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| Comment | 8.330 | Charles Dillingham | Being acquired by a pension fund. Expects the vote later on will accept the offer. | 2007-01-12 | |
| SELL | 7.840 | Robert Lauzon | Sold this trust at $10.00 many months ago. If you own recommends selling half of shares at around $8.00. It is best to take a little bit off the table just in case it goes down to $6.50-7.00. Believes that there are better REITS out there. | 2006-09-29 | |
| SELL | 8.060 | David Baskin | Take the money and run. | 2006-09-28 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 7.480 | Ravi Sood | Paul Reichmann plans to join the bidding for this company. Feels there will be more bids. At anything below $7.50, the risk/reward is very good and you should be buying. | 2006-07-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.690 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Largest “retirement home” owner in Canada. Have had a real problem. They have two choices. 1) They get acquired or 2) cut or suspend distributions. | 2006-07-07 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.520 | Dean Orrico | Has been forced into putting itself up for sale. They have been notorious over payers. If a buyer does not materialise, there will probably be a distribution cut. | 2006-06-23 | |
| BUY | 7.960 | Gail Mifsud | Has an outperform rating on it. Purely speculative play and not for the risk adverse or dividend seeking investor. She is banking on a takeout. | 2006-06-09 | |
| Comment | 8.250 | Ravi Sood | Been a complete mess lately. Up for sale and a potential bidder, Chartwell, dropped out. That took the stock down. Thinks it will get sold for a higher price than what it is trading at, maybe $9.50. | 2006-05-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.230 | Sandy McIntyre | Payout ratio, based on Adjusted Funds From Operations, is well in excess of 100%. Have put themselves up for sale. Chartwell (CSH.UN-T) are dropping out of the bidding process. Concerned about their continuing distribution. | 2006-05-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.990 | Robert Lauzon | Three main retirement REITs that he owns are Sunrise Senior Living (SZR.UN-T), Chartwell Seniors Housing (CSH.UN-T) and Retirement Residences (RRR.UN-T). Chartwell would be his top pick. This one is going through a takeover process. Has underperformed. | 2006-04-07 | |
| Comment | 9.870 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Basically nursing and retirement homes. They have an occupancy rate of about 82% in Ontario. Their debt to asset ratio is around 75% which is getting problematic. | 2006-04-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.500 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Long term nursing care. They are basically putting themselves up for sale. There are some capital expansion issues. | 2006-03-31 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 9.440 | Michael Sprung | (A Top Pick Dec 7/05. Up 5%.) Actually hit more than $10 and then pulled back. Still likes it and their properties and feels their distribution is sustainable. | 2006-03-23 | |
| BUY | 9.570 | Charles Dillingham | Retirement Residence REIT earnings have not been great. The whole market is pricey. RRR is gradually improving and they are buying other assets. They have capital. They are developing some new retirement homes. Buyer beware again but believes they will do well and are showing lots of life. Buying in the 8's. | 2006-03-11 | |
| HOLD | 9.800 | Ravi Sood | Possible takeover target. Feels the value is about $10.50 a share. At the high end, it may be $10.75. If it gets near $10.50, sell it. | 2006-02-10 | |
| HOLD | 9.900 | Bruce Hartman | One of the difficulties is that somewhere years ago, the Ontario government put in some incentives which added about 20,000 new beds to retirement homes which caused a huge oversupply. This is gradually being absorbed. They have a number of properties that are going to have to be upgraded which will cost them a fair bit of money. Could be a takeover. | 2006-01-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 8.930 | Michele Robitaille | Has continued to languish. Feels their operating challenges are going to continue. They face 3 main issues. 1) competitive landscape in Ontario 2) lives of some key management people and 3) their physical product is quite inferior. | 2006-01-06 | |
| WEAK BUY | 8.050 | Sandy McIntyre | Has a higher than normal yield for a REIT, but this is not truly a REIT, but is an operating business that happens to be on top of real estate. Showed marked improvement in Q3 and thinks their distribution is safe, but your margin of error is relatively thin. A higher risk name. | 2005-12-16 | |
| DON'T BUY | 8.940 | Ravi Sood | Has performed extremely well recently. A huge demographic play. Have come out of their recent problems and there are rumours of M&A activity. | 2005-12-09 | |
