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| Jaime Carrasco of Blackmont Capital |
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| DON'T BUY | Barrick Gold | ABX-T | 53.720 | Finds it too big for him. Peter Munk has too much say in its direction. Because they don't have any Canadian assets, this is questionable to him. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Agnico-Eagle Mines | AEM-T | 47.710 | Free cash flow of about $570 million. Production costs went from $500 range to $570. Suspended operations in the LaRonde mine but Meadobanks is starting to kick in. Good management. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| Comment | Canadian Oil Sands | COS-T | 21.110 | A solid way of participating in the oil patch but he prefers the mid tier ones that offer greater production and a better yield. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| TOP PICK | Enbridge | ENB-T | 35.100 | Continues to add this into his utilities/pipeline components. Dividend is a little lower than the others but is comfortable that it will grow. Nice conservative Buy. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| Comment | Potash Corp of Saskatchewan | POT-T | 47.450 | If you are a long-term focused investor and are looking for long-term investments, this is a great one. Will be a good blue-chip hold. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Suncor Energy Inc | SU-T | 32.360 | (A Top Pick Feb 18/11. Down 26.61%.) Likes this for the good exposure to oil, which continues to go up. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Viterra Inc | VT-T | 10.280 | Agriculture requires a bit of patience, but this is about feeding the world. His company controls a lot of the wage growth, processing and distribution. Great hold on a long-term basis. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Teck Resources Ltd. (B) | TCK.B-T | 38.310 | (A Top Pick Feb 18/11. Down 28.62%.) Sold about half his position. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| TOP PICK | CGX Energy Inc. | OYL-X | 0.920 | Oil. Drilling for elephants in northern South America. This company controls the 2nd biggest landholding of the whole play. There are a lot of big companies in the area. They should start drilling in the next couple of months. Has never seen anything with this kind of upside. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Markets. We are setting up for stagflation. A replay of what happened in Argentina and Brazil. Everywhere where governments get overloaded with debt, the only solution for them is to start printing money, devalue the currency which benefits hard assets. Expects US will have to raise the debt limit again pretty soon as they used up all that money. Gold is building a base around $1600 and thinks it's going much higher. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Silver Wheaton | SLW-T | 36.650 | (A Top Pick Feb 18/11. Down 4.38%.) Have introduced a dividend. Taking in a lot of money. Good cash flow and earnings. Still likes. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| Comment | First Majestic Silver | FR-T | 17.510 | Located in Mexico, which is a massive silver district. Management has proven that they can maintain production and continue to grow reserves. Silver prices are basing at $33 but will be much higher in 3 years out. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Atlantic Power Corp. | ATP-T | 13.790 | Produce electricity from natural gas for most of Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Maine. Margins are quite nice. Earnings just came out the loss of $.40 versus an expected gain of $.19. Yield of 8.3%. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Endeavour Silver Corp. | EDR-T | 12.150 | Silver. Operates in Mexico. Great management team. Just had stellar earnings. Continue to grow production and earnings. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Osisko Exploration Ltd. | OSK-T | 12.300 | Just reported profits of $40 million from the Malartic mine in Québec. This company is a start-up producer and as production kicks in, cost of production will come down. Good quality producer. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| SELL | Crocodile Gold Corp. | CRK-T | 0.405 | Gold. Located in Australia. Requires more infrastructure. If you own, consider repositioning your portfolio with tax loss selling. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| TOP PICK | Franco-Nevada Corp. | FNV-T | 43.100 | Gold. Held on very nicely during the volatility. Steady cash flow grower. Dividend continues to increase. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Claymore Global Agriculture ETF | COW-T | 21.030 | A great way to own the agricultures. Gives exposure to 35 of the world's biggest companies. Agriculture is a long-term play. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Sandstorm Resources Ltd. | SSL-X | 1.440 | Gold streaming company same as Silver Wheaton (SLW-T) is to silver. A great way to participate in gold without exposure to mining risks. Just came out with earnings and they had record gold sales and cash flow. | 2011-11-11 | ||
