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| TOP PICK | 41.900 | Michael Smedley | The uncertainty with Maple goes on, extended for another month. He hopes it happens but if it doesn't, is perfectly happy with the admirable management. If this doesn't go through, they could be looking at Australia as well. | 2012-02-07 | |
| BUY | 44.700 | Richard Fogler | Theoretically the Maple bid is coming through at the end of January giving $33 a share in cash, which they say is worth $55 and the stock is trading under $45. Looks okay. | 2011-11-14 | |
| SELL | 41.930 | David Burrows | Tender shares and see what happens. | 2011-10-25 | |
| Comment | 40.420 | Gavin Graham | Interesting in that the London exchange pulled out when they didn’t get enough votes. Stock is trading at a big discount to the Maple bid of around $50 indicating some doubt that the bid will go through. | 2011-09-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 40.390 | Jason Donville | Has probably outperform the market in the last month or two but a lot of it is pretty much priced in right now. Doesn't see the value in this one right now. | 2011-09-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 40.120 | John O'Connell, CFA | There are concerns that the takeover deal may not close. The offer that is on the table will be taking back some stock and there are questions about the valuation. Competition could come into Canada. | 2011-09-07 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 41.310 | Michael Sprung | (Top Pick Aug 25/10, Up 48.17%) he took is profits and ran. It ran up more than he anticipating. He took his money off the table. Going forward he would not be running to buy it until the Maple Group issue is resolved. Doesn’t see the value in the deal. | 2011-08-23 | |
| TOP PICK | 43.120 | Michael Smedley | Maple will get done or not and you will finish up with a good dividend and stay with something that is propped up by the bid for a couple of months. | 2011-08-03 | |
| BUY | 44.510 | Richard Fogler | The LSE is gone. TMX is a good revenue generator. Will continue to do well, grow and pay out big dividends as long as the stock markets remains strong. | 2011-07-22 | |
| Comment | 44.150 | Brian Acker, CA | He has a model price of $50, a 13% upside. | 2011-07-08 | |
| Comment | 43.350 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Doesn't think there will be another bidder coming in, which just leaves the Maple group. The question is, can they sell to the shareholders that they can create better value. A tough call but the market seems to indicate it is not going through. | 2011-07-04 | |
| HOLD | 44.900 | Peter Brieger | Two offers are on the table. He is biased and would prefer them going global through joining the LSE. If you own, continue to Hold to see if you get a higher offer. | 2011-06-02 | |
| WATCH | 43.570 | Douglas Kee | How would a merger with the London exchange affect the dividend? Current dividend is 3.67%. Good question. He is not sure but is not in favour of the Maple deal. | 2011-05-25 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 43.370 | Michael Sprung | (A Top Pick June 2/10. Up 65.46%.) Sold his holdings at around $42. | 2011-05-17 | |
| TOP PICK | 39.530 | Michael Smedley | Has some safety to it because of the proposed deal with London. Tricky that they are calling it a merger of equals and he thinks it should include another deal such as Australia. | 2011-04-18 | |
| DON'T BUY | 38.860 | David Burrows | There is an issue on the question on whether the merger will go through. They are consolidating because it’s and industry that has relatively thin margins and very competitive. There are better places to be. | 2011-04-07 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 38.410 | Brendan Caldwell | (Top Pick Nov 25/10, Up 11.15%) Doesn’t look at it as falling into the hands of London. It could be a good deal. Doesn’t know what the politicians should do. The banks putting together the alpha was really a re-mutualization of the business. The regulators could theoretically block the deal. It could mean longer trading hours, trans-continental listings, exposure of the largest mining and venture capital market to the world. | 2011-03-14 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 41.010 | Jaime Carrasco | (A Top Pick Dec 11/09. Up 41.82%.) Sold his holdings. Trying to figure out the proposed implications of the merger with the London Stock Exchange. | 2011-02-18 | |
| BUY | 40.480 | Derek Webb, CFA | A great looking chart showing a strong up trend. | 2011-02-17 | |
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| TOP PICK | 35.250 | Brendan Caldwell | (A Top Pick March 5/09. Up 25.52%.) As a proxy on the economy, you can do far worse. This is the best stock market in the developed world and we have the best economy. | 2010-11-25 | |
| TOP PICK | 33.900 | Bill MacLachlan | With changes in pricing and the changes in markets, competition has been stabilized and is starting to diminish. 4.8% yield is supportable. Trading at 11X next year’s earnings. Reasonable dividend growth. | 2010-11-17 | |
