| Click Here to receive daily reports of the TOP PICKS OR your personal stock choices | STOCKCHASEWhat the experts are saying! |
| There are 7 registered members and 84 guests viewing the site. | Follow us on Twitter | Rss Top Picks Feed | Rss Daily Feed |
|
| Comment | 17.600 | Fabrice Taylor | Very well run company. Stock has done very well lately. Dividend is close to 6%. You won't get capital gain on this but the dividend is safe. Much less volatile than the broader equity market. | 2012-04-13 | |
| Comment | 14.580 | Michael Decter | In bad times, people drink because of the bad times and in good times a drink to celebrate the good times. Has been a good steady performer for him. Long-term hold. You would be buying this one for the dividends. | 2011-11-10 | |
| Comment | 15.800 | David Baskin | Eventually income trusts’ distributions are unsustainable unless they have enough tax shelter to cover income. In this case, do they have enough real estate depreciation? He feels probably not. Dividend will probably be lower than distributions in 2011-2012. | 2010-09-28 | |
| BUY | 15.120 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Have tax losses that they can use when they convert to a corporation. Likes the story. Not one that will have growth but expects distributions will stay intact. | 2010-09-01 | |
| HOLD | 15.530 | Jim Huang | People spent less during the recession by buying cheaper products. We need to wait for some improvement in the economy for resumption in growth. When it converts to a corporation there may be some pressure on the current distribution. | 2010-06-22 | |
| BUY | 15.700 | Michael Decter | Mostly Alberta but acquired a chain of Liquor Barn stores in Kentucky. Think they will do further acquisitions. Good at the business and have $30 million more for acquisitions. Growth situation. High payout but capable of sustaining good yield after conversion. | 2010-01-25 | |
| HOLD | 15.780 | Robert Lauzon | Recession proof. Very stable business. Low pay out ratio so there may not be a cut when they convert. | 2010-01-06 | |
| DON'T BUY | 15.090 | Ben Cheng | Have a more aggressive payout policy so he is a little concerned about post-2011. Also concerned about the Alberta economy, which is 70% natural gas and is still very weak. Also making acquisitions in the US. | 2009-11-20 | |
| HOLD | 15.400 | Michael Decter | Made a US acquisition and would like to see how that works out before buying more. Long-term hold with some growth. | 2009-11-11 | |
| BUY | 15.180 | Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI | If you can buy and hold at this price and just ride out the dividends you should do fairly well. Fairly low volatility. Yield of 10.7%. | 2009-10-07 | |
| BUY | 13.620 | Michael Sprung | Has been looking at this one. An ideal company for an incumbent trust structure. Cash flows are fairly consistent. Earnings are forecasted to go from $1.70 up to $1.90 to $2 over the next few years. Distribution of almost 12% could have a little bit of a cut after 2011. | 2009-09-02 | |
| HOLD | 11.750 | Ben Cheng | Trades at a slight premium to some of its peers in the US but do have a tax-free distribution until 2011. Has been a beneficiary of Alberta's threat to raise alcohol taxes as people rushed out to buy. Government has repealed this tax, which will benefit them in the long run. Once they are taxable in 2011 13.75% distributions will probably come under fire at about 20%. | 2009-07-13 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.550 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Liquor stores. Originally in Alberta and BC but made an acquisition of a chain in Alaska. Debt levels are a bit high for him. Converting to a Corp., which will give them a little bit more breathing space on their debt lines. | 2009-07-06 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 14.600 | Michael Decter | Well managed trust. Feels distributions are sustainable. Have lots of room to grow in Western Canada. A keeper for the long haul. Would probably wait for a down day before buying but this price is okay. | 2009-06-15 | |
| TOP PICK | 10.600 | Jean-Francois Tardif | Recession resistant. Made an acquisition last year of one of their competition, which should give them a margin expansion. 16% distribution with a chance of an increase this year. | 2009-02-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 10.310 | Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI | 15% yield but you might question it sustainability. Negative earnings momentum. Estimates have been revised downwards. Chart indicates it has sort of halted its downward slide. It may see $12 on the upside but, if it comes out with a bad announcement, it will be down $2-$3. | 2009-02-11 | |
| BUY | 10.050 | Michael Sprung | Cash flow from liquor stores is fairly consistent. Lately there has been some insider buying. Feels the 16.3% distribution is safe. | 2009-02-02 | |
| Comment | 8.930 | Ben Cheng | Integrating their Brown Jug acquisition, which has added to the revenue line. Same store sales growth has been anaemic in the last couple of quarters. Feels that same store sales growth will be flat to down in 2009. | 2008-12-08 | |
| Comment | 10.690 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Liquor stores in Alberta, British Columbia, and Nova Scotia and recently in Alaska. Recently reported and thought margins were a bit light. Taking a harder, closer look at these levels but wants to understand why margins were weaker. | 2008-11-20 | |
|
| |||||
| BUY | 15.450 | Michael Simpson, CFA | (Market Call Minute.) Made an interesting acquisition in Alaska and he would like to see how that works out so he is kind of on the fence. | 2008-09-19 | |
| Comment | 15.940 | Michael Simpson, CFA | One of the largest liquor store chains in Western Canada. Recently announced an expansion into Alaska so is looking to become a big player in the US. Becoming interesting at these levels. | 2008-08-13 | |
