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| PAST TOP PICK | 25.870 | Michael Smedley | (A Top Pick Feb 1/11. Down 23.43%.) Colombian oil/gas stocks tailed off in the correction last year. Probably because they were too promoted. Have a process that they might employ in the fracking area. Thinks it is very solid longer-term. | 2012-02-07 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 21.980 | Michael Smedley | (Top Pick Feb 1/11, Down 35.28%) Whole Colombian territory was on the boil and they came off the boil. In this case there are some analysts that don’t like the company on a promotional aspect. | 2012-01-10 | |
| BUY | 20.560 | David Cockfield | Doesn't pay a dividend so it is a growth stock. Operates in Colombia. Has taken quite a beating recently. He still likes the company. There were some downgrades in terms of their potential production. It is definitely trading in a Buy range. | 2011-12-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 20.370 | Bill Harris, CFA | A fantastic growth story in Columbia but right now, the momentum is coming off. They have a depleting asset with all kinds of contract issues. There is no way to know where it is going to come off to. | 2011-11-22 | |
| BUY | 20.870 | John Stephenson | There are a couple of overhangs on this stock. Infrastructure challenges in Colombia, labour issues and permitting. At this price and valuation it is attractive. | 2011-11-15 | |
| BUY | 24.680 | David Cockfield | Virgin territory in Colombia, which has turned around politically. Improvement in production has been substantial. They have no problems getting licensing or getting the pipelines in. | 2011-10-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 25.650 | Eric Nuttall | Core value of about $23. Risk (?) value to their upside to their exploration is about $35, so they have about 10% downside but 35% upside. That is not enough given that management's track record in the past year. | 2011-08-16 | |
| BUY | 24.030 | John Stephenson | Is a name he would start getting back into. Political situation is relatively stable. It doesn’t concern him like Peru. A decent name. Nibble away at it. | 2011-07-18 | |
| Comment | 23.960 | Jim Huang | Big oil play in Colombia. The big challenge for them now is that their contract is up for their bread-and-butter fields in the next 5 years. Trying an oil recovery project, which is an unproven technology and it is not known it will work or not. Would be cautious on this for the moment. | 2011-07-13 | |
| Comment | 24.170 | Jason Donville | Great cash flows and return on capital but there seems to be a lot of stale bulls (?) in the stock. Thinks it is pretty undervalued. This is a good level for it. Starting to look interesting. | 2011-07-11 | |
| Comment | 25.250 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | 50 day average bouncing around a little but crossed the 200 day in April. Chart shows a downtrend but support is Trying to form at around $25. Would like to see that hold or it could drop to the $20 level. Great risk/reward here. See how the fall goes and if the risk trade comes back on with the whole resource actor making a move back up. | 2011-07-06 | |
| HOLD | 28.680 | John Zechner | Missed on a couple of their production estimates in the last 2 quarters and he switched to Petrominerales (PMG-T). There are a couple of Colombian oil plays that look pretty interesting. | 2011-05-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 28.600 | Eric Nuttall | Had an asset where there was an additional royalty where there was a controversy as to if they were clear in telling the street about the additional 18%. This was why the drop in the stock price. Risk/reward is not compelling enough for him. | 2011-04-13 | |
| SELL | 26.470 | Bill Carrigan | Had a big drop a couple of weeks ago when reserve levels were disappointing. Chart shows it tried to make a new high 3 times from November to March. The sector is doing rather well but this stock is not. He would stay away from this one. | 2011-04-01 | |
| DON'T BUY | 25.870 | Andrew McCreath | He was short and covered a couple of weeks ago. There was a significant decline in reserves added so stock declined. It will be a wounded warrior for a while, so wait on the sidelines. | 2011-03-30 | |
| BUY | 26.700 | Peter Imhof | Play on the oil price. Good management. Stock dropped on confusion of how they reported reserves. Good entry point. Will be one of the biggest oil producers in Colombia. Looking for a lot of growth. | 2011-03-28 | |
| HOLD | 27.980 | Brian Acker, CA | $41.76 model price, 47% upside. It’s really trying to hold in here. Watch it very. Very carefully because it could go to the $20 level if it break down. | 2011-03-23 | |
| BUY | 27.940 | Stan Wong | Has taken a bit of a hit but it moved 7% today. It is a higher beta stock compared to the rest of the energy sector. Likes the earnings momentum. Last weeks results were in line. | 2011-03-17 | |
