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| PAST TOP PICK | 45.500 | Norman Levine | (A Top Pick March 30/09. Up 36.71%.) Absorbed into Suncor (SU-T). See Top Picks.) | 2010-04-06 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.500 | Brian Acker, CA | (A Top Pick Feb 24/09. Up 76.35%.) Merged with Suncor (SU-T) and he holds their shares. | 2010-02-03 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.500 | Michael Sprung | (A Top Pick Feb 2/09. Up 30.2% Using Suncor (SU-T) prices.) | 2010-01-27 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.500 | Ross Healy | (A Top Pick Jan 9/09. Up 65.9%.) Merged with Suncor (SU-T). | 2010-01-11 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.500 | Michael Sprung | (A Top Pick Nov 18/08. Up 91%.) Acquired by Suncor (SU-T), which he still owns. Lightened up a little. There will be a lot of opportunity. | 2009-11-27 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.500 | Michael Sprung | (A Top Pick Oct 16/08. Up 107%.) (Now Suncor (SU-T)) A dominant player. Well diversified across gas, oil, oil sands, upstream, downstream. Will be the bellwether stock in the oil/gas industry. | 2009-10-14 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.500 | Michael Sprung | (A Top Pick Sept 23/08. Up 17.4%.) Acquired by Suncor (SU-T). | 2009-09-02 | |
| BUY | 45.500 | David Burrows | Merger with Suncor (SU-T) makes all the sense in the world. Very good combination. You get the oil sands along with a cash flow that will come from their more conventional assets. | 2009-08-06 | |
| SELL | 45.440 | John Stephenson | Merger with Suncor (SU-T) is pretty much a done deal. Doesn't think this will go any higher so he would sell and pick up more Suncor, which is in the penalty box right now. | 2009-07-24 | |
| BUY | 39.300 | Rick Stuchberry | Merging with Suncor (SU-T). The reason to buy either is that they have a production profile that could grow dramatically. If you are positive on energy over the next little while, it makes a ton of sense to have a senior company like this. | 2009-07-10 | |
| BUY | 44.920 | Laura Lau | Merging with Suncor (SU-T) and would prefer to buy this rather than Suncor as the deal risk is minimal. Thinks government and shareholders will let the deal go through. A cheaper way to go. | 2009-06-30 | |
| HOLD | 42.220 | John Stephenson | (Market Call Minute.) Continue to hold for the merger with Suncor (SU-T). | 2009-06-24 | |
| HOLD | 41.860 | Laura Wallace | Thinks the acquisition with Suncor (SU-T) is going to go through. If you own, tender your shares and own Suncor. | 2009-06-23 | |
| BUY | 44.420 | Steve Carlin | Likes the merger with Suncor (SU-T). You should buy the cheaper of the two, which is this company. | 2009-06-19 | |
| HOLD | 48.780 | Ken McCord | (Market Call Minute.) Screening reasonably well. Prefers others. | 2009-06-09 | |
| BUY | 48.430 | David Cockfield | Likes this especially after the merger with Suncor (SU-T). Has been buying more of this than Suncor because they will have to adjust the valuation. | 2009-06-05 | |
| BUY | 47.150 | Gavin Graham | Would buy this instead of Suncor (SU-T) because it is an 8% discount to Suncor shares for the merger. | 2009-06-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 49.880 | Jennifer Stevenson | (Market Call Minute.) Would buy Suncor (SU-T) instead because of the merger does not go through you would be stuck with this company. | 2009-06-01 | |
| HOLD | 45.650 | Laura Wallace | Subject to a takeover by Suncor (SU-T). Not much there in terms of an arbitrage situation. She likes Suncor. | 2009-05-26 | |
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| PAST TOP PICK | 43.120 | Ross Healy | (A Top Pick June 5/08. Down 26.5%.) Being acquired by Suncor (SU-T), which is a brilliant move on their part. He'll probably continue to hold. | 2009-05-21 | |
| BUY | 41.600 | David Burrows | Likes the PetroCan (PCA-T)/Suncor (SU-T) combination as his key Canadian integrated. | 2009-05-15 | |
| BUY | 42.700 | Sandy McIntyre | Merging into Suncor (SU-T). Stock price became attractive so he just bought some. | 2009-05-14 | |
| HOLD | 43.920 | Steve Carlin | Suncor (SU-T) and this company are going to merge probably near the end of this year. Thinks Suncor management will be able to do better with the assets. They have some concentration issues on their retail gas stations. | 2009-05-12 | |
| Comment | 42.920 | Greg A. Taylor, CFA, BBA | Positive on the merger with Suncor (SU-T). There will be some growing pains. Integration risks will probably take longer than expected. Suncor is a very good operating company with a somewhat weak balance sheet and Petrocan has some good assets and a good balance sheet. | 2009-05-07 | |
