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| Patricia Perez-Coutts of AGF Funds Inc. |
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| Toronto-Dominion Bank Tower 31st Floor |
| 66 Wellington Street West |
| Toronto ON |
| M5K 1E9 |
| 905-214-8203 |
| Patricia Perez-Coutts's website |
| Toll Free: 1-800-268-8583 |
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| tiger@agf.com |
| WATCH | China Mobile Hong Kong | CHL-N | 54.710 | Sold her holdings last year because she saw cracks in the horizon regarding profitability and future CapX. Penetration is almost there. Even the rural area, which was supposed to be the growth, is actually fully penetrated. Consider buying at about 30% less. 3% yield roughly. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| SELL | Embraer EmpresaBrasileira | ERJ-N | 34.650 | Since 2002, the company has had a declining path of returns. Returns now are below their cost of capital because of currency. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| BUY | Vale S.A. | VALE-N | 24.990 | One of her top 10 holdings. Commodity cycle will have to play itself out. However, outlook is still very strong because their main customers, the Chinese, have not dramatically reduced the consumption of steel. On a long-term view, you will be rewarded handsomely. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| DON'T BUY | China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. | SNP-N | 94.110 | When you are in the refinery business in China, you are losing out because they are unable to pass price increases down. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| BUY | Petroleo Bras Sa Petro | PBR-N | 48.040 | Production profile continues to be very strong. There may be some changes in taxation with the new oilfields. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| TOP PICK | All America Latina Logistica SA | ALLL11 Brazil | 0.010 | Has a virtual monopoly on the railroad transportation in all of Brazil. Rails are connected to mines and industrial production and ports. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| TOP PICK | Gerdau SA | GGB-N | 17.000 | Integrated steel company. Have some assets in North America. Very efficient in integrating R & R assets. In joining a very strong construction boom in Brazil. 5.2% yield. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| TOP PICK | Ports Design Limited | 589-HK | 0.010 | A Chinese apparel manufacturer that caters to the high-end Chinese female market. 25% same-store sales growth consistently for a number of years. 2.5% yield. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| DON'T BUY | China Telecom | CHA-N | 48.390 | Would not consider this stock. D rating because they have fixed assets that are continually being cannibalized. | 2008-09-03 | ||
| DON'T BUY | China Mobile Hong Kong | CHL-N | 68.660 | Sold her holdings when she saw little cracks on the horizon. These have now come into play. Includes changes in the regulatory environment. Government requires G3 implementation and they don’t have the CapX to do it. Also forced mergers by the government. Not sure of the sustainability of profits. Too expensive. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| BUY on WEAKNESS | Cemex SA | CX-N | 25.510 | Very strong global player. Has been hit with the slowdown in the US. Would consider buying at about $22. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Embraer EmpresaBrasileira | ERJ-N | 30.720 | Brazil’s very strong currency is not helping them in their exports. Airplanes are highly discretionary items. Could see a cut in dividends as a possibility. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Vale S.A. | VALE-N | 36.180 | (A Top Pick June 5/07. Up 59%.) Timing of the iron ore market is the leading catalyst for this one. The consumption trend for iron ore in emerging markets is very strong. Still a BUY. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| DON'T BUY | ICICI Bank Ltd. | IBN-N | 37.330 | Doesn’t seem to have any sub prime issues. Her rule of thumb on banks is to look for those with 2X Price to Book. This one is getting there. Not sure interest rate increases in India are over and this will have negative consequences on lending growth. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Turkish Economy: Strong emerging market in 2008 and for years to come. Stocks trade at about 8X forward earnings with very handsome dividend yields of about 4% and 5%. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| TOP PICK | Tenaris SA | TS-N | 63.110 | Manufactures pipes and tubes for drilling for oil and gas wells. Diversified globally. Long-term hold. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Tata Motors Ltd. | TTM-N | 12.250 | Used to be a darling of the Indian equity market. Not been able to reap the benefits of an improved execution. With the erosion of consumption, a lot of their products are not being sold. One division that is important is their trucking. Would like to see the Price/Book at a much more decent level. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Samsung Electronics | 005930-KS | 0.001 | (A Top Pick June 5/07. Up 29%.) Samsung. A unique company because of its ability to innovate. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | AMERICA MOVIL, S.A.B. DE C.V. | AMX-N | 55.000 | (A Top Pick June 5/07. Down 8%.) Largest cellular company in Mexico. Their capacity utilization of the network is superior to many other global ones. Very Bullish on this stock. | 2008-06-17 | ||
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| TOP PICK | Petroleo Brasileiro | PETR4-BZ | 0.010 | (Brazil Stock Exchange) Strong production profile for the next 8 to 10 years. Experts in the deep exploration business. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| TOP PICK | China Overseas Land | 688-HK | 0.010 | (Hong Kong Exchange) Homebuilder/developer in China. Chinese are buying homes, which is a very important trend in China that continues to unfold. Good price. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| BUY | Banco Bradesco SA | BBD-N | 22.650 | A great bank. 4.25% yield. Growing earnings at 25% to 30%. Lending growth in Brazil is very strong at no less than 22% year over year. Strong branch network, insurance, mutual funds. Very little sub prime issues in emerging markets. | 2008-06-17 | ||
| Comment | China Mobile Hong Kong | CHL-N | 46.510 | The bearer of the flag for that marketed. A government owned company, that will copy other technologies to their advantage. Rim being an example, which they've produced the "Red Berry". | 2007-06-05 | ||
| BUY | PetroChina | PTR-N | 135.900 | Has had to endure the correction in the oil price. There is an pressure upwards in the oil price. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| STRONG BUY | Taiwan Semiconductor MFG. | TSM-N | 10.830 | Gaining market share in the consumer sectors. Moving from being just an out sourcer to being a designer. Price target is about 15% from here. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| TOP PICK | Vale S.A. | VALE-N | 46.300 | Has good iron ore assets, strong growth ahead of itself. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| BUY | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | This show isn't about stocks so much as emerging markets, so there isn't much stock information available. An enormous revolution in emerging markets, but not as quantifiable. There is more of a maturity in the markets. Her top 3 favorite countries are Brazil, Thailand (3-5 year basis), and Korea. Is negative on the India economy of late. Inflation there is 6.3% (in Canada it's 2.5%) | 2007-06-05 | ||
| TOP PICK | Samsung Electronics | 005930-KS | 0.001 | (foreign exchange is SMSN-LI) Add up the top 5 technological Japanese companies, Samsung surpasses their growth, with a good cash flow. Strong brand name. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| WAIT | GRUMA SA DE CV | GMK-N | 13.790 | Very good company over time. The prices don't reflect the increase of the cost of the commodities. Wait for a better entry level. About another 15% decline from current rates. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| BUY | Petroleo Bras Sa Petro | PBR-N | 111.710 | Strong believers of Oil assets in Brazil. Very strong production profile. They are experts in deep ocean drilling. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| WAIT | Grupo Aeroportuario Pacifico | PAC-N | 48.470 | A bit on the expensive side. Most of the good news has already been realized in the price. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| Comment | OMEGA FINANCIAL CORP. | OMEF-Q | 27.840 | The restructuring in the banking system in Taiwan will continue. They often have the situation where the Chinese and Taiwanese government fighting, but the normal banking trend will prevail. | 2007-06-05 | ||
| TOP PICK | AMERICA MOVIL, S.A.B. DE C.V. | AMX-N | 62.280 | Gaining continus scale. Penetration is still going very strongly, as well as having several ventures in Brazil. | 2007-06-05 |
