fan of all the deals they kept doing. He knows there have been some good trading opportunities in this, but he is generally not a big fan of the space. Probably a pretty good value play down here, but he has other things working and has no room in the portfolio for it.


Price:
$25.630
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
No
2015-06-29 BUY on WEAKNESS Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA

The December low is going to hold.  He wants to be accumulating for the next 10 percent lower.  Beyond the noise of today, this is a buying opportunity for today.


Price:
$25.500
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-06-23 WEAK BUY Paul Taylor

It is a very credible management team. Energy may not be where you want to fish right now, but this one is good if your outlook is 3 to 5 years.  This will be one of those survivors in the energy patch.


Price:
$27.280
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
BEARISH on CANADIAN MARKET
Owned:
Unknown
2015-06-22 BUY Michele Robitaille

High dividend yield.  There is a concern in the marketplace about the sustainability of the dividend, although she is comfortable with it.  If oil stayed here or went lower then she would reconsider the dividend sustainability.  She is cautious about stepping into oil plays in a big way, however.


Price:
$26.690
Subject:
HIGH YIELD EQUITIES & REITS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-06-22 PAST TOP PICK Peter Brieger

(Top Pick May 20/14, Down 34.64%)  He is down because of the oil mess.  He talked to the company extensively and it is one of the best run companies in the country.  It is going to be a true mid to large cap producer.  They acquire land or companies with land.  They keep on issuing equity to pay for acquisitions.  In the latest deal they picked up 700 wells that are conducive to water flood with recover rates of 15-25%.  Despite all the issuance of new shares, you look at the production growth per share and it is positive.


Price:
$26.690
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-06-18 COMMENT Greg Newman

Just issued a lot more equity, which is helping to protect their balance sheet. Paying a real high dividend. Debt to cash flow is pretty high at around 2.5X. There are better ways to be making money than this. If you have it, OK.


Price:
$27.340
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-06-15 BUY Teal Linde

50% of production is hedged over 90%.  As time goes by the hedges roll over and then cash flow will come down.  The 10% yield they can maintain.


Price:
$27.040
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
No
2015-06-12 BUY Swanzy Quarshie

Thinks this one is a Buy in this kind of environment. You do want to be in a company where their capital is essentially going to be safe. This is a call option on higher oil prices. Did an acquisition of Legacy Oil, which is a very good acquisition. It is accretive and right in their backyard. She thinks the market is getting fatigued with their deals.


Price:
$26.960
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC on ENERGY
Owned:
Unknown
2015-06-10 TOP PICK Dennis Da Silva

Acquiring Legacy (LEG-T). They have garnered a reputation for being a serial issuer. In this kind of oil price environment, people probably now appreciate that they issued stock and didn’t leverage up to do a lot of deals they did. Leaves them in a strong position. The 10.08% dividend is safe given the hedging they have in place for this year, and about a 3rd into 2016. The balance sheet is still solid.


Price:
$27.470
Subject:
CANADIAN RESOURCE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-06-10 COMMENT Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI

Had good support of around $35 for a number of years. Currently there is a shorter term support at around $27.50, which it has tested a couple of times. If it doesn’t hold this level, it would probably go to the low it had at the end of December and the low $20s. Dividend yield of around 10%.


Price:
$27.470
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2015-06-09 HOLD Christine Poole

The company did an equity issue to buy Legacy a couple of weeks ago. Got it at a good price and it is going to be a good acquisition for them longer-term. The company has cut capital spending. Have a very good hedging position this year. Dividend yield of 10.2%, and they would rather cut capital spending rather than cut the dividend.


Price:
$27.130
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-06-08 WEAK BUY Eric Nuttall

Raised $600 Million a week or two ago to fund an acquisition, which he likes.  He likes CPG-T.  If we get to $60 oil it could be a $30-$32 stock.  People don’t like the sustainability of the dividend.  They were at 135% payout, but after this acquisition it lowers the payout by about 10 points.  Their dividend should be seen as more sustainable.  He doesn’t see the dividend being cut. 


Price:
$26.490
Subject:
OIL, GAS & SMALL-CAP CANADIAN
Bias:
SELECTIVE
Owned:
Unknown
2015-06-08 COMMENT Michael Sprung

There have been a number of moving parts lately. Just acquired Legacy, which was a big acquisition. In order to do so, they had to raise capital, which increased debt to cash flow to around 3.4 times. Also, increased their payout ratio to over 100%. They are not earning their dividend, so are depending again on their DRIP program. Yield of around 10%, is usually a worrying sign. He is not adding to his position, but is watching it carefully.