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| TOP PICK | 9.000 | Michael Sprung | The largest provider of retirement homes in Canada. The high 8’s in yield. A safe buy at this price. | 2005-12-07 | |
| BUY | 8.660 | Gail Mifsud | Basically has a portfolio, largely in Ontario, of long-term care homes, nursing homes and retirement residences. When Ontario added more than 20,000 long-term care beds, it had a devastating impact on them. Operations will take a while to turn around. She has an out perform rating on the stock. Have a wall of debt, facing them. Not for the faint of heart. | 2005-11-25 | |
| SELL | 8.700 | David Baskin | If it's held outside an RRSP and you have a tax loss deductible, maybe it's time to bite the bullet. Not a fan of the REIT sector in general. | 2005-11-24 | |
| HOLD | 7.330 | Charles Dillingham | There has been an inclination to give the management the benefit of the doubt. They do have an older product. The stock is acting as if they are going to have to make another cut in distributions. Nursing home situation seems to be improving over all. | 2005-10-31 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.750 | Ravi Sood | Was a poorly managed company, but is better now. Will have to do an equity issue or reduce their distributions which will cause the price to drop. If you see it $0.50/1.00 cheaper, it will probably be a good entry point. | 2005-10-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 7.750 | Michele Robitaille | Senior housing industry which she is quite favourable on. Stock is trading at a discount to its net asset value. Facing some operating challenges as the Ontario government has been introducing a lot of new beds into the market. This is coming to an end and the price should firm up a little. Also getting some other competition. | 2005-10-14 | |
| WAIT | 8.450 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Doesn't currently own, but is doing a lot of due diligence on it. Has an analyst visiting some of their sites. Starting to get attractive because it's believed that it's a REIT that's trading at it net asset value. Waiting for Q3 results to come out. May look at it if it gets cheaper. | 2005-10-07 | |
| TOP PICK | 9.500 | Charles Dillingham | Doesn't think anything is cheap, so his Top Picks are names that have underperformed and can be looked at. The market is acting as though this trust will do alright. Had way overpaid their distributions for a long time. Have changed management. Very good chance that it's going to grow itself out of its problems. | 2005-08-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.300 | Michele Robitaille | Likes the senior housing sector. This is probably the weakest player. Have faced significant operating problems. Oversupply in Ontario should work itself out. Sector has become a lot more competitive, so they'll have to adapt. Lost some senior personnel. New CEO has limited exposure to senior housing but is taking a good approach. Properties are lower quality than others. | 2005-07-15 | |
| BUY | 9.350 | Gail Mifsud | Has been on hard times. Cut its distribution last year. New management has cleaned house. Large addition of long term care beds cut into their business. Fundamentals will improve over time. 9% yield which should be safe. | 2005-07-05 | |
| WEAK BUY | 9.080 | Michael Sprung | Likes the outlook for retirement residences. Have the demographics going for them. From a structural point of view prefers Chartwell (CSH.UN-T). | 2005-06-24 | |
| BUY | 9.140 | Gavin Graham | Had been over distributing and with a change in management brought the distributions back to a more reasonable level. Ultimately the residences will get filled up over time and this will become very profitable. | 2005-06-08 | |
| HOLD | 9.030 | Neil Wickham | An oversupply of residences which will take a couple of years to use up. A practical kind of a business that uses most of their net free cash flow. Feels that the level they are at now is sustainable until the surplus of residences is used. | 2005-05-30 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.120 | Dan Bastasic | In long term care facilities. Demographics show that age 70 plus are growing at 2 X the general population. Since 2001, they have had steady declines in occupancy rates. Payout ratio is very aggressive. A lot of risk in this name. | 2005-05-27 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.350 | Bruce Hartman | Earnings have dropped and had to cut distributions. Was the victim of Ontario government changes which encouraged a lot more building of retirement residences resulting in too many retirement homes for the older population. The situation will probably clarify itself over the next 3/4 years. | 2005-05-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.110 | Sandy McIntyre | The enemy of real estate is excess development. In the Ontario market, the government created a 10 year requirement for beds in a 2 year period, so margins are being squeezed by overcapacity. Have cut their distributions once and it will be a challenging environment going forward. | 2005-05-13 | |