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| BUY | Trelawney Mining | TRR-X | 3.630 | Stock is down, but at this price it is a good entry point. Disappointed in their money raising as they didn't need it with their $90 million in the bank. World-class asset. Have a 43101 for 4.3 million shares. Continue to drill out and uncovering more gold. Could be a takeout candidate. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | RX Exploration | RXE-X | 0.300 | Small gold/silver operation that he really likes. Restarting a mine in Montana. Expect they should produce 30,000-40,000 ounces next year at an average cost of about $800. | 2011-11-11 | ||
| BUY | Barrick Gold | ABX-T | 49.370 | Buying it. Likes it. Has done a lot to clean shop, got rid of hedges. Likes that it is trading at a discount to the historical spread to gold and they have some production uptake. Copper is controversial but not turning him off the stock. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | Agnico-Eagle Mines | AEM-T | 66.510 | (Top Pick Apr 29/10, Down 1.5%) New mines coming on line. Alaska mine had snags but are now running. It will be quite Accretive. <$500 an oz costs. Very profitable. He sees very little risk. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | Silver Standard Resources Inc. | SSO-T | 26.230 | (Top Pick Apr 29/10, Down 21.36%) 3 mines coming in. Silver is going much higher. Buy producers rather than commodity. Price of commodity is rising much faster than the cost. Energy is staying put. This is about redefining value of currencies. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| N/A | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Market: Gold for the next two years will be heading higher because of fed policies. Gold is not going up, money is de-valuing. Gold stocks are trading at a discount to the price of gold. More and more people are waking up to the fact that they have to h edge the currencies. We are watching global currency fluctuations and gold is the only hedge. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| BUY | Silver Wheaton | SLW-T | 37.650 | A streaming company. Bought all by products from gold and silver companies and refine them. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| BUY | Penn West Petroleum | PWT-T | 17.420 | Maintains it as outperform but just lowered his estimate. Not a bad play. At this price it is very cheap. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| BUY | Endeavour Silver Corp. | EDR-T | 10.810 | Owned for a long time. Likes the fact they have good production coming in. It has to catch up to the commodity for starters. Lots of production increases coming up. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| WAIT | Detour Gold | DGC-T | 34.000 | Great deposit in Northern Ontario. He would rather play the discovery and then go back in when they are in production. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| BUY | Canada Lithium Corp. | CLQ-T | 0.560 | First lithium producer in North America. It takes under a week to get it to market vs 2 years in Chili. Drill results that just came out look very, very good. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| BUY | Western Potash | WPX-T | 1.170 | A pretty good asset. Potash will continue to be an important asset through out the world. Not a bad deal. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | Trelawney Mining | TRR-X | 3.970 | (Top Pick Apr 29/10, Down 12.33%) This is a very good takeover candidate for any of the majors. Big deposits like this are just not found. Keep coming out with consistent results – and property is quite big. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| BUY | Stonegate Agricom Ltd | ST-T | 1.120 | Likes the story. Growth story. Two potentially very big deposits and they have proved out other assets throughout time. He focuses more on precious metals right now. | 2011-08-25 | ||
| TOP PICK | Agnico-Eagle Mines | AEM-T | 59.790 | Very bullish on gold. You will get appreciation on the commodity but also on the rise in production. Have new mines that are opening up and going into production. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| BUY | Connacher Oil and Gas | CLL-T | 1.160 | Average refineries in North America are about 92 years old and were built for a 40-year life span. Their refinery produces jet and higher grade fuels so margins should do quite well. Also have their debt in US dollars. Well diversified. Has a $2 target on this one. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| BUY | Potash Corp of Saskatchewan | POT-T | 53.540 | Fertilizers are the only way to get more food out of the land. Agriculture will be a great investment over the next couple of years. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Suncor Energy Inc | SU-T | 38.390 | (A Top Pick Feb 18/11. Down 14.68%.) Great assets on a long term basis. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| BUY | Viterra Inc | VT-T | 10.830 | Likes. Seem to have some issues with the growing season, however on the food transportation they did quite well. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Teck Resources Ltd. (B) | TCK.B-T | 46.290 | (A Top Pick Feb 18/11. Down 16.74%.) Likes their diversification. | 2011-06-14 | ||
