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Pengrowth Energy Trust
Symbol: PGF.UN-T
Active: Y
Sector: oil/gas production
Last Price: 11.630
Last Price Date: 2010-03-11 22:31:19
Globe 200 day average
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Experts who have talked about Pengrowth Energy Trust

DON'T BUY11.000John StephensonWould not put in his must-have category. Does not see an obvious catalyst to the shares going higher. No clear focus on one play. They are middle of the road.2010-03-05
TOP PICK11.000Prakash HariharanHad a good run and in the process of re-calibrating as a company with the new management team. With new team, the stock is in the process of re-calibrating. Safe dividend payout. Cut down debt. Payout ratio looks sustainable.2010-03-01
TOP PICK11.050Michael Simpson, CFAHas a new leader. One of Canada’s oldest energy trusts. Are particular on where they spend money and have to cut their distribution so they shouldn’t have to do it again.2010-02-23
BUY10.860David BaskinHas 3 to 4 years of tax pools so 7.7% yield is sustainable as long as oil stays above $70 a barrel. Have terrific properties.2010-02-08
Comment10.800Jeff BlackNot a bad place to be. They will have to address some changes on the trust side.2010-01-14
TOP PICK10.870Joanne A. Hruska, CFALikes new management. Will have to change the culture from what the company was too more of an exploration/production. Expect they will continue a dividend after conversion to a corp but there will still be growth. Debt levels are in control.2010-01-13
Comment10.750Robert LauzonHad a management shake-up and likes the new management. This wouldn't be his 1st choice in royalty trusts. (See Top Picks.)2010-01-06
BUY10.750Mason Granger(Market Call Minute)2010-01-05
WEAK BUY10.200Michael SprungFairly priced. A little over 8% yield. Have already addressed the distribution and are pretty well set up for 2011. Have oil, half gas.2009-11-27
WATCH10.390Michele RobitailleDidn't do a great job of migrating their asset base towards more sustainable properties and had a very high payout ratio. Change in management and thinks the direction will change significantly but will take some time, possibly 12 to 24 months.2009-11-25
TOP PICK10.300Laura LauTrading at a discount to its peers. 50/50 oil and gas. Have always had great assets but new management will now focus on cost control and more production. 8.2% yield on a 33% payout ratio.2009-11-18
TOP PICK10.100Mason GrangerNew management is transitioning from acquisitions to developing present holdings. Likes the new management. Has under performed over the last month but thinks they will divest non-core assets.2009-11-03
HOLD9.920Peter BriegerFirst-rate income trust. New management team so a “show me” stock.2009-11-02
BUY10.730Laura LauLikes the new management with their good track record. Believe they will cut costs, stabilize production and start making acquisitions. At a 33% payout ratio only, feels distributions are safe. They will also be increasing capital.2009-10-13
BUY10.280Jim HuangToday's 30% distribution cut was disappointing but not unexpected. Newman is and is doing the right thing in increasing capital expenditure and building for the future.2009-10-02
TOP PICK11.330Laura LauNew leader has a good track record and is very operationally focused. Payout ratio of only 45% so believes the 11% yield is sustainable. Very good old legacy assets. Not expensive.2009-09-30
WATCH9.670Michele RobitailleDid not migrate to as much of a balanced model in terms of balancing the level of payout and its capital expenditures as other trusts. New CEO is trying to refocus the company into getting into some of the resource oriented plays.2009-09-11
DON'T BUY9.400David BaskinNot one of his favourites. Well managed and pretty good assets. You will get more leverage on the exploration side with a Talisman (TLM-T) or the integrated side with a Suncor (SU-T).2009-08-31
HOLD9.600Jim HuangBased on current production and cash flow, they are fairly valued. Historically it has been over levered and under performing. New management team has been doing some good things in the constructing portfolios and rejuvenating growth.2009-08-24