| HOLD | 9.250 | Kevin Hall BComm, CFA | Getting pretty cheap at $9. Payout is $0.84 which should be secure for '05. Payout ratio is under 100%. New management identified some problems with older homes and corrected. Ontario government introduced about 20,000 new nursing home beds in the last couple of years which really affected occupancy rates. As we get through '05, most of that wll be gone. Business should improve in '06. | 2005-05-06 | |
| VAGUE | 9.060 | Michael Sprung | What has hurt is the perception of a higher degree of leverage and what would happen if interest rates go up. | 2005-04-28 | |
| HOLD | 9.310 | Michele Robitaille | Likes the demographics in the senior housing sector. Facing some operational issues with 1) the competitive landscape in Ontario 2) changes in some of their senior managent 3) relatively inferior physical product. Distribution should not be at risk in the near term. Trading at a bit of a discount to net asset value. Sell into strength. | 2005-04-15 | |
| BUY | 10.010 | Gail Mifsud | 4th quarter results weaker then she expected, but has it rated as outperform. | 2005-03-11 | |
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| HOLD | 10.130 | Bill Shaw | Earnings were disappointing. Outlook for retirement homes, on a demographic basis is positive. Preferred the debentures rather than the actual stock. Wouldn't sell at this point, but would wait and see what management does. | 2005-02-22 | |
| HOLD | 10.080 | Garth Jestley | There are 3 plays in the "Seniors' Living" sector, this, Chartwell (CSH.UN-T) and Sunrise (SZR.UN-T). This one (more in nursing homes) has been hurt by Ontario government competition. Somw of their residences are getting old and refurbishing will be required. "Retirement' trusts have a place in portfolios and they own all 3. | 2005-02-18 | |
| BUY | 10.300 | John Priestman | Retirement home business is very fragmented so it's an area where there is the opportunity to make accretive acquisitions. Likes all 3 of the plays in this space including Chartwell and Sunrise Senior. Had surplus capacity and a high yield, so cut its distribution, so it's a good turnaround story. | 2004-12-31 | |
| BUY | 10.180 | Gavin Graham | Has recently lowered their payout. Had been over-distributing. Because of the demographics, feels this is a very gool long term growth story. | 2004-12-13 | |
| BUY | 10.020 | Gail Mifsud | Have upgraded this REIT following its recent pullback. Cut back their distribution significantly to a sustainable amount. Balance sheet is very solid. | 2004-12-10 | |
| VAGUE | 9.750 | Leslie Lundquist | This sector is going to be very competitive. Did the right thing by cutting their distribution. | 2004-11-17 | |
| WAIT | 9.700 | Ben Cheng | Cut its distribution. Have been concerned with this company. Were paying out more in cash than what they had been earning. Recent management change. New level of distributions is very sustainable. Would wait to see if there are any more suprises. | 2004-11-12 | |
| WAIT | 10.120 | Blair Wilson | Has just cut its distribution down to $0.84 per unit per year. Expect price will drop on this news. | 2004-11-10 | |
| HOLD | 9.850 | Gail Mifsud | Price has dropped becauase they have just appointed a new CEO and anticipation that they will cut the distribution. Pay out (140%) is well in excess of what they are earning. Room on the balance sheet to make acquisitions and grow out of this problem. | 2004-10-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.480 | Charles Dillingham | Has been very soft while the rest of the sector has been doing well. They're far away from earning their distribution. In competition with Ontario government's nursing homes. Say they will maintain their distribution, but that's the risk. | 2004-10-15 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.740 | Greg Guichon | There are concerns on them being able to maintain their distributions. Payout ratio is higher than 100%. Have strong competition. | 2004-10-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.750 | Leslie Lundquist | Paying out more than they earn. Can't see them growing into their distribution. | 2004-10-07 | |
| WEAK BUY | 10.640 | Blair Wilson | Has a neutral recommendation on it. Doesn't believe its covering its distributions from adjusted funds from operations. | 2004-10-01 | |
| HOLD | 11.250 | Charles Dillingham | There is a significant oversupply of nursing/retirement homes because of provincial activity. A lot of competition. Income is not meeting distributions by quite a wide gap. Market has underperformed but is now coming back very strongly. | 2004-08-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.290 | Ben Cheng | Good quality management team. A very smart investor who is a major holder, has sold all his units. Continuing to run an aggressive payout strategy which is stressful to the Company. | 2004-07-15 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.440 | Peter Brieger | Suffering from a lot of competitive advertising. Costs of maintaining retirement residences are going up. | 2004-07-05 | |
