| DON'T BUY | 57.880 | Don Lato | Stock has done remarkably well considering the overall US market. Trading at about 15X earnings, which is still fairly modest but it is only growing at 10% a year. | 2008-08-13 | |
| BUY | 59.060 | Andrew Guy, CFA | As you have slowing economy consumers are going to increasingly go to this store. They constantly squeeze their suppliers, which helps them to keep prices down. Not expensive. | 2008-07-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 57.210 | Laura Wallace | Will do well on a relative basis because there will be a march down and they are the best at discount retailing on a broad basis. Margin pressure and will be vulnerable to a stronger dollar as a lot of savings that they pass on to consumers is from importing from overseas. | 2008-07-10 | |
| Comment | 59.180 | Norman Levine | Had its big run due to people trading down on how they shop as well as tax rebates that have gone out to Americans. This has happened before and historically when the economy has been weak it has been a temporary situation. | 2008-06-13 | |
| DON'T BUY | 55.750 | Laura Wallace | Seems to be doing well, but the stock has not been a great performer. If she had to have a retailer, this would be the one because the consumer is going to downshift. | 2008-05-23 | |
| BUY | 56.050 | David Burrows | Started going higher, then pulled back. If you want exposure to retail, this is the only one to own. Executing well. Good risk/reward trade. | 2008-05-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 57.350 | John Zechner | Not a big fan of any retailers right now, particularly in the US. The US is clearly into a slowdown in the US consumer is leading the downturn. However, if you have to beat and a retailer's stock, they are winning on the trading down activity in the market. The best of a bad lot. | 2008-04-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 45.720 | Kenneth P. Norquay, CMT | Was in a downtrend from early 04 until mid 05. From that time on, it was in a base year. It is either building up steam to go back up or is about to go back down. | 2008-01-04 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 49.430 | John O'Connell, CFA | (Top Pick Nov 27/06. Up 6.2%.) Continues to do all the right things. $1 billion in sales every month. | 2007-12-10 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.620 | Don Lato | Hasn’t performed well of late. Trades at a pretty reasonable multiple. With all the advantages they’ve had with the weak US$, they’ve not been able to translate that into the earnings growth he would like. | 2007-11-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 45.590 | Bill Carrigan | No longer a growth company. It'll probably end up being in just a flat trading range. At a recent breakdown with a gap in August. Wouldn't be too excited about this one. | 2007-10-10 | |
| Comment | 43.610 | Paul Harris, CFA | Has the potential to capture the benefit of the Christmas sales. Their clients are somewhere between the $25,000 and $40,000 and high gas prices hurts this segment. Have a great balance sheet. Well run. | 2007-09-27 | |
| HOLD | 44.320 | Brian Acker, CA | 33% positive differential. Will be in top 10 spot by the end of month. Secular bet. You’ll do quite well in several years. | 2007-09-20 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 43.820 | John O'Connell, CFA | (A Top Pick Nov 27/06. Down 6.3%.) The company is growing into its stock price. Continuing to grow their sales. Still a Buy. | 2007-08-27 | |
| BUY | 48.350 | Pat Naccarato B.Math, MBA,CFA | Has been hurt by the financial problems of the low-end consumer. Also had some executional problems with some of their international franchises. Valuation is very compelling now. | 2007-07-17 | |
| Comment | 48.830 | Don Reed | Continuing to go through a lot of expansion. Shutting down a lot of retail space in North America. Very well run organization. Doesn't expect you will see the same growth as there has been in the past. | 2007-07-12 | |
| Comment | 49.760 | Charles Lannon | A great time to buy non-Canadian assets, however.Walmart can only grow by same stores growth or opening new stores. Management is going to slow down superstore growth. Not a ton of downside, but wouldn't be his favorite bid for a US retail store.Is ambivalent about it. | 2007-06-07 | |
| DON'T BUY | 47.120 | Norman Levine | Has really not gone anywhere. Have gotten so big it is hard for them to keep growing at the same rate. | 2007-05-30 | |
| Comment | 47.750 | Richard Croft | If he liked the outlook for this company and retail in general, options are not terribly expensive. He would tend to buy a $50 Strike or higher. | 2007-05-10 | |
| HOLD | 48.700 | Pat Naccarato B.Math, MBA,CFA | Was extremely overvalued, but the earnings have caught up to the stock price and is now at a discount. | 2007-04-26 | |