| TOP PICK | 28.780 | Michael Sprung | This is the leading market in Canada. They sell a lot of data to the markets. Some investor relations services. Thinks they look attractive.. | 2010-08-25 | |
| Comment | 28.310 | Peter Brieger | PE ratio is about 4%. Being hit by competition but longer term, as the world continues to discover Canada and its resource plays, you are going to have tons of foreign money coming in through this avenue. | 2010-07-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.730 | Norman Levine | Throttle/Montreal Stock exchange. Have 2 problems. 1) Volumes are much lower than they had been and 2) there is more competition from alternative exchanges. 5% dividend. | 2010-07-09 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 27.730 | Gavin Graham | (A Top Pick June 4/09. Down 13.19%.) Still likes. | 2010-07-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.490 | Derek Webb, CFA | It is not a good chart. It’s not participating in the bull market. The earnings are not good. Technical analysis says you want to stay away from this thing. | 2010-06-03 | |
| TOP PICK | 27.560 | Michael Sprung | A recent purchase. It has pulled back because of long term concern over their holding on to their share of the market. But the TSX will remain the preferred exchange. Their derivative trade is expanding. Good dividend that is well covered. | 2010-06-02 | |
| HOLD | 27.400 | Jim Huang | Used to be a favourite but sold it last year because of competition from alternative trading systems, which were too strong for them. Dividend yield of well over 5%. | 2010-05-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.110 | Ross Healy | Have its problems, not least of which are the banks that are muscling in and handling trades on their own. This also goes up and down with the stock market. Not particularly cheap. | 2010-05-20 | |
| HOLD | 29.980 | Peter Brieger | Performance has been dismal but looking out 3 years, and looking at better markets, it will participate in the higher trading volumes and revenue producing activities. Yield of 5.07%. | 2010-03-12 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 29.930 | Martin Hubbes, CFA | (Top Pick Mar 23/09, Down 10.99%) | 2010-02-18 | |
| BUY | 30.000 | Peter Brieger | Longer term there is going to be an increase in the number of trading systems, but there will be great long-term growth in the industry due to global exposure as foreign investment in Canada increases. They may snap up some of these alternative systems. | 2010-02-17 | |
| HOLD | 29.240 | Ara Nalbandian | Market share loss from competitive stress. Trying to diversify their business. It will eventually pay off but not in the short term. It’s a strong cash flow generating company. | 2010-02-16 | |
| SELL | 28.490 | David Baskin | He is finding that less than 50%, sometimes only 25% of his trades are going through this exchange. Recently cut its listing fees. Neither of these things is good for the stock. | 2010-02-08 | |
| BUY | 30.820 | Charles Lannon | The monopoly is going away. Big traders are trading off-market to save fees. Likes business. Recommends sticking with it. | 2010-01-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 31.700 | Michael Smedley | (Market call minute) High Quality, but it’s not being bought. | 2010-01-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 31.510 | Ara Nalbandian | Recently signed some agreements – are trying to diversify. They are loosing market share to competitors such as Alpha. They are down from 97% to under 80% market share, which concerns him. But they are trading at a significant discount at present. There could be a bounce short term. | 2009-12-15 | |
| TOP PICK | 30.360 | Jaime Carrasco | Canada has what the world needs. In the environment we are heading, more and more money will enter the country. As asset location of global pension funds shift to increase the level of hard assets, this TSX will benefit. 5% dividend yield. Undervalued. | 2009-12-11 | |
| BUY | 30.280 | Gavin Graham | Yield of over 5%. Losing market share to electronic exchanges but they are making it up on volume, which is exploding. | 2009-11-23 | |
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| Comment | 29.750 | Richard Croft | Convinced we will have a double dip and there will be a selloff before we go higher. Won't go higher in a hurry but will be a long, slow, grinding recovery. | 2009-11-20 | |
