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Trilogy Energy Corp
Symbol: TET-T
Active: Y
Sector: oil/gas
Last Price: 26.120
Last Price Date: 2012-05-24 20:34:37
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Experts who have talked about Trilogy Energy Corp

BUY23.820Eric Nuttall(Market Call Minute.) This is painted with a natural gas brush. All of the upside is in oil. 90% of the revenue is oil levered. An unbelievable asset base both in Montne and the Duverney shale.2012-05-16
PARTIAL SELL26.360Alice TsangFantastic stock with a great portfolio of assets. Moving towards oil right now but still has very large gas position in terms of production. Not expecting earnings momentum and could possibly disappoint the street when they report, which could be more downside. If you own, consider taking some profits and buying back if it drops further.2012-03-30
PAST TOP PICK26.470Mason Granger(A Top Pick Oct 13/11. Down 13.95%.) Sold this when he felt the gas market was getting worse. Company had tremendous Montne oil growth but are about 70%-80% weighted to natural gas.2012-03-29
TOP PICK26.890Robert Lauzon30% oil. Being hit because it is viewed as a gas stock. Produces a lot of condensate to dilute oil sands oil. Down $13 a share and a great position to own at these points.2012-03-23
PAST TOP PICK32.650Mason Granger(A Top Pick Oct 13/11. Up 6.93%.) Best performing stock in the index last year however, over 80% of their production is weighted towards gas so he exited the position.2012-02-24
BUY35.730Laura LauThis company because they have done a good job in finding more Montne oil. The next leg will be, instead of just finding oil, production growth, expected to be 10,000 barrels a day next year. Substantial free cash flow.2011-11-08
BUY33.740David BurrowsBest performing oil stock in the Canadian market in the last year. The dilemma is that it is now becoming a big position. He doesn’t want to trim it. Ultimately someone will have to own this so they may get bought. Continue to buy it.2011-10-25
TOP PICK31.080Mason GrangerTop performing stock in the energy index. Should still yield strong investor gains going forward. Wells are testing well in the Canadian Western basin. Pool is producing about 5000 barrels a day but could ultimately be 20,000 a day.2011-10-13
TOP PICK25.600Robert LauzonBuying since $10 or $12. A bit of a yielder. Torquier growth story. Great buying opportunity today. Tremendous running room in a couple of their plays. 2011-09-12
PAST TOP PICK24.140Mason Granger(A Top Pick June 10/10. Up 161.53%.) Still thinks there is considerable upside from here.2011-08-10
HOLD28.600John StephensonCan't explain the recent increases, however their production growth was to be higher in the second half and the market may be anticipating it. This is a good name and has been delivering on the numbers.2011-07-18
BUY23.750Laura LauDrilling more Montne oil wells making their oil rate go up thereby increasing margins. Expects them to grow production by 20% in 2012.2011-07-05
HOLD21.940John StephensonTrying to focus on oil. This is a very good name but has ad a very good run. Don’t add to it. A 10% pullback would make it attractive.2011-04-20
Comment21.300Michael Simpson, CFAPrimarily focused on natural gas. Currently natural gas outlook is not good but inventory figures show it is at the 5-year level. Pricing will probably not get better until late 2012. If you own, consider taking some profit.2011-03-04
BUY21.300John StephensonThis has done a pretty good job of all the trusts. They are moving from more gas to more oily. This is a name you probably want to hold on to (caller needed to sell half because it has done so well). He would consider owning it.2011-03-04
BUY11.630Robert Lauzon(Market Call Minute.) Still waiting for results from the Dubernay (?) shale. He has continued to add shares all through this year. Pays 4%. Levered play towards natural gas.2010-09-13
TOP PICK11.050Mason GrangerGreat success drilling Montney. Very low finding/development costs. One that he could sleep at night with.2010-08-31
TOP PICK9.360Mason GrangerGas weighted trust. Great job. Tests on wells are in high teens. Excellent job of exploiting the asset. Leverage is a little higher than they like to see but it is 60% owned by others. He is buying it for the yield (6.5%)2010-06-10
HOLD8.250John Stephenson(Market Call Minute.) Gas weighted and no clear path forward.2009-11-09
