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Ross Healey of Strategies Analysis Corp
20 Eglington Ave W. Suite 1400
P.O.Box 2003
Toronto ON
M4R 1K8
416-489-3603
Ross Healey's website
Toll Free: 1-877-214-5641
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Opinions from Ross Healey

HOLDBank of MontrealBMO-T39.270You don't have to worry about survivability of the banks. However, the issue is the profitability. Banks have been able to use excess leverage to push off their balance sheets but that is getting harder to do because buyers will not buy stuff that is not guaranteed. Doesn't think the dividend will be cut, but people will be worried about this.2008-07-15
WAITRoyal BankRY-T40.180Would wait for lower prices. Could see the stock easily trading down at around $38 but the target he would really like to see is $31 and he thinks it will get there.2008-07-15
SELLIGM Financial Inc.IGM-T37.4005.2% dividend. Has just rendered another Sell signal in the last couple of days. Being a mutual fund manager, the stock rises and falls with the stock market itself. Looking for a 20% down side.2008-07-15
SELLBombardier Inc (B)BBD.B-T6.940From a fair market value point of view, the stock is fairly extended. Not cheap within his parameters.2008-07-15
SELLManulife FinancialMFC-T33.810Banks have let go but the 2 major life insurance companies hung on. Sun Life has finally let go and this is the last of the companies that hasn't really set back to a level that he would be comfortable buying.2008-07-15
SELLMicrosoftMSFT-Q26.150There will be a better chance to buy this company. He is standing on the sidelines right now.2008-07-15
TOP PICKBarrick GoldABX-T49.940Has a big Fair Market Value and excellent balance sheet. With the US increasing amounts of problems, and the Fed trying to deal with it by issuing more and more credit the US$ will be in more trouble so you have to be exposed to gold.2008-07-15
TOP PICKBetaPro S&P/TSX 60 Bear E.T.F.HXD-T19.730This gives you double the exposure to the market. If the market goes down 10% this will go up 20%. A nice way of not putting a lot of cash into a position but getting yourself lots of leverage.2008-07-15
TOP PICKCASHCASH0.000It is getting increasingly difficult to buy companies that he has confidence in. You can put your cash in T-bills or bank paper.2008-07-15
HOLDCanadian Oil Sands TrustCOS.UN-T49.850One of the great winners in the recent rise in oil has not been the oil stocks themselves but has been the energy trusts. As long as oil keeps going up he expects they will raise their payouts.2008-07-15
PARTIAL SELLCanadian Natural RsrcsCNQ-T103.640His Fair Market Value is over $250 based upon current oil prices. He is getting nervous about the price of energy. If you own, consider selling bits and pieces.2008-06-05
CommentCanadian Imperial Bank of CommerceCM-T67.000His view on bank stocks is that we are kind of in the eye of the hurricane. If anyone thinks that the credit problems are done and over with, they have another think coming. Wouldn't be surprised if there were fears that Canadian banks could cut their dividends. He doesn't see it happening.2008-06-05
PARTIAL SELLAgriumAGU-T94.350Fertilizers are going absolutely gangbusters. If you are a holder, he would tend to be kind of dribbling out. Prices are getting very extreme, to the point where farmers will have to cut back drastically.2008-06-05
PARTIAL SELLPotash Corp of SaskatchewanPOT-T222.340Fertilizers are going absolutely gangbusters. If you are a holder, he would tend to be kind of dribbling out. Prices are getting very extreme, to the point where farmers will have to cut back drastically.2008-06-05
PARTIAL SELLCiscoCSCO-Q27.540Lots of upside potential. Stock has been moving up in the general NASDAQ rally and could continue a little further. Excellent company and beautiful balance sheet. We are in a recession and it is deepening so he expects equipment sales to slow down. He would consider taking profits.2008-06-05
CommentSilver WheatonSLW-T14.670Has been a bit of a disappointment as of late. Has a good working model and has lots of upside.2008-06-05
PARTIAL SELLSuncor Energy IncSU-T68.280Would let this one go in dribs and drabs. Company is superb and the heart of the oil sands. Its Fair Market Value is terrific but if there is oil price weakness there could be problems.2008-06-05
WEAK BUYLoblawsL-T34.340Has been really hammered down from 4X book to 1.5X book. Earnings estimates are not particularly supporting a rally of much consequence. If you had a five-year horizon, at this price it's not going to hurt you too much.2008-06-05
BUYMagna Int'l. (A)MG.A-T70.610Trading at its “average price to book” long-term low, which makes it very cheap. His Fair Market Value is more than double the current price. Has good potential. Would buy it as a Trade.2008-06-05
