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| Brian Acker, CA of Acker Finley Inc. | |
|---|---|
| Investment Style | North American Large Cap value using quantitative analysis |
| 181 University Ave | |
| Suite 1316 | |
| Toronto ON | |
| M5H 3M7 | |
| 1 (416) 777-9005 | |
| Brian Acker, CA's website | |
| Toll Free: 1 (888) 514-9136 | |
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| info@ackerfinley.com |
| TOP PICK | Research In Motion | RIM-T | 51.900 | Model price of $69.35, a 35% upside. Fits his measurement as a value stock. He would try to average in on a systematic basis since it is on a down slope. Could potentially go down to $44 level. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| TOP PICK | Corning Inc | GLW-N | 16.570 | Reported pretty good earnings. Beat their numbers. His model price is $34.21, a 106% upside. Forward PE of 7.64. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| TOP PICK | Intel | INTC-Q | 19.530 | Model price is $32.74, a 68% upside. Came in with record earnings. Good yield. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Amgen Inc. | AMGN-Q | 53.955 | (A Top Pick Apr 21/09. Up 16.99%.) Sold out at a substantially higher price and made at least 50%. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Medtronic Inc | MDT-N | 35.840 | (A Top Pick Apr 21/09. Up 18.59%.) Sold out at a substantially higher price and made at least 50%. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Oracle | ORCL-Q | 23.045 | (A Top Pick Apr 21/09. Up 18.22%.) Sold out at a substantially higher price and made at least 50%. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| HOLD | Nexen Inc | NXY-T | 20.170 | His model price is $25.50, a 29% upside. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| WATCH | Manulife Financial | MFC-T | 12.660 | If rates go lower, this company will have a tough time. Wouldn't touch at this time. If it moves up above $12.80 he would be interested. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| SELL | Yellow Pages Income Fund | YLO.UN-T | 5.200 | Income now is in line with their distributions. Thinks they will earn $.80 this year and their distribution is $.80. Also it has to convert by the end of this year and will end up having to pay taxes. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Agrium | AGU-T | 71.190 | His model price is $68.08, a negative 4.9%. Will possibly sell is holding when he does his monthly review. Would buy again at $52. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| SELL | NYSE Group | NYX-N | 29.440 | His model price is just a little above the current price so he would be tempted to sell. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| BUY | Hewlett-Packard Co | HPQ-N | 40.820 | The current low price may be an opportunity for investors to get in. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Barrick Gold | ABX-T | 45.880 | His model price is $47.74 so it is bang on its model price. If it dipped into the $35-$38 area it would be a Buy. Anything over $50-$52 he would Sell. | 2010-08-17 | ||
| TOP PICK | Research In Motion | RIM-T | 51.610 | Model price of $68.78, a 32% upside. There is value here. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| TOP PICK | Suncor Energy Inc | SU-T | 32.880 | His model price is $43.01, which is a differential of 32%. Understands their credit rating is going to get a boost in a day or two on their debt side. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| TOP PICK | Texas Instruments | TXN-N | 24.220 | $34.17 is his model price. A 41% positive differential. Have a lot of cash and great fundamentals. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Medtronic Inc | MDT-N | 36.990 | (A Top Pick Apr 21/09. Up 24.54%.) Sold his holdings but has now come down nicely and maybe in his portfolio next month. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Oracle | ORCL-Q | 23.220 | (A Top Pick Apr 21/09. Up 19.25%.) Sold his holdings. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Amgen Inc. | AMGN-Q | 52.230 | (A Top Pick Apr 21/09. Up 11.51%.) Sold his holdings | 2010-07-08 | ||
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| Comment | National Bank of Canada | NA-T | 57.030 | 21% upside to his model price. Really no value in the banks as a group but he would get excited about them if there were a correction in the financials. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| STRONG BUY | Cliffs Natural Resources | CLF-N | 49.420 | Coal. His model price is $108. His strategy is to Buy, Hold and be patient with it. Expects there will be another run, which will get it to about $86 and let it go at that time. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| SELL | Manitoba Telecom Services | MBT-T | 27.000 | Has a model price of $24.66, which is a negative 11%. Estimates of $2.04 earnings this year and $2.08 next year. Pays out $2.60, which is paying you with your capital. Dividend is too high so he expects a cut. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| PARTIAL BUY | Kinross Gold | K-T | 16.520 | Although gold commodity is going up, this stock is dropping. There is no correlation between the company's earnings and gold prices. His model price is $16.56 so now is the time to start nibbling. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| Comment | Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | CM-T | 66.880 | His model price is $70.74, about 6.5% upside. One of the few banks that actually has a positive to his model price. As a group, there is really no value. He would get excited about them if there were a correction in the financials. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| BUY | Cisco | CSCO-Q | 22.550 | Model price of $26.11, about 16% upside on his $30 model price. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| SELL | Crescent Point Energy Corp | CPG-T | 37.900 | He has a Short on this stock. They pay a dividend of $2.76 and the mean estimate this year is $.94 and 2011 is $1.27. Dividend is way too high. Paying out your capital. | 2010-07-08 | ||
