List by Company Name |
List by Symbol |
Notes:Oil Sands. Oil weighted
| Date | Signal | Expert | Opinion | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-22 | BUY | John Wilson |
Tremendously long lifed. Going out 3 years you could own this stock if you don’t worry month to month. Returns a lot of cash to shareholders. Ultimately he thinks Keystone will get approved but it will take longer than people think. 2.4% yield. Should increase dividend every year and maybe throw in a big buyback. If oil goes up you get good leverage to that. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.500 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: SELECTIVE Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-05-17 | STRONG BUY | Norman Levine |
Depends on the price of oil, and the differential between what they are producing in the oil sands and what West Texas Intermediary does. Likes Suncor thinks it's very cheap here. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.920 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: UNKNOWN Owned: Yes |
| 2013-05-15 | BUY | Todd Johnson |
Has been a big disappointment in terms of it's production growth. A recently cancelled voyager upgrade project wasn't really a surprise. Not the company it was 3 or 4 years ago. Valuation is attractive, which is why they continue to hold it. New CEO is expected to increase the dividend. Recently positive on Suncor. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.220 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH Owned: Yes |
| 2013-05-10 | DON'T BUY | Bill Harris, CFA |
It is just not that cheap (on operating costs). He owns CVE-T. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.040 Subject: RESOURCE Bias: DEFENSIVE Owned: No |
| 2013-05-06 | BUY | Ben Cheng |
Integrateds are moving to a model that looks more like an income trust. They are going to focus on returning cash to shareholders. He thinks this is a good thing. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.810 Subject: REITS, INCOME STOCKS & HIGH YIELD BONDS Bias: OPTIMISTIC on US ECONOMY Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-05-02 | HOLD | Rick Stuchberry |
They just raised the dividend recently. Horizontal drilling technology is as important to energy as the micro chip was to electronics. SU will be in a trading range for some time. With a 4% yield you can sit and wait. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.820 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE & iNTERNATIONAL ADR's Bias: SELECTIVE Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-04-30 | TOP PICK | Martin Davies |
Had a joint venture with Total (TOT-N) and both companies decided that the new upgrader was not going to go ahead and it looks like that was the right decision. Recently restated good oil sands production growth of over 4%. Also, just announced an increase in their quarterly dividend. Yield of 2.58%. Sees it at over $40 in 12 months. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.410 Subject: CANADIAN ENERGY Bias: BULLISH on ENERGY Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-29 | COMMENT | John Wilson |
Great reserve life. Huge oil sands assets. If you are a long-term investor, this is certainly one of the highest quality franchises to play the Canadian energy patch with. They had an asset sale recently which created some chatter that could result in a dividend increase. Tweet finance |
Price: $29.640 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: No |
| 2013-04-26 | BUY | Jaime Carrasco |
Has this as an “outperform” with a $43 target on it. Probably a good entry point at this time. 1.8% dividend yield. Tweet finance |
Price: $29.280 Subject: ENERGY, MATERIALS, UTILITIES & REITS Bias: BULLISH on GOLD Owned: No |
| 2013-04-25 | BUY | Paul Harris, CFA |
He sold it when they acquired Petro Canada. They sold off an asset just recently and people knocked the stock down because of that. He thinks, though, that they are doing a good job of capital discipline. They have probably rationalized a lot of the Petro Can assets. At these levels it is worth buying here. Tweet finance |
Price: $29.590 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & GLOBAL EQUITIES Bias: SELECTIVE Owned: No |
| 2013-04-23 | COMMENT | Nick Majendie |
This needs the energy sector to come back in favour a bit. The catalyst for this could be the resolution of some of their transportation difficulties. Has good growth prospects, zeroing in on profitable growth as opposed to production growth. If you can be patient, you can make a lot of money if you hold it over the next 3 years. Tweet finance |
Price: $28.860 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: No |
| 2013-04-19 | DON'T BUY | David Cockfield |