| SELL | 10.600 | Bill Shaw | Wouldnt buy at current price. A name i would sell | 2004-06-11 | |
| VAGUE | 10.200 | David Baskin | If interest rates go up, real estate investments become less attractive. There are some real regulatory concerns in this industry. | 2004-05-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.690 | Dean Orrico | Paying out more than 100% which makes him nervous. | 2004-04-05 | |
| BUY | 13.280 | Peter Brieger | One of their favorite REIT's. Their costs have gone up due to energy but, a good long-term hold. Likes "retirement living" sector. | 2004-03-16 | |
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| BUY | 13.200 | Garth Jestley | Doesn't expect any change in the distributions. Have been through a major capital expenditure program so haven't earned their distributions. Doesn't expect much upside, but has a 9% yield. | 2004-01-21 | |
| BUY | 11.400 | Peter Brieger | Temporarily, there has been some excess capacity and they have had cost increases across the board. They have teamed up with the Ontario Teachers Pension fund, which is a good partner to have. | 2003-10-08 | |
| WEAK BUY | 11.330 | Charles Dillingham | Had some problems in the US with legislation. Ontario government has expanded nursing facilities, which has created a glut in the market. Will have to get their occupancy up. Probably fine for a long-term. | 2003-09-26 | |
| BUY | 11.490 | Peter Brieger | Fears of overcapacity and price competition have knocked the stock down.Oversold. | 2003-08-27 | |
| WEAK BUY | 11.500 | Sandy McIntyre | The payout ratio on the distribution is too high.New properties have come on stream giving them excess capacity.The not compelling value, but not overpriced either. | 2003-08-25 | |
| WEAK BUY | 11.040 | Charles Dillingham | Has been hurt by expansion of Ontario government retirement homes and some problems in the US on reimbursement of drugs.Distributions may have been too high.Have made a good purchase from great West life, which should help distributions. | 2003-08-01 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 11.550 | John Priestman | (Was a top pick on June 25/03. Up 9.9%.) Bought for a quick trade. Wouldn't buy now. | 2003-07-30 | |
| WEAK BUY | 11.070 | Charles Dillingham | Has been disappointing. Has competition. Have a deal with CPP to have a series of houses. | 2003-07-18 | |
| TOP PICK | 10.390 | Garth Jestley | Near tern facing some challengessuch as cutbacks in aid by US and Ontario government competition. A good long term hold. | 2003-06-25 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.590 | Charles Dillingham | Has had a few negative surprises. Yields about 10%. Has competition. Also US government payments that were expected didn't happen. Questions if they can keep distributions up. | 2003-06-13 | |
| BUY | 10.090 | Gavin Graham | Expanding quite a lot. Likes for the demographics. | 2003-05-22 | |
| HOLD | 10.090 | Sandy McIntyre | Has some supply issues which will take 2 to 3 years before they are fully absorbed. Long term demographics support this trust. | 2003-05-07 | |
| BUY | 10.610 | Peter Brieger | Not sure why it dropped, but may be due to one large holding trying to raise cash. A long term buy. | 2003-04-10 | |
| WEAK BUY | 10.200 | John Priestman | A terrific play on demographics. There's a short term overcapacity in Ontario plus competition. Long term is good. | 2003-04-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.200 | Ben Cheng | Reichmans have been selling their holdings. Fundamentals look good, but getting competition from cheaper government sponsored retirement homes. | 2003-04-01 | |
| BUY | 10.660 | Sandy McIntyre | A sceondary offering has dropped the share price. At a good level. | 2003-03-25 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.640 | David Baskin | A lot of government controls. Prefers other areas of real estate. | 2003-03-19 | |
| BUY | 11.620 | Bill Shaw | Expects some growth prospects. | 2003-01-30 | |
| BUY | 11.770 | Peter Brieger | A leader in its field. Demographics are good. | 2003-01-15 | |
| BUY | 11.900 | Ben Cheng | Under pressure because of Ontario's expansion of nursing homes. Good operators. | 2002-12-09 | |
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| BUY | 12.730 | Gavin Graham | Will be a continuing growth story. | 2002-08-20 | |
| BUY | 12.870 | Ben Cheng | Good way to play Canadian demographics re: age. Solid management for 20 years. Good growth. | 2002-07-12 | |
| BUY | 12.960 | Peter Brieger | Stable. Good distribution. | 2002-07-10 | |
| BUY | 12.490 | Peter Brieger | A new issue diluted the shares, so the price dropped. Good distribution. | 2002-06-07 | |
| BUY | 12.000 | Bill Shaw | Likes. Yield is about 10%. Future looks good. | 2001-08-16 | |
| BUY | 11.700 | Sandy McIntyre | Own CPL's mngmnt contracts giving added income. Prefers over CPL. | 2001-08-13 | |
| TOP PICK | 10.750 | Sandy McIntyre | Demand fro retirement homes will grow. | 2001-06-19 |