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Dean Orrico of Middlefield Capital Corp.

Opinions from Dean Orrico

TOP PICKCrescent Point Energy TrustCPG.UN-T23.960About 35% of its production comes from a relatively new but promising Bakken field in southeast Saskatchewan. Good growth profile.2008-01-29
TOP PICKVermilion Energy TrustVET.UN-T34.600Has production in France, Netherlands and Australia where it is producing much more economically than in Canada. Lowest payout ratio in the sector.2008-01-29
TOP PICKZargon Energy TrustZAR.UN-T19.990Gas weighted. Relatively small but very conservative management team. Acquired Rival Energy last year. Low payout ratio.2008-01-29
PAST TOP PICKMullen Group Income FundMTL.UN-T15.510(A Top Pick Nov 10/06. Down 10% including distributions.) Still likes. Generally avoids transportation, but this company does it well. Well positioned to take advantage of a huge and continued expenditure in Alberta, building out the oil sands assets and infrastructure. Thinks 12% distribution for 08 will remain intact.2008-01-29
PAST TOP PICKCanadian Oil Sands TrustCOS.UN-T36.310(A Top Pick Nov 10/06. Up 24.8% including distributions.) Excellent company. Basically a cash-generating machine. Should be a core holding in any energy portfolio. Still a Buy.2008-01-29
PAST TOP PICKBFI Canada Income FundBFC.UN-T24.250(A Top Pick Nov 10/06. Up 5.8% including distributions.) Waste management. Still likes. A relatively recession resistant business. Low payout ratio.2008-01-29
BUYEnerplus Resources FundERF.UN-T38.200First oil/gas trust that was formed. 13 year reserve life. Recently has not performed as well as some of its competitors. Income will continue to be high. Given the nature of assets, management feels the best use of their cash flow is not to reinvest, but to pay out to its investors. Don't expect huge growth.2008-01-29
BUYNAL Oil & Gas TrustNAE.UN-T12.160Has good capital behind it if it needs to make acquisitions. Distribution is sustainable in 08. Stock has been beaten up and this is a good entry point, giving a 12%/13% yield. Well run.2008-01-29
DON'T BUYHarvest Energy TrustHTE.UN-T21.950Has stumbled in the past. Became more negative on it when it bought the refinery in Newfoundland. Refinery business is very difficult to run a lack of sustainability of cash flow. 90% payout ratio so he could see a distribution cut.2008-01-29
CommentOilsands Quest Inc.BQI-A3.430Have oil sands assets in Saskatchewan. This is a newer area for oil sands. This company is not bad, but his focus is on some of the newer oil sands areas but through the private arena.2008-01-29
BUYArc Energy TrustAET.UN-T22.180Very well run business. Conservative management team on a relative basis. Well positioned to replace production this year and maintain current distributions.2008-01-29
CommentChartwell Seniors housingCSH.UN-T9.930This REIT has struggled since inception. Payout ratio is over 100%, which is usually a negative. Put itself up for sale unsuccessfully last year. Expect someone will take the business out as it has good assets. Hard to tell if there will be a cut in distributions.2008-01-29
BUYProgress Energy TrustPGX.UN-T11.550Gas weighted. If you are looking for natural gas exposure and trying to get some high yield, this is a great name.2008-01-29
DON'T BUYTrilogy Energy TrustTET.UN-T7.200Gas weighted. Relatively short reserve life. Has a history of putting distributions. Instability historically.2008-01-29
BUYUTS EnergyUTS-T5.190Have done a good job with some good partners and taking their project up to the next level. Have also started some leases on their own outside of their partnership with PetroCanada (PCA-T). A good name to own if you are looking for exposure to oil sands.2008-01-29
DON'T BUYSuperior Plus Income FundSPF.UN-T11.260Sold most of his holdings near its highs. Original CEO, one of the best in the trusts, is back in the saddle and focused on the business. This won't be a high yield investment.2008-01-29
