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| PAST TOP PICK | 45.800 | Brooke Thackray | (A Top Pick Oct 27/11. Up 15.52%.) He is now short this one as a Pairs trade with consumer staples (SPDR Consumer Staples ETF (XLP-N)?). | 2012-05-03 | |
| TOP PICK | 39.940 | Brooke Thackray | (Top Pick May 5/11, Down 0.14%) Go long the discretionaries. A good time seasonally. He may exit it at some point in the middle. | 2011-10-27 | |
| TOP SHORT | 40.260 | Brooke Thackray | Consumer Discretionary ETF. Basically a Pairs Trade. He goes long the staples sector and goes short the discretionary sector. If the market goes down, he is expecting the discretionary sector to go down more. | 2011-05-05 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 39.410 | Brooke Thackray | (A Top Pick Nov 1/10. Up 12.51%.) Consumer Discretionary ETF. Consumer stocks do well on average every year from October to the middle of April. Will hold this for a couple of months from here. | 2011-02-28 | |
| TOP PICK | 35.190 | Brooke Thackray | Shorted this in August. Now long. It is a seasonally strong period for this. If you switch back and forth between staple and discretionary, you would be way up but not if you didn’t. Last year trade worked out very well. Actual trade ends April 22nd. It’s not done as a paired trade this time. He may short staples in January if it is weak. | 2010-11-01 | |
| TOP SHORT | 32.250 | Brooke Thackray | Short with a long on XLP-N – See comments on XLP-N for pairs trade. | 2010-08-05 | |
| TOP PICK | 27.140 | Keith Richards | Staples tend to become less favourable around the end of October and discretionary becomes more favourable. If the economists are right about the recession ending, it should be more discretionary spending by the consumer. Expect this will pull back to $26, which would be an ideal point to enter. | 2009-09-24 | |
| PAST TOP SHORT | 36.250 | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA | (A Top Short July 24/06. Up 13.5%.) Still thinks the consumers a big risk. Actually stopped himself out of that trade. Still a risky place to be. | 2006-10-11 | |
| TOP SHORT | 32.020 | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA | Has been negative on the consumer for the better part of the past year. Been oversold so will probably have a bit of a bounce. Will under perform with the consumer being stressed. | 2006-07-24 |
