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Peter Arender, CFA of Unknown

Opinions from Peter Arender, CFA

DON'T BUYCameco CorporationCCO-T60.190Wouldn't get excited at these levels. Fundamental value is a little bit higher than what it's trading at now.2004-04-21
DON'T BUYTransalta CorpTA-T17.850No growth in earnings and is flat lined in expectation of growth. Has dividends.2004-04-21
BUY on WEAKNESSAlcan AluminumAL-T57.600Based on what it is earning right now, it is fully valued. Would buy 20/25% lower.2004-04-21
DON'T BUYOracleORCL-Q12.070Not seeing earnings growth. Not cheap.2004-04-21
DON'T BUYToronto DominionTD-T44.980Closer to the price that we would be selling at, not buying. By historical standards, this is the level where banks tend to top out. Fully valued.2004-04-21
BUYCanadian Pacific RailCP-T30.980Not accompany you normally get excited about. Having been growing earnings like mad and not the best Co. out there, but at a good price..2004-04-21
DON'T BUYPower CorpPOW-T55.700Feels that this company and Power Financial look quite expensive. Could have 20/25% down side.2004-04-21
DON'T BUYPower Financial CorpPWF-T57.730Feels that this company and Power Financial look quite expensive. Could have 20/25% down side.2004-04-21
DON'T BUYCelestica IncCLS-T22.230Doesn't think the stock will be going up any time soon. Others in the sector have been improving their earnings but this one will be later.2004-04-21
BUYIntelINTC-Q26.275At the beginning of the year, the stock looked overpriced. Has fallen by 30% and very close to be considered "not a bad buy".2004-04-21
BUYCGI Group (A)GIB.A-T8.570Looks interesting2004-04-21
BUYA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary21.450Feels there's a big enough safety buffer between the present price and what it's worth based on earnings.2004-04-21
DON'T BUYBarrick GoldABX-T28.050Looks particularly expensive.2004-04-21
WEAK BUYCognosCSN-T46.230Has been doing a relatively well during this period of technology weakness. Good fundamentals.2004-04-21
BUYIncoN-T44.000A wave of profit-taking has dropped a number of mining stocks. The global demand for base metals will probably last quite a while. The risk reward looks good.2004-04-21
BUYLoblawsL-T60.700Grocery stores have had a tough time in the last short while. A class act. Valuation is OK. Great management. Fantastic execution.2004-04-21
STRONG BUYA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary2.950Thinks it is fantastic value. Have been increasing their reserves.2004-04-21
DON'T BUYEncana CorpECA-T56.500Encana versus Suncor. Both have had pretty good runs recently. Not a great time to get in but would choose Suncor of the two because of their balance sheet and they generate a higher value for itself. Also has steadier growth.2004-04-21
BUYSuncor Energy IncSU-T34.300Encana versus Suncor. Both have had pretty good runs recently. Not a great time to get in but would choose Suncor of the two because of their balance sheet and they generate a higher value for itself. Also has steadier growth.2004-04-21
WEAK BUYHusky EnergyHSE-T27.850Thinks it looks OK. Whenever anything has that big a run, you have to be careful in case there is some potential for pullback and profit-taking.2004-04-21
BUYMethanex CorpMX-T15.100Trading at a pretty good discount from what it's worth. Has some regulatory issues. Fairly volatile.2004-04-21
TOP PICKGeneral Motors CorporationGM-N48.270Trading at a P/E of about 8. Dividend yield is a little over 4%.2004-04-21
TOP PICKBemis Company IncBMS-N25.710About 25% below what it's worth. Have a very good record of growing their earnings. Healthy return on equity of 14%.2004-04-21
TOP PICKBristol Myers SquibbBMY-N25.710About 25% below what it's worth. Have a very good record of growing their earnings. Healthy return on equity of 14%.2004-04-21