BUYNexen IncNXY-T32.470This is a buying opportunity. Large cap blue chip player. Has natural gas, oil sands producer. Lots of upside in this name. Just be patient, it will do well in the long term.2007-06-14
HOLDBaytex Energy TrustBTE.UN-T20.900Heavy oil player. Higher costs. The management team has done a really good job on de-risking it. 2007-06-14
BUYUranium Focused Energy FundUF.UN-T9.350Excited about this uranium, because the only viable long term solution for electrical power generation is nuclear, and the only commercial fuel for a nuclear reactor is uranium. Canada is in a good position since it is the worlds leading producer of uranium. Think we are in the very early stages of high prices. (5 to 10 years). 2007-06-14
BUYUTS EnergyUTS-T5.750Be careful and look at each of these projects. UTS is a good way to get exposure to the oil sands business. 2007-06-14
BUYYellow Pages Income FundYLO.UN-T14.180You've seen some softness in the market right across the board. If you are interested in income, this company is as good as it gets. Their strategy is that they will continue to maintain their 1.09 distribution and increasing their cash flow, so that by 2011, they will be able to pay the new taxes, and still maintain their 1.09 distribution. Are making efforts to grow their online business.2007-06-14
PAST TOP PICKVermilion Energy TrustVET.UN-T34.510Oct 6 2006 Then $33.20 There is a continuity of management. Still likes them.2007-06-14
PAST TOP PICKArc Energy TrustAET.UN-T22.740Then $25.39 Continues to be a great company. Pay out high yields. 2007-06-14
PAST TOP PICKCrescent Point Energy TrustCPG.UN-T20.180Then $17.60 At the time they were in the middle of their transaction to buy Mission Oil and gas. That has concluded now, and he feels that this is still a good entry point for this stock.2007-06-14
BUYCanadian Oil Sands TrustCOS.UN-T31.810Not a takeover target. Have owned it for about 10 years now. If you are in this for the long haul, buy it and put it away.2007-06-14
BUYPengrowth Energy Trust (A)PGF.A-T25.300The name has been around for a long time. Have recently hired on some good people and made some good acquisitions, and are now positioned to make some good organic growth.2007-06-14
DON'T BUYTrue Energy TrustTUI.UN-T6.250One of the lower quality trusts. Post Halloween tried to convert back into a corporation, but because of a nasty proxy battle, they were forced to remain as a trust and continue to pay out the high yield. Stems from disappointment of investors, in the management teams.2007-06-14
TOP PICKMullen Group Income FundMTL.UN-T18.380Has been hit by about 15% since Oct 31, but continues to be one of the dominant logistics players in Alberta. Will be a primary player in the western sedimentary basin. 2006-11-10
TOP PICKCanadian Oil Sands TrustCOS.UN-T29.65035 year plus reserve life. Just completed stage 3 expansion. Q3 numbers show production levels of close to 125,000 barrels a day. Expects to see cash flow ramp up here.2006-11-10
TOP PICKBFI Canada Income FundBFC.UN-T24.850(A Top Pick June 23/06. Down 7.2%.) A good quality business trust. 4th or 5th largest waste management in North America. Q3 numbers show a 12% increase in Canada and 10% in the US.2006-11-10
PAST TOP PICKCrescent Point Energy TrustCPG.UN-T16.120(A Top Pick June 23/06. Down 25.7%.) Still likes. Resource play in southern Saskatchewan. Good quality management. Relatively low payout ratio. Good assets.2006-11-10
PAST TOP PICKChartwell Seniors housingCSH.UN-T13.800(A Top Pick June 23/06. Up 2.1%.) Four years will give them time to re-structure their business to change their tax.2006-11-10
CommentA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020Downside: - This has to be looked at on a case-by-case basis. If 100% of the cash flow is income, then the value will go down by the tax of 31.5%. A lot of the trusts have tax pools. E.g. on energy trusts it is only the taxable portion that is subject to 31.5% in 2011.2006-11-10