WATCH9.150Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has some great properties and assets. Has always had management issues and more recently have brought in a new president who is very well thought of. Anxious to see what he is going to do.2009-08-11
Comment9.090Benj GallanderNatural gas is way out of favour. Likes their 13% distribution. You have to be wary as to whether they can sustain it. They need natural gas prices to move up. Big debt load that he doesn't like.2009-08-07
BUY8.960Michael SprungWell managed company. His outlook for energy long-term is positive. Distribution is a little bit high but doesn't think there is a danger of being cut. (See Top Picks.)2009-07-28
WEAK BUY25.300Dean OrricoHave been transitioning to be more operationally/technically focused. Has helped them in growing production and allowed them to avoid making an acquisition just for the sake of making inaccurate edition. Wouldn't be one of his top holdings.2009-07-23
BUY8.670Dennis Da Silva(Market Call Minute.) Seems to be a recycling of the management team getting ready for a conversion back to a corporation.2009-07-16
Comment8.530Ken McCord(Market Call Minute.) There are better names out there. He would suggest Fort Chicago (FCE.UN-T).2009-07-15
BUY8.350Ben Cheng(Market Call Minute.) Good suite of properties. New good management.2009-07-13
Comment8.660Michael Simpson, CFA(Market Call Minute.) Getting a new president and COO. Wants to meet with him before they buy but it is positive news.2009-07-06
Comment9.180Laura LauTraditionally they were high payout ratios and made many acquisitions. Now transitioning to become more operationally focused. Good management. Hoping to see some operating costs come down. Production has stabilized. Have very good assets and low decline rates compared to peers. Becoming a sustainable trust in that development capital they spend and distributions are 100% or less and they won't have to go to equity markets. 13.1% distribution should be safe.2009-06-30
Comment9.300John StephensonNot his favourite name but a year from now you could be well rewarded. Distribution is pretty safe, not rock solid.2009-06-24
HOLD9.350Peter BriegerLikes oil and natural gas. This company is about 50% each. On this trust and most others, he can see distributions being cut 15% to 20% and sometimes more because of taxation. Not his favourite but he does like it.2009-06-16
DON'T BUY9.500Ken McCordLooks cheap on trailing earnings and it is but looking at forward earnings it is very expensive. Doesn't mind the sector but would prefer something like Fort Chicago (FCE.UN-T).2009-06-09
SELL9.190Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.(Market Call Minute.) Changed its management significantly over the last little while. He would want to see some direction and guidance.2009-05-20
DON'T BUY8.690Peter BriegerDoesn’t think they can maintain the distribution. Thinks they will be part of a consolidation.2009-05-04
DON'T BUY6.230Michael SprungNumbers came in a little below expectations and their reserve level was lagging from what the market was expecting. Possibly another distribution cut is coming.2009-03-10
WAIT7.260Kevin Hall BComm, CFAHad a substantial distribution cut of about 40%, which is positive. Good asset base. Leverage is a bit higher than average but the distribution cut addresses this. Would wait to see more positive things before he stepped in.2009-02-27
Comment7.290Sandy McIntyreJust cut distributions substantially, which was the correct thing to do. Has a brilliant asset base. Would be warming up to this name significantly if it continues down at these levels.2009-02-24
BUY10.140Michael SprungAbout 50% oil and 50% gas. Have been cutting back on distributions and the forecast for cash flow going forward has been cut. 20% yield.2009-02-02
HOLD10.050Sandy McIntyreReduced their distributions to a level, which is living mostly within their means. Very good asset base. Would be very comfortable with this on a 2 to 3 year time horizon.2009-01-22
SELL10.160Kevin O'Leary(Market Call Minute.) More distribution cuts coming.2009-01-21
HOLD9.780Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSIHas just popped above the downtrend line. Below its 50-day moving average but momentum is starting to build up. Would like to see it get through around $10.75 before Buying.2009-01-08
