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Crescent Point Energy Corp Stock Symbol: CPG-T

Last Price Recorded: $22.3000 on 2016-05-27

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Date Signal Expert Opinion Price
2016-05-27 BUY on WEAKNESS Eric Nuttall

Loves the stock at $12-$19, but at $22 it is fairly valued. Management team has been great. Trading at 8X on $60 oil, and he struggles figuring out how he gets rich at this level. With the meteoric rise in the shares, it is possible that over the summer there would be a 5%-10% correction.


Price:
$22.300
Subject:
CANADIAN SMALL & MIDCAPS
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC on OIL
Owned:
Unknown
2016-05-18 COMMENT Steve Belisle

He likes this company. They have been executing well recently. The issue he had with them in the past is that they lacked discipline on the acquisition side. He is still a bit concerned about this.


Price:
$21.830
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDENDS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-05-16 PAST TOP PICK John Zechner

(Top Pick Jul 7/15, Down 9.93%) Oil prices were where they are now.  He added more to the position at the low and then got out recently.  Some hedges rolled off so that is why it is down now.


Price:
$21.770
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BEARISH on ENERGY
Owned:
No
2016-05-16 BUY Swanzy Quarshie

If looking to increase your oil exposure, this is a name to go to. Feels they are doing all the right things. It had a bit of a challenge coming into this downturn, because their dividend was too high. They got rid of their DRIP plan which was a good thing, and are living within their means right now. The water flooding is doing very well, so they have to spend less capital to keep the production flat.


Price:
$21.770
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-05-09 COMMENT Peter Brieger

Encana (ECA-T) or Crescent Point Energy (CPG-T)? Wants to sell one to buy the other. He would sell Encana. Thinks this company’s management’s head and shoulders above anyone else in the oil patch.


Price:
$19.530
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2016-05-05 PAST TOP PICK Brooke Thackray

(Top Pick Feb 29/16, Up 22.57%) Feb 25th until May 9th is the seasonal period of strength.  We are up just past support here.  But now is not the time to be in energy.  He exited.


Price:
$20.200
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
No
2016-05-04 BUY Michael Simpson, CFA

Primarily a light oil producer, about 89% oil focused. Have assets in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Utah. Has gone through a difficult period during the last 12 months. Cut their dividend twice and slashed their capital budget. He was adding in the $16-$17 range. Would be adding on down days like today.


Price:
$19.320
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDENDS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2016-05-03 COMMENT John O'Connell, CFA

Has pooh-poohed this one for about 4-5 years and got lots of hate mail for that. Hadn’t liked the business model of buying companies, raising the dividend, and then raising money to pay for it. They’ve now changed their model. Cut their dividend down to a sustainable level. Have lots of inventory and don’t need to buy any more. Large institutional investors are looking for a well-run company. This is it, and he thinks you will continue to see a massive flow of large capital going into this.


Price:
$19.660
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-28 BUY Bruce Campbell (1)

He really likes this. There was a CAP conference in Toronto 2 weeks ago, where management gave an excellent presentation. They are doing all the right things. They are in Utah and Saskatchewan, not Alberta too much. Good growth. Cut the dividend down to where, even at strip pricing in the $30s, they would be profitable and generate some free cash flow. Thinks it goes to $24-$25 if oil goes sideways, and higher than that if oil goes higher.


Price:
$21.420
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-25 BUY James Rife

It has transitioned from a high payout stock and found religion in managing their dividend.  Investors are very interested in this one.  It was punished.  This is kind of a goto name for oil beta.  If you believe in the energy rally this is posed to outperform the XEG-T ETF.


Price:
$21.120
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-22 COMMENT Josef Schachter

Probability of foreign entities taking out a major producer like this? Thinks this is probably a good idea, but these are the kinds of things that are not going to happen very quickly. This company has done a great job on their hedge book, and still have $1 billion of hedges. BV is $22.05. Any time a stock gets close to BV, it’s a cheap story, and any time you see this trading below BV he thinks it is a great buy. This company is very astute.


Price:
$21.900
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
BEARISH on ENERGY
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-19 WEAK BUY David Burrows

Of the key themes in this market is something called beta. Resources and basic materials have been part of that. This stock is really, so far, a retracement of some of the losses over the last 2 years. When you have a bust, things may go down 65%-70%, which oil did, and will very often have as much is a 50% bounce off the bottom, as people go looking for the money they lost on the way down. You have to go through a long period of restructuring in the industry before you ever get a sustainable rally. This company built its business on growth, making acquisitions and growing their production, but they don’t have a balance sheet to make those kinds of accretive acquisitions today, so it is going to be difficult. You’re not going to get hurt too badly right, but he would prefer longer-term to look at a different sector.


Price:
$21.080
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-11 PARTIAL BUY James Telfser

(Market Call Minute.) Would rate this as a half-buy given his views on energy and their great long-life assets.


Price:
$18.410
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Unknown
2016-04-07 TOP PICK Eric Nuttall

Don’t think about it as a dividend payer.  They are more interested in institutional money.  As oil appreciates they can grow faster than consensus would say.  Money will come out of companies like SU-T and much of it will go into this company.


Price:
$17.530
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
BULLISH on OIL
Owned:
Yes
2016-04-05 COMMENT Zachary Curry

This is on his list. The reduction in their dividend was a really meaningful step. In effect management is saying that they cannot pay this out anymore. This could be one of the better names coming out of this environment. Have great assets. Also, have not borrowed as heavily as other companies. He would be a buyer at the right price.