CommentBell AliantBA.UN-T28.320Possibility of further volatility. Volatility in the early days seems to be in the big liquid names. It is fundamentally sound and will continue to pay out high levels of income.2006-11-10
CommentA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020De-conversions: - Expects you’ll see the dust settle first. It will probably be some of the more senior players leading the way. One of the issues is that when they converted to a trust, it was a taxable event and the government received a one-time capital gains tax form investors. Will they tax again on the way out?2006-11-10
CommentA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020Buy/Sell Income Trusts? – There will be some attractive buying opportunities due to a lot of panic selling.2006-11-10
CommentYellow Pages Income FundYLO.UN-T12.130Big liquid issuers suffered a sell-off as investors who wanted out, sold off the most liquid issue first. Good stability of cash flow.2006-11-10
CommentA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020Timing: - Could be some additional downside between now and December 31st, partially due to tax-loss selling by individual investors as well as US selling. 2006-11-10
CommentA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020Hybrid Income Trusts: - Companies like Student Transportation (STB.UN-T) or Keystone (KNA.UN-T) are not captured by the legislation. Doubts if you’ll see income trusts converting into hybrid trusts.2006-11-10
HOLDTeranet Income FundTF.UN-T8.650Continues to like this one. A good business with a monopoly position in the Ontario Land Registry. The fundamentals of this business will continue to drive higher levels of cash flow and you may be able to see them build some tax pools before 2011. Very high competitive yield.2006-11-10
CommentA Comment -- General Comments From an ExpertA Commentary0.020Junior oil/gas: - Expect they will really feel the affect of this. Typically, when they start to get near the 10,000 BOE’s a day, exit and sell to an oil/gas trust and then went back into a junior. An effective allocation of capital. This will create less demand for the juniors.2006-11-10
CommentNewalta Income FundNAL.UN-T26.550Waste oil recovery. This business will continue to be strong, as the energy market should continue to be strong. Low payout ratio and low debt.2006-11-10
CommentCCS Income TrustCCR.UN-T35.300Basically dominates the oil field waste business. Expects the energy market should continue strong, so this should do well.2006-11-10
PAST TOP PICKProgress Energy TrustPGX.UN-T15.250(A Top Pick Mar 10/06. Down 7.5%.) A good quality, gas weighted trust. Expects it to continue to perform well.2006-10-06
PAST TOP PICKCathedral Energy Services Income TrustCET.UN-T8.750(A Top Pick Mar 10/06. Down 19%.) A smaller name, so more volatility. Law payout ratio and little debt on the balance sheet.2006-10-06
PAST TOP PICKCCS Income TrustCCR.UN-T35.600(A Top Pick Mar 10/06. Down 6.5%.) Great company. Would be one of his best oil service insurers in his portfolio.2006-10-06
TOP PICKVermilion Energy TrustVET.UN-T33.200Has about 60% of its business offshore. 40% payout ratio. Well positioned from a downside perspective. There will be a lot of growth, particularly outside of Canada.2006-10-06
TOP PICKArc Energy TrustAET.UN-T25.390One of the top management teams in the trust sector. About 2-3 years of drilling inventory. Hasn't had to resort to acquisitions.2006-10-06
TOP PICKCrescent Point Energy TrustCPG.UN-T17.600Has been pretty beaten up because of an acquisition of Mission Oil and Gas. He can see some real upside on this with a real growth in reserves..2006-10-06
DON'T BUYAdvantage Energy Income FundAVN.UN-T12.690This one wouldn't be a name he would include in his portfolio right now. He actually had a short position earlier this year. Gas weighted, high payout ratio and a relatively high amount of debt.2006-10-06
DON'T BUYDaylight Energy TrustDAY.UN-T11.580Merged with Sequoia (SQE.UN-T). He would be very cautious about this one. Relatively high payout ratio. Gas weighted. Relatively low reserve life.2006-10-06
