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| DON'T BUY | 5.720 | James Hodgins | Has about 6 times its cash flow in debt and he things investors have to stay away from it. Have to keep raising capital to fund dividend. He has a small short position. | 2011-12-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 6.550 | Douglas Kee | 18.3% yield so it is definitely paying out more than 100%. The market is basically saying they're going to have to cut the yield at some point. | 2011-11-07 | |
| DON'T BUY | 6.570 | Joey Mack | Convertible debenture maturing 2017. Is company at risk in defaulting on interest payments? (Joey owns some senior debt because of better protection.) These have sold off rather sharply. Company just announced a cut in its dividend on common stock, which would save them money but company has been downgraded further into junk territory. Could fall further if there are poor business conditions for them. | 2011-11-04 | |
| Comment | 6.530 | Benj Gallander | Have just cut the dividend in half. Payout ratio of about 40%-45%. Would like the 10% payout if it is secure and the possibility of a lot of capital appreciation so he is going to do some number crunching. | 2011-11-03 | |
| HOLD | 7.170 | Prakash Hariharan | Stock is discounting a bad scenario regarding convertible dept and a stressed balance sheet. You are finding a bottom in the name. Does not think it will drop to zero. | 2011-10-28 | |
| Comment | 6.180 | Benj Gallander | Looked at this company years ago but never bought. Has done very well over all. Managed to sustain their high payout. Current yield is almost 20% and there are questions if it is sustainable. The high-yield is a dangerous sign. | 2011-10-04 | |
| HOLD | 8.750 | John Stephenson | You will probably be alright. The issue is there are several business units, the dominant on of which is propane and has some seasonality with it. It just got thrown out with the bath water. Not a tremendous upside but you are OK on the dividend. | 2011-09-28 | |
| HOLD | 8.550 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | There has been no good story on the 3 year chart. You have some support about 3 years ago. Don’t sell it and don’t average down. If it broke down with some volume by 3% by Friday, get out next week. | 2011-09-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.260 | Lorne Steinberg | Doesn't own stocks but does own bonds. Like a lot of income trusts, they were so used to paying out high distributions they have trouble cutting back.. Paying out too much of their earnings and are rated below investment grade. Also exposed to US housing. | 2011-07-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.300 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Propane, pulp chemicals and dry wall construction distribution. Last quarter was good with the cold winter. Feels their debt levels are too high. Regarding the dividend payout, it’s a higher risk. | 2011-06-17 | |
| Comment | 11.440 | Andrew Hamlin | Main business is propane and heating oil distribution in Canada and the US. Q1 earnings were pretty good but the balance sheet is still very stretched and payout ratio is higher than he likes. Yield of 10.5% is very good, but doesn’t expect much capital appreciation. | 2011-06-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.490 | Douglas Kee | 50-50 chance of dividend being secure. about 10%. Market suspects they can’t maintain it. | 2011-03-21 | |
| WAIT | 11.260 | Benj Gallander | 15% dividend. Followed it on and off for years. It is not as juicy as it was previously because they cut their dividend. When a company cuts dividend, there is often more cuts, although not necessarily in this one. He would put this one in the watch camp. | 2011-03-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.990 | Jim Huang | Always has trouble with their model. Mish-mash mix of business such as propane, building materials, chemicals, etc. Could never understand the advantage of having that together. Doesn’t thinks the operational performance is there. | 2011-02-24 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.350 | Andrew Hamlin | Leading propane and heating oil distributor in North America. A little cautious on this name. Has reduced guidance over a number of quarters. Payout ratio is over 100%. Questions if the dividend needs to be readjusted. About 13% yield. | 2011-02-16 | |
| HOLD | 11.140 | Douglas Kee | Doesn’t expect dividend to go up. It’s a matter of when the dividend will be cut. 14% yield is a warning right there. | 2010-12-21 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 10.980 | Michael Simpson, CFA | (A Top Pick Dec 3/09.) 8.25% corporate bond due October 27/16. Collected 2 coupons but they went on a Buying spree in the US so he Sold his holdings. Debt levels were way too high. | 2010-12-02 | |
| BUY | 12.030 | David Baskin | (Market Call Minute) Profit warning, cheap at this price. | 2010-10-18 | |
| WAIT | 11.720 | Benj Gallander | Likes the management. They know what they are doing, are a smart company. Are an energy play. Likes them, but would not buy them at this level. Look in a few months buying. | 2010-08-17 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 11.600 | Jim Huang | Great dividend but the question is whether it is sustainable. Losing market share in some of their key markets. | 2010-08-09 | |