DON'T BUYPfizer IncPFE-N18.670From his perspective, it has absolutely technically broken down. Looks like almost everything is going against it. Also, it is likely Democrats will come to power and won't be helpful to the drug companies.2008-06-05
TOP PICKPetro-CanPCA-T58.700If you are going to be in the oils, pick a cheap one. They’re only selling a little over 2X book compared with the index, which is getting up to 3.5. If things don't work out, it won't get hit too badly but if they do, it could play some catch-up.2008-06-05
TOP PICKBell AliantBA.UN-T29.800One of the few income trusts that are really solid. When they convert back into businesses, his suspicion is that this one is really cheap. Good 10% yield. Very well run business and very stable.2008-06-05
TOP PICKBarrick GoldABX-T41.170Feels the US has lots and lots of balance sheet issues and the dollar could decline. Because of this, he would like to have a little bit of gold in his portfolio and this one is a nice, good, stable stock and is not very expensive at about 2X book.2008-06-05
DON'T BUYThomson Reuters CorpTRI-T36.640This is a work in progress. The stock is cheap enough but looking at what Thomson paid for Reuters, somebody got hosed. He can't see the upside yet.2008-06-05
HOLDPotash Corp of SaskatchewanPOT-T162.910A wonderful company. The fair market value is miles above where the stock is trading right now. Lots of upside potential. It is trading 8 times book value, there is lots of down side risk. 2008-03-26
HOLDPetro-CanPCA-T44.900Has been a favourite. The stock is dirt-cheap compared to the oils. Cannot understand why it’s so cheap. 2008-03-26
WEAK BUYOilexco IncOIL-T13.680The fair market value based on forecast earnings is $50. The stock is trading on technical support. Not a bad bet. A little more expensive then most of the oils in the index. 2008-03-26
WAITTelus CorpT-T43.370As if the market got bored with the stock. Could see a downside of $36-37 before there is interest in it again. Would wait to be buying. 2008-03-26
VAGUEFairfax FinancialFFH-T286.520Trading around its fair market value. The stock is getting fairly rich. Indifferent to it. 2008-03-26
DON'T BUYTransForce Inc.TFI-T7.770The balance sheet is slipping which probably means they’re paying too much out. They should cut their pay out, to be positioned as a regular corporation. It’s around its book value. It’s fair market value continues to plummet. 2008-03-26
WEAK BUYA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020GC/J8- The recent sheer drop in price tends to be associated with bull market. Not bullish on the U.S dollar. The value of the gold stocks are pretty good. 2008-03-26
VAGUEYellow Pages Income FundYLO.UN-T10.190Got down to its book value, now it’s at its good will (paid too much for its acquisitions). Concerned from a balance sheet point of view. From an earnings point of view it should be OK. Getting a good yield at this price, reasonably sustainable. 2008-03-26
TOP PICKBarrick GoldABX-T46.300Lots of upside potential. An excellent balance sheet. Extremely well run company. Attractive for value investors. Their costs are under fairly reasonable control. The earnings forecasts have been rising nicely. 2008-03-26
TOP PICKBiovail Corp.BVF-T10.950Getting to a yield of almost 14%, sustainable. Almost down to book value. As cheap as you want to be. Attractive to larger companies to buy. 2008-03-26
TOP PICKA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020Cash- Concerned about the market and the credit problem. Will continue for quite a long time. 2008-03-26
DON'T BUYCanadian Imperial Bank of CommerceCM-T66.200Have a fairly heavy exposure to the junk on their balance sheet. There will be considerable earnings about their earnings. There is a longer term downwards pressure on bank profit. Stay away from it until it gets down to its book value. 2008-03-26
TOP PICKBarrick GoldABX-T37.400Has some doubt about the intrinsic value of the US$, which he expects to continue to sink. This is one of the few golds that has rising FMV. Brilliantly managed. Good intrinsic value, rising FMV and a very nice balance sheet.2007-12-20
TOP PICKShoppers Drug Mart CorpSC-T52.650A nice, safe, solid stock. Balance sheet keeps growing just beautifully and steadily. Very profitable. This one gives you 15% to 17% a year.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYGoldman SachsGS-N202.670FMV has collapsed. Could be some legal problems down the road.2007-12-20