| BUY | 28.680 | Rick Stuchberry | Thinks the market is in a bull phase and we are currently in a corrective phase. This sideways consolidation could last a few months. This company makes money through volumes. | 2009-11-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 28.140 | Ron Meisels | Had a congested area from May through October where buyers and sellers fought it out in the price didn't move much. It then had a break down and so the next support is not until about $22. | 2009-11-05 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 33.550 | Martin Hubbes, CFA | (Top Pick Mar 23/09 Up .03%) Still likes and holds it. | 2009-10-21 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 34.900 | Michael Decter | (A Top Pick Aug 18/08. Up 1.6%.) Sold his holdings at $32 for a loss of 6.8%. Too much competition coming. | 2009-07-20 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 34.750 | Veronika Hirsch | (A Top Pick July 17/08. Up 5.79%.) Her favourite stock in the financial sector because it doesn't have the credit risks of the others. Also benefits from the recovery in the stock market. Expecting far better numbers next quarter because of all the new issues. Trading at very cheap multiples. | 2009-07-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 34.250 | Bill Carrigan | Had a peak in the latter part of 07 and reached its low in the latter part of 08. Retracement to date is about 1/3. He would say it is displaying relative weakness compared to its peers. To him this is a bad omen. | 2009-07-02 | |
| TOP PICK | 33.680 | Gavin Graham | A leveraged play on volume in the Canadian market. There has been an increase in volume as well as a lot of new issuances. 4.5% yield. | 2009-06-04 | |
| TOP PICK | 37.400 | Peter Gibson | Has cash, derivatives, facilitation in equity markets, fixed incomes, energy markets, excellent characteristics and higher ROE levels. Good growth rate. Still has lots of room to run. | 2009-04-03 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 37.500 | Veronika Hirsch | (A Top Pick July 17/08. Up 9.3%.) Likes the stock. Yield of 4%, great management and it is a near monopoly. Trading at 14X earnings. Still not ridiculously expensive, but getting there. Buy below $30. A Hold. | 2009-04-02 | |
| TOP PICK | 34.970 | Martin Hubbes, CFA | Merger of the Toronto Stock Exchange and the Montreal Exchange still has a lot of synergies to be realized. Very good dividend that is safe. Have a lot of cash and cash flow is very good. If this is a new bull market you will get a lot of new listings and increased volumes. | 2009-03-23 | |
| TOP PICK | 30.430 | Brendan Caldwell | (A Top Pick Feb 1/08. Down 34.1%.) Merger with the Montreal exchange was a good move. All the other exchanges in North America are getting hammered but this one is doing well. | 2009-03-05 | |
| DON'T BUY | 30.500 | Laura Wallace | Thinks the merger with the Montreal Stock exchange is a good one. Will bear fruit in the future. Issue facing this company is competition from alternative trading platforms and doesn't think this has been fully reflected in the stock price. Would be cautious until you see a turn in the market. | 2009-03-04 | |
| TOP PICK | 29.740 | Brendan Caldwell | (A Top Pick Feb 1/08. Down 36.8%.) Good proxy for the market. Oversold. Seems to have bottomed out and wants to have higher. Likes management. | 2009-01-19 | |
| SELL | 22.600 | David Burrows | (Market Call Minute.) Considered as a financial and not in a great environment. | 2008-12-01 | |
| TOP PICK | 24.140 | Brendan Caldwell | This has been a sentiment driven market. Anything could work out over the next little bit. Toronto Stock Exchange, options business and commodities business they have is well positioned. What ever works out in the Canadian market, this is a wonderful proxy for that. | 2008-10-27 | |
| HOLD | 28.000 | Bill MacLachlan | Although volatility and volumes help them, historically things flat line and are quiet for some time after. This would be bad for them. There will likely be pressure to reduce costs for some transactions. Likes it for the long haul. | 2008-10-23 | |
| HOLD | 29.000 | Gordon Higgins, CA, MBA | Little bit of risk from the new trading platform, but reasonable valuation. | 2008-09-30 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 28.650 | Paul Harris, CFA | TSX exchange itself. Merging with Montreal. Listing revenue is amortized over a period of time. They sell a lot of data. People slow down trading in this kind of Market. There will be a margin issue in a couple of years. | 2008-09-29 | |
| TOP PICK | 34.350 | Michael Decter | Not brave enough for the banks yet but wanted to get a foot into the financials. Thinks that volumes are going to be good on the exchanges over the next while. Will benefit from this and cost savings from their merger with the Montreal exchange. 4.5% yield. | 2008-08-18 | |
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| TOP PICK | 34.420 | Veronika Hirsch | Everybody hates it because of competition coming, being in a bear market (fewer listings), etc. Ridiculously cheap. Huge ROE and a great yield. Everybody is asking about financials. If you want to own financials buy this one that has no credit risk as opposed to bottom fishing for banks. They are buying back stocks. | 2008-07-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 33.000 | David Burrows | (Market Call Minute.) Going to be difficult on revenues going forward. | 2008-07-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.090 | Laura Wallace | Trading on BCE and 36 other companies go down yesterday was horrible timing. Increases the appeal to trade on other platforms such as Alpha. Estimates are from 20% to 50% volumes could move to others, over time. Expensive at this point and doesn’t discount the risk of competition. | 2008-05-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 44.800 | David Burrows | (Market Call Minute.) Risk to revenues | 2008-05-22 | |