Price:
$26.490
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-06-04 COMMENT Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI

Recently did a new issue again. They are very busy, and he applauds them on how busy they are. Their balance sheet is pretty strong and they have the flexibility to maintain that dividend. But they absolutely have to have the oil price recover, and he doesn’t believe that will happen.


Price:
$27.330
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
No
2015-06-03 COMMENT Alex Ruus

On this one, you really have to have an outlook on where you think oil is going. If you are bullish on oil, this is one of the plays to own. A dominant producer in the Bakken in Saskatchewan. Recently acquired Legacy, which had good assets that were complementary to this company’s holdings. He sees oil in the next 6 months as flat to slightly down, but as we go into next year it should start to rise. This would be one of the positions he would be comfortable owning here.


Price:
$28.030
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-06-01 HOLD Peter Hodson

He has always had a problem with them constantly issuing equity.  He would prefer a company that didn’t need to do it.  The Legacy acquisition is okay.  He likes them more now than last year because more of their assets are outside of Alberta.  If the cycle turns, the acquisition will look really good.  Don’t worry about the dividend.


Price:
$28.030
Subject:
CANADIAN SMALL & MIDCAPS
Bias:
BULLISH on SMALL CAPS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-06-01 TOP PICK Bruce Campbell (1)

Acquired Legacy (LEG-T) and had to assume some debt to do some equity. In a sense that is the kiss of death for some people, but this is an accretive acquisition and you didn’t want them to do it for all debt. The equity issue is at $28.50 and the stock is still $.50 underwater. Thinks that at around $28 with a 2.76% dividend, it gives you almost a 10% yield. If it goes back to where it was 2 days before the acquisition, the stock will be up 10 from here and with a 10% dividend, $31 a year from now gives you a 20% return. Yield of 9.85%.


Price:
$28.030
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-05-27 COMMENT Bill Bonner

The behaviour in the market today would suggest that the financing they did didn’t go as smoothly as what they had hoped. Just acquired Legacy (LEG-T), which was a name that he liked once. As time marched on, their balance sheet just overcame all the upside. Crescent Point is getting some outstanding assets. This is one of the best Saskatchewan operators, but he prefers others.


Price:
$28.190
Subject:
CANADIAN ENERGY
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2015-05-26 COMMENT Norman Levine

This is a serial acquirer and issuer of shares. This works great for investment bankers, but not as great for shareholders over time. They have had a tendency of buying in areas that are contiguous where they already have operations. He liked them when they were not buying and issuing shares. Recently sold his holdings.


Price:
$29.820
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2015-05-19 DON'T BUY Brian Acker, CA

His model price is $5.62. They are paying out $2.76. Earnings for 2015 is a negative $0.10 and a negative $0.09 for 2016. Yield is 9.41%.


Price:
$28.750
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH on US$
Owned:
Unknown
2015-05-14 HOLD Allan Meyer

One of the best managed companies out there.  They do a recycle ratio that is very good (money put into the ground and oil coming back out).  He likes it and has a bit in some accounts.


Price:
$29.430
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-05-13 COMMENT Michael Decter

This is his largest energy holding. The CEO is one of the strongest entrepreneurs in the energy patch. A lot of the assets they have include a lot of production in Saskatchewan, which hasn’t had a change in government. Also, in Utah and North Dakota. This is a very good company to be in. The dividend is sustainable.


Price:
$29.620
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-05-12 COMMENT David Baskin

Have terrific properties in Western Canada. Produce very high quality crude and are a fairly low cost producer. Like everybody else in the energy field, they are a price taker. They don’t get to determine what the price for their commodity is going to be. His vision is that we are going to see energy prices drop fairly sharply from their current level. Because of this, he is not buying any energy companies at the moment and doesn’t own any.


Price:
$29.300
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2015-05-11 TOP PICK Ryan Bushell

(Top Pick Jun 5/14, Down 27.26%) It has held up okay considering the sector.  They did not cut the dividend in 2008 and aren’t considering cutting it now.  They are run very conservatively.  They are a low cost producer.  They have a deep asset inventory.  Only 6% of production is in Alberta.  9.18% dividend.


Price:
$29.880
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE (DIVIDENDS)
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-05-06 BUY John Stephenson

A great company. When you look at the oil/gas space, this is a company that has rarely if ever missed their earnings or their production. They also have some of the best assets around. This is a good time to be adding to this name.


Price:
$30.740
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & RESOURCE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-04-29 COMMENT Bruce Tatters

Energy stocks have had a terrific run recently, and we are at the point where a lot of them are anticipating higher energy prices. He is not sure energy prices will move a lot higher from where they are. Would prefer some of the alternative plays that are still at their bottoms such as service plays or sand producers which are still at their lows.


