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| PAST TOP PICK | 38.150 | Brian Acker, CA | (Top Pick Feb 17/11, Up 21.55%) Still likes it. | 2012-02-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 38.400 | John Zechner | Still relatively inexpensive. They are in restrained growth at this point. Has come off recently because all of the pharmas had a pretty strong year last year and people are shifting into the more resource stocks. It's a defensive stock so there is slower growth. | 2012-02-06 | |
| BUY | 38.630 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | Pharma: The trend is really looking quite good. Hasn’t looked at Merck in a while. There was a time when it was 0% return for 10 years. Now, it is in the right sector and it is moving. | 2012-02-01 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 38.340 | Brian Acker, CA | (A TOP PICK Feb 17/11. Up 21.17%.) Still likes but doesn't see as much upside this year. | 2012-01-04 | |
| BUY | 31.200 | Barry Schwartz | An attractive buy. He prefers Abbott Labs (ABT-N), which has growing earnings and is diversified into other products such as medical devices, pharmaceuticals and nutritionals. Terrific dividend. Starting to get attention from value investors. | 2011-08-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 34.930 | Gordon Reid | Bit of a poster boy for the whole pharma industry. Something like a leaky boat in that you are rowing and making progress, but constantly bailing. Because of patent expiration, it is very difficult for these companies to create a growth profile. | 2011-07-28 | |
| Comment | 35.180 | David Baskin | Has started buying into this sector on the ones that are trading at 10X multiples. | 2011-06-16 | |
| TOP PICK | 36.390 | Brian Acker, CA | Model price is $50.75, a 40% upside. Came up 8%-10% in the last couple of weeks, but still has a long ways to go. 4.2% dividend. | 2011-05-06 | |
| TOP PICK | 33.100 | Brian Acker, CA | Market was very disappointed in their earnings. Trading at less than 9X earnings. Yield of 4.61%. The model price is $50.15, a 52% upside. It is now all about cost control with these companies. There is huge consolidation in the industry. | 2011-02-17 | |
| WAIT | 33.910 | Ara Nalbandian | Recently dropped because they dropped trials of a blood thinner, one of the biggest products in their pipeline. He doesn’t know if this means there will be no sales from this product. He would look seriously at it if it based out at this level. He likes this one and it is reasonable at these levels. He has a small position and is looking to accumulate. | 2011-01-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 35.400 | Don Lato | Trades at a good multiple but prefers Abbott Labs (ABT-N) because of their pipeline. Growth estimates are only 6%-7% a year. | 2010-12-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 37.150 | Don Lato | Fine company and reasonably valued but not as cheap as others that he owns. Decent dividend but not anything he would rush into. Still a little uncertainty over the healthcare sector and particularly with this one's pipeline area. Consider Abbott Labs (ABT-N), which has more growth potential. | 2010-10-14 | |
| Comment | 36.430 | Stan Wong | Took over Schering-Plough in 2009, which expanded their pipeline of pharmaceuticals, drugs, etc. Pays about 4% yield so likes it from an income standpoint. With a 40% payout ratio dividend is relatively safe. Might not give you growth that you would like. If you think economy is going to grind higher, health care is not a sector to be in. | 2010-09-16 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 36.510 | Ara Nalbandian | (A Top Pick Aug 19/09. Up 15.9%.) Merged with Schering-Plough and the combination produced a pipeline that is incomparable in the Pharma sector. Will have sustainable growth for many years to come. | 2010-09-15 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 35.420 | Ara Nalbandian | (A Top Pick May 15/09. Up 46.13%.) (Think this should be Aug 19 and up 12.2%, not May 15 as BNN shows. Bill) Starting to trim out of this one. | 2010-06-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 35.860 | Stan Wong | 3rd largest pharmaceutical behind Johnson & Johnson (JNJ-N) and Pfizer (PFE-N). We are in an economic recovery and if this continues and there is no double dip, health-care stocks and consumer staples won't necessarily be your best performers. | 2010-06-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 38.500 | Don Lato | Pfizer (PFE-N) and Merck (MRK-N) are pretty fully priced at current levels. Growth prospects are not that great, especially with a lot of drugs coming off patent. Multiple looks attractive and dividend looks okay but there are better places to go in pharmaceuticals. Prefers Abbott Labs (ABT-N). | 2010-03-23 | |