HOLD5.250Sandy McIntyre(Market Call Minute.) Gas prices have still not rallied. If he was going to play the gas market, there are other names he would prefer.2008-10-24
HOLD5.250Sandy McIntyre(Market Call Minute.) Gas prices have still not rallied. If he was going to play the gas market, there are other names he would prefer.2008-10-24
Comment13.090Kevin Hall BComm, CFAPredominantly natural gas. Low payout ratio, so he would expect a distribution increase. Benefits from a 20% ownership of Paramount Resources (POU-T). If you own, consider taking some profits after the distribution increase. There are better alternatives.2008-05-06
DON'T BUY7.200Dean OrricoGas weighted. Relatively short reserve life. Has a history of putting distributions. Instability historically.2008-01-29
Comment6.990Joseph SchachterCompany is paying out about 50% of their cash flow. If natural gas prices recover to $9 in Q4 of 08 and prices firming up from their, then royalty trusts should see significant upside. Distribution should be safe.2008-01-24
SELL6.600Kevin Hall BComm, CFANatural gas focused. Would put Focus (FET.UN-T), Peyto (PEY.UN-T) or even Progress (PGX.UN-T) ahead of it. Cut the distribution earlier this year. Good discount to NAV. Debt ratio is a bit higher than he would like.2007-12-04
DON'T BUY7.790Ben ChengRising costs in the western Canadian basin and gas not trading at the traditional 6 to 1 heating ratio has put considerable pressure on them. Some questions on their balance sheet. Possible distribution cuts or another share issue.2007-09-05
Comment8.180John Stephenson3 gas-weighted companies that he feels will cut distributions are Trilogy (TET.UN-T), Advantage Energy (AVN.UN-T) and Prime West (PWI.UN-T).2007-08-08
DON'T BUY10.340Kevin Hall BComm, CFANatural gas focused. Would prefer others such as Progress Energy (PGX.UN-T) or Focus Energy (FET.UN-T). Has had a chequered past and has not been as steady a performer as others.2007-07-11
BUY on WEAKNESS11.950Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Mainly gas production. Good assets. Have made aggressive acquisitions in the past, which has cost them. Will do well in the latter part of this year as gas prices strengthen. When you see drops in gas prices, Buy and Hold.2007-05-09
PAST TOP PICK9.470Bruce Campbell(A Top Pick Mar 6/06. Down 50%.) Sold his holdings but not nearly at a 50% loss. Well-managed and good assets.2007-03-06
BUY10.600John StephensonCut distributions substantially in the last little while giving them a 60%-65% payout ratio. Very good entry point. Predominantly gas weighted.2007-02-21
SELL11.450Bruce CampbellThey really hacked the last cut down to a point where he doesn't think they'll need to cut again. Have about 40% hedged. The yield is not very high so you are not getting paid to wait. Good operators. 100% gas. He would go somewhere else until the fall.2007-02-05
BUY10.730Patrick KimThinks this one will survive in the long term. A pure natural gas play. Have cut their distributions to a much more sustainable level. If you believe in gas, this is a good buy.2007-01-26
DON'T BUY11.100Robert LauzonPaying 17%, but expects they will have to cut distributions one more time this year because of their higher debt levels.2007-01-22
BUY10.620Michael DecterThe sector will trade on the underlying commodity price. It will also trade on their ability to translate their assets into production. Feels they have recently good chance of doing that. Be prepared for a lot of volatility.2007-01-18
DON'T BUY10.620Michael Simpson, CFADoesn't understand this company. They make acquisitions. They don't hedge. Heavy exposure in natural gas. Distribution cut is coming.2007-01-04
WAIT11.400Sandy McIntyreThinks the payout ratio is greater than 100%. Has a really good asset base. It will be a name he comes back to as a gas name for the 2008 gas market.2006-12-29
BUY11.250Bruce CampbellGas. Great value here. Have already lowered the distribution and are about a 70% payout ratio. Pays about a 17% yield. Great long-term value. A lot of production they are holding back, waiting for higher prices.2006-12-21
SELL12.060Ben ChengHave had some production and cash flow problems. Heavier debt load and shorter reserve life. Would move into higher quality like Bonavista (BNP.UN-T), Focus (FET.UN-T) or Vermilion (VET.UN-T) which will be survivors when they become taxable in 2011.2006-12-01
