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| PAST TOP PICK | 42.610 | Brian Acker, CA | (Top Pick Feb 17/11, down 22.88%) Still owns it and loves it. GM now looks interesting to him also. MG has no debt and if there is a cyclical rally going forward he would probably play it that way. | 2012-02-09 | |
| Comment | 41.420 | David Baskin | This has always been a company with thin margins. What happens if demand goes down in Europe (they are in that market). Also, new leadership has some people concerned. A weak euro will mean fewer profits. However, he is looking at this company now because of the change in leadership. | 2012-01-31 | |
| Comment | 37.280 | Bill Carrigan | Things global growth is on track and the US economy is turning. So this is a company that he likes. Chart is not over convincing. Shows an A B C and he wants the current price to be a low. | 2012-01-06 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 34.200 | Brian Acker, CA | (A TOP PICK Feb 17/11. Down 37.85%.) Still likes and is at a good level. Even if we scratch around at 2% world growth, this company will do well. | 2012-01-04 | |
| TOP PICK | 36.120 | Brian Acker, CA | (A Top Pick Jan 5/11. Down 8.09%.) Model price is $53.33, a 50% upside. | 2011-12-02 | |
| BUY | 40.190 | Brooke Thackray | This is the time when industrial stocks should tend to do well. One of his favourite sectors. MG fits the bill. Right now it’s in good shape. | 2011-10-27 | |
| TOP PICK | 37.350 | Steve Carlin | (Top Pick Nov 10/10, Down 23.78%) Badly neaten up and taken back to almost the 2008 scenario. Market is saying we are into a deep recession in 2012, which he does not believe. Good value, 8x earnings lots of cash. Some issue with fixing business in Europe but he is confident they will fix it. | 2011-10-26 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 37.200 | David Burrows | (Top Pick October 27/10, Down 16.41%) He got out and made some money. This was one that be moved out of in the spring to raise cash. Thinks auto space is good one to be in during this recovery. | 2011-10-25 | |
| BUY | 37.470 | Colin Stewart | One of the more stable auto parts manufacturers. Very strong balance sheet with a lot of cash. Very cheap. Has just been buying himself. | 2011-10-18 | |
| BUY | 37.360 | Don Vialoux | Chart shows nice support at about $36. It is important that this stock is going sideways in a really rotten market. Relative strength is positive. Seasonally, this stock does very well around this time of year. In a tight trading range right now, and once it starts to move out of that, look for a pretty good move. | 2011-10-07 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 34.800 | Michael Smedley | (A Top Pick Sept 24/10. Down 10.29%.) Had a 2 for 1 stock split in November. Still a Buy. | 2011-09-27 | |
| WAIT | 35.500 | David Burrows | Likes the auto industry, specifically while there are concerns around the economy. As a result of 2008 there are fewer cars coming off lease so a used car is relatively expensive. If you look at Japan’s spring, there is a shortage of parts. There are now fewer parts suppliers and they are more powerful there. He owns two auto part US companies. Auto should perform better of economy gets a little bit better. Business is currently strong in North America. Wait until the market behaves a bit better before getting into it. | 2011-09-13 | |
| DON'T BUY | 37.190 | Ross Healy | Has settled back to book value. It’s neither expensive nor cheap so it is a difficult stock. If we do get a double dip recession or slow down, it is hard to figure what kind of driver would push this one higher. Nothing would compel him to sell it. | 2011-08-31 | |
| DON'T BUY | 35.100 | David Burrows | We have been going through an economic recovery and this period is beginning to look like the 70s where there are shorter recoveries followed up with cyclical declines in the market. He has been reducing his exposure to economically sensitive companies. | 2011-08-18 | |
| PARTIAL BUY | 38.480 | Barry Schwartz | Trading at an ultra cheap valuation. Terrific balance sheet. Good history of raising dividends. The problem is their exposure to Europe and possible weaker car sales in the US. Might not be a bad idea to start accumulating. | 2011-08-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 38.350 | Colin Stewart | Doesn't clearly love the automobile industry. Cheap. You have to be cautious that they have significant manufacturing operations in Canada and the strong Cdn$ could hurt. | 2011-08-09 | |
| BUY | 38.350 | John O'Connell, CFA | A buy at these levels. Likes where we are in the car cycle and they are well positioned. You may have problems in the consumer spending area but the fleet on the road is getting old. Prefers to GM. | 2011-08-09 | |
| BUY | 38.800 | Gavin Graham | Got whacked today because it was not as profitable as expected but there had been a production slowdown last year. However, it is profitable and he expects there has been an overreaction. | 2011-08-05 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 45.310 | Michael Smedley | (Top Pick July 29/10, Up 17.72) Probably bottoming and should be bought. | 2011-08-03 | |