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| TOP PICK | Silver Standard Resources Inc. | SSO-T | 24.880 | Very bullish on gold. You will get appreciation on the commodity but also on the rise in production. Have new mines that are opening up and going into production. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Natural Gas. Bullish on this commodity. As oil prices continue to run up, there will be more conversion of electricity coming out of natural gas. Prices are cheap. If you can find companies that are paying good dividends and have good cash flow, they will survive through this trough. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Silver Wheaton | SLW-T | 30.420 | (A Top Pick Feb 18/11. Down 22.69%.) Process silver at about $4. Still likes. Very little exploration exposure. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| HOLD | Osisko Exploration Ltd. | OSK-T | 14.280 | Likes the company. Just getting into production and he tends to shy away at this stage as it will take time for the mine to fully kick in. He prefers the bigger producers. Good management and good property. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| Comment | Lundin Mining Corp. | LUN-T | 6.690 | Expecting management will focus more on organic growth and some acquisition opportunities. Would prefer Teck Resources (TCK.B-T) instead, which has better leverage. He is currently underweight on base metals. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| Comment | Excellon Res Inc. | EXN-T | 0.780 | Silver producer in Mexico. Great asset and has production growth and good discovery potential. Just sold his holdings to concentrate on companies that will recover the fastest. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Chesapeake Energy Corp. | CHK-N | 28.980 | Likes natural gas producers when they are cheap but he is bearish on the US$ so doesn’t like the US stocks. Cdn companies will give you much more bang for your buck. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| BUY | Colossus Minerals Inc. | CSI-T | 7.530 | Have a discovery in Brazil, a jurisdiction that he likes. This discovery continues to get bigger and bigger. His company has a $14 target on it. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| TOP PICK | Trelawney Mining | TRR-X | 4.250 | Have a discovery in Timmins. Good drill results. Very bullish on gold. Have only drilled on about 30% of the property so there is still a lot of upside. Good takeover target. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| BUY | Tonbridge Power | TBZ-X (Dead) | 1.430 | Building the power lines between Lethbridge Alberta and Montana. Project should be finished sometime towards the end of this year and then they are going to start supplying the electricity for it. Had some issues with execution but it was a big project. Have about 650 megawatts of contracts. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| BUY | Stonegate Agricom Ltd | ST-T | 1.180 | Phosphate deposits in Idaho and Peru seem to be quite big. Good management. | 2011-06-14 | ||
| TOP PICK | Agnico-Eagle Mines | AEM-T | 65.920 | Well diversified and good management. Bringing 2 mines into production tight now. Good entry point. Target is $90. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| BUY | Agrium | AGU-T | 85.760 | One of his top agricultural holdings. It’s about feeding 7 billion people. Agricultural land on a long term basis is one of those things that will be needed. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| BUY | Canadian Natural Rsrcs | CNQ-T | 44.510 | Some of the oil stocks seem to be lagging the price of oil. Why? Thinks institutional investors think that these things are in a bubble and don’t believe they are going to be as profitable and commodities won’t continue moving up. He disagrees. It’s all about the US$ (which is the currency we trade globally) and its depreciation. This one is a very good buy because oil prices continue to go up. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| DON'T BUY | AuRico Gold Inc | AUQ-T | 10.350 | He has a target price of $10 so feels it is fully valued. He is neutral on this one. With this one, you mainly get the rise in the price of the commodity. There are others that look better. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| Comment | Goldcorp Inc | G-T | 52.890 | His company has Goldcorp as an outperform with a $70 target but he prefers the mid-tiers as they will give more production upside. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Northland Power Inc | NPI-T | 15.990 | (A Top Pick April 14/10 Up 27.68%.) Likes the utilities because of the cash flow they are paying. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Precision Drilling | PD-T | 14.330 | Current price fully reflects the earnings out to 2012. Likes the drillers and the servicing companies but prefers others. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| BUY | Teck Resources Ltd. (B) | TCK.B-T | 51.430 | Great proxy for the global economy. Japan has massive restructuring to be done and there’s growth in China, South America and India. Thinks his company has an $83 target. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Vermilion Energy Inc | VET-T | 50.800 | (A Top Pick April 14/10 Up 50.81%.) Had a good growth portfolio on the ground and through exploration. With this you get the price of oil plus exploration growth. Still a Hold. | 2011-04-29 | ||