TOP PICKHealth Management AssociatesHMA-N23.100Have done a great job of growing their earnings year after year.2004-04-21
BUYBrascan CorporationBAM.LV.A-T50.000Still has 15/20% upside based on Falconbridge's earnings from nickel which should be good.2004-03-17
DON'T BUYBombardier Inc (B)BBD.B-T6.440Their reduction of over 6000 jobs will help shrink their balance sheet. Their operating estimate was out of line. If it reached $7, they would sell.2004-03-17
TOP PICKCanadian Pacific RailCP-T31.650Having trouble with labor costs. Analysts have been revising their earnings down. Trading at a level where previously it has found very good support. At a good entry point.2004-03-17
BUYAur ResourcesAUR-T6.850Based on where copper prices are now and, if they stay there, you have a great bargain in this stock.2004-03-17
BUYJohnson & JohnsonJNJ-N50.880There is competition in the stent market. The whole health-care sector is a bit of a puzzle. Has been executing very well, but money just doesn't seem to want to flow into health-care.2004-03-17
TOP PICKGeneral Motors CorporationGM-N46.490Has a P/E of 7+ which is significantly lower than the market. Very cheap.2004-03-17
BUYPetro-CanPCA-T58.100Trading at a discount from where they should be, using oil prices of mid to high $20's.2004-03-17
BUYTrans Canada CorpTRP-T29.150Doesn't see a huge amount of upside but, over a one-year period, you should see a nice dividend yield which would give you a return of 7/8%.2004-03-17
BUY on WEAKNESSCameco CorporationCCO-T60.400Getting vertically integrated by being uranium producers and looking to own utilities that use uranium. Would consider buying in the mid $40's or $50 level.2004-03-17
TOP PICKSouthwest AirlinesLUV-N13.660One of the best run companies in the US. Earnings have come under pressure from competition and higher fuel costs. If earnings were normalized, the P/E would be in the mid teens.2004-03-17
BUYRoyal BankRY-T62.870Looks like one of the cheaper banks. Good dividend. Have a very good return on equity.2004-03-17
DON'T BUYA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary1.240These stocks are worthless.2004-03-17
DON'T BUYAlcan AluminumAL-T59.100Trading at a 7/8% discount from what it is worth which is not enough to make it worthwhile buying.2004-03-17
WEAK BUYTransalta CorpTA-T18.190Has a big dividend, but doesn't think the stock is going anywhere. The dividend, so a place you can park some money.2004-03-17
BUYToronto DominionTD-T43.800Trading around 15% discount. Good solid risk-reward. Would buy at current price.2004-02-04
TOP PICKIGM Financial Inc.IGM-T33.130Good balance sheet, producing good earnings. Good discount.2004-02-04
SELLNortelNT-T10.000Slightly expense, relative to what it has been. Take profits. Buy it back at $7-8.2004-02-04
WEAK BUYBiovail Corp.BVF-T29.700Stock is cheap. We own. Upside of 20-25%2004-02-04
BUYTalisman EnergyTLM-T74.020Fair value. Keep it on your side, they're making money.2004-02-04
TOP PICKFannie MaeFNM-N77.700Evaluation is very attractive. Worth $100.2004-02-04
STRONG BUYGEAC ComputerGAC-T7.550Very attractive upside. High risk holding. One of the cheapest stocks. 40% upside2004-02-04
TOP PICKSobeysSBY-T34.070Should be worth closer to fair value of $40. Could go higher. Good company at great price.2004-02-04
BUYIncoN-T46.500Had huge run. Risky in the short run. Very cheap stock. Big enough margin of safety to look good. Watch earning trends.2004-02-04
WEAK BUYLaurentian BankLB-T28.8104% dividend. Cheaper stock. Worth a position.2004-02-04
HOLDBombardier Inc (B)BBD.B-T6.310Worth high $7's. If fundimentals dont change we will sell, If they improve it looks like a good hold.2004-02-04
BUYBiovail Corp.BVF-T26.090Offers upside potential, risky factors associated with it. Down because of tax loss selling.2003-12-23
WEAK BUYAngiotech PharmaceuticalsANP-T59.580Has a volatiltiy of earnings, trading higher than it should.2003-12-23