| BUY | 39.540 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | Large-cap pharmaceuticals are probably the best valuation out there. Their recent merger is all done. An excellent buy at this level. | 2010-02-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 38.930 | Gordon Reid | Patent expirations is a problem with all Pharma plays and pure pharmaceuticals are in a difficult position. | 2010-01-13 | |
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| Comment | 31.650 | Steven Conville | Dividend of around 5%. Cash rich so not concerned about a short-term cash burn. The rate of drugs that big pharma can bring to market is slowing down. Could be $36 in 12 months but if you're not happy with that you should look elsewhere. | 2009-10-02 | |
| SELL | 31.630 | Charles Lannon | Finalizing the merger with Schering-Plough (SGP-N). Good dividend yield and low PE ratio, which is a value trap because of huge headwinds ahead of them as drugs go off patent protection. Growth will be difficult. Prefers Johnson & Johnson (JNJ-N) because of the medical devices and consumer healthcare. Also Abbott Labs (ABT-N) would be another consideration. | 2009-09-30 | |
| Comment | 30.700 | Andrew Guy, CFA | Pharmaceutical. More disciplined approach so they've been generating very strong free cash flow. A couple of their strong drugs will be coming off patent in a couple of years. In the process of merging with Schering-Plough (SGP-N). If you were going to pick a name, he would prefer Abbott (ABT-N). 5% dividend yield. | 2009-09-04 | |
| TOP PICK | 31.480 | Ara Nalbandian | Merging with Schering-Plough (SGP-N). Combination will create a very strong pipeline of products, which for many years will have a good growth profile. It will merge short to mid cycle products with longer-term type products and thinks there are significant synergy type benefits. You could also own Schering-Plough, which is a discounted way of playing this. (See also SGP-N.) | 2009-08-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 23.450 | Michael Yoshikami | Has opportunities as a defensive stock. There is significant government regulation coming. There will likely be price controls. There is some risk. Might buy for the dividend. | 2009-04-24 | |
| BUY | 26.550 | Norman Levine | Prefers Pfizer (PFE-N) even though in the near term this company has outperformed them. If you are looking to own a pharmaceutical, this is a fine name. | 2009-03-30 | |
| DON'T BUY | 50.120 | Brian Acker, CA | Model price is $48.07, a negative 7.5% differential. | 2007-07-27 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 44.290 | David Burrows | (A Top Pick Sept 13/06. Up 7.3%.) Pharmaceutical stocks fit in the theme of large cap capital growth. Expect this to be a good stock this year without a lot of risk. | 2007-01-08 | |
| TOP PICK | 44.490 | David Burrows | The company went through a lot of bad news over the last four months but in the last 3 quarters there has been a re-acceleration in their growth rate. Trades at a very reasonable multiple. | 2006-10-19 | |
| WEAK BUY | 43.760 | John Zechner | Likes the sector. The names have been incredibly punished in the last few years. They still look cheap. This one had additional problems with Viox, but is recovering nicely. Wouldn't be his first pick. | 2006-10-16 | |
| BUY | 39.270 | Norman Levine | All the major drug stocks are starting to act better. In this type of market, money moves from risky stocks to defensive stocks. A good place to be. | 2006-07-25 | |
| BUY | 33.490 | David Taylor, MBA, CFA | Great dividend yield. Probably one of the worst performing sectors in the S&P. Lots of cost cutting opportunities. Trading at around 8/9 X earnings. Pristine balance sheet. | 2006-06-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 34.600 | Norman Levine | Prefers Pfizer which has been doing more things correctly. | 2006-04-27 | |
| HOLD | 36.200 | David Burrows | This is a sector that he has avoided as they have had three years of poor experience. In the last 3/4 months, pharmaceuticals have started to wake up. This will not be the fastest growing area and this one will plod along. | 2006-03-23 | |