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| HOLD | 43.740 | Michael Decter | The general view is that this company is very good at making the auto industry more efficient. If you own, it would be worthwhile to be patient with it. | 2011-08-02 | |
| TOP PICK | 47.550 | Steve Carlin | (A Top Pick July 20/10. Up 30.65%.) With a slowdown in auto-parts because of the Japanese disaster in the first quarter, this company fell in sync with the auto companies slow down. Good potential for growing market share in content per vehicle. $60 target. | 2011-07-26 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 50.250 | Jim Huang | (A Top Pick June 22/10. Up 45.52%.) Still likes. | 2011-07-13 | |
| TOP PICK | 51.410 | David Burrows | Bought new position today. Likes prospects for Auto cycle because people have not being buying cars so will have to eventually. We will get through supply disruptions in Japan. They can continue to make acquisitions that are accretive. Well priced and has gone through a consolidation and will move higher with the group. | 2011-06-28 | |
| Comment | 48.230 | Andrew McCreath | Very well positioned. Have a great balance sheet. Decent yield. There are some challenges that we have to see to get some clear sailing in the stock. European margins where disappointing last quarter and are they going to pick up? Understands that Mr. Stronach is now out of the stock. Feels this would be a better buy than the auto companies. | 2011-06-21 | |
| BUY | 47.470 | Bill Carrigan | Rallying out of an A B C correction. Very bullish. The industrial space is the place to be. | 2011-06-17 | |
| BUY | 45.150 | David Baskin | People are buying cars again and therefore this company’s parts. Feels the US and European fears of a double dip are overplayed. Relatively attractive entry point. | 2011-06-16 | |
| HOLD | 43.870 | John Zechner | Great story. Fundamentally undervalued. Expects to see a fairly sharp turn around in the auto industry. Looking for a strong ramp up in July and into the second half of the year. Trades at about 4X operating cash flow. Great play in here. | 2011-06-13 | |
| BUY | 48.400 | Michael Decter | Will benefit from demand for greater efficiency in the auto manufacturing field. Has come off and not a bad entry point. Transition from Frank Stronach and the multiple voting shares is an important development for them. | 2011-05-16 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.990 | Michael Sprung | Now dealing with only one class of shares. They will benefit more and more from outsourcing by car manufacturers. Have lately hit a few headwinds because of higher input costs. You could see a reasonable rate of return if you have a 3-5 year time horizon. | 2011-04-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 43.910 | Ross Healy | Had a disappointment which immediately cratered the stock. Has not been able to get its feet under it yet to get going. Auto sales, particularly in the US are no longer growing strongly. Auto stocks need to pull back to a safe level. | 2011-04-15 | |
| BUY | 43.970 | Michael Decter | Drop in stock price? Automotive sales seem to be coming under pressure from gasoline prices. It also had a huge run off the back of Mr. Stronach departing as the controlling shareholder. Low cost producer and will do very well as customers look for more efficiencies. | 2011-04-13 | |
| HOLD | 44.650 | John O'Connell, CFA | Well run. Ownership change has been good. Car business is having a lull but there has been a lot of pent up demand for automotive purchases and this company will get its fair share. Cyclical business. Expects economy will continue to chug along. If stock gets into the high $30’s it would be a Buy. | 2011-04-11 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 46.110 | David Burrows | (A Top Pick March 31/10. Up 48.96%.) Got out on an 80% gain. | 2011-04-07 | |
| TOP PICK | 47.290 | Bruce Campbell | Now at less than 10 times earnings. Autos are slowly coming on in the recovery. If it just goes back to where it was recently, that would be a nice profit. | 2011-04-05 | |
| BUY | 48.100 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | Big fan of this one but got stopped out. This is a great entry point. The overhang on the stock has always been Frank Stronach’s ownership structure. Company is in great shape. Expansion into international markets is very strong. | 2011-04-04 | |
| TOP PICK | 47.190 | Andrew McCreath | It’s a cheap stock. 10 times earnings. 2%+ yield. Global leader in its space. New management is going to re-jig the balance sheet. They are going spend their cash on shareholder accretive actions like share buy backs. | 2011-03-30 | |
| BUY | 48.750 | Colin Stewart | Leading auto parts company in North America. A great way to play the auto industry recovery. Weak earnings report about a month ago. | 2011-03-24 | |
| BUY | 48.650 | Brian Acker, CA | Model price is $65 - down a little bit from Jan and Feb of this year. He would accumulate a bit more. | 2011-03-23 | |
| WEAK BUY | 49.110 | Douglas Kee | Long-term it is a well-managed company in an industry that is brutal and cyclical but they are very good at managing their costs. Thinks dividend will increase but only 5-10%. Don’t count on getting back to the old highs in numbers of autos. | 2011-03-21 | |