| Comment | 13.400 | Michael Sprung | 11.8% dividend should be safe for the next couple of years. Not sure he can see any long-term stability in the business model. Doesn't show up on his radar screen from a valuation perspective. | 2010-07-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 13.100 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Very old trust with the original business being propane. Diversified into drywall, pulp chemicals and energy contracts. Were paying down debt about 18 months ago but started making acquisitions in propane. Feels they are too risky for him. | 2010-07-07 | |
| BUY | 13.400 | David Burrows | (Market Call Minute.) Likes the name and the yield. | 2010-06-21 | |
| BUY | 13.250 | Ben Cheng | Have several businesses. Weakness in the stock is because of the mild winter, which affected their propane business. The business tends to have a slow decline of about 2%-3% per year but there could be a big swing factor if we had a colder winter in the Western provinces. | 2010-05-12 | |
| BUY | 13.930 | Prakash Hariharan | Converted to a corp. They have been really coming out of the gate. 3 Business: Sodium Chloride; Construction Chemicals; and Propane. The first two are where the growth is. The payout ratio and yield is ok. It’s a prudent name to own I you think the construction business in the US will turn around. 11.6% sustainable. | 2010-03-01 | |
| DON'T BUY | 13.940 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Started in propane and then took on more. Debt went up when they went on an acquisition spree in the US. Is higher than his threshold for debt. There might be a problem 5 years from now. | 2010-02-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 14.050 | Barry Schwartz | (Market Call Minute) Ugly balance sheet. | 2010-02-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 13.580 | Derek Webb, CFA | Propane distributor with a huge yield of over 10%. | 2010-02-11 | |
| HOLD | 13.780 | John Stephenson | Dividend should be sustainable. This is a good time to hold it because propane tends to do well in the wintertime. Had some problems earlier on and didn't have a focused management team but looking pretty good right now. | 2009-12-11 | |
| TOP PICK | 13.560 | Michael Simpson, CFA | 8.25% corporate bond due October 27/16. More debt than he likes with senior debt at 2.4X EBITDA, so prefers bonds to the equity. | 2009-12-03 | |
| BUY | 13.160 | Prakash Hariharan | Here is a company that straightened up their act. Propane distribution business has been weak. But they have a whole bunch of construction chemicals they deal in. He thinks it still has some upside. | 2009-12-01 | |
| BUY | 12.820 | Ben Cheng | Almost 13% dividend, which should be sustainable. | 2009-11-20 | |
| Comment | 12.630 | Robert McWhirter | Just made a purchase to acquire some tax pools. This is a huge advantage for a transition from a trust and was done at a very good price. | 2009-11-17 | |
| BUY | 11.610 | Prakash Hariharan | Likes where it is right now. The stock is interesting. It could be a consolidator. 14% yield is safe. It is trading-distressed. | 2009-09-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.570 | David Baskin | Went into the pulp bleach chemicals just before the pulp industry went into hard times. Then went into building products just before the building industry fell to pieces. Have maintained a dividend even though they are now a Corporation. If the building industry in the US picks up that would be helpful. | 2009-09-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.520 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Balance sheet is just okay. Dividend is more a function of the cash flow. Complicated business mixture in that they are selling to the pulp and paper industry and construction industry. There are other income generating companies that he would prefer. | 2009-09-18 | |
| Comment | 11.550 | Stan Wong | Very volatile. Longer term it might be something to look at but more of a trading name. 14% yield | 2009-09-17 | |
| HOLD | 10.570 | Kevin Hall BComm, CFA | Management change is positive. Got rid of some of their businesses. Bought a shell company that had tax pools. Reasonable payout. | 2009-02-27 | |
| Comment | 9.700 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Proposing to buy $40 million of Ballard Power's $800 million tax loss and doing a reverse takeover to convert to a corporation. Believes there is enough tax losses to last several years and should be able to keep their level of distribution. If there is a cold winter, their propane business should recover. | 2008-11-20 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 12.620 | David Baskin | Has had a troubled past for 2 years. Has been much more stable lately. Made a deal with Ballard (BLD-T), which is basically a tax driven deal by buying tax losses, which will give them shelter as they move to incorporate. He is waiting until after the conversion date before considering. | 2008-11-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 13.000 | Michael Simpson, CFA | 4 main divisions, propane, pulp chemicals, energy management and construction materials. Q2 was okay with a lot of strength coming from the pulp chemicals. Has been de-levering the balance sheet. Debt to cash flow is 3X, which is too much for him. | 2008-09-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.270 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Results where a bit soft in Q1. Making progress in paying down debt and lowering their payout ratio. Before buying they would have to make further progress on reducing their debt level. | 