| SELL | 28.540 | Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI | Amazing chart. Real big loss of momentum. Not something he would be buying right now. Sell it. There is a loss of support. At the $28 level you will see another $3-4 drop on it. Buy if it breaks above $35 | 2011-03-11 | |
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| BUY | 32.020 | David Cockfield | Colombian oil play. Good entry point. Has good long term potential. | 2011-02-25 | |
| BUY | 31.420 | Jim Huang | One of the first companies that were successful in South America by developing a heavy oil field and have since got a lot bigger. Have size, flexibility in terms of cash flow and should be a core name for a South American or Colombia name. | 2011-02-24 | |
| TOP PICK | 30.790 | Laura Lau | One of the biggest oil producers in Colombia. Feels they can grow production 35%-40% this year without any exploration. Also drilling some exploration, which should add to their value. | 2011-02-09 | |
| Comment | 30.790 | Eric Nuttall | Strong misunderstanding on their exploration update on 2 areas, where there was some ambiguity. Market over reacted. He just bought at $30. Core NAV is about $26 and risk value is about $40 a share. His downside is about 15% but his upside is about 33%. Will probably Sell around $33 but you can hold into the high $30’s. | 2011-02-09 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 32.990 | Michael Decter | (A Top Pick March 8/10. Up 77.55%.) Still likes at current levels. Developing a huge oil field in Colombia. Stable government. | 2011-02-03 | |
| TOP PICK | 34.430 | Michael Smedley | There appears to be a group mentality developing, which interests him in Colombia because there is obviously room for oil giants in this Market. Thinks this market is moving to a new level. Have good assets in the ground. | 2011-02-01 | |
| BUY | 33.100 | David Burrows | There has been a consolidation on the S.A. oils over the last several months. These oil companies are great allocators of capital. This one has a real opportunity to add it its reserves. | 2011-01-25 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 33.520 | Eric Nuttall | You are paying for future success and he prefers to get exploration for free. Feels he has missed the easy money in the name. | 2010-12-14 | |
| BUY | 32.040 | Dean Orrico | South America exposure. A lot bigger than Gran Tierra (GTE-T) so slower growth but less risk. Mostly oil but some gas. | 2010-12-09 | |
| HOLD | 31.650 | John Stephenson | Announced a special dividend to be paid to shareholders. If you own, consider taking some of the table but basically it’s a Hold. | 2010-11-26 | |
| Comment | 31.720 | Ron Meisels | Beautiful chart. Still above the 200-day moving average. Because it is so far away from the 200-day average of $25, it is possible that it will pull back to that. | 2010-11-24 | |
| BUY | 31.090 | Stan Wong | Ranks very high in his models in the top 7%-8%. Great earnings momentum. In the right space, natural gas and oil in Colombia. | 2010-11-18 | |
| HOLD | 30.900 | Michael Decter | One of the great success stories in Columbia. Great long term Buy. Chilean and Colombian exchanges are getting together to form a new exchange and this will be listed. The wealth being generated in Latin America sill start to flow into some of the better growth stories. | 2010-11-11 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 31.560 | David Burrows | (A Top Pick Oct 19/09. Up 133.43) | 2010-10-27 | |
| HOLD | 31.560 | Eric Nuttall | (Market Call Minute.) Fully valued but the assets they have, have quite a bit of running room. Could see $40 in 2 years. | 2010-10-27 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 30.000 | Andrew McCreath | (A Top Pick Sept 28/09. Up 119.78%.) Now short this stock as he feels it is at ridiculous levels. | 2010-10-15 | |
| BUY | 30.880 | David Cockfield | Colombia. This is a favourite of his. They are finding oil, oil and more oil. They are only just at the start of production and he expects they will double or triple it in the next few years. | 2010-10-13 | |
| HOLD | 30.250 | Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI | Was trading in a trend and then a breakout. Looks like a great stock. Volume is declining a bit and is expected near the end of a bullish run. There’s not a lot of resistance in this stock. Use 50-day moving average as a stop loss. | 2010-10-08 | |
| BUY | 27.580 | David Burrows | Energy companies that appear to be doing well are the international oils that have particularly large opportunities to increase reserves and production. Well financed and strong balance sheet. Strong management. | 2010-09-28 | |