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| TOP PICK | 48.870 | Bruce Campbell | It reported its first quarter under new management and with Frank gone. They cleaned out a bunch of stuff and blamed it on the old management. The market peeled it back nicely on guidance. If oil goes to $120 he might sell it. 2% dividend and good growth. Have been spending money on the eCar initiative and either it is going to work or they are going to abandon it and either way we get higher earnings and they end up over delivering. | 2011-03-10 | |
| TOP PICK | 56.800 | Brian Acker, CA | Model price is $72.16, a 27% positive differential. Thinks the stock is just pausing here. | 2011-02-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 57.730 | Christine Poole | Very good automotive parts company. She had difficulty buying when they paid Frank Stronach an egregious amount to get rid of him. Feels the auto recovery is underway. Wouldn’t Buy at this level. (See Top Picks.) | 2011-02-14 | |
| TOP PICK | 56.570 | Steve Carlin | Ford reported some weak initial numbers in the beginning of the year and the stock pulled back a bit. Increasing market share and content per vehicle. Overall North American vehicle production market is growing. 13% revenue growth this year and 25% earnings growth. Very attractive valuation. | 2011-02-10 | |
| HOLD | 56.800 | Michael Decter | Likes auto part stocks. A good company and wouldn’t be put off because of the drop in Ford (F-N). Ford had a soft quarter because they were converting over to new products. Not a permanent impairment. | 2011-02-03 | |
| BUY | 58.500 | John Zechner | There’s been a great turn in the auto sector. Looks like unit sales is going to head into the 12 million range this year from 9-10 million a the lower end to 13-14 million the year beyond that. Not expensive at 4X operating cash flow and 11X earnings. | 2011-01-19 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 58.500 | Ara Nalbandian | Auto parts companies have been really strong in terms of managing their balance sheet. Magna is in a position to make acquisitions. He doesn’t see it as a big growth stock. He would want a pull back to $50 for him to be interested. | 2011-01-19 | |
| TOP PICK | 58.760 | Brian Acker, CA | On the verge of a 15 year high. Shows a model price is $77. Management still has a lot of work to improve the efficiency of their balance sheet. Analysts are increasing their earnings expectations. | 2011-01-05 | |
| TOP PICK | 51.520 | John Zechner | Crushed earnings last 3 quarters in a row. Good cash balance. Good change in the voting structure and senior management. Auto sales are getting better. | 2010-12-03 | |
| DON'T BUY | 48.940 | David Cockfield | Never had nerve to step into because of their situation. Have to like the auto space on a longer term basis and has been operating very well recently. Maybe that will continue, or maybe not. Feels auto sector is still in danger. | 2010-11-12 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 48.940 | Bruce Campbell | Just had a 2 for 1 stock split. Came to a point where it needed to consolidate and pull back for a while. If you like the auto sector, would prefer this over some of the others. Try to get at $45. | 2010-11-12 | |
| TOP PICK | 99.920 | Steve Carlin | Knocked the ball out of the park for 3 consecutive quarters in earnings growth. Increased content per vehicle. Will try to improve margins in Europe. | 2010-11-10 | |
| WAIT | 99.920 | Norman Levine | Earnings are doing better; raised the dividend. Things are changing now. The board has to change before he will get into it. He likes the direction it is going. | 2010-11-09 | |
| TOP PICK | 92.060 | David Burrows | Leading stocks in developing countries are in the automotive space. This company gets about 50% of the revenue in North America and outside. Blew away the most recent earnings period. Just hit $90 and 9 out of 10 stocks that do this end up at $100. | 2010-10-27 | |
| TOP PICK | 84.430 | Jim Huang | Bought after announcement of the discontinuance of the multiple shares structure. Even without any change in fundamentals of macro car sales, multiple discount will be eliminated. Still a lot more upside coming. Improved competitiveness in Europe and Asia. | 2010-09-30 | |
| TOP PICK | 81.200 | Michael Smedley | Switched from dual share class to single class shares, which will now appeal to US investors. Just reported tremendous earnings. Blue-chip company with an impeccable balance sheet. Great amount of cash. | 2010-09-24 | |
| TOP PICK | 80.890 | Jim Huang | With the change in ownership, the multiples could trade at 50%-100% higher so the stock could go to $100 Plus with a reasonable auto industry outlook. | 2010-08-09 | |
| TOP PICK | 77.310 | Michael Smedley | Brings in powerful investors. Has had a magnificent history. Frank gets paid what he gets paid. | 2010-07-29 | |
| TOP PICK | 75.920 | Steve Carlin | Haven't owned this for many years. Contents per vehicle is higher. Rock solid balance sheet. The proposed transaction to buy out Frank Stronach’s multiple voting shares gives him confidence. If this gets done this company will get re-rated. | 2010-07-20 | |