2008-05-14 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 13.730 | Robert Lauzon | Looks like their turn around plan is working. Expects Q1 to be quite good because of the cold winter. Have some businesses tied to home building, which hasn’t been as bad as he thought and have been manageable. Natural gas marketing is starting to get some market share in Ontario. Debt is higher than he likes, but they are getting good earnings. Buy in the low $13’s. | 2008-04-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.180 | Sandy McIntyre | 12.8% yield and distribution appears to be sustainable. Went through a period where they expanded too much with a little too much leverage and they had to shrink the number of businesses they were in to pay down debt. Doesn't qualify for his balance sheet ratios. | 2008-02-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.260 | Dean Orrico | Sold most of his holdings near its highs. Original CEO, one of the best in the trusts, is back in the saddle and focused on the business. This won't be a high yield investment. | 2008-01-29 | |
| BUY | 13.700 | John Stephenson | Has done really well lately. Has a very good deal. | 2007-08-08 | |
| HOLD | 14.710 | Ian Nakamoto | Has had a really rough ride and had to cut its distributions. They are now in a reorganization mode. Ranks quite well in his quantitative screens. | 2007-05-14 | |
| SELL | 12.980 | Andrew Guy, CFA | In the process of turning itself around. They grew too quickly and took on too much debt. Not trying to sell one of their businesses. Given the track record, he's not sure that he would give them the benefit of the doubt. | 2007-04-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.880 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Debt levels and payout ratios were too high. They are starting to address that by selling business lines to pay down debt. Still not comfortable with the debt levels. | 2007-03-20 | |
| HOLD | 12.880 | Neil Wickham | Did a lot of acquisitions in the past and some of them turned out to be not very good. Have spun off a couple of them. Payout ratio of about 90%. Earnings are starting to improve, so distribution is probably safe. Still have a lot of work to do. | 2007-03-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.220 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Originally came out as a propane company, and then diversified into pulp chemicals, aluminum fabrication, construction materials, etc. Sold their aluminum. Debt level is far too high. Could be a distribution cut. | 2007-02-23 | |
| BUY | 11.720 | Chris Rankin, MBA, CFA | Sold off their aluminum asset, which was a positive. They now have reasonable leverage. Chemical division is very reliant on the Ontario power market for supply. There has been a reduction in wholesale rates, which gives them underlying support. Thinks it will do very well here. | 2007-02-09 | |
| SELL | 11.940 | Andrew Guy, CFA | Started out very well, but management got too diversified. They are trying to sell off some of their poorer assets and refocus on their original business. Propane is a slowly declining business. | 2007-02-08 | |
| SELL | 11.430 | Michele Robitaille | Have a number of operational issues. Sold their aluminum business, which allowed them to reduce their debt. Still face a number of challenges, particularly their propane business. Their other 2 businesses are the third toward the housing sector. | 2007-02-02 | |
| HOLD | 11.250 | Robert Floyd | Industrial trusts are probably in a better position than some of the commodity trusts. This one has been beaten down. If you own it, continue to hold. | 2007-01-19 | |
| SELL | 10.800 | John Stephenson | There are a lot of challenges in being a trust. Had a failed conglomerate strategy. Has turned around. | 2007-01-05 | |
| SELL | 10.900 | David Cockfield | Still haven’t divested themselves of some of those companies they bought and the propane business doesn’t seem to be very great. | 2006-12-27 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 13.640 | David Baskin | (A Top Pick Oct 24/05. Down 45%.) Cut the distribution twice in the spring. Sold after the first cut. Stumbled badly on acquisitions. Don't buy until you see a couple of more quarters. | 2006-10-23 | |
| BUY | 12.500 | David Baskin | The company had to cut distribution twice. Diminished confidence in trust. | 2006-09-28 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 12.280 | Chris Rankin, MBA, CFA | It is not a good time to enter. Company is trying to sell J.W. Alluminum. It is a risky time to enter. | 2006-09-25 | |
| BUY | 12.250 | David Taylor, MBA, CFA | The leader in propane distribution. You are paying 6.5 X net adjusted cash flow whose business was depressed last year because of a mild winter. Will sell their aluminum business. Believes the distribution is safe. | 2006-09-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.960 | Paul Gardner, CFA | A disaster. Management decided to diversify into chemical businesses, potassium products as well as wall/ceiling products. Cut their distributions twice. Expect they will have to reorganise. | 2006-09-05 | |
| SELL | 10.870 | Patrick Kim | Fairly valued at this point. There is still a significant amount of risk. There are significant corporate actions that need to be resolved. Have had 2 distribution cuts in the last year. | 2006-08-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.920 | Bruce Hartman | Announced they were selling their aluminum division which is a positive step. Still feels they are involved in too many business lines. | 2006-07-14 | |
