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Perpetual Energy
Symbol: PMT-T
Active: Y
Sector: oil/gas
Notes:gas weighted.
Last Price: 0.840
Last Price Date: 2012-02-10 20:38:36
Globe 200 day average
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Experts who have talked about Perpetual Energy

HOLD0.920Eric NuttallHad to cut their dividend twice last year. Their debt load is extraordinarily high. Feels they are very, very, very financially stressed. Don’t commit new money. There isn’t tremendous upside.2012-01-24
WAIT2.330Robert LauzonThey are one of the largest shareholders. They have too much debt but if he didn’t think gas was going to $6 he would not be holding it. Got booted out of the index and caused selling, so that is a sign of a bottom.2011-09-12
PAST TOP PICK2.620Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI(A Top Pick July 30/10. Down 42.61%.) Sold his holdings in the $3-$4 range. Dropped its dividend, which caused the problem. Highly leveraged to natural gas prices.2011-08-22
PAST TOP PICK3.610Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI(Top Pick Jul 30/10, Down 22.05%) Would not take a position in this right now. Dividend was decreased. Waiting for an up tick to exit his position. Past Top Pick 2011-06-07
HOLD4.000John StephensonThey are trying very hard to produce LNG and shift to oil. Relatively short reserve life. He is bearish on gas. Well managed and have done a very good job. 2011-04-20
HOLD4.030Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSIIt is important that Nat Gas gets close to $5. If you sold it, stay out of it, otherwise hold it.2011-02-01
Comment4.060John StephensonNatural Gas Commodity ETF (GAS-T) or Perpetual Energy (PMT-T) for a 5-year gas play? A 5-year expectation that gas will go up eventually is reasonable. He would hold this one. Recently redid some hedges and got their bank loans/credit lines revised.2011-01-17
SELL3.980Eric NuttallCut dividend back in October and stock tumbled. Trying to increase liquid component of their natural gas. 97% natural gas. Unless you are a bull on natural gas prices, it is highly likely they will have to cut dividend yet again. He is short the stock.2010-12-14
DON'T BUY3.970Michael SprungReduced their payout on conversion. Recent results were mixed. Production as less than expected but got better prices. CapX program will be going up in the next year. Not a compelling price.2010-12-01
DON'T BUY4.430Eric NuttallWildly over valued natural gas stocks. 97% natural gas. Have some hedging, but even with that they have a high cost base. Debt up to their eyeballs at 4.2 times. Trades at just under10X enterprise value to cash flow using $4.25 Cdn pricing. 13.5% yield, which he feels is in jeopardy.2010-10-27
HOLD4.940John StephensonThis stock is a trader. Only 5 years of reserve life. They are successfully avoiding some of the shallow gas. They are gas weighted. 2010-08-31
TOP PICK5.030Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI(Doesn't own but on his radar screen and will try to get it under $5.) Almost fully Exposed to natural gas. Nice dividend of about 12%.2010-07-30
PAST TOP PICK4.980Colin Stewart(A Top Pick May 12/08. Up 24.66%.) Reduced his position a little bit.2010-05-25
PAST TOP PICK4.980Colin Stewart(A Top Pick May 12/09. Up 11.7% plus distributions.) His way of getting exposure to natural gas which had been too beaten up.2010-01-28
HOLD5.460Robert LauzonHeavily focused on natural gas. Thinks that gas will average around $6.50 in 2010, which bodes well for this company. There are other gas year names that he prefers because they have more of a resource play. (See Top Picks.)2010-01-06
PAST TOP PICK4.800Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.(A Top Pick Nov 10/08. Down 8.96%.)2009-12-07
PAST TOP PICK5.150Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.(A Top Pick Nov 10/08. Down 3.6%.) 100% natural gas. Likes the assets and management but doesn't have great expectations for it going forward. If you own, consider Selling.2009-11-06
HOLD5.220John Stephenson(Market Call Minute.) Has done a few things well with the Profound acquisition but is gas weighted with a short reserve life.2009-09-28
Comment5.210Joanne A. Hruska, CFAVery gas focused. Starting to work its way back. Has a lot of hedges, which may be why it has done better.2009-09-14
SELL4.900Bill Carrigan12.3% yield. Eventually they are going to have to go corporate. He wouldn't want to wait around to see if it was going to be successful or if there were going to be a cut. Looking at the chart, he doesn't think it is going anywhere.2009-08-28
HOLD4.780John StephensonThis company is pretty much in shallow gas and gas prices have just gone from bad to worse. If things were to deteriorate further, a distribution cut could happen.2009-08-21
PARTIAL BUY4.300Dean OrricoGas weighted. Well run. Short reserve life is a bit of an issue. Well capitalized. 13.9% distribution is in good shape. Has been slowly adding this one to his portfolio.2009-07-23