| TOP PICK | eBay Inc | EBAY-Q | 21.910 | His model price is $31.07 giving it a 45% upside. When they reported earnings, they wanted to revise their revenue recognition model but analysts didn't move on it very much. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| TOP PICK | Walgreen Co | WAG-N | 32.340 | The model price on this is $44.44, which is a 40% upside. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| TOP PICK | Suncor Energy Inc | SU-T | 32.370 | $41.62 is his model price. A 35% upside. In the Canadian market, oils have a lot of value in them. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Medtronic Inc | MDT-N | 39.410 | (A Top Pick April 21/09. Up 30.27%.) Either came close to his model price or he found something of more value so he sold his holdings. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Oracle | ORCL-Q | 22.580 | (A Top Pick April 21/09. Up 16.47%.) Either came close to his model price or he found something of more value so he sold his holdings. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Amgen Inc. | AMGN-Q | 51.430 | (A Top Pick April 21/09. Up 10.31%.) Either came close to his model price or he found something of more value so he sold his holdings. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Abbott Labs | ABT-N | 47.870 | The model price is $48.13, a 2% upside only. Fully priced. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| BUY on WEAKNESS | Home Depot | HD-N | 34.550 | His model price is $36.56, only a 7% upside so it is fully valued. If it got down to $30 or less, ($24 would be a great Buy) you could buy. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| BUY on WEAKNESS | Agrium | AGU-T | 58.810 | He has a model price of $64.36, a 13% upside. If the stock price got down to $47-$48, that would be a really good Buy. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| HOLD | Nexen Inc | NXY-T | 23.200 | His model price is $24.87, an 11% upside. It probably goes to $23.40 and stays there for a while. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Monsanto Company | MON-N | 50.270 | Currently it is right on its model price. This has been a very overvalued name. Got caught up in the agriculture play. This one has $42.22 within all over it. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| HOLD | Shoppers Drug Mart Corp | SC-T | 35.700 | Fine to Hold here at around the $38 level. His model price is $46.33. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Barrick Gold | ABX-T | 44.610 | His model price is $46.83 so it is fully priced here. This is a stock you should trade, not own. This one can have a pullback to around $36, which is where he would probably Buy. When it gets around $45-$46, take your profits. | 2010-05-27 | ||
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| BUY | Canadian Natural Rsrcs | CNQ-T | 36.480 | Has a model price of $52.21, a 50% upside. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| Comment | First Quantum Minerals | FM-T | 57.300 | Model price is $144 but keep in mind, its assets are in Africa and the latest down spike is one of the African countries is going to take one of their mines away. Very volatile. Great fundamentals. If you are a trader, the bottom is around $53.80 and could have a big bounce up to $75 very easily. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| BUY | CitiGroup | C-N | 4.020 | He has a model price of $6.53. US banks have to make money. When people get pessimistic, you have to Buy the dips and when they get overly optimistic you Sell. | 2010-05-27 | ||
| DON'T BUY | General Electric | GE-N | 18.330 | This is one of the stocks were the stock price leads the fundamentals. His model price is $14.29 giving it a -21% differential. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| BUY on WEAKNESS | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | HBM-T | 12.960 | He has a model price of $22.55 giving it a 77% upside. He would like it at $11.80. Too small for his portfolios. Can be volatile. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| BUY | Canadian Natural Rsrcs | CNQ-T | 78.230 | All oils in Canada look fantastic. There has been a nice pullback as well as a good rotation out of natural materials into banks. His model price is $95.89, a 27.5% upside. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| BUY | Yamana Gold Inc. | YRI-T | 10.320 | Model price is $19.78 giving it a 96% upside. Has had a nice pullback. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| BUY | FNX Mining Company | FNX-T(Dead) | 14.290 | Quadra Mining (QUA-T) is attempting a takeover. His model price is $18.59, a 36% upside. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Kraft Foods Inc | KFT-N | 30.340 | Did a deal with Cadbury and he doesn't have Cadbury in his system yet. He feels this was a bad deal for Kraft and the model price will certainly come down. His current model price is the same as the current price. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Encana Corp | ECA-T | 31.990 | Natural gas. His model price is about where the current price is, around $30. More value elsewhere. (See Top Picks.) | 2010-04-01 | ||