| HOLD | 10.980 | David Cockfield | Had a spectacular run as a propane distributor but began to see weakness in the propane market and diversified and ran into problems. Had a significant downturn in revenue and are talking about un-diversifying. If the stock moved up into the mid-teens, he would sell. | 2006-07-13 | |
| SELL | 10.980 | Leslie Lundquist | Ran into difficulty earlier this year and cut their distributions and announced a restructuring. They are planning on selling their cold rolled aluminum division and apply the proceeds towards debt. CEO and CFO are being changed. Debt levels and payout ratio are too high. | 2006-07-13 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.820 | John Stephenson | Has several problems. Its core business, propane, is in structural decline. Have also gone off in 4/5 different directions. Their debt levels are up near their covenants. Not a pretty picture. | 2006-06-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 11.670 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Have had a negative outlook on this for some time. Have a virtual monopoly on the distribution of propane. Usage of propane is down. Has also gone into other areas and he prefers one industry. | 2006-06-16 | |
| BUY | 10.990 | David Taylor, MBA, CFA | Looks very interesting. Had dropped from $30 to $10 and at $10.25 he bought for his hedge fund. Trades at about 6.5 X enterprise value EBITDA. Absolutely dirt-cheap and if they sell some of their non-propane assets the market will realise that the underlying asset is very strong. | 2006-06-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.030 | Ravi Sood | Had to cut distributions. No sure that it makes much sense for it to be trading higher. | 2006-05-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.370 | Sandy McIntyre | A high cost producer of pulp chemicals. It's in a market that is contracting. What you want in this circumstance is the low cost producer which would be Canexus (CUS.UN-T). | 2006-05-12 | |
| SELL | 10.140 | Kevin Hall BComm, CFA | In the last year or so, they have started to diversify outside of the propane business. Some of those are running into trouble, especially the pulp chemical business. The war in winter hurt their propane business. Have cut distributions a couple of times the last one being 30%. | 2006-05-05 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.880 | David Baskin | Was blindsided by their second cut in distributions. This is absolutely hammered the stock. They have a couple of businesses that are not shining at the moment. These include propane and pulp chemicals. Sold all his holdings. Expect its dead money for 2 or 3 quarters. | 2006-05-02 | |
| SELL | 11.490 | Michele Robitaille | A bit of a disappointment. Had some concerns about their underlying operating businesses. They have cut distributions for the second time. It will continue having some challenges. | 2006-04-26 | |
| WAIT | 16.610 | Patrick Kim | Very diversified holdings but were hard hit by the propane distribution portion of the business. Hasn’t been helped by the warn winters we have been experiencing. Valuation wise, it is looking relatively attractive, but wait until the Q1 results are released when it is expected the price will drop further and that would be a reasonable time to get in. | 2006-04-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 16.660 | Robert Lauzon | Share price has been almost cut in half. Propane business has slowed. Acquired businesses in other areas that are not as high quality. Payout ratio is now 100%. No catalyst to make it go up in the near term. | 2006-04-07 | |
| HOLD | 16.500 | Norman Levine | Management has moved the company from being solely propane to a number of different companies. Propane sales were down this winter because of the warm season. They had to cut back on distributions. Has probably dropped more than it should have but don't buy on till it has stopped. | 2006-04-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 17.200 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Has propane, but diversified into other industries such as building materials, aluminum fabrication. They were hurt by the warmer winter, as demand for propane was weak. Too much debt on their balance sheet. | 2006-03-31 | |
| DON'T BUY | 17.750 | Robert Lauzon | Has been a big disappointment over the last year. Made some acquisitions which has created more volatility. Payout ratio is 100%. Have just cut distributions. | 2006-03-24 | |
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| SELL | 18.120 | Michele Robitaille | Superior Plus is a trust they did hold for a long time but has gradually been decreasing their holdings. For the last couple of years ago Superior has been diversifying and entering new businesses. They have had mediocre performances after the trust expanded. There is weakness in their propane division because of mild weather and the high cost of propane. They have had to cut their distribution. Payout ratio is 96%. The next 6-12 months will be challenging for this trust. | 2006-03-17 | |
| WAIT | 21.850 | Leslie Lundquist | Superior Trust is one that they have liked for a long time. In the long term it will do just fine. However, 2005 was a difficult year for them and they have yet to see 4th quarter results. Expectations are they might be a little weak. If you are looking for one for your first trusts, she is recommending Canadian REIT, Penn West, Yellow Pages Business Fund and BFI. (they own these trusts) These trusts are expensive though. | 2006-03-04 | |