| BUY | 43.540 | Norman Levine | (Market Call Minute.) Merger with Suncor (SU-T) is very good for it. | 2009-05-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 37.650 | Michael Smedley | Unless it is cheaper than buying Suncor, might as well buy Suncor. Great expectations for oil are not in place. He more likely sees $40 oil and $60 | 2009-04-28 | |
| VAGUE | 37.580 | Gavin Graham | Cheap way into Suncor until deal closes June 4 | 2009-04-27 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 36.580 | Brian Acker, CA | (Top Pick Apr 3’08 Down 17%) Still makes it into their portfolio. Will be re-evaluated when Suncor deal completes. | 2009-04-21 | |
| HOLD | 37.310 | Joanne A. Hruska, CFA | Merging with Suncor. Price is as if it was a take-over. She kept Suncor, taking profits in Petro Canada. | 2009-04-15 | |
| STRONG BUY | 37.700 | David Baskin | Suncor deal is a good marrying of assets. Will eliminate a whole layer of administration and management. This deal gives you better management. Some change to the Petro Canada Act is required. | 2009-04-14 | |
| Comment | 38.970 | Bruce Campbell | Merging with Suncor (SU-T), which will no longer be a pure play oil sands. Thinks some of Petrocan’s assets will be better managed creating more growth. Current price is probably as much as you are going to get out of the merger and future growth will depend on the market and oil prices. Good long-term value coming in the merger. | 2009-04-13 | |
| BUY | 39.630 | David Cockfield | Have a proposed merger with Suncor (SU-T) on the table. Situation has become somewhat confused with the Chinese making some bids on Petro Canada for the Libyan assets. | 2009-04-09 | |
| HOLD | 37.490 | Don Lato | Merging with Suncor (SU-T). If you own, you'll ultimately end up with Suncor shares. Hold and tender to the offer. | 2009-04-08 | |
| SELL | 34.360 | Ben Stadelmann | If he owned he would be Selling. Has been burned too many times by mergers. Post merger indigestion can occur. There is usually a bump up at the time of the merger and is a good time to take your profit. You can then watch for a better entry point. | 2009-04-01 | |
| TOP PICK | 33.800 | Norman Levine | Likes the coming merger with Suncor (SU-T), focus on oil sands and the upgraded management. He is also warm towards oil. | 2009-03-30 | |
| BUY | 35.480 | Dennis Da Silva | Possible takeover by Suncor (SU-T). Currently about a 3% gap between the 2 stock prices. Owning this would be a good move in anticipation of then owning Suncor. Fully expects deal will go through. | 2009-03-26 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 35.700 | Gavin Graham | (A Top Pick March 6/08. Down 35.3%.) Possibly being acquired by Suncor (SU-T). | 2009-03-23 | |
| BUY | 30.900 | Ken McCord | (Market Call Minute.) Likes it a lot. Nice dividend yield. One of the better integrated oils out there. | 2009-03-19 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 29.930 | David Baskin | (A Top Pick March 18/08. Down 34.5%.) Thinks this will do just fine as energy prices increase. | 2009-03-12 | |
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| HOLD | 25.920 | John Stephenson | Has been so disappointing for so long in bull markets. No clear linkage in meeting expectations on the production side. Will not be a takeover because of the PetroCanada Act. | 2009-03-06 | |
| HOLD | 26.640 | Laura Wallace | Has continually disappointed and not met expectations, which is why it has under performed its peers. Looks cheap but hasn't been able to deliver on its growth potential. Prefers others. | 2009-03-04 | |
| TOP PICK | 28.080 | Norman Levine | He feels oil prices have probably bottomed so he is friendlier towards oil stocks. This one is very cheap compared to most. Ontario Teachers Pension Plan is starting to stir things up and he doesn't think they will be easily satisfied. | 2009-02-27 | |
| TOP PICK | 26.380 | Brian Acker, CA | (A Top Pick Feb 27/08. Down 46%.) One of the cheapest oils out there. Model price is $37.39, a 41.7% positive differential. 3% yield. | 2009-02-24 | |
| WAIT | 25.940 | Rick Stuchberry | He would hold off to see if the stocks go lower. If oil goes sideways for another month or two, there is no rush to be in them. This one has the refining component, which is good, but there won't be expansions in the tar sands for a couple of years. | 2009-02-20 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 28.550 | Gavin Graham | (A Top Pick Mar 6/08. Down 38.3%.) Made no money at all for the last 5 years. Ontario Teachers Pension is now an active shareholder and pushing for better management. | 2009-02-13 | |