Spread differential has narrowed from $25 down to $12-$13. Unfortunately, at the same time, WTI has gone down. The lower Cdn$ has also helped. He is more positive on the Alberta oil situation than he was a few months ago. He has virtually eliminated all of his integrateds. Tweet finance |
Price: $28.130 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2013-04-16 | DON'T BUY | Colin Stewart |
Like many other large Canadian oil/gas companies has suffered from weaker differentials, concerns over costs in the oil sands, general concern that oil prices are going to go lower. With a huge change in technology that we have seen in the oil/gas business, all of the previous assumptions about supply and resources available in North America and the issue of Peak Oil is being at bit debunked by the new technology. Tweet finance |
Price: $28.410 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE (LONG/SHORT STRATEGIES) Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2013-04-15 | BUY | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA |
Oil. Historically Oil and Nat Gas have been liked but have recently diversified. When they get the LNG thing and we can transport gas, it is a local thing so the price will stay there for a couple of years. $85 is big support for oil and we will see it tested in the next couple of weeks. Local integrated oil SU-T is attractive now and he picked some up. Tweet finance |
Price: $27.500 Subject: N/A Bias: UNKNOWN Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-12 | BUY | James Telfser |
Great assets. Likes that they did not proceed with Voyager, which makes more room for dividend increases. They were already generating a ton of free cash flow so they have room for dividend increases. With all the political issues, there is a lot of overhang on the shares. Next quarter is going to be a good indicator for him. Wildly cheap so once some of the negative sentiment gets removed, it will have room to run. Tweet finance |
Price: $28.820 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-10 | TOP PICK | Greg Newman |
Stock has been very, very weak. Trading at a significant discount (20%-30%) to his estimated NAV. He is buying this for a valuation call. Expects to see dividends increase at the annual general meeting on April 30. The real big thing would be a favourable Keystone outcome. Yield of 1.72%. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.120 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND & DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-09 | HOLD | Christine Poole |
(Market Call Minute.) Good oil sands operator and as differentials start to narrow it will give good leverage to higher prices.. Tweet finance |
Price: $29.840 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2013-04-08 | PAST TOP PICK | Michael Giordano |
(A Top Pick May 17/12. Up 6.88%.) Continue to perform well and produce over 550,000 barrels per day. Have capital discipline in that they shut down their Voyager program. 95% of their production is priced out of Brent pricing. Dividend of about 1.8% and there is room to grow that. Tweet finance |
Price: $28.940 Subject: RESOURCE Bias: SELECTIVE Owned: Yes |
| 2013-04-05 | DON'T BUY | Keith Richards |
All these oil stocks are struggling right now. The seasonal guys will tell you it should do well this time of year. SU broke some pretty important support and next level is mid-$20s. Tweet finance |
Price: $29.260 Subject: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bias: DEFENSIVE Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-03-28 | BUY | Paul Harris, CFA |
Slide over to a pipeline or going to an energy company that has a little more performance? Pipeline company is a great asset to own but they have run up a lot so if you make the switch, you are buying a much higher valued stock. Feels that oil is going up and that the differential in Canada is correcting. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.440 Subject: GLOBAL Bias: BULLISH Owned: No |
| 2013-03-27 | DON'T BUY | Don Lato |
Risk/reward isn’t bad. Wouldn’t be his 1st choice in oil companies. Had more bad news today where they announced another write-off on Voyager. Still too many headwinds. The differential is not acting in their favour. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.400 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2013-03-22 | DON'T BUY | Jaime Carrasco |
Should they sell their holdings and move to a US oil or get out of the sector altogether? He wouldn’t get out of the sector altogether. Yield is low. Big company so no one is going to take it over. There won’t be much internal growth out of this. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.970 Subject: ENERGY, MATERIALS, UTILITIES & REITS Bias: BULLISH on GOLD Owned: No |
| 2013-03-22 | COMMENT | Veronika Hirsch |