| BUY | 33.820 | Jim O'Shaughnessy | Big pharmas have had a really tough go. He can now see them coming back. A good selection for a conservative, patient investor. | 2006-02-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 32.780 | Bruce Campbell | Has a lot of lawsuits overhanging it. Would not own it at this point. | 2006-01-24 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 31.990 | David Taylor, MBA, CFA | (A Top Pick Aug 29/05. Up 14%.) Loves this name. An absolute steal. Facing class action lawsuits. This is what a value manager wants. A great company with a ton of free cash flow, strong dividend, pristine balance sheet and everybody hates. | 2005-12-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 28.900 | Ross Healy | Too early, particularly if the US has a recession. If we get into a recession, it will be a consumer led recession, there’s going to be humongous pressures by consumers and seniors on drugs for some of the egregious profits they have been making. | 2005-12-13 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.600 | James Cole, BA, CFA | Drug stars such as Pfizer (PFE-N) Merck (MRK-N), etc. are attractively valued but are clearly out of favour. They have great long term track records and are in strong financial positions, however, there is a lack of predictability regarding the science. Doesn't like the cash flow dynamics where they spend billions up front with no sure win ahead. Litigation risks. | 2005-09-22 | |
| BUY | 29.190 | Brian Acker, CA | Pays a 5.5% dividend. If you have good fundamentals plus a dividend yield, you should do OK. | 2005-09-07 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 28.230 | Brad Willock | Has a pretty decent pipeline of new products. Current dividend yield is very high. You have to be prepared to ride out the storm of litigations, but could come out nicely. Very risky. | 2005-08-31 | |
| TOP PICK | 28.290 | David Taylor, MBA, CFA | Up to their necks in litigation. They've lost $30 billion in market cap because an anti-inflammatory has been pulled off the shelf due to heart attack risks. Just lost a $230 million lawsuit which will be reversed on appeal. Only trading at 9 X earnings. Have a ton of cash and generate a ton of free cash flow. 5.5% dividend yield. Very cheap. | 2005-08-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 34.420 | David Burrows | Pharmaceutical sector did very poorly over the last 2 years, but deceleration in revenue growth has slowed and profitability has started to improve. Look for the strongest perfoming stock in the sector. As Eli Lilly (LLY-N) is performing better, that would be the better of the 2, but would suggest you look at Sanofi-Aventis (SNY-N) which is close to new highs and Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA-Q) in generics. | 2005-05-03 | |
| BUY | 33.920 | David Taylor, MBA, CFA | Pharmaceutical stocks in the US have been absolutely decimated. Dirt cheap. Generates a ton of free cash flow. | 2005-04-25 | |
| BUY | 31.760 | Paul Harris, CFA | An equally good stock as Pfizer (PFE-N) at these levels. 4.5% yield. Always have good products. Going through a difficult spell right now. | 2005-03-28 | |
| BUY | 31.210 | Brian Acker, CA | Great valuation and a good entry point. | 2005-02-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 32.610 | Andrew McCreath | Would prefer Pfizer (PFE-N) which has a far superior pipeline. | 2005-02-18 | |
| BUY | 29.850 | Paul Harris, CFA | Big issue has been VIOXX. Very convoluted over the near term as to what will happen. Don't know what the legal issues will be. There could be more bad news from previous users of the drug. Have lots of money. Trades at almost 20% discount to the peer group. Nearly 5% yield. Has room for upside. Won't be an easy road. | 2005-01-24 | |
| WEAK BUY | 31.300 | Brian Acker, CA | Thinks it's going to be very tough to legally get this company with VIOXX. They have it as the 11th position in their portfolio. Model price is $38. Prefers Pfizer which has a bigger upside. | 2005-01-18 | |
| WEAK BUY | 31.790 | Paul Harris, CFA | Feels they should have re-labelled rather than pulling Vioxx so that people would know how to use them properly. A huge number of lawsuits they could face down the road. Didn't grow by acquisition, so their pipeline looks a bit murky. A great company and will be around for a long time. | 2004-12-16 | |