TOP PICKFannie MaeFNM-N72.980Turns out great earnings, ROE is fantanstic, very leveraged. Cheap on earnings basis, cheap on price too book, very attractive evaluation.2003-12-23
TOP PICKFannie MaeFNM-N72.980Turns out great earnings, ROE is fantanstic, very leveraged. Cheap on earnings basis, cheap on price too book, very attractive evaluation.2003-12-23
HOLDJohnson & JohnsonJNJ-N50.550They've been groeing their market share by 20% throughout the last 4 years. Trading at evaluation standards that are fantastic, looks attractive for long-term hold, Drug companies are undervalued., could see some good gains.2003-12-23
HOLDAESAES-N8.940Somewhat risky, levered balance sheet. Could see good upside.2003-12-23
DON'T BUYATI TechnologiesATY-T19.450Trading at fair value. Quite cyclical, near the top of the cycle. fully priced2003-12-23
SELLResearch In MotionRIM-T91.980Unpredictable earning stream2003-12-23
TOP PICKAlbertsons IncABS-N22.500earnings have had a dip over the past year. Has given a P/E of around 12. Very cheap2003-12-23
WEAK BUYCAE IncCAE-T5.770Trading at 30/35% then whats its worth, doesnt expect they will grow these earnings. Not the most stable stock in terms of day to day volatility.2003-12-23
BUYBombardier Inc (B)BBD.B-T5.270Have improved their balance sheet2003-12-23
TOP PICKMerck & CompanyMRK-N44.770trading at significantly less than fair value. Bad news on drug development. Dividends at 3.3%2003-12-23
DON'T BUYVivendi Universal (US)V-Nx23.680Current evaluation in excess of what its worth.2003-12-23
BUYPetroKazakhstan IncPKZ-T28.110Really cheap evaluation, The P/E is 5/6. Volatile stock. Pumping out cash.2003-12-23
STRONG BUYWashington Mutual IncWM-N45.850Has a price to earnings of 10. Great return on equity. Dividend of 3½%. Have been doing some very good things in marketing recently. Still has a fair valuation.2003-11-11
DON'T BUYResearch In MotionRIM-T59.040Barely making a profit. Well ahead of where it should be trading.2003-11-11
HOLDCGI Group (A)GIB.A-T7.450Good solid balance sheet structure. Their model suggests it should be 40% higher.2003-11-11
TOP PICKThermo Electron CorpTMO-N22.700Their model shows it in the top 50 of the S&P 500. Diversified product base. Earnings and ROE look excellent.2003-11-11
BUYBiovail Corp.BVF-T31.340Street wants to hate this stock. They've warned twice and have missed their earnings. Have some drugs that are performing better. Taking into account that earnings may have been aggressively stated, it is still trading cheaply.2003-11-11
BUYAxcan PharmaceuticalsAXP-T17.400Has a very good ROE. Efficient balance sheet structure. Continuing to grow their earnings. Valuation is reasonable.2003-11-11
STRONG BUYMerck & CompanyMRK-N43.870A fantastic time to be buying this stock. If the pharmaceutical industry reverts to anything near normal, this is a huge screaming buy.2003-11-11
TOP PICKHealth Management AssociatesHMA-N22.280Model shows it in the top 50 S&P 500. Usually buy up smaller hospitals in the rural districts and bring them into the fold for better pricing. Have a great history of growing earnings and ROE. Good price.2003-11-11
DON'T BUYStelco IncSTE-T1.200Steel industry is probably near the bottom of a cycle. Would prefer other companies. Fundamentals are poor.2003-11-11
HOLDEncana CorpECA-T46.000Natural gas prices have been declining, but should start improving. Would consider buying at $40 and would sell at $55.2003-11-11
TOP PICKAlbertsons IncABS-N19.750Model ranks it in the top 50 of the S&P 500. Feeling the pressure of competition from Wal-Mart and Costco as well that is having some labor problems. Should earn almost $2 a share next year.2003-11-11
BUYLoblawsL-T63.760Excellent retailers. Not a great value at these levels but a good growth stock. A good conservative holding.2003-11-11