BUYPenn West Energy TrustPWT.UN-T38.820A great long-term hold in a portfolio. There may be a cut in distributions in the short-term as they like to operate in a 60% payout ratio rather than an 80% payout ratio as they are now. Doesn't think the market will be overly concerned with a cut.2006-10-06
DON'T BUYThunder Energy TrustTHY.UN-T6.950This resulted from three companies merging into a trust. This is typically a recipe for disaster. Management continuing on, doesn't have much knowledge of the new business.2006-10-06
BUYMullen Group Income FundMTL.UN-T27.880A dominant player in the oil services. A very good-quality holding. Represents good value in this market.2006-06-23
BUYCanadian Oil Sands TrustCOS.UN-T32.400Will continue to be strong based on high oil prices. Attempting to secure a natural gas by making an offer for Canada Southern. A good price.2006-06-23
HOLDCanetic Resources TrustCNE.UN-T22.000Just completed its acquisition of Starpoint. Basically, it is an aggregation of a bunch of different companies and assets. Would like to see how they integrate these assets before buying.2006-06-23
SELLTree Island Wire Income FundTIL.UN-T8.570Highly tied to the construction industry. Has come off quite a bit in the last little while. Payout ratio is very high. High risk.2006-06-23
DON'T BUYRetirement Residences REITRRR.UN-T7.520Has been forced into putting itself up for sale. They have been notorious over payers. If a buyer does not materialise, there will probably be a distribution cut.2006-06-23
WAITC.I.Fund ManagementCIX-T30.290Canada's largest independent income fund. Converting into an income trust. Yield would probably be in the 6.5/6.8% range. Before buying, delve into the outlook as a trust for their business and their ability to grow.2006-06-23
BUYBonavista Energy TrustBNP.UN-T33.140Has had a decent pullback and is at a good price. High quality management team. Superb track record.2006-06-23
BUYYellow Pages Income FundYLO.UN-T15.900An excellent income trust. Have a dominant position in their market. Low capital expenditure requirements. Relatively low payout ratio.2006-06-23
BUYPeyto Energy TrustPEY.UN-T23.280Has a very high level of confidence in the management team. Very focused. 80/85% natural gas. 60% payout ratio. Reserve life of about 19 years.2006-06-23
PAST TOP PICKPrecision Drilling Corp.PD.UN-T34.600(A Top Pick Feb 3/06. Down 10%.) Expect that prices will move up in the latter half of the year. Service companies are a lot more volatile than their oil/gas counterparts. The #1 driller in Canada. Still likes.2006-06-23
PAST TOP PICKPenn West Energy TrustPWT.UN-T41.920(A Top Pick Feb 3/06. Up 3%.) Just got listed on the New York stock exchange. Has held up very well during this market correction. Have a significant land base as well as some assets in the oil sands.2006-06-23
TOP PICKCrescent Point Energy TrustCPG.UN-T21.770(A Top Pick Feb 3/06. No change.) Oil weighted. Aggressive management team. Focused on acquisitions in Saskatchewan. 11.1 years reserve life which is better than average. A very good entry point.2006-06-23
BUYIPC US Income Commercial REITIUR.UN-T9.700Owns US office properties. Have done a very good job in creativity and generating value for shareholders. Good quality management team. Research on it is limited. Do not have an overweight exposure on this, but a good way to play real estate outside of Canada.2006-06-23
DON'T BUYTeranet Income FundTF.UN-T9.650They try to give exposure to a broad array of different types of relatively small to mid-market companies. Questions some of the companies they have acquired.2006-06-23
BUYCCS Income TrustCCR.UN-T36.000Own about 60% of the oilfield waste management industry in western Canada. Dominant in their space. Good defensive play in the oil/gas sector. Make good acquisitions on an accretive basis.2006-06-23
DON'T BUYCineplex Galaxy Income FundCGX.UN-T13.790Can't get too excited about this industry. You are a reliant on their movie releases which has too much volatility in it. Competitive.2006-06-23