SELL11.640John O'Connell, CFAOil/gas income trusts in Canada are going to have a really tough time. The government’s proposed changes will make their lives very difficult. Distributions are not sustainable. The game is over for them.2006-11-27
BUY11.480Bruce CampbellA gassy trust that has got hit. Gas prices have probably already bottomed and are coming back. Good entry point if you like the longer term outlook for gas.2006-11-15
SELL11.190Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.In the middle of an offering right now.2006-11-10
DON'T BUY15.850Robert LauzonVery gas weighted. Prefers trusts with lower payout ratios and lower debt.2006-10-20
BUY15.040Sandy McIntyreFocused on the deeper drilling. Better rigs with higher utilisation rates. Tend to be more gas focused so could have some slippage in day rates in a warm winter. Have somewhat higher financial leverage then he likes.2006-10-13
HOLD14.780John StephensonIn the middle of the pack. Decent. Focused on tight gas resources which gives them a certain amount of stability and sustainability.2006-10-12
HOLD15.180Bruce CampbellPayout ratio is about 90%. This is basically 100% gas. There is a definite possibility of a distribution cut and it will be 10% to 15%. This would still give you 14% distribution.2006-10-05
VAGUE15.520David BaskinThere may be a possible cut in distribution. Recommends that you take a look at the last quarter results and come to your own conclusion.2006-09-28
BUY17.950Bruce CampbellWith the drop in price, it pays about 15% yield. 85% gas which is why it is off. Management is sharp. Have a lot of production behind pipe. As a trade, you can sell in February.2006-09-11
WAIT18.050Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Produces about 25,000 barrels a day equivalent, 80% gas. Made a number of acquisitions that the market is questioning. A nice core name if you are interested in gas. Likes this company. Wait. Over the next couple of months there will be some lower points in gas prices.2006-09-08
BUY on WEAKNESS19.210Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Almost 80% of its production is gas weighted. Produces about 25,000 barrels equivalent a day. Buy when there is softness in the gas market.2006-08-23
BUY18.150Ravi SoodCan't see any more distribution cuts. Great management team. A good way to play rebounding gas. Good level.2006-07-21
HOLD18.650Bill CarriganUptrend was violated in late 2005. It had a classic spike. Basically, the bull is over. It is now trying to build a base. Don't let it go below its low.2006-07-17
Comment18.620Greg Guichon8% gas. 13% yield. All bets are off regarding distribution cuts. Doesn't think there is much risk to the underlying trust however. Good management.2006-07-14
PAST TOP PICK18.700Bruce Campbell(A Top Pick Mar 6/06. Down 2.5%.) 83% gas. Lowered the distribution as expected, but at this price your getting 15% which is attractive. In addition, when gas goes up, you get a capital gain.2006-07-05
BUY18.690Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.A very good gas position. The bulk of its assets are in the Cabob, central Alberta area which is a very prolific area. Good management. 2006-06-16
PAST TOP PICK18.960Bruce Campbell(A Top Pick Mar 26/06. Down 4%.) A gas based trust. Cut their distribution like a lot of the gas trusts. At this price, distributions are 15%. A little bit worried about storage levels on gas. Would still hold.2006-06-08
BUY19.300Ravi SoodGas is very cheap on a relative base and historically and is likely to go higher. Good entry point for the long-term but in the near term, would prefer a non-income trust gas such as Compton (CMT-T). Gas trusts are propped up by yield. This one is a spectacularly well run company.2006-05-26
PAST TOP PICK18.750Bruce Campbell(A Top Pick Mar 6/05. Down 5.5%.) A very high gas weighted trust. Slightly cut its distributions last week but still pays $2.40. If they don't pay out a high distribution, they end up paying tax on it. A 15% yield and a good long-term outlook.2006-05-23
BUY19.220Ravi SoodA very well managed trust with good underlying assets. They are right on the cusp in terms of payout ratio, capital efficiency and sustainability of their distribution. A great buy.2006-04-07
BUY19.600John StephensonGas weighted. They have some of the best metrics in the business. Getting 57 BOE’s per well versus 27 industry average. Good production, good balance sheet. Relatively low payout ratio.2006-04-05