We don’t have enough capacity in Canada to ship our oil and gas. We are stranded and getting discounted which is reflected in this company. Foreigners have no interest in buying our oil companies. We will get there, but it is going to take 3 to 5 years before there is sufficient capacity to get the oil and gas out. She would prefer owning the pipeline companies and infrastructure as we continue to solve the issues. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.970 Subject: CANADIAN & ALTERNATIVE Bias: DEFENSIVE Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-03-21 | HOLD | Michael Decter |
We are getting half the world price for oil. There is a lot of activity under way. Be patient for another 12 months. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.910 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-03-19 | TOP PICK | Michael Sprung |
The dominant oil company in Canada fully integrated. Doing fine in refining spreads. They are dominant in oil sands and retail distribution. Looking forward, under 5 times cash flow, under 10 times earnings, you could see pretty good appreciation. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.010 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: Yes |
| 2013-03-18 | COMMENT | Peter Brieger |
Well-run company. Current disenchantment is over the Voyager upgrader and that looks like it may well be scrapped along with a fair bit of change. This is on his potential Buy list Tweet finance |
Price: $31.080 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2013-03-12 | DON'T BUY | David Burrows |
There is a big discount on oil and operational costs are high. Because of this, a lot of investors would prefer to own the infrastructure companies rather than the producers. Trading below the 200 day moving average. We are in a strong market and the energy patch does not appear to be the place to focus. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.640 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: BULLISH on US MARKET Owned: No |
| 2013-03-11 | DON'T BUY | Ryan Bushell |
(Market Call Minute) Better returns in other players. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.580 Subject: CANADIAN DIVIDEND Bias: BULLISH on DIVIDEND STOCKS Owned: No |
| 2013-03-11 | BUY | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA |
If Suncor announced sale of interest in the Voyager project to Total, it might have a slight short term impact but the price of oil would be a bigger factor. He is a buyer below $30 and a seller at $34 Tweet finance |
Price: $31.580 Subject: N/A Bias: CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-03-08 | BUY | James Telfser |
One of the few names in the energy space that he is relatively constructive on. Like management’s tone recently. Will likely increase their dividends. Willing to cut off some of their big projects that they’ve done, so Cap X spending is going to come down. Generates an incredible amount of free cash flow. Trading at very big discounts to their NAV. Right time to accumulate for long term investors. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.450 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: SELECTIVE Owned: Yes |
| 2013-03-07 | PAST TOP PICK | Jim Huang |
(A Top Pick March 1/12. Down 10.44%.) Continues to like the fundamentals. Shorter-term they are facing the impact of widening oil differentials in Alberta. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.450 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-03-04 | PAST TOP PICK | John Stephenson |
(A Top Pick Feb 13/12. Down 6.95%.) Sold his holdings in November because of concerns on the US fiscal cliff debate. Starting to wade back into this little bit. Really cheap. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.610 Subject: RESOURCE Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: Yes |
| 2013-02-26 | BUY | Barry Schwartz |
Valuation looks attractive. Going to have cash flow per share of about $6 a share as long as oil stays in the $90 range. Going to grow its production. Cutting the cord on some high cost production. 1.7% yield. Hoping there will be an increase in dividends. Tweet finance |
Price: $30.920 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: BULLISH Owned: Yes |
| 2013-02-25 | COMMENT | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA |
He trades for clients. Likes below $30 and sells above mid $30s. Does not see that changing. Doesn’t think keystone gets done until 2015. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.370 Subject: N/A Bias: UNKNOWN Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-02-25 | PAST TOP PICK | Chyanne Fickes |
(Top Pick Jul 6/12, Up 10.95% Total Return) Tweet finance |
Price: $31.370 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: Yes |
| 2013-02-22 | DON'T BUY | Jaime Carrasco |