WAIT4.300Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Almost 90% gas production. Likes their plays and the management team. As a gas producer, it is vulnerable to some softness over the next several months. Buy it on weakness. Distribution could be vulnerable.2009-05-20
TOP PICK4.460Colin StewartGreat way to play longer term upside in natural gas. Have significant hedges on natural gas in the near term. Thinks the 13% distribution is sustainable. Payout ratio of only about 55%. Trading at about 3X cash flow.2009-05-12
Comment3.480Joseph Schachter(Market Call Minute.) A gassy related trust. If you have a patient long-term time horizon, buy.2009-04-06
HOLD5.060Michael Simpson, CFA(Market Call Minute.) At times they hedge and at other times they don't.2008-11-20
TOP PICK6.250Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.100% natural gas. Relatively high income. 19.2% distribution is about 50-50 vulnerable because of gas prices but he is not expecting it. Production is up a little. Have done well with their hedging program.2008-11-10
PAST TOP PICK8.350John Stephenson(A Top Pick Aug 22/07. Up 23%.) Great leverage to gas prices and had recommended when gas prices were depressed. Recently sold his holdings. 2008-08-22
TOP PICK8.230Sandy McIntyre100% gas. Short reserve life index. Balance sheet is OK but not great. Asset base decline rate is between 16 and low 20’s while reserve life index has a 27% decline rate. 14.75% yield. (Betting on short duration over no distribution.) 2008-08-15
WATCH7.940David BurrowsVirtually all gas. Very conservative management with a fairly low payout ratio. Will trade with natural gas stocks, but there is yield support that should give it some support. He would want to see some positive price action before he bought.2008-08-05
WAIT7.800Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.100% gas. Sold his holdings last fall, presuming low gas prices. Would wait to see how strong gas imports are this summer. He likes it. Has good plays and is well managed and a good cash position.2008-03-07
DON'T BUY6.950John StephensonVery short reserve life index of about 5 years. Also gas weighted.2008-02-08
BUY6.830Michael Simpson, CFAPrimarily natural gas weighted. Cut their distribution in December. Debt levels are a bit higher than he likes. He owns it for leverage to natural gas. Distributions should be sustainable over the short and medium period. Likes it at this price.2008-01-22
Comment6.400Ben Cheng(Market Call Minute.) Potential for an acquisition and consolidation with their parent Paramount Resources (POU-T). Doesn't think it will occur for the next 12 months. Tremendous yield may not be safe going forward.2008-01-21
DON'T BUY6.350Michael SprungThinks they will have problems they will have to face going forward. Worried a little bit about the distributions.2007-12-10
SELL6.310Bruce Campbell(Market Call Minute) A gassy trust, which is the kind of thing he avoids.2007-11-22
WEAK BUY6.230Gavin GrahamNot a trust that we like. All of these trusts have been big under performers. If you don’t mind the management, you can buy. 2007-11-19
Comment7.000Michael Simpson, CFAHas some issues with debt, so sold some assets. Thinks their payout ratio will be in the 65% - 70% range. Good management.2007-11-08
SELL7.840Adam ThomasWould not be an owner of this one right now. He would look at an affiliated company Paramount Resources (POU-T). It doesn't pay a distribution, but is probably one of the stronger energy names.2007-10-05
HOLD8.100Joseph SchachterHad to cut their distributions. They are trying to get to a 50% payout, which allows them to continue the payout as well as reinvest in the ground.2007-08-17
DON'T BUY8.400John StephensonSlashed their distribution by 29%, which came after an equity issue. This caused a drop in the stock. A decent name, but it only has a 5.3-year reserve life. Dead money for a while.2007-08-08
BUY9.780Joseph SchachterThe problem here is natural gas prices. There is a lot of inventory. He believes that natural gas prices will recover..2007-07-20
Comment9.770Peter BriegerThis is a classic example of what is going to happen to the trusts as they get nearer to 2011. It will depend to some extent on the tax pools. Expect distributions will be cut.2007-07-19
BUY11.410Michael Simpson, CFAPrimarily weighted to natural gas. Could see some choppy trading in the short term based on his short-term forecasts that natural gas might not be that robust. Likes it longer-term. Good management. Good for a long-term hold.2007-07-04
HOLD9.750John Stephenson100% gas weighted but has hedged about 50% of their production. 5 year reserve life. Specialists in shallow gas, which is the most likely to be curtailed when gas prices are low.2007-03-27
Comment9.660Gavin GrahamHas always been fairly aggressive in their reserve life calculations, as well as the amount they pay out. Trusts growing by the chequebook, and paying out most of what they generate, have been badly affected. Has interesting acreage and will be leveraged to the price of oil.2007-03-26
