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| PAST TOP PICK | 184.660 | David Burrows | (A Top Pick Jan 25/11. Up 16.29%.) The 1st of the big cap tech stocks to break out. They earned about $1 in 2002 but will earn $13.50 or so this year. Has a very strong recurring revenue base. A very strong services business. Just sold his holdings today. | 2012-01-05 | |
| HOLD | 185.730 | Charles Lannon | Really strong company. There is a long laundry list of very high quality tech companies with very sound balance sheets that are selling at deep, deep discounts. Organic growth rate is probably only 3%-4% but continues to return a lot of cash to shareholders. | 2011-11-17 | |
| WEAK BUY | 174.510 | Mark Grammer | A growth company, but not in his fund as it is a slower growth. Well-managed and a very strong balance sheet. Prefers VMware (VMW-N). | 2011-09-26 | |
| BUY | 169.920 | Paul Harris, CFA | Cheap. Trades at a huge discount to its PE. Trading at about 12X versus 17X earnings in the past. Nice dividend yield. Continues top throw off lots of free cash. They concentrate on areas where they have a competitive advantage. A safer way to play technology. | 2011-05-13 | |
| Comment | 170.370 | Gordon Reid | A lot of the advancements they are making are coming on the cost cutting side. Doing a very good job, but this can only go on so long. There is a ton of choice in technology. | 2011-04-27 | |
| WEAK BUY | 163.600 | Andrew McCreath | Software is going to outperform hardware with respect to profits. IBM is bias to software so will be an out-performer in the tech world. Would not buy here because the multiple has expanded here. Would maintain position but not add to it. Will have challenges to input costs in second half of year in terms of labour only. | 2011-03-30 | |
| TOP PICK | 161.440 | David Burrows | An add to his existing position. A simple one-stop shop for exposure to cloud computing. Not an expensive stock. Stock has been going sideways for 12 years. | 2011-01-25 | |
| BUY | 155.800 | Laura Wallace | Very attractive right now. Just reported strong earnings on the service sector. Real recovery. Good international exposure. | 2011-01-20 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 155.690 | Ara Nalbandian | (Top Pick Feb 16/10, 26.04%) It approached a point where he was starting to exit the position, then earnings came out yesterday and they are firing on all cylinders. | 2011-01-19 | |
| BUY | 129.430 | Ara Nalbandian | Has done really well over the last 10 years transitioning into less commoditized areas. Earnings have been growing through the cycle and are shareholder friendly. | 2010-09-15 | |
| BUY | 130.350 | Gordon Reid | Benefited from the correction taking the stock price down. Fundamentally doing quite well. Company predicted strong growth over the medium and long term, 3-5 years. Good value at about 10X earnings. | 2010-06-16 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 129.790 | Brett Hryb | (A Top Pick May 13/09. Up 28.38%.) Very solid company and good dividend growth. | 2010-06-15 | |
| BUY | 125.420 | Jim Huang | Have transformed themselves from primarily a hardware company in computers and service to a service company. Not expensive. Growing slowly and steadily. Pays a good dividend. | 2010-05-21 | |
| WEAK BUY | 125.620 | Gordon Reid | This is now more of a services company, which leads to a more predictable income stream. Not the most exciting of technology companies but if you want stability and 8% to 10% of earnings growth is a pretty good stock. | 2010-03-10 | |
| TOP PICK | 125.230 | Ara Nalbandian | Selling March put options at $121.15 strike price. Likes the name over the years and is great value at $121. At least $11 earnings this year and constantly conservative in their estimates. Very solid income stream. Not Cyclical. | 2010-02-16 | |
| HOLD | 121.880 | David Baskin | (Market Call Minute.) Had a great quarter. Largely a software and solutions company now. Stable. | 2010-02-08 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 128.490 | Ara Nalbandian | (Top Pick May 15/09, Up 26%) Continues to buy back shares, continues to be attractive. Looking for pullback to put it back into the portfolio. Very solid and stable earnings stream. Some growth opportunities, but it’s the stability that they like. | 2009-12-15 | |
