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| BUY | 6.370 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | (Market Call Minute.) Have made quite a few management changes. Good resources and likes the property in Madagascar. | 2012-02-01 | |
| Comment | 6.330 | David Baskin | Problematic because of its Cuban connection and its resource base which is volatile. If Obama gets re-elected, he feels there will be an awakening of Cuban and US relations. | 2012-01-31 | |
| WEAK BUY | 6.200 | David Cockfield | Liked the stock and what they were doing in Cuba and then along came Madagascar. A question mark from a political standpoint. They could start producing and so he is looking at it again. It’s not the kind of stock he buys in this king of environment. 6 months from now we will see how the commissioning goes. | 2012-01-20 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 6.360 | Paul Gardner, CFA | (A Top Pick Jan 18/11. Up 8%.) 7.75% bond due 2015. Yielding about 6%. Sold this one and bought a bond maturing in 2018. | 2012-01-18 | |
| BUY | 6.150 | Joey Mack | 8% bond maturing Dec/18. Currently trading at a premium yielding 7%. Callable in Dec /17, a year early. This is attractive. If they weren't operating in Cuba and Madagascar are, this would be an investment-grade company. For risky investors only. | 2012-01-09 | |
| Comment | 5.970 | Bill Carrigan | Most of the base metal companies are performing rather well. The downtrend line on the stock has finally been broken. | 2012-01-06 | |
| Comment | 5.870 | Bruce Campbell | (Market Call Minute.) Roughly a 3rd coal, 3rd oil and a 3rd nickel. He is hoping that the Madagascar project comes on stream and on budget in the next 3 to 6 months. If so, the stock is very cheap. | 2012-01-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 5.250 | John Zechner | Everything in the metals sector is cheap right now. Thermal coal has not been strong. On the metals side, he would be more focused on copper and zinc. There are others he would prefer. | 2011-12-28 | |
| TOP PICK | 5.290 | Bill Harris, CFA | Bonds 8% 2018: Capture an 8% return with as little risk as possible. Have ring fenced Madagascar and Cuba plus fixed volume contracts of 15 to 20 years in Canada. Sherrit just has to stay solvent. | 2011-12-13 | |
| Comment | 5.450 | John O'Connell, CFA | Stock is trading where it is because of their big project in Madagascar. If they pull it off and it works and there is a resumption of decent economic growth, you are okay. | 2011-12-08 | |
| Comment | 5.620 | Bruce Campbell | Have a very large nickel project in Madagascar, which is to come on stream early in the new year. A laterite nickel project which is historically difficult. Market is not willing to believe they can handle it. If they are successful there will probably be a re-rating. Also trading at a discount because of their Cuban assets. | 2011-12-07 | |
| TOP PICK | 5.560 | Paul Gardner, CFA | 8% bonds due 2017. Biggest project is in Madagascar where they had cost over runs. Because of its Cuban assets is rated a non-investment grade bond but with their fundamentals it should trade as an A low bond. Great managers. | 2011-12-05 | |
| BUY | 5.150 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | 90% of all thermal coal production in Canada. Working on a huge nickel project in Madagascar. Cuba accounts for about 20% of their overall revenue. At this price, it is probably a good entry-level. | 2011-11-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 5.150 | Hank Cunningham | 8% bonds maturing in 2018? Market has always discounted this name because of the Cuban involvement. 5 of the 6 major underwriters in Canada won't touch them. Fairly solid balance sheet but is really not a fan of this credit and wouldn’t recommend them. | 2011-11-28 | |
| Comment | 4.980 | Michael Sprung | Have a big bet in Madagascar. If it is successful, it will really make this company but there are political risks and mine development risks. There have been a lot of cost pressures in the whole mining area. Would prefer to be in a more diversified operation of mines. | 2011-11-25 | |
| WAIT | 5.100 | James Hodgins | CEO is stepping down and often when a new CEO comes in, they want to reset the bar a little lower. Now may not be the best time to enter this one. Is somewhat negative on coal prices going forward, although they are more in the thermal coal. | 2011-11-24 | |