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| TOP PICK | Silver Standard Resources Inc. | SSO-T | 32.910 | Has 3 mines coming into production over the next 2 years. BMO analyst has a $39 target on it but that’s on $17 silver and doesn’t take into account that the 3 mines are coming into production. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| HOLD | Yamana Gold Inc. | YRI-T | 12.060 | Great company but he prefers others. Has a pretty diversified portfolio. Gold is going much higher and institutional money will come. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Precious Metals. Gold and silver are not in a bubble, but are just reflecting the reality of the US$. The index he watches shows the dollar right at the bottom. Even though Bernanke is not going to continue QE2, they have to keep buying the debt. $ is too low to raise rates yet. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Silver still has a lot of room to grow. Comparing it to gold back to the 1980’s it should be much higher than where it is. This week the COMEX raised margin rates twice against silver. They are forcing the silver market down in any way shape or form. Expects the futures will well overtake the paper. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Silver Wheaton | SLW-T | 38.500 | Has been one of his core holdings for a long time. This is a proxy for the price of silver. You’ll get upside on the price of silver but you’ll not get production uptake. Better to diversify over to the growth stories of mines coming in to production. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| DON'T BUY | PetroBakken Energy | PBN-T | 17.960 | Shed his position awhile ago because he thinks production growth has topped out. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| TOP PICK | Trelawney Mining | TRR-X | 4.540 | Cote (?) Lake is the key. Just came out with a 43101 for 4.3 million ounces. This is only 50% of the drilling that has already been done, so this continues to grow. In a good jurisdiction (Ontario). Will be a good takeover candidate. RBC has a $7 target. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Tonbridge Power | TBZ-X (Dead) | 1.710 | (A Top Pick April 14/10 Down 29.92%.) Building an electric pipeline between Montana and Lethbridge Alberta. Once that is constructed and the electricity starts to flow, revenue will start to come. NAV is $2.50. Ready to Buy more when he sells other stocks. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| BUY | Stonegate Agricom Ltd | ST-T | 1.330 | Have huge phosphate deposits in Idaho and a larger one in Peru. Just getting all the work started to quantify how much is there. One of the few juniors in the agricultural space that he is comfortable with. | 2011-04-29 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Agnico-Eagle Mines | AEM-T | 70.260 | (A Top Pick Dec 11/09. Up 7.11%.) Still likes. A value stock. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Agrium | AGU-T | 92.010 | (A Top Pick Dec 11/09. Up 37.57%.) Likes the food complex. A long term story. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| BUY | Connacher Oil and Gas | CLL-T | 1.400 | Likes it because they have a refinery and refinery capacity is one of the issues in the energy complex. Average age of refineries is around 89 years and new ones are not being built in North America. Have some pretty good assets. Working with some fracing to increase production. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| BUY | Canadian Oil Sands | COS-T | 29.590 | On the oil sands, price of production will go down. Initial costs of building the plants are their biggest expense but after that costs decrease. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| Comment | Eldorado Gold | ELD-T | 17.180 | Eldorado (ELD-T) or Kinross (K-T)? All of the seniors have a pretty good leverage to the price of gold and are trading at a huge discount to $1,300. You want ones like these that are going to have the biggest pick up in production. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| Comment | Kinross Gold | K-T | 16.250 | Eldorado (ELD-T) or Kinross (K-T)? All of the seniors have a pretty good leverage to the price of gold and are trading at a huge discount to $1,300. You want ones like these that are going to have the biggest pick up in production. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Potash Corp of Saskatchewan | POT-T | 59.170 | Prefers smaller companies because that is where takeovers are going to happen. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| TOP PICK | Suncor Energy Inc | SU-T | 44.280 | Expecting money to flow into the oil sector over the next year because of the lack of performance in relation to the price of oil. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| TOP PICK | Teck Resources Ltd. (B) | TCK.B-T | 54.330 | It’s time to start adding base metals and this is a great way to play it. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| BUY | Vermilion Energy Inc | VET-T | 49.380 | Starting to move more money into the energy side. Has noticed a lot of companies haven’t moved although the price of oil has moved up. This one is outperforming. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | TSX Group | X-T | 41.010 | (A Top Pick Dec 11/09. Up 41.82%.) Sold his holdings. Trying to figure out the proposed implications of the merger with the London Stock Exchange. | 2011-02-18 | ||