| WEAK BUY | 120.870 | Don Lato | Great company. Ludicrously cheap, but it only has 10 or 12% growth ahead of it. Agrees with their tendency toward software and services. | 2009-10-21 | |
| BUY | 121.350 | John Zechner | Likes it. Done well in the service industry. People don’t look at this company. Great growth story, international. IBM is cheaper than others like HP and Dell. | 2009-10-06 | |
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| BUY | 120.820 | David Baskin | Tech sector is one of the spaces that could benefit from an improving economy as people and corporations spend more money. A lot of the systems are getting long in the tooth. Would tend to more of the corporate end because the price pressure on the consumer is relentless and never ending. | 2009-09-23 | |
| BUY | 116.760 | Gordon Reid | Likes it. Have been very successful in morphing from a hardware company to a software and services company. High predictability of earnings, good dividends, strong balance sheet. | 2009-09-09 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 117.380 | David Burrows | (A Top Pick Aug 5/08. Down 6.63%.) | 2009-08-06 | |
| TOP PICK | 117.260 | Brett Hryb | (A Top Pick Feb 9/09. Up 20.9%.) Beat earnings estimates handily by $.30. Revenue side was a little light but not unexpected. Earnings guidance was raised. Still a Buy. | 2009-07-29 | |
| HOLD | 117.040 | Christine Poole | Just reported a great quarter. Technology group has done well. Generates a lot of free cash flow and have been buying back stock. On the service side they have been slowly moving into higher margin businesses. Not expensive at 10X earnings. | 2009-07-21 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 101.730 | Ara Nalbandian | (A Top Pick May 15/09. Up 0.36%.) Likes it because of its defensive characteristics. Trading at an attractive multiple. Expecting some high teens earnings-per-share growth. Trading at about 11X earnings. He is writing Calls on his position so he is hoping the stock trades sideways. | 2009-07-03 | |
| TOP PICK | 105.020 | Laura Wallace | Trades at less than 10X earnings. Good international exposure. Emerging markets division grew at 11% last quarter. 2.2% dividend yield with a record of increasing dividends. | 2009-05-26 | |
| TOP PICK | 101.370 | Ara Nalbandian | Huge beneficiary of global infrastructure build out as well as cost cutting. Doing $9.20 in earnings this year and expected to do $10 to $11. Generating free cash flow and buying back shares. Trades at about 11x earnings. | 2009-05-15 | |
| TOP PICK | 102.260 | Brett Hryb | (A Top Pick Feb 9/09. Up 6%.) Company has reiterated their earnings expectations for 2010. It is really the services side that pushes the company. Growth numbers from the services side have been significantly better than expected. | 2009-05-13 | |
| BUY | 101.190 | Don Lato | Has managed their business very well through this downturn. Pretty cheap at 10X earnings. | 2009-04-08 | |
| TOP PICK | 96.890 | Brett Hryb | One of the pre-eminent names in this space. Broadly based in terms of its exposure across the marketplace. 4th quarter earnings surprised the street dramatically, especially from the services side. | 2009-03-31 | |
| Comment | 94.150 | Richard Croft | If you own, you could Sell a $95 Call option, probably in May. Expect you will get something around $3-$4. Treat it as cash flow coming in but don't do it if you think it's going back to the $116-$130 area. If you are bearish on the stock, you are better off selling it and going onto something else. | 2009-03-27 | |
| BUY | 89.490 | Laura Wallace | This is the technology stock that she likes the best at the moment. Viewed as a hardware company but 40% of its business is from the software side where the margins are much higher. 2/3rds of earnings are from outside of North America. Great balance sheet. | 2009-03-04 | |
| BUY | 88.930 | David Burrows | Likes the services side a lot as they aren't challenged financially given the current environment. Have long-term contracts which means that cash keeps coming in every month. (He owns cognizant technologies. (CTSH-Q)). | 2009-02-19 | |