CommentKingsway Financial ServicesKFS-T11.220Getting down to a level where it is beginning to be quite interesting. FMV for the stock is quite a bit higher. Have to wait to see if there's going to be any earnings forecast breakdown.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYSunlife FinancialSLF-T54.740Feels that a lot of money has left the banks and money managers to move into the lifecos. It means that companies such as Sun Life (SLF-T), Great West (GWO-T) and Manufacturers (MFC-T) have caught up to the peak of and are exceeding their FMV.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYGreat West LifecoGWO-T34.910Feels that a lot of money has left the banks and money managers to move into the lifecos. It means that companies such as Sun Life (SLF-T), Great West (GWO-T) and Manufacturers (MFC-T) have caught up to the peak of and are exceeding their FMV.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYManulife FinancialMFC-T40.360Feels that a lot of money has left the banks and money managers to move into the lifecos. It means that companies such as Sun Life (SLF-T), Great West (GWO-T) and Manufacturers (MFC-T) have caught up to the peak of and are exceeding their FMV.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYCanadian Western BankCWB-T31.060The only way that he can justify the current price is if someone wants to take the bank over. Trading quite in excess of its FMV. Also trading up against a resistant point that he would have thought would have been quite stiff to get through, but it did go through, but without a lot of support.2007-12-20
TOP PICKPetro-CanPCA-T51.430At a level that is very attractive. Selling at about 2X book making it very cheap compared to most oil patch stocks.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYBrookfield Properties Corp.BPO-N19.130One of the problems that faced real estate companies in recessions and real estate slowdowns is that stocks get pretty badly beaten up. There is still not much market value support underneath this company. Too early.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYCanadian Imperial Bank of CommerceCM-T70.510Has broken through one of its technical support levels. If he could see the stock at the $62 level it would be a buy.2007-12-20
WATCHTeck Cominco Ltd. (B)TCK.B-T33.650Becoming very interested in this stock. Another $2 or $3 on the downside gets it to very interesting technical support. The FMV is out of sight compared to the current price. If you Buy, do it for the long term.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYTalisman EnergyTLM-T17.700Has a little more downside in it before he can see a bottom.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYMerrill Lynch & Co (US)MER-N54.500On a price to book basis got down to the level that it bottomed to in 1998. The big question that is overhanging everybody's mind is, what is the integrity of their balance sheet like. Thinks there is going to be a bloody battle on legal grounds.2007-12-20
DON'T BUYLehman Brothers HoldingsLEH-N62.330FMV has collapsed. Could be some legal problems down the road.2007-12-20
TOP PICKBarrick GoldABX-T40.320Has a grim view of the US$, so has to go with the gold stock because of the sympathy factor. FMV is substantially higher than the current price. Technically, the stock is acting very well.2007-11-30
TOP PICKNational Bank of CanadaNA-T53.980Dropped down to a very attractive valuation level. Good yield and good technical support. Speculative buy because it is a counter trend move to the fundamental down trend of the banks.2007-11-30
TOP PICKPetro-CanPCA-T48.300A nice cheap integrated oil stock so has all bases covered. FMV is about triple the stock price. Reasonably close to good technical support.2007-11-30
SELLPenn West Energy TrustPWT.UN-T26.540Good management but earnings forecasts have been steadily sinking and they are making an acquisition, which may be difficult for the company to support. They may have to reduce distributions. He is selling his holdings.2007-11-30
CommentTeck Cominco Ltd. (B)TCK.B-T38.300FMV is about 4X the current price. This would normally make it awfully good value, but it does not behave well technically and he wonders if the market is expecting a recession. Commodity prices and earnings forecasts are holding up well. Can't see any reason not to like it but it doesn't act well.2007-11-30
CommentCAE IncCAE-T11.780FMV is more than double the stock price, which had been moving up well, but gave up the ghost recently. This is peculiar because airlines are being bought globally and air fleets are being expanded.2007-11-30
DON'T BUYCitiGroupC-N33.300Wouldn't hold this one if it was one of the 2 last stocks on the planet. Doesn't like the banks. US banks are in the throes of a hurricane debt problem.2007-11-30
