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Fairborne Energy Trust
Symbol: FEL.UN-T
Active: N
Sector: oil/gas
Last Price: 6.000
Last Price Date: 2007-12-21 18:09:09
Globe 200 day average

Experts who have talked about Fairborne Energy Trust

DON'T BUY6.000Michael Simpson, CFARecently decided to convert to a corporation but haven't said what their dividend policy will be. Balance sheet was leveraged. Received an equity infusion from a US firm. Like some of their assets, but until they make crystal clear what their dividend policy is, he is staying away from it.2008-01-22
BUY6.870Patrick KimDistributions are going to be cut to zero as they prematurely covert into a corporation. At under $7 he believes there is significant upside. Management has a good track record to grow.2007-11-02
HOLD6.490Peter BriegerAbu Dhabi’s acquisition of Prime West (PWI.UN-T) put a positive spin on this type of trust.2007-09-25
SELL9.290Alan BlakeSold most of their position. Will merge with it's corporate counterpart. Not much success with their drill bit.2007-06-14
HOLD8.400Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Compared to other income trusts’ metrics, not considered cheap. 55% payout ratio. Merging with Fairquest Energy (FQE-T), which should provide economies of scale. Very highly leveraged to gas.2007-04-04
Comment8.650Michael Simpson, CFAWill be merging with Fairquest Energy (FQE-T). Recently cut distributions. They are targeting a 60%-65% payout ratio. Debt level is a bit higher than what he likes, but anticipates that over the next few months it will come down. Have a lot of good drilling opportunities. Could be softness over the next couple of months.2007-03-20
WAIT8.930David CockfieldHasn't been his favourite. In the process of buying back Fairquest Energy (FQT-T), which may turn out to be all right. Reasonably priced. Would wait to see what the budget does.2007-03-15
SELL9.310Robert LauzonLikes the general business plan. Unfortunately, with their type of gas wells being coal bed methane lower gas really hurts them. Has sold his holdings.2007-01-22
DON'T BUY9.460Michael Simpson, CFAExcellent management. As a number of coal bed methane projects. This is not very economical in the current gas price. Have a lot of opportunities to replace their production by the drill bit. Distributions could be at risk.2007-01-04
HOLD9.450Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Payout ratio is 67%. 16% yield, which is high and reflects the softness in the market. Gas oriented. 3rd quarter was slightly disappointing. Well managed.2006-11-10
PAST TOP PICK11.660Robert LauzonIt has gone down due to the fact that it is a gas trust. In the long term recommends to stay with it.2006-09-29
HOLD12.000Peter BriegerDoes own at a higher price. Hold it if you own it.2006-09-26
BUY12.900Bill CarriganA lot of the gassy trusts look interesting. This one looks like it has had a higher low. Thinks there is positive divergence setting up in this stock.2006-09-15
BUY13.780Robert LauzonHighly levered to natural gas. Coal bed methane driller. Also do a lot of tight gas which needs a higher gas price to make it economical. If you feel gas will reach $8 this would be one to buy. A bit more risky.2006-09-08
BUY on WEAKNESS13.780Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has been reasonably soft, reflecting a good yield on its distribution. Distribution is not vulnerable, although if gas prices where to stay at these levels through Christmas, there probably would be a decline. Good management team and assets. Gas weighted, so buy on weakness.2006-09-08
PAST TOP PICK14.400Garth Jestley(A Top Pick Dec 2/05. Down 16.6 %.) Still likes. Dropped along with natural gas prices. Fundamentals are still good.2006-08-11
SELL14.620Patrick KimOn this one, you need to make a short-term call on natural gas prices. Essentially a pure gas play. One of the more aggressive plays in terms of their hedging policy. Now is a good time to trim and you will have opportunities to buy at lower prices.2006-08-04
BUY12.390Ravi SoodNot on the top of his list for oil/gas trusts. At the level it is now, distributions should be reasonably secure. Good price.2006-07-21
BUY on WEAKNESS13.110Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Gas weighted so has dropped with gas prices. Good management. Buy on any softness and spread your purchase out.2006-06-16