| TOP PICK | 5.260 | Bill Harris, CFA | 8% bond maturing Nov 15/18. Really likes the Canadian-based coal assets, which more than backs up the value of the bond. Allows him to lock in the 8% without worrying about what happens in the market. | 2011-11-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 5.450 | Paul Gardner, CFA | 8% bonds. Rated a noninvestment grade bond but tremendous value. That leverages is small. | 2011-11-16 | |
| Comment | 5.540 | Michael Decter | Opening a huge mine in Madagascar. Had a terrific quarter. He is taking another look at this one and may consider going back into it. | 2011-11-10 | |
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| BUY | 5.780 | Joey Mack | 7.75% bond maturing Oct 15/15 and yielding 6.75%. Holds this one personally. This is an investment-grade company. Operates in Madagascar and Cuba, which offers a lot of political risk. Not for every investor. | 2011-11-04 | |
| Comment | 5.730 | Michael Sprung | New nickel mine in Madagascar is pretty much nearing completion. This is a key for them as it is such a huge project. There are some questions about political stability. Looks inexpensive. Higher risk than his clients could tolerate. | 2011-10-31 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 5.650 | Prakash Hariharan | Oct, 2014 Bond (Top Pick Mar 9/11, Up 5.45%) He moved into a new issue. | 2011-10-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 4.700 | David Cockfield | When they got into the Madagascar play, he felt the timing was not conducive. Made a lot of sense from a geological standpoint. That part of the world is less than stable politically. He’ll wait to see how they do on this before stepping back in. | 2011-10-21 | |
| BUY | 4.540 | Bill Harris, CFA | A core holding. With commodities when the price of the commodity goes down you just run the thing flat out. In the nickel business, it is very high cost, and they shut down as soon as it goes down. So 7% of world production disappears as soon as it goes below $10. He writes Madagascar off as zero. Other business is very profitable. They have western Canada coal. Can easily make a dollar share and is yielding 3.5%. It won’t o to the moon. He can own it in this band. | 2011-10-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 4.800 | Jeff Black | Cyclical commodity based business. This one in particular has some political geographical risks. Madagascar project has non-recourse financing but not sure how important this project will be. Good assets for the next cycle but there is no rush to buy. | 2011-10-14 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 4.840 | Paul Gardner, CFA | (Top Pick Sep 1/10, Up 4%) 7.75% bonds maturing October 2015. He will do equity like return in a bond. | 2011-10-11 | |
| BUY | 4.420 | Veronika Hirsch | Have coalmines in Canada. Nickel mine in Madagascar. Supposed to come on in early 2012. Question is whether it will work when you turn the switch on. They know the technology and put it in for other mines. | 2011-09-23 | |
| Comment | 4.930 | Michael Sprung | Diversified base metals and coal. Have pulled back quite a bit with investors fleeing to safer havens. Very large project under development in Madagascar. Stock has been punished probably because of the perceived political risk. This mine could be extremely profitable for the company. | 2011-09-20 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 4.910 | Bill Harris, CFA | (A Top Pick July 6/10. Down 16.11%.) In a year or so it should be able to earn $1 so at $5 it will be at 5X earnings. 3% dividend yield. It can be very profitable at $9-$10 nickel. | 2011-09-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 4.890 | David Burrows | Well run company, diversified. The problem is that it is the wrong kinds of business for the current economic environment. These types of companies can really get clobbered. If you think this is a mid-cycle slowdown, then it could do well in a mid-cycle slowdown. It will have a difficult time if the economy is slowing. | 2011-09-13 | |