| Comment | 47.980 | Brooke Thackray | The TSX has had a fantastic rally. Up to all-time highs. Chart shows it is bouncing off the top again, which is a positive sign if it can break that level. However, there is a downward trend on the lows, which concerns him. Technically, you are waiting for the breakthrough. | 2008-05-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 40.450 | David Burrows | Thinks volumes will be under pressure going forward. There are investors that have been shaken out of the market to some degree. | 2008-04-18 | |
| BUY | 38.380 | Gordon Higgins, CA, MBA | Stock price has dropped because of the malaise in the market. They get their fees from the number of companies that list, IPOs and when companies issue new equities as well as a cut on every trade that goes through. Quite attractive at this level. | 2008-04-17 | |
| HOLD | 38.150 | Laura Wallace | Will be very challenging environment for all exchanges in the next 3 to 6 months. Market volatility is great for traders, but not for exchanges. Coming merger looks very positive and is good news. On a longer-term basis, it's a good industry to be in. Would stay away for the next 6 months. | 2008-03-12 | |
| WEAK BUY | 44.280 | Robert Floyd | Couldn't understand why they were going after the Montreal exchange when the growth was not there. However, when you put the 2 components together, there are synergies. There are political issues in that Montreal wants to keep their distinct entity. Would look very hard at this at this price. | 2008-02-29 | |
| Comment | 45.580 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Midst of a takeover with Montreal exchange (MXX-T). Because of the political situation, difficult to tell if this will actually work. CEO just left. Some market pressure because they have cut fees in order to stay competitive. Very consistent business. Volatility helps their underlying business with the extra trading revenue. Over 3% yield. | 2008-02-05 | |
| TOP PICK | 48.500 | Brendan Caldwell | Merging with the Montreal exchange (MXX-T). The best way to participate in any economy is the stock exchange. If you believe that anything good will happen in the market, these shares should perform even better. | 2008-02-01 | |
| DON'T BUY | 46.750 | David Burrows | Thinks this is a space that will continue to consolidate, but it is highly market sensitive. Expect there will be fewer financings resulting in a loss of listing fees. Very well managed business, but if you are concerned about markets this is not the spot to be right now. | 2008-01-28 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 52.510 | Peter Brieger | (A Top Pick Feb 7/07. No change.) Still likes and is glad they are merging with the Montreal exchange and you | 2007-12-28 | |
| PARTIAL SELL | 53.250 | John Zechner | The rumour is that they are going to merge with the Montreal exchange. He has a bit of a problem with the valuation of most of the exchanges right now. If you own, he would take some profit. | 2007-12-05 | |
| HOLD | 54.350 | Norman Levine | When it went public, it had some anti takeover provisions in it so the likelihood of it being acquired is very low. Merger with the Montreal exchange is a high possibility. Has done while because it is a resource and financial services based index with resources dominating. Try to buy at $46-$47. | 2007-12-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 47.150 | Bill Carrigan | Caller was a senior, he advised no, because it's too volatile. | 2007-10-17 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 44.780 | Michael Smedley | (A Top Pick Sept 21/06. Down 10.5%.) Feels there is a probability of discussion and conclusion of a merger with the Montreal Exchange (MXX-T). Not concerned with the banks moving into this area. | 2007-09-10 | |
| DON'T BUY | 40.470 | Paul Gardner, CFA | There is competition now by banks coming together and trying to form their own exchange. A tremendous cash flow business. Trades around 17 X next year's earnings, which is somewhat expensive. 3.76% yield. | 2007-08-22 | |
| HOLD | 40.440 | Steve Carlin | There is an initiative by others to launch a trading platform in competition with them. This is a bona fide threat. The TSX will probably have to cut prices to lure and keep some business. He treats it as a dividend company. | 2007-08-21 | |
| Comment | 41.460 | Peter Brieger | There is a rumour that they may merge with the Montreal exchange. This exchange is focused on derivatives. Have cut their trading fees to be competitive. | 2007-08-14 | |
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| HOLD | 43.100 | Michael Decter | Had a huge run and then pulled back. There are some legitimate concerns about competition. | 2007-07-31 | |