HOLDCanadian Natural RsrcsCNQ-T64.920Slipping because of 1) drop in the price of oil and 2) their plan on substantially slowing down their oil sands expansion plans because of the staggering costs. FMV is triple the current price but short-term, the price will remain weak.2007-11-30
BUYBell AliantBA.UN-T29.070Doesn't feel the government announcement on wireless (spectrum) will have any effect on this stock. One of the few trusts that he likes.2007-11-30
CommentTelus CorpT-T46.820Because of the CRTC announcement on wireless (spectrum) Telus (T-T) and Rogers (RCI.B-T) have had a bit of a setback. There may be more competition in cellular phones and could put pressure on both companies.2007-11-30
CommentRogers Communcations (B)RCI.B-T41.560Because of the CRTC announcement on wireless (spectrum) Telus (T-T) and Rogers (RCI.B-T) have had a bit of a setback. There may be more competition in cellular phones and could put pressure on both companies.2007-11-30
TOP PICKBarrick GoldABX-T40.190Good international exposure. Recently broke out at one of his key breakpoints at about 2X Book. Lots of upside potential. You should have at least 1 and possibly 2 gold stocks in your portfolio because of the weakening US$.2007-10-05
TOP PICKCanadian Tire Corporation Ltd. (A)CTC.A-T81.950Outstandingly well-run company. His Fair Market Value is up over $150. The recent setback in the stock gave a good buying opportunity. Good balance sheet.2007-10-05
TOP PICKBell AliantBA.UN-T31.740Had considered Cash as the top pick. This is a defensive choice. Fairly reasonably valued. When it reverts out of a trust, there won't be any downside move on the stock. Nice yield.2007-10-05
DON'T BUYSherritS-T15.910Continues to have a Cuban overhang. His Fair Market Value estimate has been falling quite steadily. Possibly a 15% to 20% visible upside and then it runs into a level at about 1.25% BV, where they've had an awful time getting through.2007-10-05
BUYLundin Mining Corp.LUN-T13.750Interesting company as it is cheap and has a fairly high Fair Market Value.2007-10-05
SELLZarlinkZL-T1.370It doesn't show up well on his value screen and actually shows up more as a Sell than a Buy. Doesn't see any technological breakthrough.2007-10-05
BUYCiscoCSCO-Q32.649Lots of upside and a heck of a balance sheet. With Nortel (NT-T) out of the picture and a lot of other companies that really didn't make it, they're really the last man standing.2007-10-05
SELLDundee Wealth Management Inc.DW-T19.050Whenever you get a company that is in play, you are really rolling the dice. If you own, you might consider taking a little off the table.2007-10-05
PAST TOP PICKPenn West Energy TrustPWT.UN-T30.550(A Top Pick Dec 4/06. Down 4.8%.) His Fair Market Value has slipped a fair amount. Strange as the company, when it became a trust, retained its land spread. On a BV, it is fairly cheap. Pressure on earnings and a lot depends on the Alberta royalty trust taxation.2007-10-05
PAST TOP PICKEncana CorpECA-T61.510(A Top Pick Dec 4/06. Up 17.5%.) Alberta will probably not increase taxes on natural gas. It is Fair Market Value is more than double the current price.2007-10-05
PAST TOP PICKCASHCASH40.970(A Top Pick Dec 4/06.) Given that there are a lot of risks in the market, he would suggest keeping 30% of your portfolio in cash.2007-10-05
CommentA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020Principal driver of the markets will be the US$. His numbers show that the US market will decline substantially. Historically when a country’s currency is weak, the stock market has tended to balance it off. The bullish view is that this would be 60% of the decline. You have to hedge (by currency futures or options) the US$ to get rid of the currency risk, allowing you to go into the US market. 2007-10-05
BUYJohnson & JohnsonJNJ-N66.250A lot of the US big cap stocks have good international exposure. His Fair Market Value is over $125 so there is a lot of potential. The next major resistance point is $73.50.2007-10-05
BUYProctor & GamblePG-N70.830Upside is quite substantial. One of the areas where, in a recession, people tend to go because of the defensive qualities.2007-10-05
BUYTeck Cominco Ltd. (B)TCK.B-T49.610Have a terrific spread of minerals. Upside potential for the company is $150-$160, so why doesn't the stock move? Has had a long history of peeking out at 4X Book, which is about $60. Not a takeout candidate, so it doesn't have a takeout premium. Treat it as a long-term Hold.2007-10-05
BUYColgate PalmoliveCL-N72.130Lots of upside. Lots of international exposure. Nice, conservative company. His Fair Market Value is over $100, but he doesn't expect it to reach this.2007-10-05
CommentPotash Corp of SaskatchewanPOT-T103.190Has had a spectacular run. His Fair Market Value is $128 as he measures it and this amount is also a major technical peak, which would be very difficult to get through at 8X Book. Very profitable company and fast Balance Sheet growth. Expensive.2007-10-05