| HOLD | 21.340 | Kevin Hall BComm, CFA | Has had a bit of a rough go. Starting to stabilise. Demand for propane will be down which will have a negative impact on revenues. They have diversified. Expects some better results through the year. | 2006-02-17 | |
| HOLD | 22.600 | Dean Orrico | Has a fantastic track record with an excellent management team. Propane demand has been decreasing so management diversified into areas, a lot of which were related to the housing market. Management has proven time after time that it is able to perform. | 2006-02-03 | |
| WATCH | 23.660 | James Leung | They have a business model that continues to diversify. Its core business was propane but in recent years have made acquisitions not related to the original business. Have some operational issues which management is addressing. | 2006-01-27 | |
| SELL | 23.630 | Greg Guichon | The acquisitions they were making bothered them. They were turning into a mini conglomerate. Prefers purer trusts. As much more commodity risks than other trusts. | 2006-01-20 | |
| WEAK BUY | 23.660 | Michele Robitaille | Has gone through quite a metamorphosis over the last couple of years. Has expanded from propane pulp chemicals, aluminum and a number of other areas. It is now almost a conglomerate model. Very strong management team. Probably a little bit undervalued given the strength of the underlying parts. | 2006-01-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 23.500 | Michael Simpson, CFA | One of the older trusts. Having embraced the conglomerate model very well. They have four or five operating divisions. Their colour business in propane has been in decline for some time. A decent management team, but is concerned with the amount of debt that they carry as well as the payout ratio. | 2005-12-30 | |
| DON'T BUY | 23.700 | Robert Lauzon | Decreased his weighting in his funds. Could see the growth slowing in their propane business. Has now gone into a few other businesses. Doesn't think you will see much growth. | 2005-12-23 | |
| BUY | 24.950 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | A multifaceted trust. Involved in propane distribution, pulp and paper, wall coverings. Has some reasonable good assets, but doesn’t care for multifaceted businesses. | 2005-12-14 | |
| HOLD | 21.790 | James Leung | In the last several years have started to diverisfy from propane into areas such as a pulp chemical, dry wall and flat rolled aluminum. During the last couple of quarters, there were performance issues with the original propane business. | 2005-11-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 22.500 | David Chapman | 11% distribution. Has suffered with all the other trusts and is in a downtrend right now. Can't see any bounce here at all. If you have owned for a while and have a profit, consider taking some money off the table. | 2005-11-09 | |
| HOLD | 22.040 | Patrick Kim | One of the hardest hit business trusts. There's a lot of company challenges, particularily in the propane distribution business. Volumes are down. Have a fairly diversified asset base. Expects to see some choppy waters ahead. | 2005-11-04 | |
| HOLD | 23.830 | Kevin Hall BComm, CFA | They have 4 different business lines. Has been really beaten up. Probably over sold. | 2005-10-28 | |
| TOP PICK | 24.570 | David Baskin | All 3 picks tonight are income trusts as the sector has been massively oversold. With the government's white paper, the stopping of getting legal opinions and the fear of rising interest rates people sold them as though they were worthless. Just increased their distribution giving a 10% yield. | 2005-10-24 | |
| SELL | 23.750 | Greg Guichon | Has moved from a very simple trust to a very complex one covering many industries. These industries are very cyclical. Too complex to follow. | 2005-10-21 | |
| BUY | 25.960 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Recently bought aluminum fabricator in the US. At this price feels it offers a reasonable risk/reward ratio. | 2005-10-07 | |
| WAIT | 26.280 | Dean Orrico | Stock dropped because propane distribution has been dropping and may not turn around any time soon. Good management which has diversified the business into other areas. Areas have not performed that well either. Just acquired a manufacturer of flat rolled aluminum products which is positive. Expect it to go sideways for awhile. | 2005-09-30 | |
| SELL | 26.080 | Robert Lauzon | Has sold off a little bit. Has slowly moved from a growth trust to a more of a low to no growth. Seeing some cracks in some of their underlying businesses. | 2005-09-23 | |
| BUY | 28.800 | Michele Robitaille | Had a pretty disappointing 2nd quarter which was a surprise to the market. With regards to issues on their propane division, she does feel this will be in a secular slow decline, but very slowly and it was a one time issue. Sees some good strength in some of their other businesses. Good management. | 2005-09-16 | |
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| TOP PICK | 28.800 | Leslie Lundquist | Reported a weak 2nd quarter and the units came off quite hard. It has a very strong business and an excellent management team. In the long run this will be a company that continues to create value. Periodically it does report a weak quarter and this is an opportunity to buy. | 2005-09-16 |