HOLDBCE Inc.BCE-T29.340Trading at fair value.2003-11-11
SELLCinramCRW.UN-T28.050Earnings up 29% year-over-year. Has been a huge success story. Historically, it is at the point where it turned around in 1997/98.2003-11-11
DON'T BUYMicrosoftMSFT-Q25.810Trading at a slight discount to what it's worth. Has too much cash on the balance sheet. Don't expect huge growth.2003-11-11
BUYCompton PetroleumCMT-T5.750Market doesn't seem to care about them. Fair value would be 20/20 5% higher than where it is now.2003-10-01
BUYMicrosoftMSFT-Q28.620Did not participate in the recent Tech rally. Meets their general value criteria. Would own, but wouldn't expect the old days to come back.2003-10-01
BUYSunlife FinancialSLF-T29.950Has upside potential of 15%. Good consistent performer.2003-10-01
BUY on WEAKNESSManulife FinancialMFC-T38.500John Hancock acquisition was bought at a fair price. Synergies seem logical. Good management. US shareholders of John Hancock's will probably sell their shares which could give a real opportunity. Buy in the mid-$30.2003-10-01
DON'T BUYNortelNT-T5.700Turning the cusp to getting profitable again. Stock price has already exceeded what they would expect.2003-10-01
DON'T BUYBombardier Inc (B)BBD.B-T5.710It doesn't look like it's making enough money to support its stock price. Fundamentals may be improving, but slower than the stock price. 15/20% too high.2003-10-01
DON'T BUYBiovail Corp.BVF-T50.020Seems to have perpetual rumours that they are going to warn or will be called on for aggressive accounting issues in spite of recent successful product introductions. Not trading at a high valuation. There could be 10/15% downside.2003-10-01
HOLDMagna Int'l. (A)MG.A-T99.040Just spun off a realty division, which made their balance sheets look more attractive.2003-10-01
TOP PICKSuncor Energy IncSU-T25.190Has been left behind in the recent market boom. Extremely well-run business. Keeps generating cash2003-10-01
TOP PICKCVS Corp.CVS-N31.960Includes about 1500 drugstores. Their main competitor is Walgreens that has a valuation of almost twice this stock. Had some problems a year ago, but the price dropped more than it should have.2003-10-01
BUYNational Bank of CanadaNA-T35.690Market is backing this bank fairly well. Don't expect any fast gains. Reasonable dividend yield.2003-09-03
BUYHudson Bay Co.HBC-T9.050The price is very compelling and if they could just get a few things right, there could be a very significant capital gain.2003-09-03
BUYCostco WholesaleCOST-Q33.260Recently reported earnings disappointment based on employee health care costs. Slowly growing top line revenues. Valuation is very reasonable. Good sector.2003-09-03
BUYMDS IncMDS-T19.220Not sure why they are lagging.2003-09-03
BUYIntrawestITW-T18.110Debt heavy, so some risk. Trading at a substantial discount to what it’s worth. Can be volatile.2003-09-03
BUYA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary34.550Earnings growth has disappointed.2003-09-03
BUYCanadian National R.R.CNR-T75.240Nice increases in book value from earnings every quarter. Trading at a very fair valuation to what their balance sheet should be earning.2003-09-03
BUY on WEAKNESSBiovail Corp.BVF-T53.660More volatile than average health care stocks. Potential accounting issues. Not cheap. Earnings continue to grow. Buy around $50 with a target of high $50’s or $60. Use a tight stop/loss. A trading stock.2003-09-03
DON'T BUYBank of MontrealBMO-T46.240The banks are pretty fully valued now. Fully valued.2003-09-03
DON'T BUYATI TechnologiesATY-T20.600Has had an extremely good run, so would sell at this point. Can’t see the fundamentals improving nearly as fast as the market is suggesting right now.2003-09-03
DON'T BUYAlgoma SteelAGA-T2.960Expected to lose money in the next 2 quarters. Not a well run steel company.2003-09-03

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