| TOP PICK | 96.820 | Brett Hryb | Great ability to execute on a business plan. Dramatically changed their business model to more of a services company than hardware. Bookings in 4th quarter were much better than expected. Cash flow is well in excess of the dividend. | 2009-02-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 90.070 | Jim Huang | One of the best technology companies you can own in today's environment. Came out with very good numbers and a very good outlook for 2009. However really beat the numbers partly because of currency translation. In fact, revenue is down. Recession will hit them as well. Now may not be the right time to buy. Would like it about 10% lower. | 2009-01-22 | |
| BUY | 81.250 | Mark Grammer | Have done a very good job of managing their way through this whole business cycle. Very strong management. Global outlook. Exposed to all major sectors. Balance sheet is in very good shape. High margins. | 2008-12-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 82.860 | Ron Ianieri | Jan 9/09 $60 Puts? Bearish on the market so he is bearish on this stock. Doesn't believe in buying “out of the money” (no innate value.) options. With the stock trading at $90, the $60 Put gives you the right to sell at $60. This has no intrinsic value. The stock would have to move $30 by Jan 9/09 for the option to have value. | 2008-12-10 | |
| Comment | 77.480 | Ross Healy | His FMV is calculated at about $250 so current price is cheap. 20% plus profit. $10 billion cash on hand and additional 10 billion cash line of credit. Has shifted into the service sector of computers, which tends to be much more stable. 4 X book value is fairly cheap. | 2008-11-17 | |
| BUY | 80.330 | Charles Bobrinskoy | A couple of headwinds including foreign currency and pensions but their outsourcing, consulting and software businesses are very strong. The hardware business would be the most challenged. Great high quality company. Strong balance sheet. | 2008-11-14 | |
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| BUY | 84.210 | David Driscoll | Nobody knows where the bottom is for tech stocks. Usually recessions last for 2 or 3 years. Quarterly results are usually bad for 4 or 5 quarters. Okay for long-term growth and anywhere here would be a decent purchase. | 2008-11-13 | |
| BUY | 88.290 | David Burrows | It held up until the last few days | 2008-10-15 | |
| BUY | 117.290 | Matthew McCall | Big technology stock that he actually likes. Last quarter's earnings were very strong. The growth for them has been overseas. On a 2 to 5 year time frame, it's a great buy. He is looking at this as a potential purchase. | 2008-09-08 | |
| HOLD | 114.330 | Norman Levine | A relative star in the technology area. Seems to be firing on all cylinders. However, with the market correction and valuations coming down, it is also coming down. Thinks it will do better than the market. | 2008-09-05 | |
| BUY | 123.380 | Charles Bobrinskoy | Was very much out of favour 3 years ago when he bought it. Very pleased with how well it has done. Globally, companies are trying to take costs out of their businesses. Trading at about 13X forward earnings. Has been helped by the weaker US$. | 2008-08-27 | |
| TOP PICK | 128.870 | David Burrows | Combination of a software play and services. Only about 30% of revenues come from the US. Growing at about 15%, which is significant. 50% of revenues are recurring. Behaved like a champ in the current market which indicates it will do even better in a stronger market. Positive earnings revisions. | 2008-08-05 | |
| BUY | 124.200 | Laura Wallace | Very well positioned internationally. Q1 earnings were spectacular. A very steady performer in a difficult environment. Well positioned in the longer term to benefit from the overseas growth and will see better growth in N.A. in 5 years. | 2008-05-23 | |
| Comment | 127.520 | Gordon Reid | Has been very successful by sticking to its knitting and concentrating on the services business. Very profitable. | 2008-05-14 | |
| BUY | 123.610 | Peter Brieger | 65% of revenues come from foreign sources. Even with the slowdown in the US, they produced a 6% growth rate in the first quarter, 16%+ from offshore. Relatively cheap. | 2008-05-01 | |
| BUY | 122.850 | Robert Floyd | (Market Call Minute.) Interesting prospects going forward. Nice international revenues. | 2008-04-29 | |
