| Click Here to receive daily reports of the TOP PICKS OR your personal stock choices | STOCKCHASEWhat the experts are saying! |
| There are 4 registered members and 46 guests viewing the site. | Follow us on Twitter | Rss Top Picks Feed | Rss Daily Feed |
|
| DON'T BUY | 46.010 | David Burrows | Has almost a zero weight in energy producers. Has stayed away from natural gas for a couple of years, stays away from oil sands that did have some oil producers that had yields, including this one. This company has great management and have been really good in production. Have lots of targets to drill going forward. Problem is, you are in a tough sector right now. Sold his holdings on this one. | 2012-05-17 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 45.430 | Eric Nuttall | CEO just left the company, possibly over expansion plans into the US. The acting CEO is very well respected. The asset class of this company is almost unparalleled in terms of heavy oil in Canada. Have unbelievably profitable oil wells where even if the oil price comes down, they are still extremely economical. He would continue to chip away on weakness | 2012-05-16 | |
| BUY | 46.550 | Paul Harris, CFA | Stock fell because of the CEO leaving. The general problem with Canadian oil stocks is that the world price of oil is very high but the North American price is much lower and has gone down a fair bit. At this level it is time to own. There may be more pressure shorter term on oil prices. | 2012-05-15 | |
| WAIT | 48.500 | Don Vialoux | We have seen a downward trend. Next major support is close to $41-42, sot here is still downside risk during a time when seasonality is not a positive factor. Be careful. From Aug oils do ok so you might get a bounce from the $42 level. | 2012-05-11 | |
| Comment | 46.970 | Bill Harris, CFA | This is his core mid-cap Canadian oil play. It has great growth project. Core asset is a fantastic asset. Just had a management shakeup and lost the CEO. With the dividend of 2.64% and where it is trading, the oil price would really have to collapse for this stock to get hit. | 2012-05-10 | |
| PARTIAL BUY | 50.590 | Rick Stuchberry | This is on his Buy list and was hoping to get it below $50. Good solid company with a great balance sheet. You could start accumulating at this price. | 2012-05-04 | |
| TOP PICK | 52.220 | Jaime Carrasco | Natural gas. This is like an early Crescent Point (CPG-T) in that they have really good properties and they continue to build reserves going forward. Good cash flow and a nice dividend. | 2012-04-27 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 52.760 | Greg Newman | Great company and he likes it a lot. Would try to buy it at around $51. One of the best producers out there and has been really punished on the heavy oil thing, which they have mitigated quite a bit by railing 15% to higher paying markets. | 2012-04-26 | |
| DON'T BUY | 50.700 | Charles Lannon | A higher quality of the former gas royalty trusts. Exposure to heavy oil. He owns their bonds. Their dividend is secure but be prefers Freehold and Vermilion. | 2012-04-24 | |
| BUY | 49.150 | Robert McWhirter | (Market Call Minute.) Looks interesting and ranks well in his work. | 2012-04-18 | |
| TOP PICK | 48.600 | Bill Harris, CFA | A secure dividend and the company can organically grow itself 5%-10%. This is fantastic in the industry. If it is real growth and conservatively financed, great asset in Seal which is the real great asset inside it, you are buying the stock with the heavy as the differential. 5.5% yield. | 2012-04-09 | |
| WEAK BUY | 52.300 | Douglas Kee | Not a big holding. CPG is bigger. It is an oily type company and he likes that. He has no problem with BAY-T, but prefers CPG. | 2012-03-14 | |
| BUY | 58.010 | David Cockfield | In the Seal area where they are drilling oil and gas. It is almost like a utility in that they know exactly what they are doing. A little concerned that they are a little bit slow in bringing in some of the new technology. One of the lowest cost producers. They will keep on increasing their production and dividends. | 2012-02-17 | |
