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| Vinny Catalano of Blue Marble Research |
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| TOP PICK | SPDR High Yield Bond E.T.F. | JNK-N | 38.180 | SPDR High Yield Bond ETF. High yield of around 13%. High yield market still has a very wide spread vis-à-vis treasuries and that spread is expected to narrow even further because the sector overall is not going to experience the default rates that the 13% yield rate is suggesting. With any kind of an economic improvement going into next year this is a good place to park your money. Also potential for upside gains. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| TOP PICK | SPDR Gold E.T.F. | GLD-N | 99.670 | SPDR Gold Trust ETF. Every portfolio should have 2% to 5% in gold. Watch for the technical analysts not to ring the bell that this has formed a head and shoulders bottom, where you break the neck line and market technicians will start talking about a move to $1200-$1300. Will rise with weakness in the US$. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares Global Materials ETF | MXI-N | 57.620 | A 2-fold play. 1) Long term sector with a play on global growth and emerging economies with the need for basic materials. In a cyclical recovery, basic materials tend to be one of the early beneficiaries. 2) Gold miners, which have been acting quite well. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | iShares Global Infrastructure E.T.F. | IGF-N | 33.910 | (A Top Pick Jan 2/09. Up 13.73%.) Long-term play on infrastructure. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. | EWZ-N | 66.740 | (A Top Pick Jan 2/09. Up 82.05%.) Brazil long-term play but he is scaling back a little because it is a little frothy and he doesn't like the developments about wanting to have nationalization or increased exposure on energy related issues. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | iShares Nasdaq BioTech E.T.F, | IBB-Q | 82.530 | (A Top Pick Jan 2/09. Up 14.8%.) | 2009-09-22 | ||
| Comment | CurrencySh E. T. F. | FXE-N | 147.890 | Currency ETF. If you don't like gold and you are concerned about the weakness of the US$, then this is a good place to be. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| WEAK BUY | PowerShares DB U.S.$ Bull E.T.F. | UUP-N | 22.600 | Currency ETF. Gives you exposure to weakness in the US$ compared to other currencies. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Market - Present market is overvalued and in an air pocket to be countered sometime between now and the middle of October followed by a failing rally maybe, which would be the in term top for the market followed by your more substantial 10%-15% correction. Key indicator of the failing rally are the small and mid-cap issues. Large-cap issues are probably going to be fine with earnings reports coming out for Q3. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| DON'T BUY | PowerShare DB Agriculture E.T.F. | DBA-N | 24.760 | Does like this in the agriculture sector. Tracks a basket of different agricultural products but in a 6 to 12 month timeframe this is not going to be an exceptional place to be. There are a lot of pricing related issues that are problematic. Longer term, 3 to 5 years, it is a very good place to be. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| HOLD | PowerShares Private Equity E.T.F. | PSP-N | 9.570 | PowerShares Private Equity. Intriguing ETF. Volume is at the threshold where you want it to be on a daily basis, which averages around 100,000 shares trading per day. Outlook on private equity is cloudy in the near term but on a longer-term basis it is an attractive field to be in, along with asset managers. The only 2 areas that he would have any money invested in the financial areas. Would hold a modest position, 2%, for the long-term. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | US ETF Regulations. A number of proposals are being talked about which would mean greater restrictions and greater oversight's on various different types of instruments that might be potentially systemic risky. Doesn't believe it is going to be an issue with things like economic sector, common stocks, styles or even countries that could affect things like energy or commodities. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| DON'T BUY | U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F. | UNG-N | 11.400 | US Natural Gas Fund ETF. There has been an issue raised in regards to the rollover aspects of this. Believes it is exchange-traded notes. You need to do some pretty serious investigative work. Natural gas has gotten bombed because of excess supply. Wouldn't behind on his list. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| WEAK BUY | Market Vectors Agribusinesses E.T.F. | MOO-N | 39.880 | Market Vectors Agribusinesses E.T.F. A basket of companies in the agricultural sector. Recently scaled back because of Monsanto's announcement of layoffs and concerns on future earnings guidance. Would own a small position of .5% to 1% exposure. | 2009-09-22 | ||