| TOP PICK | 26.910 | Michael Sprung | Cheap energy stock. Very seldom gets respect from the street. Tends to trade at cash flow multiples that are way below the rest of the market. Longer-term outlook is fairly good. Good upstream/downstream operations. Very strong balance sheet. | 2009-02-02 | |
| Comment | 27.560 | Ken McCord | Screens well for him but contango price (distant delivery price versus spot) on oil is very much higher than spot, which is very unusual resulting in producers looking for storage. Indicates a tremendous supply out there. | 2009-01-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 28.700 | Laura Wallace | Not sure this is a great equity investment here. Production is going to be down in 2009. Have disappointed in the past. Multiple looks cheap but there are better places to go. | 2009-01-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.820 | Kevin O'Leary | Everybody feels energy should be sitting between $50 and $70 a barrel however it continues to look very, very weak. Very much tied to the global recession. Not clear as to when to buy energy again. He would rather miss the first 10% up. | 2009-01-21 | |
| Comment | 27.110 | Peter Brieger | This, along with Talisman (TLM-T) are the 2 cheapest in this sector and could be a good investment. He prefers others. | 2009-01-20 | |
| BUY | 29.130 | Robert Floyd | Falling under the pressures of the commodity. Trades at about 3X earnings, which makes it a good time to step in. Have had some issues. Fort Hills project has had increased costs. | 2009-01-15 | |
| BUY | 28.680 | Gavin Graham | Can't figure out why it is so much worse treated than other oil/gas stocks. Possibly some dissatisfaction with the wide geographical spread that seems to lack focus but it has the same sort of assets as Suncor (SU-T), Husky (HSE-T) or Imperial (IMO-T). Cheap way to play oil/gas. | 2009-01-14 | |
| Comment | 29.140 | Chris Smith | There is a view that there has been poorer execution by management with the assets that they have and people have become frustrated. | 2009-01-12 | |
| TOP PICK | 30.050 | Ross Healy | (A Top Pick Dec 20/07. Down 43.6%.) At a nice discount to its book value. Much better value than other energy stocks. | 2009-01-09 | |
| BUY | 29.950 | Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI | Can't see any problems in it reaching $35 for starters. If it goes down to $27 start reducing and being completely out at $24. Oil has been deeply oversold. | 2009-01-05 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 29.100 | John Stephenson | (A Top Pick Jan 8/08. Down 48%.) Very inexpensive relative to other companies. Hard to see a catalyst. Will Fort Hills become the catalyst or continue to be a drag? Had a disappointing run in terms of production. Still likes. | 2009-01-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 25.510 | Paul Harris, CFA | Short term, commodities will have a difficult time because of the economic environment. Long-term, demand will go up and may take 1 or 2 years to happen. Prefers other oils because he is not sure where this ones growth will come from. Also had some issues with their oil sands projects. | 2008-12-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 27.050 | Michael Sprung | (A Top Pick Dec 10/07. Down 46%.) Great assets and well diversified. Potential to make money at the wellhead as well as at retail distribution. Incredibly inexpensive. Even with low oil prices, cash flow should be in excess of $10 over the next couple of years. | 2008-12-19 | |
| BUY | 28.990 | Brian Acker, CA | His model price is $46.42. A 68% upside. Cheap. | 2008-12-16 | |
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| PAST TOP PICK | 27.630 | Norman Levine | (A Top Pick Dec 18/07. Down 42%.) Down because of oil/natural gas prices but also because it has been disappointing to investors. Great value stock but needs a catalyst. | 2008-12-15 | |
| DON'T BUY | 26.950 | John Stephenson | An OK company but not a huge catalyst for upside. Better names are Suncor (SU-T), Encana (ECA-T) and possibly Canadian Natural (CNQ-T). | 2008-12-03 | |
| Comment | 33.730 | Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI | Will run into resistance at the $36 level. If it can break through there in the next couple of months, $46 would probably be the next resistance point. Doesn't think oil or this stock will have any major moves. Sell if it drops below $28. | 2008-11-28 | |