BUYVermilion Energy TrustVET.UN-T32.250Good quality holding. They have been effectively able to grow their asset base on an accretive basis. Off shore oil and gas. You could see a distribution increase later this year.2006-06-23
BUYDavis & Henderson Income FundDHF.UN-T17.140Made an acquisition that is primarily involved in the brokerage business. The stock has fallen off quite a bit. There should be continued growth and thinks the stock has been oversold. Good value at these prices.2006-06-23
BUYNewalta Income FundNAL.UN-T30.100Owns about 40% of the oilfield waste management industry in western Canada. Represents a more defensive play in the oil/gas business. Expanding into other types of waste industries which is a positive.2006-06-23
DON'T BUYNew Flyer Industries Inc.NFI.UN-T8.350Manufacturer of transit buses. Most of their orders come from municipalities and they can be quite fickle. That has been a concern. There was recently a work stoppage at one of their plants and was closed for a number of weeks so guidance was reduced. Too risky for him.2006-06-23
CommentPengrowth Energy Trust (B)PGF.B-T25.140As other trusts were running down their payout ratios, this one continued to pay on a relatively high level and relied on acquisitions to replace production. That model doesn't work any more. They are now changing. From a fundamental basis, they are improving.2006-06-23
TOP PICKBFI Canada Income FundBFC.UN-T27.350One of the better quality business trusts. 5th largest waste management company in North America. Made a number of tuck-in acquisitions but have also acquired some landfill companies. Should continue to see growth. Pullback gives a good buying opportunity.2006-06-23
TOP PICKChartwell Seniors housingCSH.UN-T13.500The senior care part of the REIT sector has been really hammered over the last few months. They know how to grow their asset base outside of Ontario and Canada. Sees some very positive trends in this company. Good price.2006-06-23
N/AMiddlefield High Income TrustMID.UN-T13.000This is a fund this expert's company launched ten years ago and it focuses on the income trust sector. It has had a few challenges, but now the portfolio is performing quite well. It is well diversified., good energy exposure. 2006-03-12
PAST TOP PICKCanadian Oil Sands TrustCOS.UN-T155.410Cdn Oil Sands Trust is up 42% since Oct.18, 2005. They still like it and still own it. Stage 3 is now complete. He believes that you will see a distribution increase late this year and maybe in 07. It is still a core holding in his funds.2006-03-12
PAST TOP PICKPenn West Energy TrustPWT.UN-T40.850Penn West is up 23% since Oct. 18, 2005. This one converted to a trust last year. It has about 4.5 million of net undervalued acres. It is now being creative taking advantage of its real estate base.2006-03-12
PAST TOP PICKEnerplus Resources FundERF.UN-T56.940Enerplus went up 9%. Their top 3-4 oil and gas trusts. Has been around since the first trusts were launched in 1986. Reserve life today is higher than it was in 1986. Producing more and has exposure to oil sands deposits. It is in very good shape. 2006-03-12
TOP PICKProgress Energy TrustPGX.UN-T16.410Progress Energy is a gas weighted trust, it has been around for a few years. They have a good quality team. They have been able to replace 2005 production, 170 % has been replaced, mostly through the drilling. Maintaining costs at a reasonable level. Company is very cost efficient.2006-03-11
TOP PICKCathedral Energy Services Income TrustCET.UN-T10.980Cathedral Energy Services is a smaller cap name. He owns a small position in it and is considering expanding on it. Low pay out ratio and no debt on the balance sheet. Low evaluation. 2006-03-11
TOP PICKCCS Income TrustCCR.UN-T37.710CCS Income Trust is a larger service company involved in the oil field waste management business. Dominant market share in Canada-60% market share in Canada. More industrial waste type of business in the US. This guest likes that the business is based on production as opposed to drilling. Low pay out and low yield. But the growth has been great.2006-03-11
