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| BUY | 10.760 | Michael Decter | Had a couple of difficult quarters. Manufactures almost 45% of the buses in North America and there is a huge government subsidy program for US cities. A couple of cities cancelled orders, which hurt them more than expected but the last quarter was very good. Likes the new management. | 2010-03-08 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 10.400 | Michael Decter | (A Top Pick Jan 28/09. Up 12.71%.) Reduced his holdings but at this point, would be a cautious buyer. | 2010-01-25 | |
| HOLD | 10.080 | Robert Lauzon | (Market Call Minute.) Building buses is a tough business involving unions. | 2010-01-06 | |
| WEAK BUY | 9.980 | Michael Sprung | Public transportation should benefit from infrastructure spending. Eventually bus fleets will be replaced with more fuel-efficient vehicles. Long term you could be ok. | 2009-12-22 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 9.840 | Don Lato | (A Top Pick Dec 19/08. Up 23.6% excluding the $1.17 distributions.) Ran into some problems in the 2nd quarter but solve them in the 3rd. Have a backlog of about 4 years. You would of almost 12%. | 2009-12-09 | |
| BUY | 9.830 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Urban bus manufacturer. Facilities in Winnipeg and Minnesota. Has dominant market share and winning a fair share of new orders. New CEO is very impressive. Generates a lot of cash flow. Almost 12% yield should be sustainable. | 2009-12-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.770 | Michael Sprung | (Market Call Minute.) Bus industry is being hit with a lot of municipalities not able to afford to buy buses. | 2009-11-27 | |
| Comment | 8.100 | Michele Robitaille | Relatively low pay out ratio. A bit concerned about their business outlook as they have lost some orders. A lot of new bus funding comes from the state levels that are having difficulty with their fiscal situation. Also have continually over promised and under delivered on their quarters. Backlog is quite extensive and they have a lot more orders than they can fill in the next couple of years. 14.4% yield. | 2009-09-11 | |
| BUY | 9.960 | Michael Sprung | Bus manufacturer. More and more money is going to be sunk into public transportation. Earnings prospects are quite good. 11.9% yield. | 2009-06-26 | |
| BUY | 9.900 | Michele Robitaille | Bus manufacturing. Enormous backlog and the outlook for the next 18 to 24 months is very good. Tend not to be very good at market timing so the quarter came in a little bit lumpy. Not subject to the tax rules. Reasonable holding for the long-term. 11.8% yield. | 2009-05-22 | |
| Comment | 7.630 | Michael Sprung | Appears to be a company in a promising industry at the right time. A lot of infrastructure spending is slated to go into public transportation. Has a significant backlog. | 2009-03-10 | |
| BUY | 10.000 | Derek Webb, CFA | Largest bus manufacturer in North America. Primarily city buses. Likes this one very much. High yield. | 2009-02-03 | |
| BUY | 9.980 | Michael Sprung | (Market Call Minute.) Manufacture buses. Quite interesting right now and are fairly well positioned. | 2009-02-02 | |
| TOP PICK | 10.250 | Michael Decter | Winnipeg-based bus manufacturer including green transportation and meet all the US criteria. Have 42% of the North American bus market. Huge order backlog. Urban transport will be top of the agenda under the new US administration. New CEO is the right man for the time. 12% yield. | 2009-01-28 | |
| BUY | 9.300 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Have at healthy backlog of bus parts. Governments want to promote transit ridership. | 2009-01-16 | |
| TOP PICK | 8.000 | Don Lato | Manufactures public transit buses. An income deposit security, which means it is not going to be impacted by the income trust changes in 2011. Just announced a new $1 billion loss order, which extended their backlog out from 4 years to 5. Sustainable 15% yield. | 2008-12-19 | |
| BUY | 6.260 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Backlog is still quite healthy but a little lower than what some analysts were expecting. There is also concern that some municipal transit authorities will not be able to get financing for bus purchases. Feels this is a good entry point. | 2008-11-20 | |
| BUY | 8.900 | Sandy McIntyre | Not an income trust structure so won't be caught by the CIFT (?) Rules. Manufacture urban buses. Order backlog is close to record levels. Delivering a lot of higher margin buses and winning market share. | 2008-10-24 | |
| BUY | 11.600 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Largest manufacturer of mass transit buses in North America. Investment bankers created the IPS structure to mimic income trusts sold will not be impacted by the trust legislation. Paying taxes on their US holdings. Outlook is quite good. | 2008-09-19 | |
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| TOP PICK | 12.000 | Don Lato | Mass transit is going to be a growing business and this is the largest manufacturer of mass transit buses in North America. Has a $3 billion backlog that gives them about 3 years. | 2008-06-11 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 9.600 | Sandy McIntyre | (A Top Pick May 12/06. Down 1.6%.) Developing buses that will increase fuel efficiency. Probably be a takeout within 12 months. He sold for tax losses. | 2007-04-13 | |
| Comment | 9.410 | Michael Sprung | Large bus manufacturer. 4th quarter had some disappointments, but they were adding capacity at that time. Seems to have addressed most of their operational issues and it should be all right. | 2007-04-11 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 9.180 | Sandy McIntyre | (A Top Pick Oct 13/06. Up 5%.) An IPF structure and should not be affected by the government ruling. Manufactures buses and if there is a continuing high energy cost, there should be more density in urban transit. | 2006-12-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 8.700 | Michael Decter | Because of their structure, they were not caught in the income trust changes. Would be a little careful until the rules are clear. A high degree of volatility. | 2006-11-24 | |
| BUY | 8.300 | Ravi Sood | A main competitor was recently a target of private equity players at a very high multiple. This implied a much higher price for this stock, which gave it a boost. Business is growing very quickly. | 2006-11-17 | |
| BUY | 8.000 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Manufacture buses for cities across North America. 3rd quarter will be a bit weak because of a strike they had. Management sees a good outlook for 2007 as their order book is quite healthy. | 2006-11-03 | |
| TOP PICK | 8.670 | Sandy McIntyre | (A Top Pick July 28/06. Down 4.2%.) Had a strike in Winnipeg in April/May resulting in a bad second-quarter. One of the 3 main builders of city buses. Have a good platform of diesel-electric hybrid and fuel efficient diesel. | 2006-10-13 | |
| TOP PICK | 8.900 | Sandy McIntyre | (A Top Pick May 12. Down 9%.) Affected by a strike which has now been settled. Signed a number of quite large contracts. 2nd quarter will be bad, sold look for a selloff and buy at that time. | 2006-07-28 | |
| DON'T BUY | 8.350 | Dean Orrico | Manufacturer of transit buses. Most of their orders come from municipalities and they can be quite fickle. That has been a concern. There was recently a work stoppage at one of their plants and was closed for a number of weeks so guidance was reduced. Too risky for him. | 2006-06-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 9.400 | Robert Lauzon | Manufacturer of buses out of Winnipeg Not a bad trust in that he thinks there will be more push towards public transport. Doesn't think it's suited as an income trust. Very cyclical. | 2006-05-18 | |
| TOP PICK | 9.650 | Sandy McIntyre | (A Top Pick March 3/06. No change.) Winnipeg facility was out on strike which has now been settled. Have new orders for diesel electric buses, a high margin business. Just had a series of very significant orders. | 2006-05-12 | |
| TOP PICK | 9.650 | Sandy McIntyre | Last years IPO, that failed because of the idea, although the business is sound. They make buses in Winnipeg and the States. The states have an active energy program that NFI is benifiting from. | 2006-03-05 |