| BUY | 24.620 | John Stephenson | A favourite but have reasons for continued optimism. Have contiguous land of about 25,000 acres where there is a lot of prospectivity that could be a huge upside for the company. | 2010-07-23 | |
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| BUY | 24.700 | David Burrows | A growth company with developments in Peru and Colombia. Very sound management team. They are elephant hunting so as they go along there are some potentially very large targets. | 2010-06-21 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 24.630 | Stan Wong | Stock has done extremely well and is currently slightly overbought with the Relative Strength Index. Would prefer to see it closer to the 50 day moving average of around $21.50. Great earnings momentum, good current year growth and very strong next year's growth. | 2010-06-17 | |
| BUY | 21.900 | John Stephenson | (Market Call Minute.) Good quality name with good torque to the upside. | 2010-05-28 | |
| BUY | 20.700 | Jim Huang | Drilling for oil in Colombia. Have grown their production and have a good working relationship with Eco Petro (?). Likes this for the leverage to oil prices. Colombia is a good jurisdiction to do business in. Concerned that the current production contract ends in 2016 so the challenge now is to replace that production through developing other projects. | 2010-05-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 19.750 | Ross Healy | Based in Colombia, which he considers politically unstable. Fair market value as he measures it is quite high but you are paying for it as the stock is at 4X BV, which is about twice what the oil Index is selling at. | 2010-05-20 | |
| BUY | 19.840 | John Stephenson | Has had a great run but expects it to go higher. Production is ramping up. World-class field in Colombia. | 2010-04-16 | |
| BUY | 19.800 | Jaime Carrasco | Likes the Colombian plays. Has this one as an Outperform. Well managed and well financed. Requires patience. | 2010-04-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 19.490 | Eric Nuttall | Columbia has been a hot spot for investments. Because the herd has gone there, the multiples you have to pay are very high. Tremendous oil assets but overvalued stock. (He has a very small Short position.) | 2010-03-24 | |
| HOLD | 20.300 | Michael Smedley | (Market Call Minute.) One of the great 2 Colombia oil stocks. | 2010-03-18 | |
| TOP PICK | 16.750 | Michael Decter | In partnership with the Colombian government company. Have had huge production gains. Good pipeline capacity to get the oil to market. High quality with great growth ahead of them. | 2010-03-08 | |
| HOLD | 16.750 | John Stephenson | Still positive, but it had a good run and is getting to the upper end. Good management team. | 2010-03-05 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 16.750 | David Cockfield | Nervous about getting into offshore operations. Numbers are good though, so he's still looking at it. Management are very experienced. Columbia seems to be settling down. Wants to buy if it steps back, but it hasn't been stepping back. | 2010-02-26 | |
| SPECULATIVE BUY | 16.440 | Martin Hubbes, CFA | Not a particularly cheap stock. The information flow on this stock is going to be lumpy. These guys are elephant hunting if you want to speculate. | 2010-02-18 | |
| TOP PICK | 16.010 | Jennifer Stevenson | Still has those huge production increases from drilling on their existing assets. They are doing exploration as well, but you don’t need it for growth. | 2010-02-16 | |
| WEAK BUY | 14.940 | Mason Granger | 500%+ return in the last year. Great assets and growth profile going into this year. Agreement with Government ends in 2016 and they will have to change to a new property. | 2010-01-05 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 15.500 | Bill Harris, CFA | (A Top Pick Feb 10/09. Up 129.3%.) Bonds. | 2009-12-21 | |
| HOLD | 14.440 | Bill Harris, CFA | (Market Call Minute) It’s had its move. | 2009-11-10 | |
| WEAK BUY | 14.330 | John Stephenson | Predominantly gas play in Colombia. Good upside. Colombia is turning out to be one of the most attractive international areas to go for a junior company. If you own, consider taking some profits. | 2009-11-09 | |
| BUY | 14.310 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Has grown its Colombian production very dramatically over the last little while. Have a lot more drilling to do. | 2009-11-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 13.310 | Craig MacAdam | Exploration/production oil company in Columbia. Has had a really good run. He recently sold his holdings. Doesn't see them being acquired in the near term. Could see it reaching $17-$18 in 3 years if they keep operating as is so you have to wait to get there. | 2009-11-02 | |
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| BUY | 13.370 | Michael Smedley | Doesn't see oil collapsing and it can go up. One of the best in the Columbia plays. Rapidly expanding. Large production. | 2009-10-26 | |