| TOP PICK | 55.720 | Jaime Carrasco | Great growth spectrum and has a great dividend. Good company. Has a target of $71. | 2012-02-10 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 57.000 | David Cockfield | (Top Pick Jan 21/11, Up 24.33%) A major holding personally. Pumpable heavy oil. Would not be surprised if they raise the dividend again. | 2012-01-20 | |
| BUY | 57.010 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | There is a little bit of resistance at around $60. Chart shows a reverse head and shoulders, which is a pretty powerful pattern. If it gets above $60, you have a whole new set of investors that will come in. He likes the oil sector. If you own or buy, put a stop in at around the $50 level. | 2012-01-19 | |
| WAIT | 56.970 | Don Vialoux | More on the heavy oil side. Will generate positive news going forward. Seasonal period is Jan 23-Jun 15. June 15 is the CAP conference. It is the end of the good news. | 2011-12-30 | |
| TOP PICK | 54.490 | David Cockfield | Very competent Alberta heavy oil producer. In the Sele (?) area of Alberta, which is pumpable heavy oil. Technology has improved. Have doubled and tripled their recovery rates, which used to be 5% and is now 15% and could be up to 30%. Just increased their dividend. | 2011-12-09 | |
| TOP PICK | 54.100 | Laura Lau | Heavy oil producer. About 90% oil. Pays about 4%-5% distribution. Able to grow production about 8%-10% per share and still have some cash left over, which they can use to pay down debt or make acquisitions. Return on capital has been very good. Everything they say they will do, they do. | 2011-11-08 | |
|
| |||||
| PAST TOP PICK | 52.320 | David Burrows | (Top Pick October 27/10, Up 44.25) Healthy yield, low cost producer. Prefers to more energy oriented names to financial. One of the great growth stories. Yield plus inflation protection. | 2011-10-25 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 52.160 | David Cockfield | (A Top Pick Oct 13/10. Up 41.4%.) Lightened his position when the stock hit $58. Very good at extracting the heavy oil. | 2011-10-21 | |
| TOP PICK | 50.750 | Bill Harris, CFA | Low cost producer yielding about 5%. Has ability to grow. That’s all he is looking for in energy. Buy it when it comes off. | 2011-10-19 | |
| BUY | 49.240 | Eric Nuttall | Well-run company. Heavy oil. Phenomenal cost structure so can withstand low commodity prices. Yield of 4.9% is absolutely sustainable. | 2011-10-13 | |
| BUY | 42.990 | John Stephenson | Has outperformed CPG. He likes them both. IN this environment CPG will be more volatile. BTE because of dividend and strong growth prospects would have to be the one he recommends. | 2011-09-28 | |
| BUY | 44.920 | David Burrows | Great business but in the wrong spot right now. Tremendous sand finding and increasing production. With that they will raise their distribution. They are attractive relative to other producers, but he is reducing his energy exposure. If you want to own one this is one and the yield is good. | 2011-09-13 | |
| HOLD | 48.510 | Douglas Kee | Not a big holding for him. Well managed. Has done extremely well. Fairly oily and a good Explorer. | 2011-08-29 | |
| BUY | 51.050 | David Burrows | Likes the prospects. Likes oil or liquid-rich gas. Management has done a tremendous job of finding oil. They can grow production 7-8% over the next 5 years. Almost 5% yield. Prefers to something with almost no dividend. | 2011-06-28 | |
| BUY | 53.000 | John Stephenson | CPG got a lot more coverage, but it is hard to argue with BTE’s performance. Heavy/light differential will remain fairly tight which is in BTE’s favour. | 2011-06-06 | |
| Comment | 54.670 | David Cockfield | Operates in the heavy pumpable oil In the Seal area of Alberta. Very good at it. Pays a nice yield of 4.3%. Have a lot of land. Might take a rest for a while so you could possible wait. | 2011-05-27 | |
| HOLD | 52.800 | David Burrows | Pulled back in the last month along with the energy complex. Likes energy producers that pay a good yield and have long life assets like this one. Will probably continue to grow their production at 7%-8% for the next 3 years. | 2011-05-18 | |