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| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Devaluation of currencies will affect on precious metals, commodities and the world around us. The spread today is about the US$. Over the next 2 years he will price in the reality of what the US$ is really worth. Investors can benefit from figuring out where it is going and how to position themselves. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| TOP PICK | Silver Wheaton | SLW-T | 38.680 | They have long term contracts to buy silver that gold companies mine but can’t refine. No exploration risks, they just produce. Cost of production is only about $4 an ounce. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| BUY | First Majestic Silver | FR-T | 14.010 | Mid tier-silver producer. Cost of production is very low. Thinks silver is going higher. Expects amalgamation will be taking place in silver. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| BUY | Pengrowth Energy | PGF-T | 12.420 | Cash flow will continue so it’s a great Hold. They are growing reserves but it’s not going to be that much to the bottom line because it’s a very big company. You will get the leverage on the price of oil. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Centamin Egypt | CEE-T | 2.030 | Doesn’t think the political risk is going to get better. He prefers looking at investments going north/south with North America and Latin America. Also a little bit of Asia. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Market Vectors Agribusinesses E.T.F. | MOO-N | 56.890 | Agriculture ETF. Good way to play the sector but would caution on the currency. Buying in Cdn$, which is going up could limit your gains. Prefers Claymore’s Global Agriculture ETF (COW-T). | 2011-02-18 | ||
| HOLD | Excellon Res Inc. | EXN-T | 1.080 | Thinks silver is going much higher. This one is more speculative but he likes it. Has a producing mine in Mexico. Good production numbers. Chances of a pretty good discovery on another property. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| Comment | Western Potash | WPX-T | 1.610 | Would measure these types of stocks on their reserve life and the cost of production. This one seems to be in a good location. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| BUY | Trelawney Mining | TRR-X | 4.130 | Have a mine in place but are having some pretty good discoveries on another property. About 50% of the drill results have been reported. Have a low grade open pit mine. Numbers keep coming in pretty steady. There is a resource estimate coming out in the next couple of months. | 2011-02-18 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Agrium | AGU-T | 64.500 | (A Top Pick March 13/09. Up 46.98%.) | 2010-04-14 | ||
| BUY | Connacher Oil and Gas | CLL-T | 1.700 | Well diversified. Have a fairly new refinery in the US that is quite profitable. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Connacher Oil and Gas | CLL-T | 1.700 | (A Top Pick March 13/09. Up 138%.) Convertible bond 4.75% due to thousand and 12. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Canadian Oil Sands | COS-T | 31.180 | (A Top Pick March 13/09. Up 43.32%.) Rotated out of this into some others. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| TOP PICK | Northland Power Inc | NPI-T | 13.630 | Likes utilities. Yield of almost 8%. Low risk. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| BUY | Viterra Inc | VT-T | 9.180 | There are 2 ways to play the food story. This one basically owns grains. The other side are the fertilizers. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| HOLD | Talisman Energy | TLM-T | 17.320 | Just got rid of their non-core assets and raised $1.9 billion and are going to concentrate on the shale gas plays. Rates it as an outperform. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| TOP PICK | Vermilion Energy Inc | VET-T | 35.660 | In the Cardium area of Alberta where they are uncovering quite a lot of resources. Dividend is sustainable and continues to increase, Continue to grow their earnings. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| Comment | Uranium One Inc. | UUU-T | 2.590 | Uranium will be key in the energy sector in the next 20 years. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| Comment | Lake Shore Gold | LSG-T | 3.060 | Acquired West Timmins. Their problem now is that they are going into production which requires financing. This takes years. Would rather own other producers. | 2010-04-14 | ||
| DON'T BUY | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Would buying the US$ be a good investment? Thinks the US$ is going a lot lower as it is the only way they can deal with the mounting liabilities. | 2010-04-14 | ||
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| SELL | Delphi Energy Corp. | DEE-T | 2.580 | Montney play. Rates this as a neutral right now because of the gas weighting. At some point, natural gas will be a good buy. If you own, consider making a switch to something that has more oil until gas prices come around. | 2010-04-14 |