Being in Canada, he only bothers with those that can grow their production. Can’t see the government allowing it to being a takeover target. He would be a little bit cautious with this one. Still owns a little bit. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.950 Subject: RESOURCE Bias: BULLISH on GOLD Owned: Yes |
| 2013-02-15 | DON'T BUY | Keith Richards |
Looks like a lot of energy stocks. Nice run in latter 2012 and now we have a lid. Finding support in the $31 area. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.750 Subject: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bias: BEARISH Owned: No |
| 2013-02-15 | PAST TOP PICK | Brian Acker, CA |
(A Top Pick Feb 9/12. Down 6.57%.) There is far too much value to give up on this one. He has a model price of almost $60, and 86% upside. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.750 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: BULLISH Owned: Yes |
| 2013-02-11 | HOLD | Eric Nuttall |
Missed on the last quarter because of 1) sued for $1.2 billion on a derivative contract and 2) main upgrader was down for a while. People should be focusing on the amount of free cash flow the company will be spinning off. Generating $2 billion of free cash flow both this year and next. Could be debt free in 2 years but expect they will probably meaningfully increase the dividend. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.350 Subject: OIL & GAS Bias: CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-02-08 | DON'T BUY | Rick Stuchberry |
Canadian oil is locked in place and can’t get to world markets. Great company on an asset basis. He is lighter weighted than he was in energy and is not looking to put more money into the sector. If he was he would have to be a high-yielding one. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.300 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE & iNTERNATIONAL ADR's Bias: BULL on GLOBAL GROWTH Owned: No |
| 2013-02-06 | BUY | Michael Sprung |
Stock pulled back because the earnings they just announced did not meet expectations. The primary thing they did though was to take a huge write-down in respect to their Voyager program. This shouldn’t have taken the market by surprise. Bulletproof balance sheet and some excellent prospects for future development production growth. Margins were probably a little thinner than people were hoping but lately, margins have been very robust. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.530 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-02-01 | PAST TOP PICK | John Zechner |
(A Top Pick Dec 28/11. Up 22.41%.) Still likes. Growing its production well and delivering on profitability. Benefiting from the crack spreads. Tweet finance |
Price: $34.420 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: BULLISH Owned: Yes |
| 2013-01-30 | COMMENT | Bruce Campbell |
A lot like CVE-T, being integrated and owning Petro Canada, they don’t have the same exposure to the price differential that CNQ-T would. The Pipeline is still a factor. Thinks it will underperform CNQ-T if the differential gets fixed. Tweet finance |
Price: $34.380 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-01-28 | PAST TOP PICK | Brian Acker, CA |
(Top Pick Jan 2/12, Up 1.22%) Model $63.17, 84% positive differential. Owned for years and fits his definition of value. A core position for his portfolio. Tweet finance |
Price: $34.490 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: Yes |
| 2013-01-22 | COMMENT | Peter Brieger |
If Keystone is approved, what effect could this have on this company? Would be positive for a lot of companies. There is a story around that capacity of the shipments to the refineries in the gulf are short by 1 million barrels a day. If heavy crude comes down from Canada, there is an opportunity to replace some of the Mexican and Venezuelan heavy oil. There is potential demand for 3-3.5 million barrels a day. There is also some demand coming for shipping oil from the West to the East, which will play well for this company. If he were going back into the oil sands, he would have a very hard look at this one. Tweet finance |
Price: $34.160 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: BULLISH Owned: No |
| 2013-01-21 | COMMENT | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA |
It won’t spike up to 45 any time soon as in the early part of 2011. If you see 35, it is at the upper end of its trading range. Tweet finance |
Price: $33.800 Subject: N/A Bias: UNKNOWN Owned: Unknown |
| 2013-01-17 | WEAK BUY | Don Lato |
It is not going to take off. He has a muted outlook on oil itself. Because of problems in Canadian resource sector last year it didn’t do well but this year you can look for a better year. Brought more production on line. A good solid return but it won’t take off. Tweet finance |
Price: $33.980 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-01-15 | PAST TOP PICK | John Stephenson |