| HOLD | Canadian National R.R. | CNR-T | 61.720 | Model price is $69.10, 12% upside. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Canadian Pacific Rail | CP-T | 57.760 | Model price is $58.70, 2.5% upside only. Would prefer Canadian National (CNR-T) instead. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Verizon Communications | VZ-N | 31.280 | Really doesn't like the telcos at this time. His model price is $25.60, a -17% differential. More of a yield play with 6.13%. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Power Financial Corp | PWF-T | 33.600 | Model price is $32.86, a -2% differential. In general all of the financials have come a long way. You could consider looking at National Bank (NA-T), which has a 20.5% upside to the current price. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| BUY | National Bank of Canada | NA-T | 62.640 | 20.5% upside to the current price. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Medtronic Inc | MDT-N | 45.670 | (A Top Pick April 21/09. Up 49.77%.) Sold his holdings at a good gain. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Oracle | ORCL-Q | 25.460 | (A Top Pick April 21/09. Up 32.54%.) Sold his holdings at a good gain. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Amgen Inc. | AMGN-Q | 60.800 | (A Top Pick April 21/09. Up 29.83%.) Sold his holdings at a good gain. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| TOP PICK | Husky Energy | HSE-T | 30.360 | His model price is $40.20 but if you take consensus forecasts for 2011 at $2.69, the model price would be $46.50. Potential rate of 60% return. 4% yield. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| TOP PICK | Nexen Inc | NXY-T | 26.010 | Model price of $29.10 gives a 16% upside. Consensus forecasts for 2011 is $2.79 giving a model price of $43, which is a 71% potential ROE. | 2010-04-01 | ||
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| TOP PICK | Intel | INTC-Q | 22.390 | His model price is $30.97 a 39% upside. Almost 3% yield. | 2010-04-01 | ||
| TOP PICK | Intel | INTC-Q | 19.680 | Has a model price of $29.66, a 49% positive differential. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| TOP PICK | Pfizer Inc | PFE-N | 18.620 | Model price of $29.40, a 53% positive differential. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| TOP PICK | CGI Group (A) | GIB.A-T | 14.700 | The model price is 20.79, a 42% positive differential. Earnings estimates have been going up again so his model price has been rising. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Medtronic Inc | MDT-N | 44.000 | (A Top Pick Feb 24/09. Up 30.52%.) | 2010-02-03 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Microsoft | MSFT-Q | 28.630 | (A Top Pick Feb 24/09. Up 67.84%.) | 2010-02-03 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Petro-Canada | PCA-T | 45.500 | (A Top Pick Feb 24/09. Up 76.35%.) Merged with Suncor (SU-T) and he holds their shares. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| Comment | Goldcorp Inc | G-T | 37.270 | If it came down to $33, it would go into his portfolio. His model price is $35.12. He would treat it as a trading stock and if it got up to $45 would let it go. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Fortis Inc. | FTS-T | 28.260 | His model price is $23.87, a -16% differential. Although it has 4% yield, yield is not valuation. When you go for yield, you are paying huge amounts of valuation. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Trans Canada Corp | TRP-T | 34.520 | He has a model price of $31.91, about 7% to high. A yield story, not of valuation story. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| DON'T BUY | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | US banks. This is not the time to be getting into US banks. Wouldn't touch them with a 10-foot pole. It will take a long while for them to get back. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| SELL | Rogers Communcations (B) | RCI.B-T | 33.050 | His model price is $28.04, a -16% discount. Very expensive here. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| Comment | Loblaw Companies Ltd | L-T | 36.390 | His model price is $39.15, a 9.6% positive differential. Thinks it holds here for a while but doesn't expect any great gains. Likes the sector and his #1 pick would be Metro (MRU.A-T). | 2010-02-03 | ||