| Comment | 5.040 | Gavin Graham | Play on Cuban nickel as well as a play on coal and oil. Have a big mine in Madagascar which may or may not get completed. A play on global growth. If you are concerned about global growth, this is not one you want to be in. Not much dividend support. | 2011-09-09 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 5.170 | Paul Gardner, CFA | (A Top Pick Sept 1/10. Up 7%.) 7.75% bonds maturing October 2015. | 2011-09-08 | |
| Comment | 5.030 | Benj Gallander | Used to follow a lot more closely. He has not looked at financials recently. It is low enough that he should sit down a look at it. | 2011-08-25 | |
| TOP PICK | 5.640 | Bill Harris, CFA | (A Top Pick July 6/10. Down 9.51%.) If nickel falls below $10, 6% to 7% of global supply will stop so this company just needs to stay above $5 for them to make a significant amount of money. Expect the stock will get back to $8-$10. 2.8% yield. | 2011-08-17 | |
| WATCH | 5.510 | Bruce Campbell | One third oil (in Canada), one third coal and cobalt (in Cuba) and one third nickel with a big project in Madagascar. Market is skeptical about Madagascar until they prove otherwise. Had some operating cost overruns. It will be 1st quarter of 2012 before we really see. If they can do it, the stock could double. | 2011-08-15 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 4.920 | Paul Gardner, CFA | (A Top Pick Sept 1/10. Up 9%.) 7.75% bonds maturing October 2015. Pristine balance sheet. Sold out recently because a yield was getting close to 5.5% but put some of the cash into the stock. | 2011-08-10 | |
| BUY | 5.810 | Lyle Stein | Warrant on their huge nickel mine n Madagascar. Announced last month they would not meet production until mid next year. It’s a good buy. | 2011-08-03 | |
| WEAK BUY | 6.270 | Michael Sprung | Exposure to coal, not just nickel. They made a big bet with a mine in Madagascar, which is not the most politically stable place. | 2011-07-26 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 6.220 | Prakash Hariharan | (A Top Pick March 9/11. Up 5.15%.) Bond 8.25% Oct. 24/14. | 2011-06-29 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 6.250 | Alice Tsang | Costs in their Madagascar project have become inflated and has pushed production out to Q1 of 2012 but she feels it remains to be seen if they can come in on time. Doesn't see a lot of growth in their current project. A “show me” story. Also doesn't see them benefiting on the international market for their coal. | 2011-06-24 | |
| Comment | 6.260 | Gavin Graham | Recently announced cost increases in their giant nickel project in Madagascar. This is a mining project in a developing economy where it always takes longer and costs more. It will add 4%-5% to the global nickel production on a low-cost basis. Even it becomes nationalized or it doesn't work out, Sherritt is not on the hook. | 2011-06-23 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 7.190 | Bill Harris, CFA | (Top Pick Jul 6/10, Up 20.77%) Thinks it will become a major nickel producer | 2011-06-09 | |
| BUY | 7.220 | Bruce Campbell | Likes it for Madagascar mine, which is just coming on stream. Market is slightly skeptical. Cuba is not only 40%. Asset value is $11-$12. | 2011-06-07 | |
| WATCH | 7.080 | David Cockfield | Concerned about their large operation in Madagascar and possible political problems. (Not in production yet. Also have significant coal operations. Probably won’t buy until he has a better fix on Madagascar, politically and production wise. | 2011-05-27 | |
| BUY | 6.800 | Michael Sprung | Hit like a lot of material stocks. People are counting so much on the Madagascar mine, which is a very big bet for them, which will be in production over the next couple of quarters. If you are a longer term shareholder, it could work out quite well. Multiples are fairly reasonable. There is talk of them possible spinning out some of their other assets. | 2011-05-17 | |