| Comment | 43.750 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Competition is going to lower the cost of transactions, which impacted the stock. Doesn't think this will go anywhere for the next 2 years. | 2007-07-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.230 | Norman Levine | Not a fan of this stock. They are in a perfect negative storm here. One thing they have going for them is that resource stocks are doing well. They have lost a number of their large cap, high-volume listings. 2 start-up groups will be competing with them. | 2007-07-18 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.220 | Chyanne Fickes | An expensive stock. Are definitely going to have very strong competition in the next couple of years. | 2007-07-05 | |
| DON'T BUY | 42.650 | Brian Acker, CA | His model price is $40.22, a negative 7% differential. Still too expensive. | 2007-06-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.250 | David Baskin | Formidable competition is coming by way of a new trading platform by the bank owned brokerages. Expecting that margins and profits will be reduced. | 2007-06-19 | |
| Comment | 42.770 | James Cole, BA, CFA | Is finally having some deceleration in it's earning momentum. It's been generally well managed. Is a quasi-monopoly, with competition coming on.It will need to lower it's rates, which is good for consumers. | 2007-06-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.290 | Laura Wallace | Banks have deep pockets and want to get a share of the trading that TSX has. TSX may have to cut there fees by 20%, which doesn't translate into higher profits. Is interest rate sensitive as far as if the market softens that effects their volumes. | 2007-06-08 | |
| SELL | 44.120 | Peter Brieger | They have bought in the past, and recently sold. The alternate trading system being put together by the banks took the shine out of it's perceived value. Would get back in once the impact of the alternate trading system is seen. | 2007-06-04 | |
| SPECULATIVE BUY | 44.000 | Ross Healy | Fair market value currently is $87-$88 so there is a lot of upside. It's currently at 10 times book value, so it's not cheap. This is a speculation. He likes to buy at book or twice book. | 2007-06-01 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.410 | John O'Connell, CFA | Banks may be going to get involved in alternative markets, which is a competitive threat to them. All the regulatory commissions are driving newer companies to international markets. | 2007-05-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.580 | Laura Wallace | Facing some challenges with Canada's 6 largest banks intending to directly compete with them. There’re also some other alternative trading platforms out there that will start eating in to their market share. Not cheap. | 2007-05-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 44.290 | Norman Levine | They have 2 problems. All their big companies are being taken over and they make their money off of trading. Secondly, the big banks are talking about setting up a rival exchange. | 2007-05-18 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.900 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Has dropped a fair bit since its high. Got hurt recently when there was talk about the banks pushing for their own equity market. Technology will allow them to do that. It won't trump the TSX, but will take business away and will hurt their margins. Great cash flow business. | 2007-05-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 42.700 | Bill Carrigan | Long-term trend line has been broken. When a group is getting tired, there is a tendency for a lot of new investment products to come out. If you own, lighten up. | 2007-05-15 | |
| BUY | 41.700 | Bruce Campbell | A consortium of Canadian banks has announced that they are considering putting in a competing product in the next year or two. This would cut into their pricing. This will probably blow over and at this price, it’s not a bad entry point. | 2007-05-09 | |
| SELL | 42.560 | David Baskin | Announcement that the banks were considering setting up an alternative system gave them a scare. It would take away a lot of volume. Have held a monopoly position. Consider taking some profits on part of your holdings. | 2007-05-08 | |
| Comment | 42.560 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | $50 is at risk of moving below 200 day moving average and the momentum on the MACD is out of the stock. Be cautious. | 2007-05-08 | |
| SELL | 41.770 | Derek Webb, CFA | Stock missed earnings, when a stock misses earnings, it will tend to do it multiple times. | 2007-05-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 41.770 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Last year they lowered their fees because they knew they would be getting competition from the banks. Pretty much fully valued now, so can't see where the growth will happen. | 2007-05-03 | |
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| BUY on WEAKNESS | 48.700 | Bruce Campbell | Thinks there's a catalyst coming on this exchange. Feels they will get together with the Montreal exchange over the next couple of years. Buying on a bad day would probably be a good idea. | 2007-03-06 |