| BUY | SPDR Gold E.T.F. | GLD-N | 91.980 | People should always own some amount of gold, anywhere between 2% and 5%. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| BUY | Direx Financial Bull 3x E.T.F. | FAS-N | 6.581 | Financial 3X Bull. If you want to make a big bet on financials, this is the way to go. Key thing to remember with double and triple ETFs is that there is a compounding factor that works favourably when there is a trend, either up or down. Good speculative play. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| WATCH | ProShare Ultra Short 7-10yr Tr. E.T.F. | PST-N | 52.980 | ProShare Ultra Short 7-10 yr. (PST-N) vs. ProShare Ultra Short 20+ yr. (TBT-N). You really have to watch carefully for a good spot to step in. Government stimulus will ultimately result in inflation. Inflation means lower bond prices. Government is going to have to step into the market and float a whole bunch of bonds and we don't know if there is an appetite out there for this. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| BUY | ProShares Ultra Dow 30 ETF | DDM-N | 24.330 | Double bull on the Dow. We are in a secular, multiyear, long-term bear market and are experiencing the first wave of a cyclical, shorter-term bull market. This is a fine way to go. He prefers Emerging Markets (EEM-N) or Brazil (EWZ-N). (See Top Picks.) | 2009-03-25 | ||
| WATCH | ProShare Ultra Short 20+ yr Tr. E.T.F. | TBT-N | 46.110 | ProShare Ultra Short 7-10 yr. (PST-N) vs. ProShare Ultra Short 20+ yr. (TBT-N). You really have to watch carefully for a good spot to step in. Government stimulus will ultimately result in inflation. Inflation means lower bond prices. Government is going to have to step into the market and float a whole bunch of bonds and we don't know if there is an appetite out there for this. | 2009-03-25 | ||
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| BUY | U.S. Gasoline Fund E.T.F. | UGA-N | 25.680 | US gasoline. Longer-term prospects are good. In the near term you might get some backing and filling. It's a decent position to be in. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| WEAK BUY | iShares S&P Latin America 40 E.T.F. | ILF-N | 27.070 | Latin America. Prefers the Brazil one a little bit better (EWZ-N). This one is a combination of mostly Brazil with a little bit of Chile, Argentina and a decent chunk of Mexico. (See Top Picks.) | 2009-03-25 | ||
| DON'T BUY | ProShareUltraShort RealEstate E.T.F. | SRS-N | 53.480 | Real Estate Shorts. Probably too late for this one. Looks like real estate is reaching a point of stabilization. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. | EWZ-N | 39.910 | Brazil. Fundamentally, this country is much more self-contained than a lot of other export oriented countries. It is an exporter but there is plenty of domestic growth as well as self-sufficiency in energy. Have a couple of huge oil finds off their shores. Finances are in very good shape. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares Xinhua China 25 ETF | FXI-N | 28.640 | Tracks the Chinese market. Like this one on a near-term basis based on what China is doing in terms of stimulus. Expect them to step into a much more leadership type of role. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | SPDR High Yield Bond E.T.F. | JNK-N | 29.500 | High yield BBB. BB, etc. bonds. Every acknowledged expert said the default rate on junk bonds will reach a peak between 15% to 20%, worse case scenario. This one is throwing off a 15% yield. | 2009-03-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares Global Infrastructure E.T.F. | IGF-N | 30.210 | Infrastructure and gives you global exposure. Also diversified into various different areas of growth potential. Water, bridges, roads, etc. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| TOP PICK | PowerShares Water Resource E.T.F. | PHO-N | 14.910 | Infrastructure on water resources, which will get the largest chunk of spending over the next 25 years. Need for clean water is great, especially in emerging economies. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. | EWZ-N | 36.700 | Energy in Brazil. Also commodity related type of economies. Geared to rise and fall very much with the area of energy. Clever way of playing energy and emerging markets at the same time. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares Nasdaq BioTech E.T.F, | IBB-Q | 72.070 | Big pharma is running out of patents and they need to find a way to grow. Biotech is the area in which development is taking place with products being created. Valuation is reasonably good. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| BUY | Ford Motor | F-N | 2.460 | If he where going into the automotive sector, this is the only one that doesn't need money. Not a bad bet at this price. He wouldn't do too much. Be very nimble and if it looked like it was going to struggle towards the end of 2009 and into 2010, take your profit. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| BUY | iShares S&P Latin America 40 E.T.F. | ILF-N | 26.810 | Latin America is one of the areas to be invested in. His favourite is Brazil. Not too much for Mexico's political issues and their economic ties to the US but this is a good way to go. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| PARTIAL BUY | iShares S&P US Preferred. E.T.F. | PFF-N | 30.330 | Much further along in the risk spectrum. High yield. Wouldn't put a significant amount of money into this. Well diversified with individual assets. Fairly high risk. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| PARTIAL BUY | SPDR High Yield Bond E.T.F. | JNK-N | 31.890 | Much further along in the risk spectrum. High yield. Wouldn't put a significant amount of money into this. Well diversified with individual assets. Fairly high risk. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| BUY | SPDR Gold E.T.F. | GLD-N | 86.230 | Gold: Everyone should own gold bullion. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| BUY | PowerShare DB Agriculture E.T.F. | DBA-N | 26.140 | Agricultural ETF. Moderately bullish on agriculture. Only caveat is that some brokerage firms will not allow you to buy, as they perceive it to be a commodity. 2% to 4% weighting in your portfolio would be good. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| DON'T BUY | ProSh UltraShort Dow30 E.T.F. | DXD-N | 50.581 | Short on the Dow. Doesn't think the lows will be retested. Thinks the Dow will gradually work its way higher during the 1st and maybe even the 2nd quarter of the year, with corrections along the way. For this, you need short-term timing tools in order to get in and out. | 2009-01-02 | ||
| BUY | PowerShare DB Agriculture E.T.F. | DBA-N | 25.530 | Still likes agricultural. If you own either PowerShare DB Agriculture E.T.F. (DBA-A) or Market Vectors Agribusinesses E.T.F. (MOO-A), consider averaging down. Not a bad entry level. Long-term investments. Prefers the DBA. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares DJ Oil Eq & Svc E.T.F. | IEZ-N | 31.860 | Baby was thrown out with the bathwater. PE ratio is now around 10. If you believe that energy is going to be a part of our future, this has to be one of the ones that you own. A value play. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| TOP PICK | Markst Vectors Steel Index E.T.F. | SLX-N | 32.910 | Steel. Valuation is outrageous at about 8 or 9 times earnings. This one plays into the issue of global growth. | 2008-10-17 | ||
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| TOP PICK | iShares Dow Jones Regional Bank E.T.F. | IAT-N | 28.620 | Has way outperformed the market may lead you to the fact that if a professional investor invests on a sector weighting basis this is one of the less risky areas that they put money into. Growth in the good old fashioned banking business and asset management is good and they are not having the pressure and problems of credit default swaps etc. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| BUY | Market Vectors Agribusinesses E.T.F. | MOO-N | 25.150 | Still likes agricultural. If you own either PowerShare DB Agriculture E.T.F. (DBA-A) or Market Vectors Agribusinesses E.T.F. (MOO-A), consider averaging down. Not a bad entry level. Long-term investments. Prefers the DBA. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| DON'T BUY | ProSh UltraShort Dow30 E.T.F. | DXD-N | 84.220 | He would not be putting on any serious Short positions. The present market appears to be going through a range-bound sideways action. If you had a market that rose going into the first quarter of next year, then you could take a second look at this. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| BUY | SPDR Gold E.T.F. | GLD-N | 77.210 | Better than iShares COMEX Gold E.T.F. (IGT-T) as there is more volume. Any weakness in the US$ could be a disadvantage to Canadian investors. Anywhere between 2% and 5% of an investor's portfolio should be in gold as a hedge against instability and uncertainty. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| BUY | International Game Technology | IGT-N | 12.800 | streetTracks Gold E.T.F. (GLD-N) has more volume. Any weakness in the US$ could be a disadvantage to Canadian investors. Anywhere between 2% and 5% of an investor's portfolio should be in gold as a hedge against instability and uncertainty. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| BUY | iUnits S&P/TSX 60 E.T.F. | XIU-T | 14.430 | In times of uncertainty, large caps tend to outperform the mid and smaller issues. Relatively safe place to be. Ultimately, when the market stabilizes and gets into a bull market trend (probably 2009 or 2010) you will want to be in the mid and smaller cap issues. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| DON'T BUY | iShares MSCI Emerging Market E.T.F. | EEM-N | 24.400 | Covers all emerging markets. He would prefer iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. (EWZ-N) followed by China and then India with Russia being at the bottom. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| BUY | iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. | EWZ-N | 37.520 | Economics of Brazil is in very good shape. | 2008-10-17 | ||