(A Top Pick Feb 13/12. Up 1.51%.) Sold his holdings in November but has gotten back in. His view on the Western Canadian select differential from WTI has blown out and this is now an enormous discount of about 45%. He sees the differential closing which will be a huge benefit to this company. Tweet finance |
Price: $33.920 Subject: RESOURCE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Yes |
| 2013-01-09 | TOP PICK | Eric Nuttall |
Thinks they will be increasing their 1.6% dividend in the next couple of months by about 50%. Would generate about $2 billion of free cash flow this year while growing production by 10%. Cheapest integrated name globally trading at about 5.5X cash flow with a 30 year reserve life. Protected from 2013 heavy oil differentials. Tweet finance |
Price: $33.270 Subject: OIL & GAS Bias: DEFENSIVE Owned: Yes |
| 2013-01-04 | WATCH | Jon Vialoux |
Looking interesting. Seasonal from end of January to May. SU benefits from this. You are starting to see initial signs of outperformance. It looks like one you want to stick with until end of May. Tweet finance |
Price: $33.580 Subject: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2013-01-04 | HOLD | Keith Richards |
Oil, seasonably, is coming into a good phase right now. Chart is showing that we are starting to get near some near-term upside. Tweet finance |
Price: $33.580 Subject: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Bias: BULLISH on FOREIGN Owned: No |
| 2012-12-20 | PAST TOP PICK | David Baskin |
(A Top Pick Dec 19/11. Up 18.5%.) Stock would be doing a lot better if people were sure it could get its product to market. Still likes and is still buying. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.640 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: BULLISH on US ECONOMY Owned: Yes |
| 2012-12-17 | WATCH | Peter Brieger |
This has always been sort of his 2nd favourite to Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ-T). If you see a reversal by TransCanada Pipe (TRP-T) to oil from natural gas and they get some of the product to Montréal, you could see it move higher. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.180 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2012-12-13 | BUY | Rick Stuchberry |
Quality company. Is a champion in Canada. What they need is a higher oil price, as they all do. Nothing wrong with it. Buy in $30 range. Trade into mid-30s. Years out, fracking will have an impact on energy prices. We may have a lot more energy than we think we have. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.680 Subject: CANADIAN LARGE & iNTERNATIONAL ADR's Bias: BULLISH Owned: No |
| 2012-12-13 | DON'T BUY | David Cockfield |
Has a lot of oil sands interest, which have a fixed cost aspect. If you can’t move your product out of Alberta at a price that is reasonably close to the WT I, your margins are squeezed. Tweet finance |
Price: $31.680 Subject: CANADIAN Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: No |
| 2012-12-12 | PAST TOP PICK | John Zechner |
(A Top Pick Dec 28/11. Up 14.37%.) Still has decent growth. He feels valuation is inexpensive. Still likes. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.200 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE Bias: BULLISH Owned: Yes |
| 2012-12-11 | COMMENT | Gavin Graham |
Best managed and the biggest. Managed to digest Petrocan and get rid of a lot of the bits they didn’t want. Very profitable and successful but is the proxy for Canadian integrated producers and, at the moment, that is not where people want to be. He believes that will close over the next 1 to 1.5 years. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.100 Subject: NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & GLOBAL EQUITIES Bias: OPTIMISTIC Owned: Unknown |
| 2012-12-10 | COMMENT | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA |
You want to be a trader, because of the downgrade of the sector for a couple of years. $28ish is good value. You won’t make money if you just buy and hold. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.040 Subject: N/A Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: Unknown |
| 2012-12-10 | TOP PICK | Sandy McIntyre |
Management is planning on growing the business to be profitable. Return on assets, return on capital and return on equity is to become a core discipline at the company. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.040 Subject: INCOME INVESTING Bias: UNKNOWN Owned: Yes |
| 2012-12-05 | COMMENT | Joseph Schachter |
Company has been hit by the high and variable costs of the oil sands. It traded at around $23 in 2011. BV is around $26.20 at the end of Q3. Any time you see the stock below BV, it is a fabulous Buy. He would use a low $30 target for the next 6 months. Tweet finance |
Price: $32.680 Subject: OIL & GAS Bias: CAUTIOUS Owned: Unknown |