| PARTIAL BUY | Qualcom | QCOM-Q | 39.630 | Currently sitting at his model price of $39.40 and, if he were going to buy it, this is where it would be. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| SELL | Fairfax Financial | FFH-T | 369.700 | His model price is $300, which is a -18% differential. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| DON'T BUY | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | ETFs. He doesn't do these. They are trading vehicles and you can’t do valuation on them like you can on individual stocks. Commodities have to be rolled over every month. | 2010-02-03 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Uses consensus earnings to judge stock earnings. In general they get it right. If the analysts are all wrong, they do a relative ranging and the best come to the top. His model prices are not a target price. The composition of the balance sheet goes into the model price including interest rates, earnings consensus, and so on and each night they calculate a model price. Where you make your money is feelings and emotion and they buy on dips. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | We are in wonderful shape in the balance sheet area. Q4 last year we went through systemic failure. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Petro-Canada | PCA-T | 36.580 | (Top Pick Apr 3’08 Down 17%) Still makes it into their portfolio. Will be re-evaluated when Suncor deal completes. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| DON'T BUY | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Gold: They don’t invest in gold as there is no balance sheet. Golds are falling. Will buy when the stocks get back in their buying range. | 2009-04-21 | ||
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| SELL | Shoppers Drug Mart Corp | SC-T | 45.010 | 45.61 is model price and target is 2-1/2 target. It was way over valued. Couchtard he likes, based on balance sheet and owns. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| SELL | Manulife Financial | MFC-T | 19.800 | Did own. Model price of 21.95. It followed the market. Slow and steady. Doesn’t know if it will qualify at the end of the month for them. Would trade financials rather than hold them. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| WAIT | Teck Resources Ltd. (B) | TCK.B-T | 12.470 | Model price about $14-15. Got a little leeway on their debt today. If it goes higher than $12, it takes some risk out of their stock. Could be in their portfolio by end of week. Debt is not insurmountable. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Dell Computers | DELL-Q | 10.550 | Right on it’s model price of $10.60. They have other tech names, e.g. Microsoft or Oracle. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Franco-Nevada Corp. | FNV-T | 24.750 | Model price of $9.50. Wouldn’t touch with 10 Foot pole Kinross is coming back nicely. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Talisman Energy | TLM-T | 14.480 | Model $14.19. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| TOP PICK | Medtronic Inc | MDT-N | 30.560 | Model $42.48. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| TOP PICK | Oracle | ORCL-Q | 19.530 | Model $22.17. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| TOP PICK | Amgen Inc. | AMGN-Q | 46.090 | Model $59.79. Drugs have been showing up. Get it before the numbers come in. Market selling off in light of expected earnings. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Marathon Oil | MRO-N | 29.300 | (Top Pick Apr 3/08 Down 40%) Oil. No bullish estimates out there. Model price of $37, 30% upside. Had it for some time. Are still buyers. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| PAST TOP PICK | Morgan Stanley | MS-N | 24.650 | (Top Pick Apr 3/08 Down 50%) Sold. Model price of only $13. No upside to model price any more. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| SELL | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | American Financials: Trading above their model prices. It’s about the debt. Citi has 360 Billion on their balance sheet. Why should taxpayer pay a penny more? How do we judge a company that accepts such a large amount of cash and then turns around and reports these numbers? This is not an investment, but a warrant. Same for Bank of America. Nationalization is about stockholders getting zero and debt holders taking zero. Run, not walk, away from these securities. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Lowes Companies Inc. | LOW-N | 20.550 | Model price of Lowes $24.17. Better than Home Depot. Everyone should have a sell strategy for everything. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| VAGUE | Philip Morris International | PM-N | 36.890 | Model price of 42.46. There are stocks with greater upside to model price. | 2009-04-21 | ||
| BUY | Valero Energy Corp | VLO-N | 19.870 | His model price is $34.87, a 75% positive differential. | 2009-02-24 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Nexen Inc | NXY-T | 16.460 | He has a model price of $14.40, a negative 12.5% differential. | 2009-02-24 | ||
| SELL | Sandisk Corp | SNDK-Q | 9.410 | Model price is $1.25, a negative differential of 86%. | 2009-02-24 | ||
| TOP PICK | Petro-Canada | PCA-T | 26.380 | (A Top Pick Feb 27/08. Down 46%.) One of the cheapest oils out there. Model price is $37.39, a 41.7% positive differential. 3% yield. | 2009-02-24 | ||
| Comment | A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert | A Commentary | 0.020 | Canadian $: Very bullish on the Canadian$. It's a debt to GDP story. Canada has gone into this situation well positioned. | 2009-02-24 | ||
| DON'T BUY | Goldcorp Inc | G-T | 35.030 | Right now, gold stocks are too expensive. On this company, when the price goes back to about $20, that would be the time to buy. His model price is $17.02 a -51%. | 2009-02-24 | ||
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| Comment | Time Warner Inc | TWX-N | 7.880 | His model price is $7.70 a negative 2% differential. If you own and there is a bounce, he would sell. | 2009-02-24 |