WAIT19.450Michael Simpson, CFAHighly gas weighted. This trust is higher taxable so have to pay out a higher percentage of their operating cash flow. With gas where it currently is, doesn't like the prospects in the short-term, but longer term, as gas prices firm, this is one you could go into.2006-03-31
WEAK BUY19.100Robert LauzonA good trust to own if you are keen on natural gas. Payout ratio is a little higher than what he likes.2006-03-24
TOP PICK18.950Bruce CampbellTrilogy Energy is a spinoff of Paramount Resources and still 19.9% owned. The trust is 80% gas. Paying out 80% of their cash flow. High pay out ratio is due to tax problems. They are 34% hedged. Yield is 15%and 25% return . Buy below $19.00. He is still buying.2006-03-06
HOLD19.300Sandy McIntyreTriology Energy is late getting their 4th quarter results out or first annual report This expert does not seem concerned and says that only 60% of the energy trusts have reported at this point. Triology has a very interesting asset base. Caution-the distributions are highly taxable and they have to maintain a high payout ratio because of the taxability within the entity. Current rate of distribution is at risk in a weak gas market. They are prepared to overlook this because they like the asset base and are bullish on gas 9 months from now.2006-03-04
DON'T BUY19.220Robert LauzonA bit of a risk with this stock. It is heavily weighted in natural gas. The company just bought Red Sky( this expert has a position in Red Sky)Would not recommend this stock in present gas environment. If looking for a gas stock, prefers Fairborn and Enerplus.2006-03-01
WATCH21.220Ravi SoodSpectacular management team. Gas weighted. Thinks there will be a chance to buy cheaper. Great assets. Look for it to fall another couple of dollars.2006-02-10
BUY22.550Bruce CampbellGas oriented. Last quarter was very slightly disappointing in production. Not a lot of growth, but given that you are getting a 10% plus yield, you are getting a 15/20% return. Not a bad spot.2006-01-24
BUY22.110Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.It has some good assets which are concentrated in the Kaybob area of Alberta. Thinks they will do very well. The most recent softness in the price is because of concerns in meeting their numbers but he feels they have a good chance of reaching their production numbers.2006-01-18
WEAK BUY24.810Robert LauzonOnly owns it in his funds that require it because they track indexes. A gas weighted trust and its performance has been phenomenal, due to the high price of natural gas. Prefers other gas names.2005-12-23
Comment22.570Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Paying about 13%. Had a great run. Has gotten fairly expensive over the last little while. Likes the assets in the company. Will continue to do reasonably well. If you own, take some profits.2005-10-20
BUY27.200Peter BriegerOutlook for natural gas is very good. About 75/80% natural gas. Has a good reserve. 2005-10-04
PAST TOP PICK20.800Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.(A Top Pick Apr 29/05 Up 34%.) Excellent company. Is a spinoff from Paramount (POU-T) which owns 15%. High quality properties in the Kaybob area. Will produce fairly prolificly for a long period of time. Likes the quality of the properties. Expensive at the moment.2005-09-02
TOP PICK18.350Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.(A Top Pick Apr 29/05. Up 14%.) Incoporates 2 main areas, 70% of the assets in the Kaybob area and the rest in Martin Hills. Kaybob has very high quality assets.2005-07-08
BUY17.750Michael SprungHas a relatively short reserve life with an index of around 7 years. A well run trust. Yield right now is around 11%. You are being paid a bit of a premium to compensate for the short reserve life.2005-06-24
TOP PICK16.300Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.A spin off from Paramoun Energy Trust. A high quality group of assets. Well managed and management owns about 50%. Still has some room to move.2005-06-07
TOP PICK15.680Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.A spin out from Paramount Resources (POU-T). Has 2 main properties, one in the Kaybob area (about 80% of its production) and the other in the Martin Hills area.2005-04-29
BUY16.000John StephensonTypically, when trusts first come out, they rally and then settle back. Fundamentally doesn't see anything wrong with it. Has a lot of reserves, reasonable cost structure, low payout ratio.2005-04-19

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