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| PAST TOP PICK | 14.890 | Jaime Carrasco | (A Top Pick Jan 15/09. Up 15.3%.) Took profits but is looking at it again because he likes what is happening to the bonds. Thinks interest rates are heading higher. | 2009-12-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 14.890 | Andrew McCreath | US 30-Year Bond Bear+ ETF. Would not be involved with bonds. Fed and commercial banks will continue to be buyers. Consumers are still buying bonds even if they have low yields. | 2009-11-09 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 14.900 | Jaime Carrasco | (A Top Pick Nov 28/08. Down 5.43%.) | 2009-10-29 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 14.910 | Jaime Carrasco | (A Top Pick Nov 28/08. Down 4.86%.) Started to see some downward pressure on the yield of the 10-year bond so he covered that recently. | 2009-09-04 | |
| DON'T BUY | 15.570 | Mark Carpani | US 30 Yr Bond Bear+ ETF. A bearish bet on interest rates. Basically it's 2X inverse of the 30-year bond future. Very volatile instrument and is meant for trading, not Buy and Hold. A bit early to make a bearish bet on interest rates. | 2009-07-21 | |
| DON'T BUY | 15.360 | Jean-Francois Tardif | US 30 yr Bond Bear+ ETF. If US$ falls, interest rates will have to go up substantially so holding bonds will be bad and Shorting will be good in the long term. In the short term he thinks bonds could do well. This one is a Double, which is good for a day but every day it needs rebalancing so you might be eroding the value over time. | 2009-07-07 | |
| Comment | 17.140 | Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI | 30 year US bonds bear ETF. Very much a consensus trade, which worries him a little. Make sure you have a great exit strategy. Would use it as a trading vehicle. | 2009-06-11 | |
| TOP PICK | 15.960 | Jaime Carrasco | (A Top Pick Nov 28/08. Up 1.34%.) US 30-year bond bear ETF. 2X leverage. Gives negative participation on the bond market. As yields go up, this appreciates. Thinks he will hold this long-term. | 2009-05-22 | |
| BUY | 13.950 | Richard Croft | 30 Yr Bond Bear ETF. Interesting strategy for shorting US treasuries. If there is going to be inflation, bonds should go lower. 1% rise in interest rates would theoretically knock treasuries down by 12%, which would give you a 24% return. Not sure inflation is going to be a huge issue but treasuries are still a little rich right now. | 2009-03-27 | |
| TOP PICK | 12.900 | Jaime Carrasco | Double Short on 30 year US Bonds. We’ve been in a 20-year secular decline in rates. We are facing the next up leg of that. Not a short-term play, but a long-term play. Has risk so you have to assess how much you want to put into it. | 2009-01-15 | |
| BUY | 12.810 | Santa Claus | Reasonable strategy to Short US treasuries. Interest rates can’t go much lower. | 2008-12-24 | |
| TOP PICK | 15.650 | Jaime Carrasco | Rates in the US are sitting at 376. Just finished a 20-year cycle of dropping interest rates. Now going to start a cycle interest rates increasing and there will be a weakness in bonds. | 2008-11-28 |