| HOLD | 50.680 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | Nice trend. Some indicators are a little overextended. Past a year it is not too extended. Right space, top of relative strength, one of the better ones. No reason to sell – hang on. | 2011-02-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 47.480 | Bill Harris, CFA | Has done a great job in the heavy oil business and hedging. Stock reflects a lot of that. We can only get sop much heavy oil down to the US. Longer term this gets worked out but shorter term we are in a bottleneck. | 2011-01-24 | |
| TOP PICK | 48.000 | David Cockfield | In the Seal area in Alberta. Heavy oil, but you drill. Now using horizontal and fracing to get the oil out. Very good at it. Just made an acquisition. | 2011-01-21 | |
| BUY | 48.050 | John Stephenson | Crescent Point (CPG-T) or Baytex? Would prefer Baytex. Crescent Point has potential to go quite a bit higher with water flood and developing Alberta properties but Baytex has done some exciting things by acquiring heavy oil assets near Seal in the oil sands. | 2011-01-17 | |
| Comment | 46.050 | Bill Carrigan | Wary on commodities. Market feels that when it converts, it will maintain the 5.2% yield. Chart shows it at the top of the growth channel and would normally correct or go sideways at that time but doesn’t expect it to go any higher. | 2010-12-20 | |
| BUY | 41.780 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | Good support at around $34.50, which is \where you should put your Stops. Strong up trend from early 2009. Moving averages are moving up. Will be converting to a Corp soon, but market has discounted that. Good volume going back quite a long time. 5% yield. | 2010-11-19 | |
| TOP PICK | 38.260 | David Burrows | 75% oil, largely heavy oil. Have a couple of growth plays that can give them exposure to light oil. Have been extremely good at recycling the cash into the business. Have about the lowest finding costs in Canada. Applying new technologies for recovery. Pay out only about 50% of their cash flow. Expecting 5%-6% production growth. 5.6% yield. | 2010-10-27 | |
| TOP PICK | 38.400 | David Cockfield | Heavy oil producer, but conventional heavy oil. Mainly in the Seal area. Outstanding record in the recoveries. New technologies are really going to mean heavy recoveries. Yielding about 6% and he expects them to hold this. | 2010-10-13 | |
| HOLD | 38.300 | Peter Brieger | He was going to buy it last December but something else came up. | 2010-10-12 | |
|
| |||||
| WAIT | 33.450 | Peter Brieger | Likes heavy oil. Looking at the market that we will be going into in September/October and that would be the time to buy it. | 2010-08-12 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 34.150 | David Cockfield | Heavy oil. Distribution is not that great. Buy in the $31 range. | 2010-07-22 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 33.160 | Michael Simpson, CFA | About 80% oil (mostly heavy oil) and 20% natural gas. Finding costs for their heavy oil are quite good. Have indicated they will keep distributions as is when they convert. Good growth prospects. | 2010-07-07 | |
| BUY | 34.350 | David Burrows | A lot of exposure to heavy oil and bitumen, so the stock is a little more volatile. 6.3% yield is solid and should continue to pay a good yield after conversion. | 2010-06-21 | |
| BUY | 33.360 | Peter Brieger | He missed this one. Narrowing spreads between regular and heavy oil will benefit them. Long-term hold. | 2010-06-15 | |
| STRONG BUY | 32.600 | John Stephenson | (Market Call Minute.) A must own. The upside is the potential doubling of its reserves and a game changer with commercialization of its Seal project. | 2010-05-28 | |
| BUY | 30.550 | Peter Brieger | Very much focused on heavy oil. Well run. With the Chinese buying 45% of Penn West (PWT.UN-T), this refocuses investors interest on this one. | 2010-05-20 | |
| TOP PICK | 31.190 | David Cockfield | Expert in heavy oil production through the drill bit. Mainly in Theo Alberta. | 2010-05-07 | |