| TOP PICK | 124.400 | David Burrows | Over 50% of revenues come from international growth. Half of the revenue is services. Recent reporting beat estimates handily. | 2008-04-18 | |
| BUY | 102.220 | Gavin Graham | Multi national exporter, big exposure to non U.S dollar currencies. | 2007-11-19 | |
| HOLD | 119.600 | Peter Hofstra | Solid mature company will continue to do well. It is a decent company to have for a core holding. Predicts high single or low double digit return. | 2007-10-16 | |
| TOP PICK | 118.030 | Laura Wallace | There's been gross underinvestment in business. IBM is really well positioned. Get's 60% of it's revenues outside the US. Great play on the US dollar. Tech sector is going to resurge here. | 2007-10-15 | |
| BUY | 110.650 | John O'Connell, CFA | Long-term outlook is constructive. Continues to benefit from growth in servicing/consulting businesses. The risk is more and more off shoring being done in India and, in time, China. | 2007-07-31 | |
| HOLD | 105.570 | Ian Nakamoto | Likes this company. A relatively safe, technologies play. The services side of the business is very strong globally. Probably the leader in its space. Thinks there is a fair bit of upside. | 2007-05-14 | |
| DON'T BUY | 95.210 | Gavin Graham | Big run through the 4th quarter last year because of expectations of a big cap X boom, which did not arrive. Very decent, large, blue chip stock. In an economic slowdown, these are the companies that get cut. | 2007-04-23 | |
| DON'T BUY | 95.670 | Paul Harris, CFA | Trades at a low multiple of about 15 X earnings. Low yield. Places like India are eating away at their core franchise, the servicing business. Expect it will stay at this multiple for longer than people think. | 2007-04-12 | |
| DON'T BUY | 96.620 | David Baskin | Primarily services now rather than mainframes. This gives them repeating revenue. Economically sensitive. If there is a downtick in the US economy, they would have difficulty maintaining their profits. It could be dead money for a year or two. | 2007-04-09 | |
| Comment | 95.190 | Peter Hofstra | Probably around fair value now which gives a return of 8%-9%. You can buy at around $90. It won't give you double-digit returns but it will be solid. | 2007-03-22 | |
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| DON'T BUY | 93.940 | Ross Healy | Not enormously enamoured by the outlook for tech stocks. Feels there is more downside risk in this sector. | 2007-03-07 | |
| WATCH | 97.400 | John Manley | Great company and has done very well recently. Concerned about the big divergence from the original peak that the MACD shows. Looks like the up trend line has been broken. From an options standpoint, if you like the company and its fundamentals, he would sell puts. Could be a little dangerous on the Long side. | 2007-01-24 | |
| HOLD | 96.000 | Paul Gardner, CFA | Been dead for 5 years. Had problems on their hardware side and their service side wasn’t making enough money as well as problems with mass over runs. Now focused on the mainframe side and upgrading the service side. Thinks the stock has a little more legs to it. | 2006-12-19 | |
| HOLD | 95.360 | Ian Ainsworth | Cheap at 14-15 X earnings. Not a fast growing company. More than 50% of its business is in services, outsourcing the IT operations. That grows 5%, maybe 6% a year, but they have been growing at 3%-4%. Would be good to hold if there is a correction. | 2006-12-14 | |
| HOLD | 94.230 | Gavin Graham | Finally getting things fixed on the service side, which is their major driver. Needs capital expenditures by big corporations and they are nor spending. | 2006-12-07 | |
| BUY | 93.510 | John Manley | Had a bounce pretty close to its previous highs. There are rumours of a possible takeover. Have shifted their focus from hardware to software and seem to be firing on al cylinders. Technically they look very strong. | 2006-12-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 93.810 | Charles Lannon | Had a pretty good earnings per share in this most recent quarter. The data that stuck out like a sore thumb was their global services, their consulting division, which comprises about 50%, only grew by 3%. Makes you wonder where the organic growth is going to come from. | 2006-11-17 | |