Price:
$17.100
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
DEFENSIVE
Owned:
No
2016-03-28 HOLD Michael Sprung

He owns a little.  They finally reduced their dividend to a much more manageable level.  It shows management can act prudently.  This one still looks a little expensive at these levels.  They are a well managed company.


Price:
$17.820
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2016-03-21 TOP PICK Robert Lauzon

They are making money here and just slashed their dividend.  They can make acquisitions without issuing equity now.  He thinks they will acquire to increase earnings per share. 


Price:
$18.590
Subject:
ENERGY & INFRASTRUCTURE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2016-03-15 BUY Bruce Campbell (1)

(Market Call Minute.) This is his only oil holding, and he would be a buyer under $18.


Price:
$17.890
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC
Owned:
Yes
2016-03-14 HOLD Teal Linde

Don’t sell it.  Don’t buy more.  The problem is that the production was 176k barrels last year and they expect to do 165k this year.  They reduced their dividend to 2%.  Their valuation is lower than their peers.  He would slightly underweight this stock in a portfolio.


Price:
$17.910
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
SELECTIVE
Owned:
Unknown
2016-03-11 COMMENT Bill Harris, CFA

These are cyclical stocks, so to buy something at the bottom really looks bad. When oil went below $30, no company in Canada was making money. If paying a dividend when you don’t make money and you don’t know how long it is going to be, no company should be paying a dividend. He likes this company, and if he gets his stars to line up correctly, he is probably going to own this again. The best company with oil leverage to get out of this situation.


Price:
$18.340
Subject:
RESOURCE
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2016-03-10 HOLD Christine Poole

They are being prudent.  They cut back their cap X program as well as the dividend.  35% of this year’s production is hedged at $80.  They can still grow production and it is encouraging.  It speaks to their inventory of land.  There is still a bit of a yield.  It is a call on crude oil at this point.


Price:
$17.490
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE
Bias:
BULLISH on US ECONOMY
Owned:
Unknown
2016-03-09 COMMENT Fabrice Taylor

This is one of those “go to” names when people want to get back into oil. Had a nice bounce from its low. His guess is that we are close to the bottom in oil. Would prefer buying an ETF, a safer way to play oil.


Price:
$17.350
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2016-02-29 COMMENT Ryan Bushell

Hedges – when do they start to disappear?  They have 30% of their oil hedged over $85/barrel for the remainder of the year.  The next two years have about 10% hedged north of $80 and then it is nominal. 


Price:
$16.490
Subject:
CANADIAN LARGE (DIVIDENDS)
Bias:
SELECTIVE
Owned:
Yes
2016-02-29 TOP PICK Brooke Thackray

This company has 33% of their book hedged out at $83 for 2016, so it has some time. Looking at demand going up in oil and supplies slowly coming down, at some point there is going to be some support. They are managing their balance sheet quite well.


Price:
$16.490
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2016-02-23 HOLD Eric Nuttall

This could be $20 by year-end. If you were to own one oil name, it would be this. It gives you the combination of very high quality assets, modest debt, good hedge position and high netback light oil. Has been out of favour and is now in favour in large institutions. They may cut their dividend by 20%-30% again in the next couple of months. If they do, he thinks the stock will actually go up.


Price:
$16.010
Subject:
ENERGY & SMALL CAP EQUITIES
Bias:
BULLISH on OIL
Owned:
Yes
2016-02-23 COMMENT James Telfser

This company always issued equity to pay for their dividend and fund some growth. If there is an energy rebound, a company like this should do well. They have decent long life assets to support dividend growth going down the road. He is cautious on energy stocks, and would be cautious on this.


Price:
$16.010
Subject:
CANADIAN
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
No
2016-02-12 COMMENT Jason Mann

Definitely a “go to” name for the Canadian retail space, but would not be his 1st pick for energy. You can get companies cheaper that have better price momentum. Pays a good yield, but that alone is not a good reason to own energy stocks. Reasonably valued, kind of the middle of the pack, but high volatility, negative ROE’s and they don’t make money yet at these oil prices. Would prefer something like Raging River (RRX-T) or Granite Oil (GXO-T). Has a small Short on this. (See Top Picks.)


Price:
$14.430
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Yes
2016-02-11 COMMENT Paul Harris, CFA

Much more levered to oil prices than a lot of other companies, so if oil goes up you are going to get a bigger return. He would stick with companies that are more integrated like Suncor (SU-T) that has good balance sheet. Thinks oil will be touching the lower end of the range between $20 and $30 as opposed to going up.


Price:
$13.660
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN/GLOBAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2016-02-10 TOP PICK Swanzy Quarshie

She picked this, not only because she thinks oil prices are going to go up, but the business has not been impaired like others in this environment. You want to be exposed to a company that is not going to fall apart, but also has an upside opportunity. Operationally things are going great for them. Decline rates in production are slowly coming down, which means they have to spend less capital. Dividend yield of 8.66%, but wouldn’t be surprised if they cut this again.


Price:
$13.660
Subject:
OIL & GAS
Bias:
OPTIMISTIC on OIL
Owned:
Yes
2016-02-05 DON'T BUY Allan Meyer

They had said their dividend was safe, and then followed that by cutting it. Based on where we are with current oil prices, they may have to cut the dividend again. At these levels they are barely covering their cash costs, and are not able to spend enough money on maintaining their production to capital expenditures.


Price:
$15.150
Subject:
CANADIAN & ETF's
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
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1 Comment

mylund

December 19th 2013 at 12:44pm

Who would be railing their crude in North America?


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