| BUY | 33.830 | Nick Majendie | There are several oil/gas trusts that will be hybrids when they convert with very decent dividends and growth vehicles. This is one of them. | 2010-05-04 | |
| BUY | 33.680 | John Stephenson | Ideal model for a royalty trust. Fairly high income producing company. Key catalyst for growth is their Seals project in the oil sands, which has 5 billion barrels of oil in place. | 2010-04-16 | |
| BUY | 34.350 | David Burrows | Having some success in the Cardium region. | 2010-03-31 | |
| HOLD | 35.800 | Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI | Beautiful chart, which looks like it has no intention of going anywhere but up. Seasonality is to the end of May so wouldn't be surprised to see it soften some time at that point. | 2010-03-22 | |
| HOLD | 35.390 | Michael Smedley | Has reached a 52-week high. 6% distribution should be safe. Should transition to a corporation very smoothly. | 2010-03-18 | |
| BUY | 33.020 | Jennifer Stevenson | Likes it because it is all heavy oil. In a very enviable position. Low risk. Given profits, distribution is not at risk. They can pay it out AND fund their program. | 2010-02-16 | |
| BUY | 30.960 | Michael Smedley | One of the seniors. One of the very serious ones in these new plays. Can easily pay the million dollars to do the conversion. Bought it not long ago. 7% | 2010-01-21 | |
| BUY | 31.840 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Doesn't expect any problems when they change to a corp. Expected to distributions, but if not, adjustment will be slight. On an after-tax basis, you should end up in the same place. | 2010-01-19 | |
| BUY | 30.150 | Mason Granger | Attractive assets. 50 Million Barrels of oil in place. Should be able to access a substantial amount. Recently increased distribution by 50%, which reflects managements view on heavy oil spreads. Distribution is safe. | 2010-01-05 | |
| BUY | 26.630 | Laura Lau | Great way to play heavy oil. Have done a great job on their Seals project in the oil sands. Have a new play in North Dakota in the Bakken. Have to be careful of heavy oil differentials as they start to grow out going into the winters. 5.4% yield has a better chance of being increased rather than decreased. | 2009-11-18 | |
| PARTIAL BUY | 27.870 | John Stephenson | Great oil sands property, a cyclic steam, which is very attractive from a cost standpoint. One of the more conservatively managed trusts. Has had a great run. Wouldn't buy aggressively. | 2009-11-09 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 23.910 | John Stephenson | (A Top Pick Sept 22/08. Down 4.75%.) One of the more solid names. Sold in March because of concerns about debt and refinancing. Held in fairly well because it is heavy oil and differentials have been narrowing considerably. | 2009-09-28 | |
|
| |||||
| PAST TOP PICK | 24.850 | Jennifer Stevenson | (Top Pick Sept 5/08, Down 8%) Loves it because it is oil. Heavy oil differentials are low and they get all the benefit of that. Really safe distribution. | 2009-09-22 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 21.800 | John Stephenson | (A Top Pick Sept 22/08. Down 15.07%.) Heavy oil producer and recently had their reserves re-rated. Has lots of prospectivity on their oil sands project Seal. Differential between lights and heavies is collapsing. Continue to Hold. | 2009-07-24 | |
| BUY | 21.650 | Dean Orrico | Heavy oil weighted. Differentials have coming in nicely over the last little while and are close to 15%-20%. | 2009-07-23 | |
| BUY | 19.470 | David Cockfield | Has been a favourite for a long time. Very good at producing flowable heavy oil. Have a lot of sections that they haven't drilled yet. They will do well if oil goes up. Good management. | 2009-06-05 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 18.550 | Michele Robitaille | Oil weighted, primarily heavy oil. Great place to be on a long-term perspective. Has had a pretty good run up so would wait before buying. Great assets. | 2009-05-22 | |
| PAST TOP PICK | 18.770 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | (A Top Pick June 9/08. Down 33.9%.) Heavy oil. Crude was very high at that point. Still likes this company. | 2009-05-20 | |