| BUY | 92.420 | David Driscoll | Have done very well in selling hardware as companies have had to upgrade data base equipment and take on memory storage. Have been a little sluggish on the service side, but the hardware has been propelling them. | 2006-11-09 | |
| BUY | 91.500 | Peter Hofstra | Just reported a solid quarter. There is probably a little bit of upside. If it gets close to $100, you want to start to peel back. A little below fair value. | 2006-10-30 | |
| SELL | 81.650 | Neil Wickham | A very strong company but is mature so high percentage growth is unlikely. Will continue to languish. | 2006-10-03 | |
| WATCH | 79.880 | John O'Connell, CFA | Technology stocks in general have been poor performers. In the low $70’s has always been a good time to pick away at this name and sell it in the high $80’s area. If there is a rally in the NASDAQ, this would be a good solid name to add to your proposal. | 2006-08-25 | |
| BUY | 75.480 | Laura Wallace | Disappointing stock price performance over the last year. Reported earnings that were well above expectations. Cheap. | 2006-07-20 | |
| BUY | 79.760 | David Baskin | A quality company. Recession resistant because most of its revenue is service oriented. Not the growth story it was in the past, but also not as cyclical. | 2006-06-06 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 83.810 | Laura Wallace | (A Top Pick Dec 22/05. No change.) Corporations are flush with cash but they are doing mergers, acquisitions and share buybacks and have not started on the new product cycle yet. When they do, IBM will be a major beneficiary. | 2006-04-06 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 83.380 | Laura Wallace | IBM is up a little since being a top pick. She still owns it and is still buying. IBM has very diversified product lines. It is a value company. | 2006-03-15 | |
| DON'T BUY | 81.090 | Brian Acker, CA | Always overvalued. | 2006-02-14 | |
| BUY | 80.400 | Howard Sutton | This would be a long-term holding. They have a variety of industries. Won’t be a rocket ship, but it's a steady performer. | 2006-02-09 | |
| TOP PICK | 83.220 | Laura Wallace | Well-positioned when companies start to use the cash they have on their balance sheets. It has a number of new products coming in in 2006. This should drive earnings and valuation of the stock. Trades only at 15 X next year's earnings. | 2005-12-22 | |
| DON'T BUY | 85.530 | Mark Jackson, CFA | Struggling for growth in the technology space in the US. Very difficult for it to maintain the margins that it had, Would prefer Cisco (CSCO-Q)which is trading at a fairly attractive valuation. | 2005-11-15 | |
| BUY | 84.360 | Brad Willock | Likes this company. Has been thinking of buying, but he has a lot of technology in his portfolio. Expects it will have a good strong 4th quarter. Not eapensive. | 2005-11-14 | |
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| BUY | 84.550 | David Burrows | The services business which they are focused on is a very good business. The share price has been improving. You won't get hurt with this one. He prefers Hewlett-Packard (HPQ-N) which will be reporting earnings a month from now and should have an uptick in all of their business lines. | 2005-11-11 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 84.170 | Laura Wallace | (Top PIck July 19/05. No change.) Still likes it. Had a very good quarter. Good diversified product line. | 2005-10-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 80.360 | John Zechner | Has been a big ship to turn around, but they have done a good job making it a leaner company. Economically sensitive. Will grow with the economy. In technology, you can find things that have a little more zip to them. | 2005-09-29 | |
| HOLD | 82.600 | Peter Hofstra | A great tech story over the long term. A solid franchise and you are safe holding it. They continue to evolve and want to go in and run the businesses that are their customers. Continue to be a leader in semi-conductor manufacturing. Likes it below $80. | 2005-08-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 84.200 | Laura Wallace | Not expensive trading at 15.5 X next year's earnings. New main frames are to be announced soon which will give the stock a bit of a push. Global corporations are very well funded and when tech spending really starts to resume, This one is clearly positioned to benefit. A low risk way of playing a major recovery in tech spending. | 2005-07-25 | |