| Comment | HBP Global Gold Bull+ E.T.F. | HGU-T | 10.750 | Why are HGD-T and HDU-T both down? Every once in a while you do get anomalies and that may be why they are both down together. | 2008-10-03 | ||
| Comment | HBP Global Gold Bear+ E.T.F. | HGD-T | 12.840 | Why are HGD and HDU down together. Every once in a while you do get anomalies and that may be why they are both down together. | 2008-10-03 | ||
| Comment | CASH | CASH | 0.000 | How safe is it? It is safe in the US system. It’s sad to hear that this question is being asked. | 2008-10-03 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | The S&P should trade at 14x earnings with the bailout package. The financials may do surprisingly well. Economically sensitive stocks could be problematic. There is a chance of a bit of a bounce in the short term, but bear market longer term. S&P could go below 1100. | 2008-10-03 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Gold: Everyone should have gold in their portfolios, particularly in uncertain economic times. He recommends between 2% and 5%. | 2008-09-12 | ||
| TOP PICK | ProShare Ultra Financial E.T.F. | UYG-N | 21.220 | A tracker of the S&P financial sector. Double the exposure. Suspects that the financials are going to work their way through. If there is a deal this weekend and the financials are going to run for a little while, then this is going to give you a run for your money. Not a long-term hold. Buy it for a short-term basis. | 2008-09-12 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares S&P Small Cap 600 Growth | IJT-N | 64.350 | Growth is where you want to be right now. Small cap growth is performing very well. | 2008-09-12 | ||
| TOP PICK | SPDR Technology E.T.F. | XLK-N | 21.750 | Tech and telecom. Technology has been struggling. Capital spending is going to be pretty decent worldwide. Global growth is pretty good. | 2008-09-12 | ||
| BUY | iShares S&P Global 100 E.T.F. | IOO-N | 65.030 | Difficult to find a growth related ETF. You have to go with a bit of a basket. iShares MSCI EAFE Growth (EFG-N), iShares S&P Global 100 (IOO-N) and iShares S&P 500 Growth (IVW-N) are some possibilities with very little exposure in US financials. | 2008-09-12 | ||
| BUY | iShares S&P 500 Growth E.T.F. | IVW-N | 61.110 | Difficult to find a growth related ETF. You have to go with a bit of a basket. iShares MSCI EAFE Growth (EFG-N), iShares S&P Global 100 (IOO-N) and iShares S&P 500 Growth (IVW-N) are some possibilities with very little exposure in US financials. | 2008-09-12 | ||
| BUY | iShares MSCI EAFE Grwth E.T.F. | EFG-N | 60.550 | Difficult to find a growth related ETF. You have to go with a bit of a basket. iShares MSCI EAFE Growth (EFG-N), iShares S&P Global 100 (IOO-N) and iShares S&P 500 Growth (IVW-N) are some possibilities with very little exposure in US financials. | 2008-09-12 | ||
| BUY | PowerShare DB Agriculture E.T.F. | DBA-N | 33.140 | The most direct way to play agriculture through an ETF. This tracks a basket of agricultural issues. An excellent long-term place to be. | 2008-09-12 | ||
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| DON'T BUY | SPDR S&P 500 E.T.F. | SPY-N | 126.090 | Gives exposure to the S&P 500 and it blankets both growth and value. He would rather tilt more towards S&P Growth. This is a point in the economic cycle where historically growth has outperformed value. He would rather do iShares S&P 500 Growth (IVW-N). | 2008-09-12 | ||
| DON'T BUY | iUnits S&P Financial | XFN-T | 22.740 | In general, financials on a medium and longer-term basis is a place you don't want to be. You should be aware what banks are exposed to. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| TOP PICK | PowerShares Water Resource E.T.F. | PHO-N | 21.717 | Little pricey with a PE ratio of 21/22 and may be slightly on the volatile side. Excellent way to play infrastructures. Benefits from $41 trillion in spending of which 22% will be in water. Globally diversified. Would start modestly and gradually build on it. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| BUY | iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. | EWZ-N | 75.910 | A Top Pick on his last visit. Drifted down to some degree because it is sensitive to oil prices and is even more sensitive to the other emerging markets. Brazil is a terrific story on a longer-term basis. The country is managing its finances well. The Government bonds have been moved up to investment grade. Good domestic growth and not very sensitive to the US consumer. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| DON'T BUY | iShares Japan | EWJ-N | 11.460 | He would wait for domestic demand to pick up. There will come a day when owning Japan and in particular this ETF is going to be an attractive issue. Because their domestic growth is still very moribund he wouldn't get in yet. Too sensitive to the export market, particularly the US. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| BUY | iUnits Short Bond Index E.T.F. | XSB-T | 28.550 | A fine investment to be in. Probably low volatility and low income. As an alternative, you could look at a longer-term product such as a 10-year US treasury. A good chance that this might actually, over the next year or 2, generate some decent returns. Right now yields about 10%. Once concerns about inflation lesson, and particularly if there is an economic slump, there could be a good capital gain as well. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| BUY | iShares MSCI EAFE Grwth E.T.F. | EFG-N | 66.090 | Small-cap is a very good area, particularly small-cap growth. For global growth he likes iShares MSCI (EFG-N) giving exposure to Europe and Asia. He particularily likes iShares S&P Small Cap 600 Growth (IJT-N) where valuation is attractive and performance has been very good. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| BUY | iShares S&P Small Cap 600 Growth | IJT-N | 64.740 | Small-cap is a very good area, particularly small-cap growth. For global growth he likes iShares MSCI (EFG-N) giving exposure to Europe and Asia. He particularily likes iShares S&P Small Cap 600 Growth (IJT-N) where valuation is attractive and performance has been very good. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| TOP PICK | SPDR Energy E.T.F. | XLE-N | 72.200 | Has been overdone on the downside. Valuation is about 10X earnings. Pays decent dividends. Technically, the momentum is not confirming the decline in the price indicating that the selling pressure is diminishing. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| TOP PICK | PowerShare DB Agriculture E.T.F. | DBA-N | 34.290 | Technically momentum is not confirming the decline in the price indicating that the selling pressure is diminishing. Agriculture just like energy is a long term secular investment. | 2008-08-07 | ||
| BUY | PowerShares Water Resource E.T.F. | PHO-N | 20.500 | Water resources. Long-term outlook over the next 5-10 years is excellent. Valuation is a little pricey at 21X earnings. Wouldn't be surprised if the Democrats won't have major spending plans focused in infrastructure in which water is a key area. (See Top Picks for his infrastructure play.) | 2008-07-18 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Claymore Japan C$ Hedge E.T.F. | CJP-T | 15.300 | Japan is a so-so OK area to be in. On the plus side, valuation levels are reasonable. There are some good growth prospects that they have with China. The negative side is going to be heavy dependence on the US consumer which doesn't look especially great. | 2008-07-18 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares Global Infrastructure E.T.F. | IGF-N | 42.380 | Global infrastructure spending is expected to grow over the next 25 years by $41 trillion US. | 2008-07-18 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. | EWZ-N | 80.920 | Likes the price. When it got up to $100, it was getting too high. Brazil is a very good story. They have domestic growth and energy independence. | 2008-07-18 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares DJ Medical Devices E.T.F. | IHI-N | 59.030 | What do professional investors have to do if they need to be invested in health care? One is biotech and the other one is medical devices. Less risky area. The professionals have to play somewhere in that space, so why not go along for the ride? | 2008-07-18 | ||
| BUY | iShares MSCI Brazil E.T.F. | EWZ-N | 91.450 | Story of Brazil is an excellent one. Has to do with the global growth story. Recently had an upgrade to investment grade by 2 investment services. Domestic growth looks reasonably good. There is also an industrial/materials play that comes out of here. | 2008-06-10 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares MSCI EAFE Grwth E.T.F. | EFG-N | 74.170 | Europe, Australia, Far East growth related issues. A good broad play. While diversified. Gives you exposure into the global growth opportunities. Valuation is attractive. | 2008-06-10 | ||
| TOP PICK | iShares Nasdaq BioTech E.T.F, | IBB-Q | 77.250 | Really good valuation at under 16X PE. Large diversification. This gives you a play into the area of pharmaceutical. Big pharma is running out of pipeline and the companies in the biotech space are very attractive acquisition candidates. | 2008-06-10 | ||
| TOP PICK | Pro Share UlShrt Oil & Gas E.T.F. | DUG-N | 28.230 | Oil should be at roughly $80 a share which means $40/$50 is speculation. Have to be pretty nimble with this one. | 2008-06-10 | ||
| DON'T BUY | SPDR Financial E.T.F. | XLF-N | 23.080 | This one is toxic. Doesn't like financials. Includes brokers/dealers as well. | 2008-06-10 | ||
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| WEAK BUY | iShares Japan | EWJ-N | 13.070 | Japan is very much of an export country. The culture doesn't seem to be for domestic consumption to any significant degree. Valuation is fine. Just an OK type of investment. | 2008-06-10 |