| DON'T BUY | 15.100 | Joanne A. Hruska, CFA | Will move with oil prices. Valuation and debt a little higher than piers. | 2009-04-15 | |
| BUY | 15.270 | John Stephenson | Has heavier oil but more and more refineries are able to take a heavier slate of crude. | 2009-04-14 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 15.200 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Primarily heavy oil and a bit of natural gas. Recently raised some money for acquisitions or debt repayment. Hedged some of the differential between heavy and light oil. Well-managed. Would be more comfortable buying in the $14.60 range. | 2009-03-25 | |
| WAIT | 13.900 | Michele Robitaille | Basically heavy oil play. Good resource potential through their Seal play. Cut the distribution in December and at current spot prices they will likely have to cut again but will probably wait until March. Good long-term potential. Great net backs. | 2009-02-03 | |
| HOLD | 15.640 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Heavy oil. Interesting play in Alberta called Seal. May have to cut their distributions again. Well managed company. | 2009-01-16 | |
| Comment | 13.070 | Gordon Higgins, CA, MBA | Investors should be careful about oil/gas companies. They will all have to cut distributions further if they want to stay in the normal range. 16% distribution | 2008-12-22 | |
| Comment | 13.460 | David Cockfield | Has been one of his favourites. Very good operators. Heavy but pumpable oil. With oil going down wouldn't be surprised to see a cut in distributions. | 2008-12-05 | |
| BUY | 15.180 | Michael Simpson, CFA | Oil/gas. Well managed. Seal project is doing very well. Likes the outlook. | 2008-11-20 | |
| BUY | 20.600 | David Cockfield | Extremely good operators. Heavy but flowable oil. Have lots of extra land to drill. Relatively low pay out ratio. Good cash flow. Almost 15% yield. | 2008-10-31 | |
| HOLD | 19.180 | John Stephenson | Some of the better quality royalty trusts that he would continue to hold include Crescent Point (CPG.UN-T), Vermilion (VET.UN-T) and Baytex (BTE.UN-T). | 2008-10-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 28.000 | John Stephenson | Heavy oil producer. Almost 11% yield. You get paid to wait. Producing without doing any thermal or steaming and only producing about 12% of its available land, so there is potential for huge reserves booking. | 2008-09-22 | |
| TOP PICK | 30.100 | Jennifer Stevenson | Seal pilot well is commercial, which is huge news. Will be 2 or 3 years before full production. This is a huge add to their already huge inventory. Very clean balance sheet. 10% yield. Stable production. | 2008-09-05 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 31.520 | David Cockfield | He is picking away at trusts he likes and tries to Buy on weakness. Buying for yield. Thinks oil and gas will stabilize. | 2008-08-01 | |
| DON'T BUY | 34.470 | Joanne A. Hruska, CFA | Could double reserves. Stock price showing some of this potential. Getting a little expensive. | 2008-06-23 | |
|
| |||||
| TOP PICK | 31.950 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Primarily heavy oil. 40,000 barrels a day. Increased dividend from $.20 to $.25 a month. Good model for other royalty trust. Because cash flows have increased so much they will be able to pay the taxes, capital expenditures and continue to pay out distributions. | 2008-06-09 | |
| WAIT | 29.300 | Ken McCord | Fundamentally what is backing up energy stories is still very much intact. A big believer in energy. In the next week or two, there could be a little pullback, which will give you great entry points. | 2008-05-23 | |
| BUY | 29.040 | Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. | Thinks it will benefit a lot from the very small differentials in heavy oil. Relatively low debt. | 2008-05-16 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 28.160 | Michael Simpson, CFA | More exposed to heavy oil. Recent results were very strong. About a 48% payout ratio. Sees a dramatic narrowing of the spreads between heavy and light oil. Hedged some of this with a refinery in the US but a well manage company. Have a lot of land for drilling. At these levels it's a Hold. | 2008-05-14 | |