DON'T BUY9.370Kevin Hall BComm, CFAVery short reserve life index. Primary focus is natural gas. Their ability to maintain the reserve life is going to be a challenge. If you're looking for natural gas, he would suggest looking at Focus Energy (FET.UN-T), Peyto Energy (PEY.UN-T) or Progress Energy (PGX.UN-T).2007-03-09
WAIT11.560John StephensonThe biggest problem here is that it is a gas weighted trust. Good management. If you hold it, you'll get a decent distribution but if you want buy or exit, wait for a turn in the commodity.2007-02-21
DON'T BUY12.260Robert LauzonA gas weighted royalty trust. Would prefer Zargon (ZAR.UN-T) or Focus (FET.UN-T) because of their longer reserve life and lower debt multiples. Has a pretty good hedging program in place.2007-01-22
Comment11.640Michael Simpson, CFAVery highly weighted to natural gas. He is bullish on natural gas for 2008, but there will be short-term weakness. If your horizon is less than a year, he wouldn't hold. If you have a longer view, then it is a good hold. Distributions could be in danger.2007-01-04
DON'T BUY14.610Ben ChengGas weighted. Gas prices have been improving. Prefers other gas focused names such as Enerplus (ERF.UN-T) Arc Energy (AET.UN-T) Focus (FET.UN-T) and Shining Bank (SHN.UN-T).2006-12-01
SELL14.200Robert LauzonVery short reserve life. A high beta play on natural gas. Limited growth opportunities because of government trust rulings.2006-11-24
BUY12.980John StephensonLower reserve life and 100% gas focused, but have been doing this for 23 years. The bigger bet is on gas prices rather than survivability. If gas prices stay at this level or go higher, this is a name that you might want to add to.2006-11-16
BUY13.110Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Management has done a good job and got some good properties. Facing closer to the 30% than the 20% tax obligation for trusts. Gas oriented.2006-11-10
DON'T BUY17.580Robert TooleThe most natural gas weighted trust out there. Based on his views of natural gas, this has a favourable outlook longer-term. Has a relatively short reserve life. Prefers more conservatively run trusts.2006-10-27
DON'T BUY16.150Robert LauzonThey have cut distribution this year. It is 100% gas. It has a short reserve life. Best to go with another name. 2006-09-29
DON'T BUY19.740Garth JestleyBasically a gas play. High payout ratio.2006-08-11
HOLD18.010Ravi SoodGas weighted. With their distribution cuts now out of the way, it is probably a decent entry point. Not the best trust to play a turnaround in gas prices.2006-07-21
BUY18.550Michael SprungA very good company. Well-managed and well positioned in the energy area. A good long-term investment.2006-07-18
BUY17.900John StephensonA good mid/long-term (6/12 months) hold. A shallow gas type of trust. You won't see a big pop in it right away. One of the better, lower cost trusts.2006-07-10
DON'T BUY19.230Robert LauzonAlmost 100% natural gas. Has hedged some of its production into 2008. We are going into 3/4 months of fairly weak gas prices. Has a higher payout ratio at about 80%. Rumours of distribution being cut.2006-06-02
HOLD18.120Ben Cheng100% natural gas. There has been a substantial decline in natural gas prices in the last 6 months. At $6 MCF we are probably near the bottom. If normal weather pattern's return, the demand will go substantially higher.2006-05-19
DON'T BUY18.890David CockfieldNot his favourite trust. Prefers the multibillion$ oil/gas income trusts.2006-05-15
DON'T BUY20.000Gavin GrahamHas not been holding its own. Off 9/10% this year. Has a short reserve life. One of the casualties of the high grading of the income trust market. Good yield at 14.5%, but a riskier trust.2006-05-03
WEAK BUY21.290Patrick KimFor the braver investor. It will be quite volatile. Payout ratios quite high. Have some assets with very high decline rates and their efficiency numbers in replacing some of those reserves has not been great. Have put a lot of money into drilling this winter which gives it some potential for some very good news to come out in Q1.2006-04-21
BUY19.950John StephensonThis has hedged 47% of its production at $10 or more. Very clean balance sheet. Huge land base.2006-04-05
DON'T BUY20.140Michael SprungWould put this in the middle of the range of energy trusts. Fairly valued right now and would prefer at a lower price.2006-03-23
DON'T BUY19.310Sandy McIntyreParamount Energy Trust has done a good job over the years of maintaining production with a short RLI asset base. He has been bearish on gas for the past few months and this is 100% gas weight. Not in his portfolio but will own it at the right time. He likes Penn West, it is his third largest holding . It is an oil and gas trust with a great reservoir.2006-03-05
DON'T BUY22.000Garth JestleyThe reserve life index is very short at about five years where the average is about nine years. This leaves very little room for error.2005-12-02