| BUY | 47.550 | Steve MacMillan | Just announced improvements in staffing levels of their stores. Expect a big move to improve margins as well as sales. Good entry point. | 2007-01-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 46.000 | Brad Willock | Could be a Buy at $44. Doesn’t like their prospects. Its gigantic, located everywhere and slow. Dropping prices only attracts existing customers, and doesn’t help their balance sheet. Their typical customer is under financial pressures. | 2006-12-11 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 46.320 | James Cole, BA, CFA | (A Top Pick Jan 7/06. Up 3.4%.) A great business. Largest company in its industry in the world. Great prospects with their international diversification. | 2006-11-13 | |
| TOP PICK | 49.460 | John O'Connell, CFA | Everything about Wal-Mart has doubled in the last 5 years and the stock price has gone down. Very compelling value. A nice defensive place to be. | 2006-10-03 | |
| BUY | 43.880 | John O'Connell, CFA | Their sales, profits and dividends all doubled from 2000, but the price has gone from $60-$43. Investors were overly optimistic. At 14 X earnings, it looks like very compelling value. Very efficient retailer. | 2006-08-25 | |
| HOLD | 44.070 | Norman Levine | Biggest problem is that it got so big it can no longer keep up the growth rate. Many stores have become stale looking. International expansion hasn't gone as well as hoped. However, as the economy slows they will be picking up customers that are trading down from higher end retailers. | 2006-08-22 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 48.450 | James Cole, BA, CFA | (A Top Pick Jan 17/06. Up 6.4%.) It did what he hoped, i.e. slow and steady with a predictable return. | 2006-05-31 | |
| WEAK BUY | 48.300 | Norman Levine | Hasn't done a whole lot lately. They got so big, it was hard for them to get good same store sales growth. Harder to get new stores in the US and international has been more difficult than domestic. In the near term, the worst is over. Won't be exciting. | 2006-05-30 | |
| WEAK BUY | 45.000 | Paul Harris, CFA | A great company. Expanding internationally. Costs are going up which creating a bit of a margin squeeze which they are not able to pass on to their clients. Also not a lot of room to squeeze their suppliers. Average client is low income, who will have less money to spend. At these levels it could be worth looking at. | 2006-01-20 | |
| WEAK BUY | 45.800 | David Baskin | An interesting case history because it grew so big, so fast to become the biggest employer and retailer in the world and is now under pressure from a number of fronts, labour practices, real estate acquisition practices gives rise to questions if it can continue to grow as it has. Not an unreasonable price, but you're never going to see the performance of the past. | 2006-01-19 | |
| TOP PICK | 44.950 | James Cole, BA, CFA | (A Top Pick Sept 22/05. Up 5%.) Likes the predictability of its earnings and earnings growth. The largest food retailer in the US. Global leadership in discount retailing. | 2006-01-17 | |
| BUY | 45.710 | Paul Harris, CFA | Over the last several years, analysts have overestimated their ability to grow. Earnings have not caught up with the expectations. Their formula, consolidating and squeezing prices of suppliers, works and others try to follow it. Trying to move its business overseas and that's a riskier proposition. Over time it will do well. | 2006-01-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 46.320 | David Burrows | For the last 4 years, the largest of the large cap stocks have continued to underperform. It reached a point in 2000 where the valuation, the number of X's earnings investors were paying for these companies, completely outweighed the growth rates. Over the last 4 years, there has been a continual decline on the prices that people are willing to pay. | 2006-01-04 | |
| HOLD | 48.680 | John Zechner | Some of the US multinationals are becoming incredibly cheap. This one would fit in that category, not as well as others though. | 2005-12-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 49.300 | Brad Willock | Market seems to like what they have done and that their results were not as bad as had beeen feared. Their comments about Christmas seeems to be driving the stock higher. Still not that expensive and its dividend yield is OK. Because of their massive size, growth is going to be difficult for them. | 2005-11-14 | |
| BUY | 45.390 | John Sinkins, CFA | Has not performed exactly as he would have liked. Has been hurt by the general inflationary trends going through the US economy and the perception of pricing power. There is a cost squeeze because of delivery costs to the stores. | 2005-10-25 | |