| TOP PICK | 25.400 | Michael Sprung | An asset rich company. Cash flow should be around $13 or more over the next couple of years. An absolute bargain at this price. Likes that they have deferred the Foothills project. | 2008-11-18 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 23.950 | Ross Healy | (A Top Pick Dec 20/07. Down 49%.) A real surprise to him. Was the cheapest oil and he thought an integrated would have more support. Fort Hills is going to be put on the shelf for a while. Would be inclined to nibble away at this price. | 2008-11-17 | |
| BUY | 25.780 | Norman Levine | Has been a terrible performing stock. Pinned a lot of their growth strategy on the oil sands and this is uneconomic right now. Long-term, you'll look back and say this was a screaming buying time. | 2008-11-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 30.140 | David Cockfield | After disappointing for a while, came through with some nice numbers. Not adding to his holdings at this time. | 2008-10-31 | |
| HOLD | 29.390 | Robert Floyd | Has dropped along with the commodity. Had some production and management issues in the past but even so, a very cheap stock. | 2008-10-30 | |
| Comment | 24.100 | Brendan Caldwell | Of the biggest players in the industry, this would be his favourite. Broadly diversified. Very cheap on a cash flow basis. Energy prices may continue to come down. | 2008-10-27 | |
| Comment | 27.800 | Bill MacLachlan | Prefers Suncor (SU-T), which is a better operator. Good value at current levels, but thinks Suncor is better. | 2008-10-23 | |
| HOLD | 25.410 | John Stephenson | This would not be his top pick. Has always been cheap but continues to disappoint. There are better names you could go to. | 2008-10-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 28.270 | Dennis Da Silva | Considers this as a value trap. Always looks cheap on paper but has disappointed from an operational point of view. Would prefer an oil sands play to their Fort Hills project. | 2008-10-21 | |
| WAIT | 31.000 | Don Vialoux | Trying to bottom. Very strong seasonal characteristics. Tends to go up in February and down in May every year. Energy sector will do OK in the recovery of the markets but not his favourite sector right now. Wait until the end of January, beginning in February. Energy stocks will do okay but prefers other sectors. | 2008-10-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 25.740 | Jean-Francois Tardif | Doesn't really like this stock. Where other oil stocks have done well, this one has not. Very limited amount of growth. | 2008-10-17 | |
| TOP PICK | 24.870 | Michael Sprung | At current price the multiple is very low, trading at far less than book price. Predominant player. Good blend of everything, | 2008-10-16 | |
| DON'T BUY | 24.870 | Peter Brieger | Stories that they may walk away from Fort Hills project, where costs doubled. Would not touch this. | 2008-10-16 | |
| HOLD | 24.920 | Laura Wallace | Disappointing company in terms of fundamentals, in terms of delivering on what they promised. It’s a ‘show me’ stock. Suncor is her preference. Cheap on valuation side. Will be volatile. | 2008-10-15 | |
| STRONG BUY | 26.940 | Norman Levine | Can’t believe how cheap it is. It’s always been a value oil play. He would buy it blindly. Maybe they will take out UTS. | 2008-10-14 | |
| SELL | 32.250 | Bill MacLachlan | Sleepy money is what you invest in this. Cut their position in the news of the fort hills project and invested in Suncor. They will be out of this stock in the next quarter. The execution is what concerns them. | 2008-10-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 35.400 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | There are other places that have better production profiles and better production increases. | 2008-09-30 | |
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| BUY | 35.400 | Gordon Higgins, CA, MBA | Great long-term story. Fort hills project responsible for recent decline. Should be more stable than a lot of the exploration companies. Great long-term story. | 2008-09-30 | |
| DON'T BUY | 36.440 | David Cockfield | Has been a major disappointment. Now trading at about a 5 times multiple. Incredibly cheap. Production will be down this year. It will go up if there is a major lift in the oil/gas stocks. It will lag the rest of the pack. | 2008-09-26 | |
| HOLD | 37.250 | Robert Floyd | Somewhat attractive at this price. Costs on their oil sands project are escalating dramatically. A great deal of the negative news has already been discounted in the share price. | 2008-09-25 | |
| Comment | 36.720 | Michael Decter | Quality company. If you're holding for the long-term you won't do badly with this one. He would prefer Imperial Oil (IMO-T) instead. | 2008-09-23 | |