| SELL | 71.480 | Norman Levine | Could never own this stock as long as Frank Stronach was involved. Can't stand how shareholders have been treated over the years. Continues to rape the company. | 2010-07-09 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 66.200 | David Baskin | Never owned because Frank Stronach pays himself too much and has too much control. He is not a big fan of what the Ontario securities commission is trying to do. Not a fan of the management style. | 2010-07-06 | |
| TOP PICK | 70.720 | Jim Huang | They were trading as little as half the multiple of the competitors. Would you rather be eliminating the class structure so the expense will never happen again or suffer through the next 30 years. The stock could be worth as much as $100 in the next year assuming auto market cooperates and the new single class structure. | 2010-06-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 72.560 | Jim Huang | Never liked the dual class structure and how it was managed but that is now set to change. Expect this will fundamentally change the valuation. Trading at about half the multiples of their major competitors. There could easily be a 50% upside. Has a lot of cash and a very clean balance sheet. Expects the 1% dividend will increase. | 2010-05-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 63.610 | Steve Carlin | Decided not to invest in this after looking at the earnings growth and valuations perspectives. He would reconsider at a lower price. | 2010-04-12 | |
| TOP PICK | 62.850 | David Burrows | Feels there is upside and margin expansion to auto production. This one will be a beneficiary of Ford (F-N) winning market share. | 2010-03-31 | |
| PARTIAL BUY | 59.360 | John Zechner | Haven't owned anything in the auto sector for a while but is warming up to it and looking at getting back in. Likes the consolidation in the industry. Getting better penetration into Europe. Have come through the auto crisis relatively well. Valuation is a little bit ahead of itself. | 2010-02-01 | |
| SELL | 50.790 | Ara Nalbandian | A lot of the auto parts company have had significant runs because they have kept their balance sheets low in debt. Also the stimulus in the auto sector has been of benefit to them. At this point they have run a little bit too far and he would suggest taking profits. Would prefer Linamar (LNR-T) on a pullback. | 2009-08-19 | |
| BUY | 52.470 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | Has had a substantial move. If you own, continue to Hold but follow-up with the stop/loss order of about 15%. | 2009-08-11 | |
| Comment | 43.670 | Benj Gallander | Not a big fan of this company. It is a huge red flag when management gets way too much compensation. Overall it should do well because it is a leader in its sector. Balance sheet is pretty good. Would be more comfortable with the company whose management was not greedy. | 2009-06-12 | |
| BUY | 43.770 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | Thinks you can actually buy this one now. | 2009-06-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 36.160 | Rick Stuchberry | Part of the problem is that they are bidding on Opel and people are leery about how successful they will be. The automobile sector is in rough shape. It will take some time for sales to pick up. | 2009-05-28 | |
| Comment | 43.420 | Norman Levine | Prefers owning companies that are run for the benefit of the shareholder. Even so, it is the best run and best quality auto parts company. | 2009-05-06 | |
| SELL | 42.900 | Charles Lannon | (Market Call Minute) Cheap stock but atrocious corporate governance. | 2009-04-23 | |
| WAIT | 42.900 | John Zechner | It is a survivor. Balance sheet is in better shape and cost structure is in better shape. Unless everyone is going to extend the life of the car substantially, car sales have to pick up. First Quarter could be miserable. | 2009-04-23 | |
| Comment | 35.640 | Norman Levine | (Market Call Minute.) If you had to be in the auto business, this is probably the best way to do it. | 2008-12-15 | |
| DON'T BUY | 35.720 | Laura Wallace | The whole auto industry is difficult to forecast an even more difficult for parts suppliers. Could be more downside. | 2008-11-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 39.450 | David Baskin | Doesn't like the executive compensation of this company so has never owned the stock. Auto industry has always been cyclical. | 2008-11-06 | |
| BUY | 70.610 | Ross Healy | Trading at its “average price to book” long-term low, which makes it very cheap. His Fair Market Value is more than double the current price. Has good potential. Would buy it as a Trade. | 2008-06-05 | |
| PARTIAL BUY | 78.510 | Brian Acker, CA | He has a model price of $89 giving and 11% or 12% positive differential. Even with the negative news on the auto industry, their earnings are still hanging in there. | 2008-02-27 | |