| TOP PICK | 43.190 | James Cole, BA, CFA | (A Top Pick July 6/05. Down 11%.) At a 6 year low in terms of stock price and an 8 year low in terms of price earnings and price sales at 14 X next year's earnings. The largest food retailer in the US. Expects mid teen compound annual rate of return as well as share repurchases. | 2005-09-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 45.690 | Ben Stadelmann | Using a long term chart, you would see one of the most successful corporations in the world. One way they've been successful is they've been able to squeeze suppliers relentlessly. Most of their goods come from China and with China edging towards revaluation of their currency and oil prices going up, they'll have a harder time doing this. | 2005-09-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 44.960 | Brad Willock | Has been a really bad stock for quite a while. High gasoline prices mean less money for the shoppers to buy things. | 2005-08-31 | |
| DON'T BUY | 49.680 | David Driscoll | Caller heard that he should buy the Wal-Mart in Mexico because it's cheaper. A: Wal-Mart the parent will grow at GDP. Very over valued at present. Wal-Mart Mexico would be a better way to go. (Ed: Can't find a listing.) Prefers Chico's (CHS-N) which is starting to roll out more and more stores every year. | 2005-08-03 | |
| TOP PICK | 49.380 | James Cole, BA, CFA | Has lost market share to Target(TGT-N). Trading around 18 X this year's earnings compared to Target's 21.5. Growth earnings and growth prospects are similar for both companies. Wal-Mart has global expansion possibilities. Can maintain 13% earnings growth while paying a 1% dividend yield. | 2005-07-06 | |
| TOP PICK | 49.850 | Bob Stodgell | 1.2% dividend. Likes their consistant dividend record and their consistant increase in that dividend. The multiples have shrunk. Have realized that they have to target the higher end shopper. Also will try to address line-ups. Going to try to formalize banking relationships for their clients. | 2005-06-15 | |
| BUY | 48.280 | Richard Croft | Caller, who plays options, believes that $45 is the support line and Wal-Mart will have a bounce. A: Would look at a $45 CALL (LEAP) perhaps a year out. Would use the resistance level as a possible exit. If it occurred in a 2/3 month period, you won't lose much. If you BUY a $45 LEAP and the stock takes a bounce off $45 up to its resistance point and you get a double on the leap, not a bad trade. | 2005-06-13 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 46.810 | Paul Harris, CFA | Has a couple of issues. 1) Has been marked as a company that doesn't treat employees properly and 2) gobbling up everything in the world. Not a cheap stock. As a retailer, they are doing all the right things, controlling suppliers and keeping prices low. Buying in the $40's is a good level. | 2005-04-22 | |
| BUY | 48.570 | Mark Jackson, CFA | Starting to look attractive at these level. In retail sales out of the US, the discounters were the ones still showing growth. Valuation is starting to become fairly attractive. Trading around 17/18 X earnings. On his radar to look at. | 2005-04-13 | |
| WEAK BUY | 48.900 | Ross Healey | Downside is about $40/42. Been trading in a long sideways pattern with wide swinging upside to $65 and downside to $42 and now heading back down to the lows again. The channel has been a pretty reliable place to buy. A few years ago it got up to about 8/9 X book value and it's been moving down towards about 4 X book and sideways, so its balance sheet is catching up with the price which means the valuation is getting lower. | 2005-04-07 | |
| DON'T BUY | 49.500 | John Zechner | Would be more inclined to wait for one of the higher growers. It's migrating from a higher growth rate to a slower growth rate and as it does, the earnings multiple is coming down. | 2005-04-06 | |
| BUY | 51.610 | David Baskin | Good opportunities, good growth stats but will not see same growth as in 90's. | 2005-02-28 | |
| VAGUE | 53.150 | John Sinkins, CFA | Has guided down on sales. A little too early to say if this is going to have a profound affect on Dec. sales. | 2004-11-29 | |
| TOP PICK | 55.680 | Jackee Pratt | Well managed. Growing their earnings. Last quarter was $0.54 versus $0.46. Typically traded at 30 to 40 X earnings, but is now under 20 X earnings. | 2004-11-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 53.160 | Harvey Eisen | A quality company. | 2004-07-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 52.080 | Brian Acker, CA | Has a model price of $44.65. | 2004-07-06 | |
| WATCH | 52.460 | David Chapman | An interesting chart. The long-term chart shows a large symmetrical triangle. This could indicate that top, or consolidation pattern. If it breaks to the downside, it could reach into the $20's, otherwise breaking to the upside means $90/100 area. | 2004-06-28 | |
| WEAK BUY | 59.690 | David Burrows | Not going to get hurt owning the stock. Not an exciting holding. | 2004-03-31 | |