| TOP PICK | 27.690 | Jennifer Stevenson | Good at keeping production flat with minimal capital spending. Production 40,000 barrels a day, predominantly oil, will cash flow about $1 billion and only need $150 million to keep production flat. Current distributions of about $225 million. More efficient for a trust to pay out more distribution than to spend on drilling. Potential distribution increase. Could do another acquisition. Also un-recognized value for their Seal property. | 2008-05-13 | |
| BUY | 24.740 | Ben Cheng | Very well run income trust. Focused on heavy oil. Recently made an acquisition of Burmis Energy (BME-T) that adds to their natural gas and light oil production. Good management team. | 2008-04-16 | |
| Comment | 24.080 | Joanne A. Hruska, CFA | Just made an offer to purchase Burmis Energy (BME-T) 2 weeks ago. These are Pembina assets so it will be a little sizzle. The market had not been enamoured with this story but it is starting to turn around. From a trading point of view, wait for a pullback. Distribution should be safe. | 2008-04-14 | |
| TOP PICK | 21.230 | Robert Floyd | Wanted to provide a stock that provided decent income along with some growth. Yield of about 10%. With an oil price of around $100, you have a company that has been replacing reserves. NAV of over $24. Gives some good upside in terms of growth. | 2008-02-29 | |
| WAIT | 21.400 | Sandy McIntyre | Has a bias towards heavy oil. Into the heavy oil project at Seal. Prefers over Penn West (PWT.UN-T). Following 2011, the cash taxes will be mitigated to a great degree by preservation of tax pools in the period leading up to 2011. If you are into market timing, you may want to wait until the snow clears. | 2008-02-26 | |
| BUY | 19.570 | Michael Simpson, CFA | About 65% oil/ 35% gas. Interesting play in northern Alberta and production results just released were pretty good. Payout ratio is just over 60%. Good management. | 2007-11-08 | |
| DON'T BUY | 18.320 | Patrick Kim | A very solid portfolio of assets. Primarily weighted to oil with significant heavy oil exposure. Has been some volume disappointments. | 2007-09-21 | |
| BUY | 19.080 | Robert Floyd | 11.1% yield. | 2007-09-14 | |
| Comment | 18.550 | Ben Cheng | Recent acquisition has increased their exposure a little bit too light oil. Historically has been in heavy oil. Has quite a bit of promise in the Seal territory. | 2007-09-05 | |
| BUY | 16.710 | John Stephenson | Oil weighted. Prefers oil over gas. Their Seal project is very promising. It gives them some upside. A reasonably good entry point. | 2007-08-21 | |
| BUY | 18.230 | Sandy McIntyre | Good energy company. Treat the correction as a buying opportunity. | 2007-08-13 | |
| HOLD | 20.900 | Dean Orrico | Heavy oil player. Higher costs. The management team has done a really good job on de-risking it. | 2007-06-14 | |
| BUY on WEAKNESS | 21.060 | Michele Robitaille | Heavy oil weighted trust. Strong management team. Good capital efficiencies. A decent balance sheet. | 2007-06-11 | |
| DON'T BUY | 20.320 | John O'Connell, CFA | Heavy oil is going to be a great place to be an owner, but feels the income trust thing is a ticking bomb. It'll keep working against you. Distribution cuts are going to be a thing for the foreseeable future. | 2007-03-30 | |
| WAIT | 19.680 | David Cockfield | Heavy oil. Have good arrangements for refining in the US. Good management. Good yield. Wait for the budget before buying. | 2007-03-15 | |
| BUY | 20.510 | Ben Cheng | Has performed very well over the long run. Under pressure due to concerns as to where heavy oil spreads are going. Feels they will continue to do good job. Good management. | 2007-03-02 | |
|
| |||||
| HOLD | 20.110 | Michele Robitaille | Weighted towards heavy oil, which tends to be a little more volatile. Have negotiated a long-term sales agreement with and independent refiner. Well-run. Relatively low payout ratio at 60%. Getting a little bit expensive. | 2007-02-02 |