HOLDCanetic Resources TrustCNE.UN-T24.350There is a bit of integration risk because of all the acquisitions made prior to this trust being created. This will be the 2nd largest oil/gas income trust. They will have a US listing which is positive. The valuation is decent.2006-02-03
DON'T BUYCineplex Galaxy Income FundCGX.UN-T13.250Generally, he has a policy of not investing in a trust that is in the entertainment sector. Thinks they will continually be challenged by the growth of home entertainment.2006-02-03
HOLDShiningbank Energy Income FundSHN.UN-T27.85075/80% gas weighted. There has been downward pressure due to the decline in natural gas prices. Fundamentals are strong.2006-02-03
HOLDSuperior Plus Income FundSPF.UN-T22.600Has a fantastic track record with an excellent management team. Propane demand has been decreasing so management diversified into areas, a lot of which were related to the housing market. Management has proven time after time that it is able to perform.2006-02-03
HOLDViking Energy Royalty TrustVKR.UN-T9.290Would rank as a tear 2/3 player. Good quality people are running the trust. Has a lot of heavy oil exposure. Management has good heavy oil experience.2006-02-03
BUYFairborne Energy TrustFEL.UN-T15.720Gas weighted. Longer term, the gas market is going to be strong. Good value at these prices. They are experts in coal bed methane drilling which is a real upside.2006-02-03
PAST TOP PICKEnerplus Resources FundERF.UN-T62.320(A Top Pick Oct 18/05. Up 20%.) Feels that commodity prices are going to stay quite strong and he still likes this trust.2006-02-03
TOP PICKPenn West Energy TrustPWT.UN-T43.200(A Top Pick Oct 18/05. Up 28%.) Has 4.5 million net acres which are relatively undeveloped. Thinks there is another $3 a share because of land that has not been included by analysts. Increasing distributions.2006-02-03
PAST TOP PICKCanadian Oil Sands TrustCOS.UN-T157.000(A Top Pick Oct 18/05. Up 43%.) By fire, one of the best oil/gas trusts in the market. 40/50 years reserve life. Stage 3 production will likely come on this summer. Looking for distribution increases in the latter part of 2006 and in 2007.2006-02-03
BUYYellow Pages Income FundYLO.UN-T16.240A high-quality name and would rank it in the top 5/6 trusts. Good history of being able to increase cash flows at a stable level. The acquisition of Auto Trader makes a good fit. You could very well see a distribution increase in the latter part of 2006.2006-02-03
DON'T BUYCanwel Building Materials Ltd.CWX.UN-T4.450Distributing products to the Home Depots and Ronas of the world. Highly levered to forest products which can be quite volatile. Housing starts have been a lot lower. Too cyclical for his portfolio.2006-02-03
BUYPeak Energy Services TrustPES.UN-T12.270Oil service sector. Likes the fact that it has a relatively low payout ratio. Relatively low debt. There could be some consolidation in the sector and given the size of this one, it could very well be a candidate.2006-02-03
DON'T BUYTransalta Power LpTPW.UN-T9.240Power generation is very interest-rate sensitive. You are not likely to see distribution increases. Reported a pretty bad quarter.2006-02-03
DON'T BUYBoyd Group Income FundBYD.UN-T1.670This is a business that should never have been a trust.2006-02-03
DON'T BUYBoston Pizza RoyaltiesBPF.UN-T15.610He does not own any restaurants. Long-term, it is a tough, tough industry. This one looks like it has done a decent job.2006-02-03
DON'T BUYJazz Air Income FundJAZ.UN-T10.000Generally does not like airlines.2006-02-03
BUYArmtec Infrastructure Income FundARF.UN-T18.250In the infrastructure industry. Basically manufacture steel, aluminum and polyethylene plastic pipe for a drainage system. Canada has had a significant amount of money delegated to improve infrastructure. This company is a leading player.2006-02-03

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