| TOP PICK | 36.720 | Michael Sprung | Inexpensive company but still very profitable. Feels cash flow is going to be in excess of $10 a share over the next couple of years. Involved in some projects were costs are escalating very high, which contributed to the pullback. These projects will probably be delayed. | 2008-09-23 | |
| PARTIAL BUY | 37.400 | John Stephenson | Typically disappoints on the production side. Until they can develop and deliver on time and on budget it will be in the penalty box. Trying to turn their refining side around. Have a lot of diverse projects. Can't be taken over by a foreign entity, which eliminates a takeover premium. Feels very comfortable holding at this level and even adding to it. | 2008-09-22 | |
| BUY | 35.780 | Ken McCord | Costs are going up in the oil sands for a lot of players. This has impacted them in their Fort Hills project. Comfortable with a little bit of this. Oil seems to be recovering. Consistent and very stable earnings. Likes all the underlying fundamentals. | 2008-09-18 | |
| DON'T BUY | 35.780 | Bill Harris, CFA | Company can absolutely detail exactly what they are going to do for the next 2 years. That is not good enough for him. He needs to know what will happen after 2010. Part of the Fort Hills project with UTS (UTS-T). If they were rational, they would not go ahead with this project. | 2008-09-18 | |
| DON'T BUY | 39.670 | David Driscoll | Integrated oil company that is going to have look at both upstream and downstream operations. Lower oil price means improved crack spreads. But costs going forward with their other projects could be affected by having to shut in or shut down. | 2008-09-16 | |
| TOP PICK | 40.390 | Brian Acker, CA | With the fall of the dollar in terms of purchasing power, a lot of the integrated oils never got the up tick in terms of valuation. As oil prices are coming down, the companies have to get their costs under control, which will give them the valuation up tick. | 2008-09-11 | |
| BUY | 42.070 | Norman Levine | (Market Call Minute.) A great value oil. | 2008-09-05 | |
| BUY | 42.070 | Jennifer Stevenson | This issue exposure right across the board whether it's refining, international exploration or the Canadian basin. | 2008-09-05 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.920 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Short term you are probably going to be at the mercy of the commodity markets. Longer-term, it has a lot going for it. One of the few that have a heavy oil interest off the Fort Hills project. Integrated so has exposure to refinery and marketing. Not expecting huge production increases over the next 2 years. | 2008-09-02 | |
| Comment | 46.100 | Joseph Schachter | These companies have a massive amount of cash and they have to reinvest it in the ground. Some of the big companies are buying back shares and paying higher dividends but that is not the solution. | 2008-08-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 46.100 | Shauna Sexsmith | Probably cheapest integrated oil stock in the world. Trading at 5X next year's earnings. Bit of a management discount, a bit of concern over their strategy, Libyan assets and there isn't any meaningful production growth until 2012. You need a lot of patience with this one. Value trap. | 2008-08-26 | |
| HOLD | 46.750 | John Stephenson | (Market Call Minute.) Company has just demonstrated that they struggle to bring on production and our too down stream weighted. | 2008-08-22 | |
| BUY | 47.930 | Robert Floyd | Based on the pullback on the stock and commodity price, this is a fair entry point. This one is not his favourite. | 2008-08-21 | |
| STRONG BUY | 46.250 | Michael Sprung | Earnings of $3.10 and stock is selling at 4X earnings. Cash flow should be in excess of $12 over the next couple of years. Dividends were increased 54%. As an integrated they have been hurt over the last 6 months in their refining and retail operations. Valuation is compelling. | 2008-08-14 | |
| TOP PICK | 47.240 | Brian Acker, CA | Hugely undervalued. His model price is $89.85, a 93% positive differential. Trading at the same valuation as if oil was $25. | 2008-08-06 | |
| HOLD | 48.560 | Bruce Campbell | Just reported and its quarter was decent enough. Cash flow of about 35% year over year. Refining and marketing got squeezed on margins. Had ongoing production problems. | 2008-07-30 | |
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| BUY | 47.220 | Jaime Carrasco | Thinks we are early on into the appreciation of commodities. Cost of production is going up for the senior producers. In this case, earnings haven’t caught up to the price of the commodity and cost of production. | 2008-07-25 |