| TOP PICK | 83.700 | Laura Wallace | Well positioned for when corporations start to spend the cash they have in their balance sheets. | 2005-07-19 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 81.810 | John Sinkins, CFA | Was a good pick up a few weeks ago in the low $70's, but still thinks there's some upside even at this price. Gross margins on their hardware improved somewhat. Services and sales divisions are doing well also. Would wait for a bit of a pullback. | 2005-07-18 | |
| BUY | 74.730 | Peter Hofstra | Starting to like this stock at this price. Have announced a bit of a restructuring and he is trying to understand that. Below $80 is a good price. | 2005-06-29 | |
| DON'T BUY | 74.930 | Brian Acker, CA | Has always been expensive to him. When you break this company down, they are just a consultant. Gives credit to their financial engineering. His model price is $58.86 which is a negative differential of 21%. | 2005-06-09 | |
| DON'T BUY | 77.100 | Neil Wickham | In the process of selling their PC business to the Chinese group Lenova (?). Earnings should go up. Biggest component of cash flow in the past has been their services on main frames. This is starting to suffer. Last quarter was weak. Very strong financially. Doesn't see a lot of dynamic growth potential. | 2005-05-30 | |
| BUY | 77.140 | Rob Callander | A low risk way of playing the technology IT kind of turn around that's sort of kind of happening. | 2005-05-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 73.300 | David Baskin | If you are a momentum believer, it's a pretty scary chart. A lot of its revenue comes from service rather than selling hardware. Not unattractive, but negative sentiment is very high. Wouldn't be interested in catching a falling knife. | 2005-05-10 | |
| BUY | 76.510 | Laura Wallace | Stock came off very sharply on its latest quarterly numbers. A good buying opportunity. Continuing to ratchet down costs. Focusing on enterprise should generate good returns. A more defensive holding. | 2005-05-02 | |
| DON'T BUY | 75.430 | Gavin Graham | Out of favour as they came out with a profits warning. Didn't close a lot of their big service contracts. Also people are not buying as many main frames. | 2005-04-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 74.030 | David Baskin | Fell off a cliff. Earnings were fairly dismal and even worse, they announced they were thinking of a re-organization. No one knows what that means. That puts a STOP sign up. Likes the basic revenue model of IBM which is increasingly based on service. | 2005-04-21 | |
| WATCH | 75.480 | Peter Hofstra | A solid franchise that they've been looking at for quite a while. Had an interesting quarter which identified a few geographies that were weak or thin. This may be a buying opportunity. He wants to understand what went on, whether there's anything substantial to the business. They may be restructuring, re-focusing their sales force to get close to the customer. | 2005-04-19 | |
| DON'T BUY | 91.790 | Paul Harris, CFA | In a tough market investors go to the big caps like this, but they only made their numbers last time because they divested some holdings. Backlog was down. The length of their contracts is decreasing. Offshore companies is taking away a lot of their bussiness. Trades at 16 X earnings, so not excessively expensive. | 2005-01-24 | |
| BUY | 97.020 | John Zechner | A falling US$ would be of benefit to a company like this that is exporting. Likes the fact that they are getting out of the PC business. Software has higher margins and is more stable. Strategy wise, they have re-invented themselves and have done very well. | 2004-12-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 96.100 | Mark Jackson, CFA | Well run. Exposed to a market that should do well here. For US holding, Dell might be better. | 2004-12-07 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 95.100 | Laura Wallace | (A Top Pick Aug 9/04. Up 14%.) | 2004-11-18 | |
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| TOP PICK | 87.390 | Robert Stovall | His theory is that once a stock goes over $85, it usually goes over $100. It could be split and a raise in dividends. | 2004-10-22 |