Price:
$31.960
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2015-04-28 HOLD Michael Sprung

A very well-managed company. Made some significant acquisitions in land areas that give them potential drilling targets for years to come. He expects them to live beyond the current problems in the industry with a good chance to prosper again. At this level it is a good longer term hold.


Price:
$31.500
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2015-04-27 PAST TOP PICK Peter Brieger

(A Top Pick April 28/14. Up down 22.03%.) He plans on buying when it goes below $30. They have an inventory of about 7500 wells, which will keep them going for quite a while. Most of the wells are eligible for a secondary water flood, which can give the production rate quite a boost. He thinks they will continue to do well and will maintain their dividend.


Price:
$32.000
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Yes
2015-04-23 DON'T BUY Greg Newman

At $50 oil this year, he sees 154% payout ratio for 2015. Debt to cash flow is 2.4% this year and widens to 3.2% next year. Still not bad relative to the group.


Price:
$32.290
Subject:
CANADIAN DIVIDEND
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2015-04-17 COMMENT Norman Levine

Sold his holdings because he was convinced that the price of oil was not going anywhere soon. This one has held up way better and has acted way better than a lot of oil stocks. It has great land positions. Also, management has very prudently hedged about 60% of their production at around $90 a barrel. The dividend is safe under current conditions, but he questions if it is safe next year if oil prices stay at a low level.


Price:
$32.380
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
No
2015-04-16 COMMENT Kash Pashootan

He has been negative on energy for a while. The only “close to oil/gas” name he owns would be Enbridge (ENB-T). The dividend on this is safe for now, i.e. over the next 6 months. Anything longer than that is really a wildcard. You don’t want to bet the farm on the fact that they are hedged and that the dividend won’t go down.


Price:
$32.370
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDENDS
Bias:
BEARISH
Owned:
No
2015-04-14 HOLD Christine Poole

High quality light crude out of Western Canada. Like all energy companies, they have cut their CapX by 28%, but have maintained their dividend. Yielding around 9%. Have a very strong hedge program in place. She doesn’t think they will cut their dividend unless crude stays down here for a prolonged period of time.


Price:
$31.460
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-04-10 PAST TOP PICK David Cockfield

(A Top Pick April 8/14. Down 18.99%.) He still likes this and has added to his position at lower prices. It has been working its way back up. In the Bakken, one of the better areas. Expects they will make some acquisitions that will be very advantageous to them. Feels the dividend is relatively safe.


Price:
$30.760
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-04-06 WAIT Josef Schachter

Great company. Has a very attractive yield of $.23-$.76 for the year. Stock is trading at $30.80. The low for the stock in December, when people were worried about them cutting their dividend, was $20.87. Balance sheet is in good shape. BV is around $23. Have a good hedging program. They are talking this year of spending $1.45 billion and having average production of 150- 2,500 BOE’s a day and paying that $2.76 dividend. You may want to hold your powder dry for the next 3 months.


Price:
$30.800
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2015-04-02 COMMENT Mason Granger

Financial leverage is about 1.8X debt to cash flow, which is very reasonable. The sustainability ratio, when you account for the dividend reinvestment program, is about 112%. They have a very disciplined three-year rolling hedging program. In 2015 they were about 45% hedged on their oil. In 2016, they’re something like 30%. All of the things are in place to keep it a very stable and sustainable dividend.


Price:
$29.840
Subject:
CANADIAN ENERGY
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-30 BUY Martin Davies

It is a great strategy.  It started with buying existing oil fields with a very low recovery process.  They are producing at very good levels and the assets have a low decline rate.  This is a big advantage.  They have been very prudent with acquisitions.  They have a very strong hedging book.  65% of this year’s oil is sold forward at over $80 a barrel.


Price:
$28.760
Subject:
CANADIAN OIL & GAS
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-30 PAST TOP PICK Martin Davies

(Top Pick Jun 25/14, Down 36.76%) They are going out of their south east and south west Alberta asset base.  They are now in Utah.  They can take the technology from one area and apply it to another. 


Price:
$28.760
Subject:
CANADIAN OIL & GAS
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2015-03-23 WAIT John Stephenson

This is a name people love to hate.  They are in the right part of the energy chain.  The commodity is under pressure so wait until September or late August to get in.


Price:
$29.110
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & RESOURCE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2015-03-23 DON'T BUY Brooke Thackray

Stock vs. Stock.  CVE-T vs. CPG-T. He can’t call the bottom.  CPG-T has hedged a lot of its production for this year.  The pattern in the end is the same for both but if he had to choose one it would be CPG-T.


Price:
$29.110
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
Showing 1 to 60 of 877 entries
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1 Comment

mylund

December 19th 2013 at 12:44pm

Who would be railing their crude in North America?


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