HOLD9.750Michael Sprung(Market Call Minute.) Just cut their distributions. Cutting back on CapX/production guidance.2008-12-19
Comment9.510Ben ChengHas been hit with the massive move down of oil and natural gas. Will be under a little bit of pressure because they are close to 100% payout ratio and will probably have a distribution cut at current commodity prices. Some of their light oil prospects are very, very good.2008-12-08
DON'T BUY9.820Michael Simpson, CFAEvenly balanced between oil and gas. Properties in Western Canada and Nova Scotia. Because of the lower commodity prices, he would worry about a cut in distributions. There are other names with better balance sheets and payout ratios.2008-11-20
BUY13.330Robert LauzonWill make it through but might cut its distribution little bit, which is already priced in. You'll still get a nice healthy yield. A lot of insider buying.2008-10-29
BUY14.400Bill MacLachlanIt’s a solid company. Distribution is safe, but what if 6 months from now oil is $50 a barrel and if this happened they would have some problems, but they are the strongest of the sector.2008-10-03
BUY15.600Kevin O'LearyAdded to the position recently.2008-10-01
HOLD18.380John StephensonHigher payout ratio and have worked hard to bring it down. Likes its enhanced oil recovery. Not his favourite.2008-08-22
HOLD17.500Ben ChengOne of the original oil/gas trusts. Not bearish on oil/gas, so would continue to Hold.2008-08-07
WAIT20.700Ken McCordFundamentally what is backing up energy stories is still very much intact. A big believer in energy. In the next week or two, there could be a little pullback, which will give you great entry points.2008-05-23
DON'T BUY20.750Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.This was the trust that had a good start early on and was able to acquire some very good assets. More recently they have had some difficulty in maintaining their production. Had a policy of paying out more than they earned, which required more borrowing or underwriting. Prefers others.2008-05-16
SELL20.050Michael Simpson, CFA(Market Call Minute.) Has struggled even in a high commodity price environment.2008-05-14
DON'T BUY20.170Kevin Hall BComm, CFAPayout ratio on a relative basis to their peers is quite high. Also carry a bit higher than normal debt. Good assets. Would Prefer Arc Energy AET.UN-T), Crescent Point (CPG.UN-T) or Vermilion Energy (VET.UN-T).2008-05-06
HOLD20.250Sandy McIntyre(Market Call Minute.) Too high a payout ratio. Needs to right size its distribution.2008-05-05
Comment20.030Ben ChengThis is a trust with a wealth of opportunity. Some enhanced recovery plays, some oil sands potential and coal bed methane. He has been critical because of their consistently high payout strategy. Prefers to be more conservative with his income investments.2008-04-16
DON'T BUY19.700Bruce CampbellLike a lot of the senior trusts, he worries about the sustainability of the growth and therefore the distributions. If you take payout plus capital sustainability it is over 100%. You just can't do that. What is keeping them on side for now is higher energy prices.2008-04-11
HOLD18.700Sandy McIntyre(Market Call Minute.) Too high a payout ratio.2008-02-26
Comment16.320Ben ChengVery good set of assets. As a big Cap X budget slated for 2008, which could create some balance sheet issues. Relatively high payout ratio will create some concerns on the sustainability of distributions.2008-01-21
BUY18.000David BaskinA good producer with a solid track record. Distribution is good. With oil where it is and gas rising, this is not a bad place to be.2008-01-14
PAST TOP PICK18.130Michael Sprung(Top pick Nov 14/06. Up 19%) Wouldn’t buy at this price, there are other trusts in the sector that are more attractive. 15% yield. Would be taking profits in it today.2007-10-26
SELL18.420John StephensonReasonable possibility of a distribution cut.2007-09-26
DON'T BUY17.980Ben ChengConcerned about balance sheet strength. Good operations team is making them a better oil/gas company going forward but payout ratio is too high and debt levels are something he is concerned about. Expect they will have a secondary issue of new units.2007-09-05
DON'T BUY18.040Michael SprungPayout ratio is over 90%, which gives them very little latitude. 16.5% yield may not be sustainable. Not attractive.2007-08-31