| TOP PICK | 13.880 | David Burrows | Based in Columbia, 50,000 bpd production. Management team has run the largest oil company in Venezuela. They used fire-flood technology for 25 years and are now applying it to PRE. You will probably see another 25,000 ppd. Good growth and good upside. | 2009-10-19 | |
| PARTIAL SELL | 13.260 | Laura Lau | 4th biggest property in Colombia, which has a lot of oil. Had a good run. In 2016 property goes back to Eco Petroleum (?) so they have to backfill that production, which is not easy. Starting to get a little pricey so would take some money off the table. | 2009-09-30 | |
| TOP PICK | 13.650 | Andrew McCreath | Will exit with about 45-50 thousand BOEs a day of heavy oil production in Colombia and believes it will grow 40-45 thousand for each of the next few years. 250 million barrels of reserves and believes there is the potential for this to quadruple over the next 12-15 months. Also feels it may attract investment from Asia. He is Long this and has shorted about $.75 of the U.S. Oil Fund E.T.F. (USO-N) for every $1 of this one. | 2009-09-28 | |
| BUY | 13.160 | Alexander Lane, B Comm, C | Columbia is one of the better South American countries to do business with these days. Korean and Chinese companies are sniffing around Columbia and there is a high probability of an acquisition. | 2009-09-21 | |
| BUY | 13.600 | John Zechner | (Market Call Minute) Interesting play on Columbian oil. Some growth. Hard to find that in a mid-sized company. | 2009-09-08 | |
| HOLD | 13.800 | Jaime Carrasco | Have been doing great work. Management has a very solid business plan and they have a lot of momentum behind them. If you own, consider locking in some profits. | 2009-09-04 | |
| BUY | 12.570 | Rick Rule | Has been unusually successful with the drill bit. Geology where they are drilling is very positive. | 2009-09-01 | |
| BUY | 12.920 | Laura Lau | One of the few stocks where you are going to get substantial production growth this year. Ramping up the Rubiales field in Colombia. Had a fantastic run this year. Short term this could still go up but is starting to lose steam as more people are starting to take profits. | 2009-08-14 | |
| HOLD | 10.720 | Dennis Da Silva | Very well run operation. Production in Colombia with exploration in Peru. Significant growth path for production. Pipeline constraints but they are working through that. | 2009-07-16 | |
| BUY | 9.590 | Laura Lau | (Market Call Minute.) Have tremendous production growth out of Colombia. | 2009-06-30 | |
| BUY | 8.750 | Michael Smedley | Heavy/light oil in Colombia. Widely believed that the company is moving well towards having a pipeline. Great assets. | 2009-06-10 | |
| BUY | 6.440 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Colombia and Peru have some of the best royalty regimes in the world right now. Some good capital gains to be had out of growing production and this company has indicated it will do so. High margins and high economic values. | 2009-05-20 | |
| Comment | 5.100 | Michael Smedley | A road/pipeline has to be built. Run by two veterans of Venezuela. Heavy and light oil. Thinks it's very strong. You could buy this for a higher future oil price. | 2009-03-17 | |
| TOP PICK | 2.790 | Bill Harris, CFA | Bonds. 20% yield doubles his money in 4 years. Some international country risks. Colombia is one of the better countries in Latin America. Never defaulted on risks. Very under leveraged company. | 2009-02-10 | |
| TOP PICK | 2.890 | Paul Gardner, CFA | 8% Convertible debenture maturing Aug/13. Conservative way of buying into a stable country, Columbia oil/gas, instead of owning the stock. A free cash flow company. Maintains profitability at $30 a barrel. The only debts are debentures so he gets first call on assets in case of trouble. | 2009-01-13 | |
| Comment | 2.530 | John Stephenson | A solid name but doesn't see a lot of catalysts given the commodity prices and the preferences given to senior producers. With $70 oil, which he expects in the latter half of 2009, this is a very strong holding. | 2009-01-02 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 9.870 | Bill Harris, CFA | (A Top Pick Aug7/07. Up 28%.) Building and almost fully integrated oil company in Colombia, which has one of the best fiscal jurisdictions and lowest tax rate. Believes in 1 year it will be producing $1 billion in cash flow. | 2008-08-20 | |
| BUY | 11.830 | Peter Hodson | Some political risk in Columbia, but shouldn’t stop you from owning it. Very well run company. He is looking to re-buy it. One of the biggest companies on the TSX in Oil. | 2008-05-26 | |
| TOP PICK | 1.220 | Bill Harris, CFA | Colombian heavy oil. New company put together by a Venezuelan team, some of the best guys in the industry. | 2007-08-07 |