| BUY | 6.800 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Sherritt Intl. a mid cap company that he likes a lot. They own the bond and the equity. Thinks it trades very cheap and feels over the next year or two they will see creative measures to add to their earnings and their evaluation. Recommends buying more. | 2011-05-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.750 | John Zechner | Doesn’t expect a lot of US$ to be rushing back in to this stock, even if anything changes because of the political change. You have to look at their core businesses, thermal coal, nickel and gas. Not the best positioned company out there. Doesn’t have as much growth as some of their competitors. Lagged this year and recent earnings were disappointing. Also prefer metallurgical coal as opposed to thermal coal. | 2011-05-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.830 | Andrew McCreath | Results just came out and were kind of weak. Madagascar project is going to start to pour through some metals this summer and will ramp up to full production in about 2 full years. Geopolitical risks seem to have been somewhat tempered lately. This is only about 10% of the NAV. 40% is nickel in Cuba and he is not a fan of nickel. | 2011-04-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 8.000 | John O'Connell, CFA | Have a big bet going on in a project in Madagascar, which either works or doesn’t. Too early to tell. Nickel prices are reasonably attractive. There are other similar plays with far less risk. | 2011-04-11 | |
| TOP PICK | 8.150 | Prakash Hariharan | Bond 8.25% Oct. 24/14. It’s a play on credit quality. They’ve been having trouble managing their balance sheet. They over-spent on building the Madagascar nickel mine. If that comes on line later this year as management says it will, they are going to take pretty strong measures to increase their credit quality. | 2011-03-09 | |
| TOP PICK | 8.360 | Bill Harris, CFA | Any time nickel goes over $10 their Ambatovy mine in Madagascar will start kicking in and if nickel remains tight, this company should be worth $15. Also if they ever want to start taking the company apart they could uncover value over the next couple of years. | 2011-03-08 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 8.360 | Bill Harris, CFA | (A Top Pick March 3/10. Up 12.5%.) Sherritt Conv. Bonds 7.75% 2015: | 2011-03-08 | |
| WATCH | 9.070 | David Cockfield | Chinese have found a way of producing stainless steel cheaper, which has taken the shine off nickel. Getting into the big Madagascar nickel mine and with some of the politics makes him a little nervous. Would wait to see how the situation all works out. | 2011-02-25 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.000 | Charles Lannon | Would prefer BHP Billiton (BHP-N), which is better diversified and has a stronger balance sheet. After the run in commodities and base metals since March 2009, you should looks at a higher quality name. You might want to consider their bonds instead. | 2011-02-23 | |
| HOLD | 9.490 | Derek Webb, CFA | Nickel, oil/gas and some other businesses. Beautiful trend line. Chart indicates it has a lot of room to run. | 2011-02-17 | |
| Comment | 8.750 | Don Vialoux | Coal, oil and nickel. Seasonal strength is from around the end of January through to May of each year. | 2011-01-27 | |
| HOLD | 8.700 | Bill Harris, CFA | Main way to play thermal coal in Canada. Growth project in Madagascar doesn’t kick in unless nickel is above $10-$11. Both nickel and coal are very strong and this is a sweet spot for this company. | 2011-01-24 | |
| SELL | 8.520 | David Cockfield | Essentially nickel. Their big Madagascar project is really running the show. Political scene in Madagascar is still somewhat clouded. Sold his holdings. | 2011-01-21 | |
| TOP PICK | 9.010 | Paul Gardner, CFA | 7.75% bond due 2015. Yielding about 6%. Low leverage with about 30% debt to capital. Making a lot of cash to add to their bottom line. | 2011-01-18 | |
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| BUY | 22.970 | Bruce Campbell | Has Cuba and large Nickel mine in Madagascar to come on line soon. Undervalued. It is a cheap stock. Problem is that some Americans wont come up and buy it because of Cuba. Double digits by end of year. | 2011-01-06 | |
| BUY | 23.350 | Paul Harris, CFA | If nickel can stay above $10, this worth between $13-$15. Also have some nickel in Madagascar. | 2010-12-23 | |
| BUY | 8.300 | Rick Stuchberry | If you look at where the growth in the world is and what they are using, there is great demand for materials and for quite a period of time. S-T is a name and is doing some interesting stuff. Nothing wrong with it. | 2010-12-16 | |