BUY16.350Wilf GobertHave had a bit of a slow start coming out of the gate. Has a significant natural gas focus which has been out of favour. You can buy looking for natural gas to go up or wait for it to actually happened.2006-04-25
PAST TOP PICK14.610Robert Lauzon(A Top Pick Dec 23/05. Down in 11.5%.) One of the gassier names and dropped with the price of gas. A quality name and would add more on weakness.2006-04-07
PAST TOP PICK14.380Robert Lauzon(A Top Pick Dec 23/05. Down 12%.) Being a gassy weighted name, this has come off in price. A good entry point. Still likes.2006-03-24
BUY15.720Dean OrricoGas weighted. Longer term, the gas market is going to be strong. Good value at these prices. They are experts in coal bed methane drilling which is a real upside.2006-02-03
PAST TOP PICK16.790Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.(A Top Pick Sept 2/05. Up 19.2%.) Has a great slate of properties in front of it in the higher risk Peace River area. Good management.2006-01-18
TOP PICK16.540Robert Lauzon(A Top Pick Sept 23/05. Up 2.5%.) Has a slower decline rate of its reserve life. He also thinks the reserve life will grow over time. The fifth largest coal bed methane producer in Canada. This has a less sharp decline rate in underlying assets.2005-12-23
DON'T BUY16.950Peter BriegerHis original attraction to this trust was its exposure to coal bed methane gas. Thinks it is very overpriced in the short term.2005-12-15
TOP PICK17.230Robert LauzonHas had a good year, but still feels there are some good things happening. A gas weighted trust. The 5th largest producer of coal bed methane. Will be going into the index. Production guidance keeps growing. Management owns 17% of the trust.2005-12-08
TOP PICK17.060Garth JestleyA relatively small trust. Has significant ownership by management. The fifth largest coal bed methane in Canada. It’s opportunity rich. Has over 300 possible drilling locations. 2005-12-02
PAST TOP PICK16.100Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.(A Top Pick Sept 2/05. Up 11% plus distributions.) Likes what it's done with its properties.2005-11-30
HOLD15.900Bill Harris, CFAAll the hot global money has been chasing these stocks over the last several months and when it rolls, that money comes out fast. This is an A list name. It's fair price, so can't get excited about it right now.2005-10-19
PAST TOP PICK16.000Dean Orrico(Top Pick July 29/05. Up 30%.) A gas weighted trust and still likes. They have about 150 drilling prospects.2005-10-18
BUY on WEAKNESS16.780Ravi SoodCould be a further pullback along with the oil sector. If you see this one any lower, it would definitely be a buy. Good gas exposure.2005-10-14
BUY18.200Peter BriegerThe outlook for natural gas is much rosier and the growth is steadier than it is for oil.2005-10-04
TOP PICK18.490Dean Orrico(A Top Pick July 29/05. Up 40% plus distributions.) Has exposure to the coal bed methane market. Has identified about 150/200 wells that it's going to drill over the next year or two.2005-09-30
TOP PICK16.100Robert Lauzon(A Top pick June 17/05. Up 42%.) Continues to exeed expectations. Good guidance on production going forward. There's an distribution increase coming maybe by the end of the year.2005-09-23
TOP PICK14.320Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng.Has a great slate of assets. Have been able to grow their production constantly. Good management which has a good stake in the company. 78% of production in gas. Probably a little expensive right at the moment.2005-09-02
TOP PICK12.980Dean OrricoA recent conversion to a trust. The oil/gas trust space is getting pretty competitive. This is one trust that gives exposure to coal bed methane which looks to be the one growth area in the oil patch.2005-07-29
BUY10.850Peter BriegerLikes this because of the nature of their reserves (coal bed methane gas) and the relatively low payout ratio. Also likes the Fairquest Energy (FQE-T), an offshoot of this.2005-06-29
BUY11.300Robert LauzonGas weighted. Have a lot of coal bed methane assets which has a lower decline rate than oil and gas. Should have a nice stable 10 year reserve life. Lower multiples than the competition. Low payout ratio.2005-06-17

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