DON'T BUY21.140Kevin Hall BComm, CFAHas had some past issues with the Alberta, particularily with their production around the oil sands. For a natural gas play, would prefer a Focus Energy (FET.UN-T) which has a much longer reserve life index.2005-10-28
BUY20.040Greg Guichon100% natural gas. Raised the distribution and with their hedging can continue the increase through to 2007. Management has a long history in oil/gas and he really likes them.2005-10-21
DON'T BUY20.980Ravi SoodHe is currently shorting. Has gas exposure. Doesn't think it's going much lower, but thinks it will underperform the other gas weighted trusts.2005-10-14
HOLD20.750Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.High payout ratio. Likes the assets, but have suffered a bit over the gas over bitumen issue. Very gas orientated which has good prospects in front of it.2005-09-02
BUY20.400Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has a good sustainablility of its distribution plus its cap ex. The 2nd quarter was in line with analysts estimates. Mainly gas. Reasonably priced.2005-08-15
HOLD17.780Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has reasonably good payout ratio of just over 100%. Has some very good assets. Well managed. Not sure there's a lot more room on the upside. Good one to hold.2005-07-08
DON'T BUY17.490Matt BaillieGot some back from the Alberta government over the closure of some of its properties. Not one of his favourites. Not growing organically. Pure gas play and a short reserve life. Still has to prove itself.2005-01-27
WEAK BUY17.570Rob CallanderHas its problems with a gas issue. Avoids what he considers the more risky trusts. Prefers blue chip stocks this year.2005-01-25
BUY16.100Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has performed very well recently. Well managed. In spite of their low reserve life index, expects they will continue to grow it.2004-12-29
DON'T BUY16.310Robert Lauzon100% natural gas and they don't hedge much of their production. Highly volatile. Reserve life is only about 5 1/2 years compared to 9.7 years for the industry.2004-12-24
BUY16.240Ben ChengBelieves it will be able to maintain its distributions, if not grow it a little as long as natural gas prices remain above $6/$6.50.2004-12-17
BUY15.210Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has been one the best performing trusts. Well managed. Expensive right now. Lower payout ratio which is good.2004-11-05
DON'T BUY15.850Garth JestleyRelatively short reserve life.2004-10-29
DON'T BUY16.290David CockfieldHasn't been a favourite as their asset base was too concentrated. Has had a good recovery. Average in reserve life. Prefers larger companies with lots of assets in various areas.2004-10-14
BUY16.300Greg GuichonA gas weighted trust. Good management. Waiting for the Alberta government to come to some kind of reconciliation. Should happen in the next six weeks.2004-10-08
DON'T BUY15.910John StephensonA little highly levered. Has had some production issues.2004-09-27
DON'T BUY14.100Peter BriegerIt is not a very good buy.2004-09-02
BUY14.320Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has had a good move in the last 6 months.2004-08-25
WEAK BUY14.600Charles DillinghamComes well recommended. Just started buying recently. There is a dispute with the use of their gas.2004-08-20
HOLD14.350Ross HealyGiven the general trend of energy prices, not a trust to worry about. Not a fan of income trust.2004-08-16
WEAK BUY13.290David CockfieldShould do OK. Still has too many eggs in too few baskets. Acquisition of Cavell should help. Reasonably priced. Prefers the larger trusts.2004-08-10
DON'T BUY13.510Peter BriegerReserve life index is only five years or less. Prefers 9/10 years. Would prefer Peyto, Focus or Shining Bank.2004-08-04
DON'T BUY13.790David CockfieldDistributions have just increased so there was a spike in the stock price. Wouldn't be surprised if it pulled back from here. Feels it is a little too narrow in its focus of its assets.2004-07-26
DON'T BUY13.900Blair WilsonHas made an acquisition, so it has come back. Concerned about the valuation.2004-07-22
HOLD11.640David CockfieldAlberta Energy Board designated a large amount of their property as heavy oil sold gas was limited. Management is not too bad. Decent yield. Fully priced.2004-04-26
DON'T BUY10.000Peter BriegerNot a fan.Very short reserve life.2003-08-27
DON'T BUY9.970Glenn Paradis, BA, CFARan into some shut-in problems with the Alberta government.Wouldn't invest in the hopes that they will win.2003-08-13
SELL8.700David BurrowsHave been locked out of some gas fields by the Alberta government. A lot of holders are waiting for a bit of a rally and then will sell their shares.2003-07-02
DON'T BUY9.060Garth JestleyAlberta Energy Board has closed off a lot of their gas.2003-06-25
DON'T BUY8.970David BaskinGot sideswiped by the Alberta Energy Board. Don't see the situation getting resolved very quickly.2003-06-16
DON'T BUY8.940Rob CallanderAn announcement by Alberta of closing off much of their source has sent the stock tumbling.2003-06-05

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