| DON'T BUY | 8.250 | David Burrows | Likes their coal and power but doesn’t care for the nickel. Would prefer Teck (TCK.B-T) or a pure play on coal. | 2010-12-13 | |
| STRONG BUY | 7.890 | Paul Harris, CFA | Likes it as a nickel play as he expects nickel prices to go up in the next little while. In a strong robust nickel environment, this should reach $15. Have a large play in Madagascar. | 2010-11-25 | |
| BUY | 8.590 | James Hodgins | Have a nickel project in Madagascar along with coal and some Cuban assets. Has been positive change as they entered production. Good operators. Looking to Buy on any pullbacks. | 2010-11-15 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 8.470 | Bruce Campbell | (A Top Pick Dec 7/09. Up 42%.) Mixture of nickel oil and coal and seemed like it was lagging. Trades at a 35% discount to its net asset value. | 2010-11-12 | |
| WAIT | 8.000 | Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI | Showing some signs of life recently. But no new highs. Wait until it goes above $8.50. Stop loss $7.50 if you own it. | 2010-10-08 | |
| Comment | 7.330 | Peter Brieger | First class management and first-class projects. Ambatovy is coming on stream in December. 2 interesting partners including a South Korean and a Japanese. Looks interesting and it may be one he will be buying your | 2010-09-21 | |
| HOLD | 7.300 | Ron Meisels | Has been finding support roughly near the $6 level and as long as that holds, it is a positive stock. Has also broken through the down trend line, which is positive. Use a stoploss near the $6 level. | 2010-09-08 | |
| TOP PICK | 7.250 | Paul Gardner, CFA | (A Top Pick Aug 12/09. Up 43%.) 7.75% bonds maturing October 2015. The big price movement has already occurred but it still trades as a high yield bond. Cheap relative to investment grade credit. | 2010-09-01 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 7.130 | Paul Gardner, CFA | (A Top Pick Aug 12/09. Up 7.75%.) 7.75% bonds maturing October 2015. Still likes. | 2010-07-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 6.500 | Veronika Hirsch | Major play on nickel with facilities in Cuba and Madagascar. Madagascar mine is going to be a very expensive project, which is kind of clouding the stock. Wait until they come into production before buying. | 2010-07-15 | |
| TOP PICK | 6.020 | Bill Harris, CFA | Did extremely well with the bonds. (See Past Top Picks.) Have a couple of key pieces in the business that he expects they will move around and extract value from them. | 2010-07-06 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 6.020 | Bill Harris, CFA | (A Top Pick May 19/09. Up 37.6%.) 7.75% bond due Oct 15/15 and yielding 12%. | 2010-07-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 6.020 | David Baskin | Always been a pretty edgy company because of its assets and geography. Thought there might be loosing of policy under Obama regarding Cuba. Not sure when coal prices will harden up. | 2010-07-06 | |
| BUY | 5.850 | Jason Donville | Coal mining with international operations. Now is an attractive time to go into coal but he prefers WTN-T. | 2010-06-29 | |
| Comment | 6.280 | Joey Mack | 8.25% maturing Oct 24/14 and 7.75% maturing Oct15/15. This company has one rating only, which is BB High. This is not investment-grade. Not an appropriate investment for any conservative investor. | 2010-06-25 | |
| SELL ON STRENGTH | 6.680 | Don Vialoux | Hit very badly. Seasonal from End of November until end of April. Nickel price have come down and brought the stock down. It’s also sensitive to oil and that came down. | 2010-05-31 | |
| SELL | 6.770 | Ron Meisels | It has been doing well. The 200-day started to curl up and that is exactly where the correction took it. When it crossed the 200-day moving average, it was the sell signal. | 2010-05-18 | |
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| BUY | 6.750 | Bruce Campbell | Everybody positive on their large Madagascar nickel play. Stock is currently down because of risk aversion, not the company per se. If the Europe situation spreads this could go down but otherwise it's a good holding. | 2010-05-17 | |