| DON'T BUY | 58.480 | Norman Levine | Growth is too big. | 2004-03-12 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 58.380 | Matt Barasch | Getting a little expensive. Would prefer to buy under $50. | 2004-02-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 53.140 | Gavin Graham | This company does things remarkably well. The American consumer is not doing to well. Dividend is not that great. | 2004-01-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 51.870 | Brian Acker, CA | Very expensive. Have a model price of about $44. | 2003-12-17 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 50.740 | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA | Has been a range trader between $40/60. Seems to be dropping back to the lower end of the range. Should still be a little more weakness. The next dip below $50 is probably a good buying opportunity. | 2003-12-15 | |
| BUY | 55.700 | Ron Meisels | Has a good chart with a huge inverse head and shoulders and is on the verge of breaking out. | 2003-11-26 | |
| BUY | 57.060 | John Zechner | The multiple is at a more reasonable level now. A long-term hold. | 2003-10-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 52.900 | Gavin Graham | Not sure how much bigger and better it can get. The best retailer in North America, however you are paying a full price. | 2003-05-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 56.320 | Brian Acker, CA | Looks cheap. Consumer confidence numbers are up. | 2003-04-30 | |
| DON'T BUY | 47.880 | Gavin Graham | Too expensive now. | 2003-03-05 | |
| DON'T BUY | 47.100 | David Burrows | Retailers are having a tough time. | 2003-01-27 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 48.070 | Mark Jackson, CFA | Good long term. Buy on weakness around $44. | 2003-01-22 | |
| HOLD | 53.040 | Glenn Paradis, BA, CFA | Still has growth opportunities. Well run. Would buy at 10/20% lower. | 2002-12-06 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 56.460 | Brian Acker, CA | Was a top pick on Sept 11. Up 5.5%.) Buy at $49 and sell at $57/58. | 2002-10-24 | |
| TOP PICK | 54.200 | Brian Acker, CA | | 2002-09-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 53.780 | Ray Steele | Will continue to be successful. Expensive. | 2002-08-20 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 47.000 | Brian Acker, CA | Their Quantum model price is $43/44. Buy at $35. Buy on "BIG DOWN" days. | 2002-07-25 | |
| BUY | 48.250 | Paul O'Neil | Great execution. Fair multiple of 25. | 2002-07-17 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 57.700 | Ross Healey | Trading pattern is between $5.50 and $7.50 X Book. FMV = 65. Could drop to $45/46. | 2002-06-27 | |
| DON'T BUY | 59.930 | Neil Murdock | A solid company, but too highly priced. | 2002-04-15 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 60.570 | Noah Blackstein, B.A., CFA | Expects future big growth. May be a little high. | 2002-04-10 | |
| WEAK BUY | 62.050 | David Burrows | Will grow at 15%. May be a little expensive. | 2002-03-22 | |
| BUY | 62.250 | Steven Wippersteg | Very solid. Will continue to grow. | 2002-02-27 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 57.840 | Jeff Morrison | Has good offensive and defensive qualities. Strong management. A little high now. Good long term. | 2002-01-08 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 52.900 | David Driscoll | Retail sales are off. Buy at $40/44 (limit order). Good company. | 2001-10-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 52.080 | Mark Jackson, CFA | Good to own over a long period, but watch retail numbers first. | 2001-10-09 | |
| BUY | 46.230 | Brad Willock | Prefers over Costgo. | 2001-09-10 | |
| TOP PICK | 54.230 | Jeff Morrison | A defensive move in questionable economy. | 2001-07-19 | |
| TOP PICK | 47.500 | John McColl | Large foreign potential. Consumer economy turning around | 2001-07-10 | |
| TOP PICK | 50.750 | Jeff Morrison | Even if economy slows, retail sales will continue with this company. Expanding globally. | 2001-06-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 51.650 | Brendan Caldwell | May have reached their valuation now. | 2001-05-16 | |
| DON'T BUY | 50.840 | Jeff Morrison | With Fed cutting rates, retailers do well. Valuation is too high on Wal-Mart. Prefers Target. | 2001-04-10 | |
| DON'T BUY | 53.450 | Ross Healey | A good company and leading retailer. Close to its value | 2001-02-12 | |
| BUY | 55.700 | Glenn Paradis, BA, CFA | Well run. Expanding globally. A long term holding. A rebound in economy would be good | 2001-02-01 | |
| DON'T BUY | 53.938 | David Driscoll | Good company. Some growth problems in Europe. Starting to slow down | 2001-01-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 52.938 | Gavin Graham | Disappointing Christmas sales A sign of economic trouble? | 2000-12-28 | |
| BUY | 48.000 | Brian Acker, CA | Now cheap. Will probably buy in a week or two | 2000-12-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 51.875 | Keith Graham | Good company, but fully priced. Moving into groceries which has narrower margins | 2000-12-12 | |
Experts that have talked about Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
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