| DON'T BUY | 28.740 | David Burrows | Companies like Pfizer and Merck have been coming apart for quite awhile. Growth rate has gone from 30% to low single digits. When this happens, the P/E has to contract. There are more sellers than buyers. One of the few that is doing better is Schering AG. Growth rate is accelerating and have a good line up of drugs. | 2004-12-10 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.720 | Ross Healy | Facing a large number of large and messy law suits. | 2004-12-01 | |
| WEAK BUY | 27.720 | Brian Acker, CA | Mispriced. Expects that down the road Vioxx will come back. | 2004-11-30 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.670 | Norman Levine | A cockroach company with one problem after another coming out of the woodwork. | 2004-11-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 27.480 | Ron Meisels | In 2002, 2003 and early 2004 the chart looked like it was going to hold, but then collapsed. A broken down stock. Usually takes a significant amount of time for the news to be absorbed. | 2004-11-16 | |
| DON'T BUY | 26.150 | Bob Stodgell | More aggressive than what they would want. A number of outstanding issues regarding litigation would keep the top executives eyes off running the business. Prefers Pfizer. | 2004-11-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 26.410 | Brad Willock | Market is pricing in $20/25 million for class action law suits, but it could be more. Would need a tremendous amount of earnings growth to reach what people are expecting and this is unlikeley. High dividend yield. No longer a safe story. | 2004-11-10 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 27.870 | Ray Steele | (A Top Pick July 12/04. Down 40%.) Sold out before the big drop. | 2004-11-03 | |
| BUY | 31.220 | John Zechner | Pharmaceuticals are cheaper than he has ever seen them. Cheap. Trading at low multiples. | 2004-10-27 | |
| DON'T BUY | 30.190 | Glenn Paradis, BA, CFA | Took a tremendous hit with their withdrawal of Vioxx. Buying it now would be bottom fishing. A lot of issues going on in the pharma sector now. Weak pipeline. | 2004-10-14 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 33.430 | Don Reed | Has declined because of a recall of one of their drugs. Will probably have a bounce. | 2004-10-05 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.770 | Bill Carrigan | (A Top Pick Apr 28/04. Down 4%.) Had bought for the wrong reasons. Bought at the top of a cycle as a defensive play. Don't buy. | 2004-09-14 | |
| TOP PICK | 45.410 | Ray Steele | Dividend yield is very attractive. You pay very little for the upside. | 2004-07-12 | |
| TOP PICK | 48.360 | Francis Gannon | Yield is over 3%. Trading around 15 X next year's earnings. | 2004-06-18 | |
| TOP PICK | 47.440 | Bill Carrigan | This late in the cycle, look for stocks that are large, overlooked and underowned. Had a low in 2002 and a higher low at the end of 2003 in a downtrend, still expects to see money going to this group. | 2004-04-28 | |
| WEAK BUY | 46.740 | Glenn Paradis, BA, CFA | Have more patent issues than the majority of the big pharmas. Not a lot of catalysts. If you are a real long-term, patient investor, not a bad buy. | 2004-04-22 | |
| BUY | 46.500 | Norman Levine | Big pharma stocks should do well in this market. Historically, they do well when rates start to move up. | 2004-04-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 44.390 | Ron Meisels | Still under a major downtrend line. Trying to find a base. | 2004-03-17 | |
| TOP PICK | 48.080 | Francis Gannon | A quiet stock in that not many people are expecting much from them, 7/8% growth this year but you do get a nice 3%+ dividend yield while you wait. Trades at about 15 X earnings. Has a new cholesterol drug coming out this year. | 2004-02-27 | |
| BUY | 47.770 | Gavin Graham | Has had problems with patent expiry's and drugs in its channel. Gives a 3% dividend yield. Continues to like. | 2004-01-06 | |
| TOP PICK | 44.770 | Peter Arender, CFA | trading at significantly less than fair value. Bad news on drug development. Dividends at 3.3% | 2003-12-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.070 | Brad Willock | Have had tremendous issues. They had to stop production on a couple of drugs that were being tested. Virtually no revenue or earnings coming. | 2003-12-05 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.630 | David Burrows | When the stock is not participating in a bull market, steer clear. A strong Company and well financed with good products but there is no real excitement. If the market rolls over, it would get hit hard. | 2003-12-03 | |