| DON'T BUY | 75.060 | Jean-Francois Tardif | Auto business is a very difficult industry in mature markets like North America and Europe. This company mainly provides parts to these markets. Stock is trading at about BV. Have a clean balance sheet so in tough times they will outperform the others. Can't see how you can make a lot of money out of this stock with the economy the way it is and the outlook. | 2008-01-03 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 81.310 | John O'Connell, CFA | People are worried about the automobile cycle in general. They are also worried about the unionization that may be taking affect in this company. On top of that, there is a controlling shareholder that calls all the shots and you have no vote. | 2007-12-10 | |
| TOP PICK | 92.920 | Chris Smith | Continues to deliver well above expectations. Last 2 quarters have been blow away numbers. Into an arrangement with Russian Machines, which he feels could be very good for them. | 2007-08-30 | |
| SELL | 89.110 | Michael Sprung | He is trying to understand the deal with the Russians and where control of the company is ultimately going to go. Not sure what good this will do for the minority shareholders. | 2007-08-10 | |
| TOP PICK | 96.800 | Bill Carrigan | stop loss $90 Under owned, Chart bottoms make a dip, and tops are flat. Good indicator. | 2007-06-13 | |
| WAIT | 98.620 | Peter Brieger | Potential to become a major parts supplier in Russia, but he would wait and see how that works out. | 2007-06-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 94.300 | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA | At this level, the risk/reward is not compelling enough. There is some excitement building in the automotive area with new products coming out, but on the consumer side, not sure sales will be fabulous. | 2007-01-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 92.000 | Brian Acker, CA | His model price is around the current stock price. Recently sold his holdings. | 2006-12-21 | |
| Comment | 92.000 | Norman Levine | Doing well because its competitors are all falling by the wayside. The best run auto company in North America and Europe. | 2006-12-05 | |
| HOLD | 89.950 | Robert Floyd | Difficult business right now. | 2006-12-01 | |
| WAIT | 84.510 | Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA | The good thing about this stock is that with all the bad news that has gone through the car sector, it didn’t break the 52-week low area. There’s still a lot ofe overhead in his mind regarding the auto sector. Near the top of a trading range, so wouldn’t buy here, but if it pulled back to the lower end, it would be a good buying opportunity. | 2006-11-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 79.570 | Veronika Hirsch | A very well managed company. Unfortunately, the timing is not great as the car industry is not doing well. | 2006-08-29 | |
| SELL | 83.030 | Laura Wallace | The auto parts manufacturers, particularly in Canada, are going to have a very difficult time with what is happening to the North American auto industry. General Motors and Ford are going to get costs under their system and their suppliers will be the first place they look. | 2006-02-07 | |
| DON'T BUY | 87.030 | Bill MacLachlan | There are questions about their operations as well as the industry they are in as well as the sustainability of the earnings level. | 2006-01-10 | |
| BUY | 80.960 | Brian Acker, CA | This one looks cheap to him. | 2005-12-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 79.900 | Ron Meisels | Having major problems. Had a high in 2004 and ever since it has been down and up and down and up with the downs and ups being lower than their previous ones. | 2005-12-15 | |
| BUY | 78.390 | Gavin Graham | A big supplier to the big three. However, it's getting a bigger share of the smaller number of cars being sold. It's also starting to make complete cars in Europe. Coming out of the end of this tunnel, it's going to be in a much stronger position. | 2005-12-05 | |
| DON'T BUY | 82.620 | Paul Harris, CFA | Doesn't like the industry that they are involved with. There's a real issue in the over capacity in the car industry. | 2005-11-02 | |
| SELL | 80.050 | David Burrows | You have to be very careful of industries that can't rally in a bull market. A very well run company, but if you're selling into a difficult market, it's difficult to see how you make money. | 2005-10-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 80.900 | David Baskin | The odds of a General Motors (GM-N) or Ford (F-N) going bankrupt kind of increase day by day. If they do a deal in order to shed their union liabilities, a side affect will be that a company like Magna will get stiffed on their accounts receivable. Of course they'll still build cars and will need parts. | 2005-10-24 | |
| TOP SHORT | 79.870 | Ron Meisels | Had a tremendous move, but back in the middle of 2004, it started to top out and has had nothing but problems ever since. It could have another little rally and that would be your opportunity to sell it if you own. | 2005-10-17 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 90.420 | Paul Harris, CFA | There's massive overcapacity in this industry. 60% of their contracts are with Ford (F-N) and General Motors (GM-N). | 2005-08-12 |