| Comment | 17.720 | Michael Simpson, CFA | A lot of investors went into this one for defensive reasons earlier this year, which pushed the value up. Bought their competition Liquor Barn whose margins were not as high. Would be concerned about them making any acquisitions in the US. Good management. Might consider buying if there is improvement in numbers. | 2008-05-14 | |
| Comment | 23.400 | Michael Sprung | Great cash flow. Located in Alberta, which is a great growth area. Good fundamentals and strong balance sheet. His only question is, are you being paid enough for the slight risk there is. 7% distribution. | 2007-12-10 | |
| BUY | 23.400 | Patrick Kim | Bullish on this company. Good population growth and earnings generation in western Canada. Same store sales growth is clicking. | 2007-11-02 | |
| Comment | 21.840 | Andrew Guy, CFA | Attempting to acquire Liquor Barn Income Fund (LBN.UN-T). Have done a good job of growing. Very strong margins. | 2007-05-25 | |
| DON'T BUY | 21.700 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Liquor stores, primarily in Alberta. A very defensive name. Still has some good growth prospects, but has gotten a little ahead of itself. | 2007-03-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 18.970 | Andrew Guy, CFA | Good company. Likes the business, but has never seen an attractive entry point. Very strong management team. | 2007-02-08 | |
| BUY | 18.490 | Chyanne Fickes | Has always paid for acquisitions by issuing new units. This is still possible under the new rules and they could double their size by the time the 4 years is up, but doubts if they could do it. Has a great market. Their competition is facing a lot of challenges. | 2007-02-06 | |
| BUY | 18.920 | Michael Sprung | This has been a great company. Expect the fortunes of this company will be tied to the future of the Alberta economy, which longer-term still looks pretty rosy. | 2007-01-05 | |
| Comment | 18.080 | Ben Cheng | Benefited greatly from having a high multiple attributed to its trust. Even with the recent pullback, it still has a high multiple. Has been a great deal of consolidation in stores in Alberta and B.C. Will probably continue, but rate of acquisition will probably slow. | 2006-12-01 | |
| DON'T BUY | 17.150 | Ravi Sood | This was a business that depended on the high valuation that they got as an income trust. Not only will they be taxed with no shield, but the ability to make acquisitions has been reduced. | 2006-11-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 17.120 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Has very little capital assets that would help them generate some tax pools. | 2006-11-03 | |
| BUY | 18.950 | Sandy McIntyre | A relatively stable business. Stores are located in Alberta foods population and economy is growing. | 2006-05-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 15.450 | Bill MacLachlan | Has suffered from the government's stance, the same as all income trusts. You also have to be aware of the impact of rising interest rates on incoime funds. | 2005-11-04 | |
| BUY | 16.150 | Bruce Hartman | Consumer spending continues to go along at a reasonable pace. A well constructed trust. A good franchise in the area in which it operates in. Has ample scope for expansion. Over time, should see a higher revenue stream translating into higher distribution. | 2005-10-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 18.200 | Leslie Lundquist | Growing through expansion/acquisition. Can't see any real competitive reason to expand except to get bigger. As long as they can continue to keep doing what they've been doing, they'll probably do well, but a lot of the expectation that they will congtinue to grow like that has already been priced onto the units. Not inexpensive. | 2005-07-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 17.450 | Michele Robitaille | Concerned about the sustainability of their competitive position. Very price competitive. Very little organic growth opportunity. | 2005-07-15 | |
| WEAK BUY | 19.000 | Robert Lauzon | Management strategy was to roll up a fragmented industry in Alberta and BC. Short term he likes it as they are doing accretive acquisitions and have a nice payout ratio under 100%. Doesn't like long term as it is involved in the retail sector and could get competition from larger companies. | 2005-06-17 | |
| DON'T BUY | 18.000 | Norman Levine | Liquor stroes are an ideal business for an income trust, because they are stable, growing and a good margin business. This one had a big run and probably got over valued which is probably the reason for the near term weakness. | 2005-06-06 | |
|
| |||||
| BUY | 17.350 | Sandy McIntyre | The market in Alberta is deregulated and these are privately owned stores. The stores themselves are very profitable and net free cash flow generators. Will be able to make acquisitions, so look on it as a growth trust. | 2005-05-13 | |
| TOP PICK | 17.000 | Matt Baillie | B.C. and Alberta liquor stores. Good cash cow. Very stable. A fragmented market and they can grow through acquisition. Just bought 13 stores at about 7.5 X EBITDA. They trade about 13 X EBITDA next year, so very accretive. Have 63 stores but have 350 on their radar screen. Distributions should increase. | 2005-04-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 13.800 | Leslie Lundquist | Expensive. Speculative. | 2004-11-17 | |
| BUY | 13.940 | Peter Brieger | Steady market of product should assure a steady cash flow. A defensive holding. | 2004-10-28 | |
| VAGUE | 13.390 | Peter Brieger | An interesting business model. Watching it and may buy some time in the future. | 2004-10-13 | |
| DON'T BUY | 12.900 | Leslie Lundquist | Doesn't see any appeal in this fund. Very small market share and no competitive advantage. | 2004-10-07 | |
| BUY | 13.600 | Mark Jackson, CFA | 9/10% yield. Has done fairly well from issue price. Relatively stable cash flow and would be OK to own. Not much competitive risk. | 2004-10-04 |