| BUY | 45.800 | John Zechner | Likes some of the major pharmaceuticals at these levels. Very cheap. Buy and hold. | 2003-11-13 | |
| STRONG BUY | 43.870 | Peter Arender, CFA | A fantastic time to be buying this stock. If the pharmaceutical industry reverts to anything near normal, this is a huge screaming buy. | 2003-11-11 | |
| BUY | 43.600 | Gavin Graham | Missed its numbers. Demographics for drugs looks great. At a great price. | 2003-11-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 50.680 | Brad Willock | Not a fan. They don't have a very strong pipeline of promising drugs. Present drugs are facing competition from generics. | 2003-09-03 | |
| TOP PICK | 53.510 | Peter Arender, CFA | Trading at a significant discount.Has been getting left behind. | 2003-08-05 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 57.890 | Laura Wallace | (Was a top pick on May 21/03. Up 4.4%.) Still likes. Offers good value. | 2003-07-23 | |
| TOP PICK | 55.730 | John Sinkins, CFA | 2.5% dividend. Big name products. Only 14/15 X next years earnings. Recent studies suggest that some of their drugs may also be useful in preventing cancer. | 2003-06-02 | |
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| TOP PICK | 55.380 | Laura Wallace | Trading at 16 X earnings, yielding 2.6%. Great pipeline of new drugs. Great balance sheet. | 2003-05-21 | |
| BUY | 54.650 | Peter Arender, CFA | Good price. Good earnings price momentum. | 2003-03-24 | |
| TOP PICK | 54.850 | Peter Arender, CFA | Health care sector is a good sector. 15/16 PE. Good price. | 2003-02-04 | |
| WEAK BUY | 58.250 | Glenn Paradis, BA, CFA | Some of their drugs have come off patent and they are having difficulty with Research /Development productivity. Prefers Pfizer. | 2003-01-02 | |
| TOP PICK | 46.950 | John Sinkins, CFA | Pharmaceuticals look good in any upturn. 3% dividend. Trading at 15 X earnings. Had no earnings growth this year. | 2002-10-02 | |
| BUY | 47.700 | Laura Wallace | Demographics for pharmaceuticals is good. Could be volatile during their election period. Good long term. | 2002-09-25 | |
| BUY | 49.130 | Brian Acker, CA | Likes the valuations. Good balance sheet and good earnings. | 2002-09-04 | |
| BUY | 50.640 | Ray Steele | Outlook for drug companies is good. A bit expensve, but long term is good. | 2002-08-20 | |
| BUY | 53.200 | John Zechner | Sector has been hit hard. At a good level. Prefers Pfizer. | 2002-06-06 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 55.760 | John Sinkins, CFA | (Was a top pick on Apr 4 up 1.5%) Still likes. | 2002-05-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 56.520 | Michelle Calpin | Very reasonable valuation. Patents are coming off. Prefers Pfizer. | 2002-04-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 56.940 | Brad Willock | Fairly cheap. Dividend. Several drugs coming off patent. | 2002-04-19 | |
| BUY | 54.530 | Neil Murdock | At a 5 year low. Have some good products. At a good price. | 2002-04-15 | |
| WEAK BUY | 54.000 | David Baskin | Expiring patents have created problems. Pipeline is not as strong as other pharmaceuticals, but the price is very cheap. | 2002-04-12 | |
| TOP PICK | 58.800 | John Sinkins, CFA | One of the cheapest in the drug sctor. | 2002-04-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 62.500 | David Driscoll | Losing a lot of their patents with nothing new in the pipeline. | 2002-03-08 | |
| WEAK BUY | 61.420 | Brad Willock | No earnings growth this year. Should be some in 2003. At a good price. Prefers J&J or Pfizer. | 2002-02-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 58.840 | Brian Acker, CA | Broke through a technical base. Generics are giving some tough competition. | 2002-01-30 | |
| DON'T BUY | 58.100 | Neil Murdock | A lot of their drugs have come off patent without adequate replacement. Prefers Pfizer. | 2002-01-07 | |
| WAIT | 58.500 | Glenn Paradis, BA, CFA | Competition. Pipeline is weak now. OK long term. | 2001-12-18 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 66.990 | David Burrows | Pharmaceuticals may be re-establishing themselves for market leadership. Prefers Lily and Abbot | 2001-12-10 |