BUYPetro-CanPCA-T54.240Selling at about 2.25X Book. His Fair Market Value is really strong. Selling at a much cheaper Price to Book then Imperial oil (IMO-T), which would make it a more conservative and safer purchase. Even trading at a discount to the oil Index in itself. Good balance sheet. Lots of upside.2007-10-05
CommentResearch In MotionRIM-T111.600Stock is doing so well that it is just running along and tracking his Fair Market Value. Every time analysts hike earnings forecasts because of another great quarter, up goes Fair Market Value and up goes the stock. Trades at a spicy Price/Book value, so you are making a partial bet that fundamentals are going to continue and that the market is going to keep coming through for you.2007-10-05
DON'T BUYAgnico-Eagle MinesAEM-T50.960Stock is up against pretty tough technical resistance of about 4X Book. His Fair Market Value figure has been falling. Earnings forecasts for many of the Canadian only gold companies have been falling because of cost pressures and the fact that gold is measured in US$’s. Companies like Barrick (ABX-T) have good international exposure.2007-10-05
DON'T BUYCanWest Global Comm.CGS-T7.250Market has been waiting for the promise of this company to come through and it really hasn't come through so there was a big selloff. Still trading at his Fair Market Value so he cannot see any upside at the present.2007-10-05
HOLDCanadian National R.R.CNR-T55.290Continues to truck along at about 2.5X Book. His Fair Market Value is really high. Extraordinarily well run railway.2007-10-05
SELLRoyal BankRY-T55.890Doesn't particularly like the banks so we would be more on the Sell side of things.2007-10-05
SELLParamount ResourcesPOU-T17.690Would avoid this one like the plague.2007-10-05
SELLGeneral ElectricGE-N41.770Very pricey. One of the few US big cap stocks that is trading right up at his Fair Market Value. Doesn't see any potential from here.2007-10-05
HOLDShoppers Drug Mart CorpSC-T55.270A definite Hold and if it dropped back $4 he might even be tempted to buy. Excellent fundamentals.2007-10-05
HOLDUnited TechnologiesUTX-N80.840It is getting up there. You can probably still Hold, but it would not intrigue him as it is too pricey.2007-10-05
DON'T BUYToronto DominionTD-T74.250Not particularly strong on this sector, TD not his favourite. 2007-06-01
WEAK BUYBank of MontrealBMO-T70.920He doesn't particularly like this sector but Bank of Montreal is his current favorite, since it was beaten up the other day on the commodity scandel. Gave a bit of a trading opportunity. 2007-06-01
WAITGoldcorp IncG-T26.040Management team is excellent. Problem with gold's including Goldcorp is that the earnings estimates keep falling. Expects it to drop another 2 or 3 dollars from here.2007-06-01
WEAK BUYManitoba Telecom ServicesMBT-T49.200Still likes it. Has a decent yield, with a decent upside. Better value then Telus. 2007-06-01
WATCHING Canada Inc.IIC-T46.220Fair market value has been calculated at $84, which means the stock is very cheap. Some risk at the $43 or $44 mark, but if it gets there it would be a BUY. Upside is $60.2007-06-01
SELLCitiGroupC-N54.510Doesn't have much upside potential. Has no interest in it. 2007-06-01
WATCHA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020On Gold. There are big concerns about the US dollar and how far it can fall. In cases like that there tends to be a rush in to gold. At the present time however the Canadian gold sector is acting poorly, because their fair market value is continuing to fall. This might be due to gold being quoted in US dollars and the margins getting squeezed. It's a bit early to buy gold, but he has one in his top picks.2007-06-01
PAST TOP PICKTeck Cominco Ltd. (B)TCK.B-T45.270Then $35.91 They have already sold most of theirs, but are thinking of revisiting again. The negative is that it is unlikely to be a takeover candidate. But outside of that it's a "brilliantly run company and making money hand over fist" 2007-06-01
PAST TOP PICKPetro-CanPCA-T55.100Then 51.25 Still likes, and lately it has been taking off. It has lots (and lots) of upside potential. It is the cheapest of the integrated oils in Canada and probably in the States as well. 2007-06-01
PAST TOP PICKEncana CorpECA-T66.090Then 54.07 Tons and tons up side. There are takeovers everywhere, and he's wondering if "lightening is going to strike there too!"2007-06-01
CommentAgnico-Eagle MinesAEM-T40.210He was expecting it to go up before. Has been rallying in the last few days. Golds just worry him generally even thought the fundamentals appear quite strong.2007-06-01

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