Comment18.460Peter BriegerGood company, but he prefers Arc Energy (AET.UN-T) or Penn West Energy (PWT.UN-T).2007-08-28
Comment20.080Ben ChengOne of the oldest and largest oil/gas income trusts. If they continue to be an acquirer, there may be the occasional bump in the unit prices. Own an above average quality oil/gas assets. Inter-listed with the US, which is an asset.2007-05-29
HOLD19.630Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Not a top tier trust, but has some good assets. He trades in and out depending on the price. Distributes about 80% of cash flow, which is high for him.2007-04-04
HOLD20.200John StephensonThis would be a Hold or Sell. Doesn't see a lot of growth in this name. Fairly highly levered and they may be forced to cut the distribution. Production has been stumbling a little bit.2007-03-27
PAST TOP PICK19.400Neil Wickham(A Top Pick Oct 3/06. Down 6.0%.) Total return, including distributions, is actually up. Still likes.2007-03-20
PAST TOP PICK19.080Michael Sprung(A Top Pick Nov 14/06. Up 13.5%.) That did after it had been crushed. Pretty much fully valued now.2007-03-16
Comment20.550Michael Simpson, CFAOne of the older oil/gas trusts. Historically has relied on acquisitions for growth. Have very good solid assets. Feels they can change to the drill bit instead of acquisitions.2007-02-23
SELL20.550David CockfieldNot his favourite. Too dominated by the oil side. Looks expensive compared to other oil/gas trusts. Heavily owned by US investors, who could sell off in a big way when they become aware of the tax implications.2007-02-23
Comment20.210John StephensonHas a risk of having distribution cuts.2007-02-21
PAST TOP PICK20.030Michael Sprung(A Top Pick Nov 14/06. Up 17.8%.) Feels the distribution is fairly safe for the time being. Good holdings and good assets.2007-02-20
HOLD19.630Robert FloydA well-run company and he doesn't expect them to cut the dividends. Would look for a bit of a rally when the energy price comes back a little.2007-01-19
WAIT19.640Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Recently merged with and other large group of properties. Likes some of their assets and it is reasonably well managed. Expecting a decline in its distributions. That would be a good time to buy.2007-01-16
HOLD19.890Peter BriegerGood management, and if any management is capable of making a transition from a pure production play to production and exploration, this is one.2007-01-15
BUY19.150Michael SprungLikes this one and is holding onto it despite the pullback. A midsize player. Reasonable multiple. Distribution is fairly safe. A modestly growing production profile which he likes.2007-01-05
DON'T BUY20.300Michele RobitailleThe oil/gas sector will be the one most affected by the new legislation. This company hasn’t kept up as well as others in building up a sustainable side of its business. Payout ratios are relatively high.2006-12-15
DON'T BUY20.300Kenneth P. Norquay, CMTHad been dropping even before the government ruling on income trusts. Chart shows that it is not going up.2006-12-15
HOLD20.460Peter BriegerNot one of his favorites. Was impressed with the deal they just made, taking over some of the ConocoPhillips (COP-N) assets. A good potential name going forward.2006-11-29
DON'T BUY19.840Bill Harris, CFAIf you are looking at royalty trusts, you really have to look at what is going on right now. If you're waiting for a government ruling, this is speculation.2006-11-20
WEAK BUY19.710Ravi SoodWorth owning, but would not be one of his top picks on the oil/gas side. Made an acquisition of Esprit Energy at a very good price. Not really cheap at this point.2006-11-17
TOP PICK16.860Michael SprungJust hit a 52 week low. Yield is now 17%, but doesn’t feel the distribution is in any danger. 50%-50% oil and gas. Has been oversold.2006-11-14
DON'T BUY21.990Robert LauzonOwns in his index fund, but not in the actively managed funds. If oil dropped to $50, and gas stayed at $6, they would cut distributions. Have a little bit higher payout ratio and debt level than he likes.2006-10-20
TOP PICK20.730Neil WickhamRate of growth has been 20.7%. Just acquired Esprit Energy, a natural gas company. Will be buying a block of properties from Exxon Mobil. Strong cash flow.2006-10-03

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