| WAIT | 7.080 | Rick Stuchberry | When emerging markets get going again, this will be a participant. The Cuban element holds some US buyers back from it. Buy it at the recent lows but don't be in a big rush is there is no dividend on it. | 2010-05-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 6.980 | David Cockfield | (Market Call Minute.) Sold his holdings. Madagascar project is sort of limping along. Technicals on the stock looked terrible. | 2010-05-07 | |
| BUY | 7.320 | Derek Webb, CFA | Likes it. Big correction because of correction in commodity stocks. It’s a good place to buy right now. | 2010-05-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 21.320 | Don Vialoux | This company and copper stocks have a bit of a problem right now. Most of the base metals stocks are having problems. The Shanghai index is down about 10% over the last 2 weeks. Biggest user of copper is the Chinese who are starting to slow their economy down. | 2010-04-30 | |
| BUY | 21.750 | Andrew Cook | Likes it. Just had a nice consolidation. Thinks there is more upside. No downside to the Cuba connection. If Cuba starts to open up they are well positioned. | 2010-04-26 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 21.800 | Peter Brieger | Have a major new nickel development that they had trouble financing for time but it looks like that's in place now. Bringing the nickel into production is still a year or two away. On the positive side they have the coal business along with their business in Cuba. Likes it long-term. | 2010-04-15 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 21.230 | Bill Harris, CFA | Convertible 7.75% 2015 bonds (Top Pick Apr 6/09, Up 59%) Could still go up another 10%. | 2010-04-13 | |
| BUY | 21.120 | Robert Lyon | Well leveraged to zinc and nickel prices as well as coal prices. Still good upside. | 2010-04-09 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 21.330 | Stan Wong | Showing up nicely on his screen. Recently beat estimates. Has some earnings momentum. Moving along the 50 and 200 day moving averages. Expect there will be a pullback and would consider at $8. | 2010-04-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 21.380 | Benj Gallander | (Market Call Minute) He wouldn’t buy it. But insiders have been buying like crazy. | 2010-04-05 | |
| BUY | 20.180 | Christine Poole | In the process of ramping up a nickel play in Madagascar. Have diversified beyond their Cuban holdings now. Well run company. Long-term this is a good investment. | 2010-03-30 | |
| Comment | 19.100 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | Last peak in the chart at around $8.50, would probably be some sort of support. If it doesn't hold, it could drop to $7.50. | 2010-03-22 | |
| BUY | 19.150 | Michael Smedley | Will probably continue through $10. Doing better with its Madagascar laterite/nickel situation. | 2010-03-18 | |
| Comment | 8.850 | Bruce Campbell | Essentially a third coal, a third nickel and a third oil with fairly heavy Cuban exposure on the nickel and oil side. Largest leaseholder in Alberta of coal. Very cheap stock on a net asset value. The real catalyst will be if Cuba eventually opens up. | 2010-03-15 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.430 | Michael Decter | Very dependent on what happens in Cuba, which has some uncertainty. Not really keen on this company at this time. | 2010-03-08 | |
| TOP PICK | 7.430 | Bill Harris, CFA | Sherritt Conv. Bonds 7.75% 2015: Cuba does not affect this bond. Being paid to wait means more than just T-Bill interest rates. Same duration Transalta Bond has a 4.2% yield, but they are the same bond. | 2010-03-03 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 7.430 | Bill Harris, CFA | (Top Pick Apr 6/09, Up 64.6%) | 2010-03-03 | |
| Comment | 7.430 | Christine Poole | Nickel play. Lots of assets in Cuba. | 2010-02-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.430 | David Cockfield | Just traded out of it. Nickel side is not looking that great. Madagascar politics looking not that great. Looks cheap but a lot of concern about their production. | 2010-02-26 | |
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| BUY | 7.130 | Hank Cunningham | Bonds 2014/2015. Favours them. If not for Cuba, would be trading at double ‘A’. Strong company, good balance sheet and nothing wrong with the credit. Bonds undervalued because the financial community can’t support their credit. Thinks they are good value. | 2010-02-25 |